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Nuvini Provides FY2025 EBITDA Guidance and Business Outlook

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Nuvini (Nasdaq: NVNI) provided FY2025 EBITDA guidance of R$50–60 million excluding acquisitions and outlined growth drivers.

The company said the midpoint implies an EV/EBITDA below 4.5x at a current market value of about $45 million. Signed letters of intent in the acquisition pipeline could raise annualized run-rate EBITDA to R$85–95 million by end of Q1 2026. Management targets reducing acquisition cost of capital from ~20% to 12% per annum, aims for acquisitions at 4x–6x EBITDA, and expects AI and high retention (90%+) to support margins and cash conversion (~65%+).

Nuvini (Nasdaq: NVNI) ha fornito una guidance EBITDA FY2025 di R$50–60 milioni escludendo acquisizioni e delineato i driver di crescita.

L'azienda ha detto che il punto medio implica un EV/EBITDA inferiore a 4,5x con un valore di mercato attuale di circa $45 milioni. Le lettere di intenti firmate nella pipeline di acquisizioni potrebbero aumentare l'EBITDA annualizzato a R$85–95 milioni entro la fine del Q1 2026. La direzione punta a ridurre il costo del capitale per acquisizioni da circa 20% a 12% all'anno, mira ad acquisizioni a 4x–6x EBITDA e si aspetta che IA e una retention elevata (90%+) supportino margini e conversione di cassa (~65%+).

Nuvini (Nasdaq: NVNI) proporcionó una orientación de EBITDA FY2025 de 50–60 millones de R$ excluyendo adquisiciones y delineó los impulsores de crecimiento.

La empresa dijo que el punto medio implica un EV/EBITDA por debajo de 4,5x a un valor de mercado actual de alrededor de $45 millones. Las cartas de intención firmadas en la tubería de adquisiciones podrían elevar el EBITDA anualizado a R$85–95 millones para finales del Q1 2026. La dirección señala reducir el costo de capital de adquisición de ~20% a 12% por año, busca adquisiciones a 4x–6x EBITDA, y espera que la IA y una alta retención (90%+) respalden márgenes y conversión de efectivo (~65%+).

누비니(Nasdaq: NVNI)는 인수 제외한 FY2025 EBITDA 가이던스를 R$50–60백만으로 제시했고 성장 동인을 개략 설명했습니다.

중간값은 현재 시가총액 약 $45백만의 EV/EBITDA가 4.5배 미만임을 시사한다고 회사는 말했습니다. 인수 파이프라인에서 서면 의향서가 체결되면 연간화된 EBITDA가 2026년 1분기 말까지 R$85–95백만으로 상승할 수 있습니다. 경영진은 인수 자본비용을 약 20%에서 연간 12%로 낮추는 것을 목표로 하며, 4x–6x EBITDA의 인수를 추구하고, AI와 높은 유지율(90% 이상)이 마진과 현금전환(~65%+)을 지지할 것으로 기대합니다.

Nuvini (Nasaq: NVNI) a fourni une orientation EBITDA FY2025 de 50–60 millions de R$ hors acquisitions et a décrit les moteurs de croissance.

La société a déclaré que le point médian implique un EV/EBITDA en dessous de 4,5x à une valeur marchande actuelle d’environ 45 millions de dollars. Des lettres d’intention signées dans le pipeline d’acquisitions pourraient porter l’EBITDA annualisé à 85–95 millions de R$ d’ici la fin du premier trimestre 2026. La direction vise à réduire le coût du capital d’acquisition d’environ 20% à 12% par an, vise des acquisitions à 4x–6x l’EBITDA et s’attend à ce que l’IA et un taux de rétention élevé (90%+) soutiennent les marges et la conversion de trésorerie (~65%+).

Nuvini (Nasdaq: NVNI) hat eine EBITDA-Richtlinie für FY2025 von 50–60 Mio. R$ EXKLUSIV Zukäufe vorgelegt und die Wachstumsfaktoren skizziert.

Das Unternehmen sagte, dass der Mittelpunkt einen EV/EBITDA unter 4,5x bei einem aktuellen Marktwert von ca. 45 Mio. USD impliziert. Unterzeichnete Absichtserklärungen im Akquisitions-Pipeline könnten den annualisierten EBITDA auf 85–95 Mio. R$ bis Ende Q1 2026 erhöhen. Das Management strebt an, die Akquisitionskapitalkosten von ca. 20% auf 12% pro Jahr zu senken, zielt auf Akquisitionen bei 4x–6x EBITDA ab und erwartet, dass KI und eine hohe Bindung (90%+) die Margen und die Cash-Conversion (~65%+) unterstützen.

