Buying a Median-Priced Home Would Cost Typical Mortgage Holders About $1,100 More a Month
At the modeled 7.32% mortgage rate, 44.5% of U.S. households could afford the median-priced home.
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Rhea-AI Summary
Realtor.com published research estimating that buying a median-priced home would cost typical U.S. mortgage holders about $1,100 more each month.
At a modeled 7.32% mortgage rate, estimated monthly principal and interest would rise from $1,332 to $2,468, an 85.3% increase, excluding property taxes and insurance. The calculation uses September 2026's $419,250 median listing price and a 14.3% down payment. The typical outstanding mortgage carries a rate of about 4.0%.
Buying would more than double current payments in roughly one-third of the 100 largest metros. Portland, Maine, has the largest percentage gap at 167.0%; Pittsburgh has the smallest at 43.3%. At a hypothetical 6.0% rate, the estimated national payment would be $2,154, still 61.7% above the typical current payment. Realtor.com said lower rates alone would not erase the affordability gap.
News Explained
In Realtor.com’s model,
Key Figures
- Estimated monthly payment
- $1,332 to $2,468 (+85.3%)
- Typical U.S. mortgage holder versus modeled purchase at 7.32%
- Mortgage rate used
- 7.32%
- Rate assumed for the estimated purchase payment
- Households able to afford median-priced home
- 44.5% at 7.32%; 50.2% at 6.0%
- Modeled affordability scenarios
- Estimated payment at 6.0%
- $2,154; 61.7% higher
- Compared with the typical current mortgage-holder payment
AI-generated analysis. How Rhea-AI works. Not financial advice.
Higher mortgage rates and home prices push the estimated principal-and-interest payment
The typical outstanding mortgage carries a rate of about
"Home sales have been stuck for several years, and this research helps illuminate one of the major friction points for today's homeowners who might like to move. Together, home prices and mortgage rates have drastically changed what it takes to buy a home," said Danielle Hale, chief economist at Realtor.com®. "For the typical mortgage holder, buying a home at today's median-price and current rates would mean finding about
The size of that payment increase varies dramatically across the country.
High-Priced Metros with Lower Outstanding Mortgage Rates are Most Locked-in
In
In expensive markets, larger mortgage balances amplify the impact of higher borrowing costs. A homeowner moving from an older, lower-rate loan to a new mortgage can face a steep payment increase, making it harder to move within the same market. Those higher purchase payments also raise the hurdle for first-time buyers.
Most Locked-in Housing Markets
|
Metro |
Current |
Current |
Sept 2026 |
Sept 2026 |
Gap |
|
|
|
4.0 % |
14.3 % |
|
85.3 % |
|
|
|
4.0 % |
21.0 % |
|
167.0 % |
|
|
|
3.6 % |
26.2 % |
|
164.8 % |
|
Los Angeles-Long |
|
3.8 % |
20.8 % |
|
161.9 % |
|
|
|
3.8 % |
18.7 % |
|
145.9 % |
|
|
|
3.9 % |
14.8 % |
|
140.2 % |
|
|
|
3.9 % |
23.0 % |
|
138.4 % |
|
|
|
3.9 % |
16.3 % |
|
137.1 % |
|
|
|
4.3 % |
14.7 % |
|
133.6 % |
|
|
|
3.9 % |
20.2 % |
|
133.4 % |
|
|
|
4.0 % |
12.9 % |
|
128.7 % |
Low-priced, Accessible Markets See Smallest Lock-in Effect
Lower housing costs help these markets keep the payment gap smaller. Many more affordable metros also entered the current cycle with higher outstanding mortgage rates, reflecting a less intense pandemic buying boom, fewer refinances or steadier sales activity in the higher-rate environment. With less distance between an existing mortgage rate and a new one, homeowners face a smaller financial penalty for moving.