شركة نوفيني (ناسداك: NVNI) قد قدمت توجيهات EBITDA للسنة المالية 2025 بمقدار 50–60 مليون ريال برازيلي باستثناء عمليات الاستحواذ ورفعت محركات النمو.

قالت الشركة إن المتوسط يعني EV/EBITDA أقل من 4.5x عند قيمة سوقية حالية تقرب من $45 مليون. قد ترفع رسائل النية الموقعة في خط أنابيب الاستحواذ EBITDA السنوي إلى 85–95 مليون ريال برازيلي بحلول نهاية الربع الأول من عام 2026. تستهدف الإدارة خفض تكلفة رأس المال على الاستحواذ من نحو 20% إلى 12% سنوياً، وتستهدف الاستحواذات عند 4x–6x EBITDA، وتتوقع أن الذكاء الاصطناعي وارتفاع معدل الاحتفاظ (90%+) سيدعمان الهوامش وتحويل النقد (~65%+).

Nuvini(纳斯达克:NVNI) 提供了 FY2025 的 EBITDA 指导区间为 5,0–6,0 亿雷亚尔,不包含并购,并概述了增长驱动因素。

公司表示,中点暗示在当前市值约 $45 百万美元 情况下,EV/EBITDA 小于 4.5x。并购管线中已签署的意向书可能使年度化 EBITDA 提高到 8.5–9.5 亿雷亚尔,至 2026 年第一季度末。管理层目标将并购资本成本从约 20% 降至每年 12%,寻求 4x–6x EBITDA 的并购,并且预计人工智能和高留存率(90% 以上)将支持利润率和现金转化(约 65% 以上)。

Positive
  • FY2025 EBITDA guidance of R$50–60M (ex-acquisitions)
  • Midpoint implies EV/EBITDA below 4.5x at market value ~$45M
  • Pipeline could raise run-rate EBITDA to R$85–95M by end Q1 2026
  • Plan to cut acquisition cost of capital from ~20% to 12%
Negative
  • Guidance explicitly excludes acquisitions, requiring deals to hit targets
  • Current acquisition cost of capital near 20% limits immediate deal accretion
  • Ambitious $100M+ EBITDA in 5 years is forward-looking and not guaranteed

Insights

Nuvini's FY2025 EBITDA guidance and acquisition pipeline imply meaningful upside if execution and financing costs improve.

At the core, management provides a concrete EBITDA range of R$50 to R$60 million for the twelve months ending December 31, 2025 and states signed LOIs could raise run-rate EBITDA to R$85–95 million by the end of Q1 2026. They highlight a current market value near $45 million, implying an implied EV/EBITDA multiple below 4.5% at the guidance midpoint. The company also targets lowering its acquisition cost of capital from ~20% to ~12% per annum, which management says would make deals at 4x–6x EBITDA deeply accretive.

Dependencies and risks are clear and factual: hitting the stated EBITDA ranges depends on completed acquisitions, integration, and the planned reduction in financing costs. The guidance excludes acquisition impacts, so the higher run-rate requires successful closings and timely integration of LOI targets. Watch the realized cost of capital over the next 12 months and announced acquisition terms; those items will materially affect accretion and the implied multiple. Near-term markers to monitor include actual reported FY2025 EBITDA vs. the R$50–60m range, any signed acquisition announcements and disclosed purchase multiples, and progress on financing cost reductions by Q1 2026.

NEW YORK, Oct. 16, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Nuvini Group Limited (Nasdaq: NVNI) (“Nuvini” or the “Company”), a leading acquirer and operator of vertical market SaaS businesses in Latin America, today provided its fiscal year 2025 and outlined key drivers of its growth strategy.

For the twelve months ending December 31, 2025, Nuvini expects to generate approximately R$50 to R$60 million of EBITDA, excluding the impact of acquisitions. At its current market value of roughly $45 million, the midpoint of guidance implies an EV/EBITDA multiple below 4.5x, underscoring the substantial disconnect between fundamentals and valuation.

Targets in the Company’s current acquisitions pipeline with signed letters of intent, if acquired, would contribute to an increase in the Company’s annualized run-rate EBITDA to approximately R$85–95 million by the end of Q1 2026.

Management also highlighted ongoing initiatives to reduce the Company’s cost of capital for future acquisitions from roughly 20% to 12% per annum, which will make acquisitions deeply accretive if executed at 4x to 6x EBITDA multiples. These acquired SaaS businesses have 90%+ retention, strong cash conversion rates in line with our current portfolio (65% +) and are very well positioned on the SaaS rule of 40, a financial metric that states a company's revenue growth rate plus its profit margin should equal or exceed 40% to indicate a healthy, high-performing business. Also, they should benefit from Nuvini’s current AI strategy across both cost and revenue functions.

Pierre Schurmann, Founder and CEO, stated, “Through this EBITDA guidance, we wanted to provide investors with transparency into our 2025 financial trajectory. Our model is simple: disciplined acquisitions at attractive multiples, consistent organic growth, and a lower cost of capital, all translating into compounding EBITDA. We believe in the next 5 years the business could be a $100m+ EBITDA business while maintaining high cash conversion rates.

Our financial architecture mirrors what successful software consolidators such as Roper Technologies (Nasdaq: ROP) and Constellation Software (TSE: CSU) have achieved. We aim to replicate that durable, high-margin model in Latin America with a relentless focus on return on invested capital while focusing on a low net debt to EBITDA.”

Gustavo Usero, Chief Operating Officer, added, “From my past experience at Constellation Software and what I’ve learned from other serial acquirers, there is a clear opportunity to increase EBITDA margins to best-in-class levels like Constellation Software and Roper Technologies. By integrating AI across every function, supported by partnerships such as Oracle, we’re unlocking a new phase of operational leverage. AI is already driving both revenue and cost efficiencies across the Nuvini ecosystem.”

About Nuvini

Headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil, Nuvini is Latin America’s leading acquirer of business to business (B2B) software as a service (SaaS) companies. The Company focuses on acquiring profitable, high-growth SaaS businesses with strong recurring revenue and cash flow generation. By fostering an entrepreneurial environment, Nuvini enables its portfolio companies to scale and maintain leadership within their respective industries. The Company’s long-term vision is to buy, retain, and create value through strategic partnerships and operational expertise.

Forward-Looking Statements

Statements about future expectations, plans and prospects, as well as any other statements regarding matters that are not historical facts, may constitute “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. The words “anticipate,” “believe,” “continue,” “could,” “estimate,” “expect,” “intend,” “may,” “plan,” “potential,” “predict,” “project,” “should,” “target,” “will,” “would” and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements, although not all forward-looking statements contain these identifying words. Because forward–looking statements relate to the future, they are subject to inherent uncertainties, risks, and changes in circumstances that are difficult to predict. The Company cannot guarantee future results, levels of activity, performance, or achievements. Actual results may differ materially from those indicated by such forward-looking statements as a result of various important factors, including, without limitation: the Company’s ability to complete the potential acquisitions on the anticipated timeline or at all; general market conditions that could affect the consummation of the potential acquisition; if definitive documents with respect to a potential acquisition are executed, whether the parties will achieve any of the anticipated benefits of any such transactions; and other factors discussed in the “Risk Factors” section of the Company’s Ǫuarterly and Annual Reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) and the risks described in other filings that the Company may make with the SEC. In particular, there are no assurances that Nuvini will be able to successfully complete the acquisitions with signed letters of intent, and, once acquired, that the anticipated levels of EBITDA will be achieved. Factors or events that could cause the Company’s actual results to differ may emerge from time to time, and it is not possible for the Company to predict all of them. Any forward-looking statements speak only as of the date hereof, and the Company specifically disclaims any obligation to update any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by applicable law. We caution you, therefore, against relying on any of these forward‐looking statements.

Nuvini Investor Relations Contact

Sofia Toledo
ir@nuvini.co

MZ North America
NVNI@mzgroup.us


FAQ

What is Nuvini's FY2025 EBITDA guidance for NVNI?

Nuvini expects approximately R$50–60 million of EBITDA for FY2025, excluding acquisitions.

How could NVNI's acquisitions pipeline affect EBITDA by Q1 2026?

Signed letters of intent could raise annualized run-rate EBITDA to about R$85–95 million by end of Q1 2026.

What EV/EBITDA multiple does NVNI's guidance imply at current market value?

The company says the midpoint implies an EV/EBITDA below 4.5x at a market value near $45 million.

What acquisition economics does NVNI aim for to be accretive?

Management targets acquisitions executed at roughly 4x–6x EBITDA with a cost of capital lowered to about 12% per annum.

What operational metrics does NVNI cite for acquired SaaS businesses?

Acquired businesses are described with 90%+ retention, cash conversion around 65%+, and healthy rule-of-40 performance.

How does NVNI plan to use AI in its business strategy (NVNI)?

Nuvini plans to integrate AI across cost and revenue functions to drive operational leverage and efficiency.
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