"More affordable markets offer homeowners a smaller payment jump, not an escape from higher costs," said Hannah Jones, senior economist at Realtor.com®. "The estimated increase is about
Least Locked-in Housing Markets
|
Metro |
Current |
Current |
Sept 2026 |
Sept 2026 |
Gap |
|
|
|
4.0 % |
14.3 % |
|
85.3 % |
|
|
|
4.1 % |
14.4 % |
|
43.3 % |
|
|
|
3.9 % |
14.3 % |
|
45.0 % |
|
|
|
4.4 % |
15.7 % |
|
46.1 % |
|
|
|
4.1 % |
12.8 % |
|
53.6 % |
|
|
|
4.1 % |
14.8 % |
|
58.4 % |
|
|
|
4.1 % |
11.8 % |
|
58.7 % |
|
|
|
4.4 % |
6.7 % |
|
60.8 % |
|
|
|
4.3 % |
12.5 % |
|
61.8 % |
|
|
|
4.8 % |
5.5 % |
|
61.9 % |
|
|
|
4.0 % |
17.6 % |
|
62.8 % |
How Low Do Mortgage Rates Need to Go to Unlock the Market?
Lower rates would improve buying power, but a meaningful payment gap would remain. At the September median listing price of
At the modeled
A decline to
"Lower rates alone would not erase the affordability gap," said
100 Largest Metros:
|
|
Current Median |
Current |
Sept 2026 |
Sept. |
Gap |
|
|
|
4.0 % |
14.3 % |
|
85.3 % |
|
|
|
4.3 % |
12.5 % |
|
61.8 % |
|
|
|
3.9 % |
14.8 % |
|
140.2 % |
|
|
|
4.3 % |
10.6 % |
|
118.7 % |
|
|
|
4.1 % |
16.2 % |
|
114.6 % |
|
|
|
4.1 % |
12.4 % |
|
89.3 % |
|
|
|
4.4 % |
6.6 % |
|
82.8 % |
|
|
|
4.0 % |
13.8 % |
|
66.7 % |
|
|
|
4.0 % |
10.6 % |
|
86.5 % |
|
|
|
3.9 % |
14.3 % |
|
45.0 % |
|
|
|
4.1 % |
8.3 % |
|
72.9 % |
|
|
|
4.1 % |
11.8 % |
|
58.7 % |
|
|
|
3.9 % |
20.2 % |
|
133.4 % |
|
|
|
3.8 % |
21.6 % |
|
128.2 % |
|
|
|
3.9 % |
23.0 % |
|
138.4 % |
|
|
|
4.4 % |
15.7 % |
|
46.1 % |
|
|
|
4.4 % |
12.7 % |
|
84.1 % |
|
|
|
4.1 % |
13.3 % |
|
99.2 % |
|
|
|
4.1 % |
15.3 % |
|
85.9 % |
|
|
|
4.3 % |
14.7 % |
|
106.2 % |
|
|
|
4.0 % |
16.2 % |
|
74.0 % |
|
|
|
4.3 % |
15.4 % |
|
98.4 % |
|
|
|
4.3 % |
12.6 % |
|
72.4 % |
|
|
|
3.9 % |
12.6 % |
|
80.6 % |
|
|
|
4.3 % |
9.1 % |
|
72.5 % |
|
|
|
4.1 % |
13.7 % |
|
99.6 % |
|
|
|
4.3 % |
12.4 % |
|
73.8 % |
|
|
|
4.4 % |
10.6 % |
|
67.1 % |
|
|
|
4.4 % |
16.1 % |
|
82.8 % |
|
|
|
3.9 % |
17.2 % |
|
84.6 % |
|
|
|
4.0 % |
15.3 % |
|
88.8 % |
|
|
|
4.1 % |
14.8 % |
|
58.4 % |
|
|
|
3.9 % |
18.1 % |
|
81.3 % |
|
|
|
4.5 % |
7.4 % |
|
110.8 % |
|
|
|
4.0 % |
11.7 % |
|
103.9 % |
|
|
|
4.3 % |
15.7 % |
|
107.4 % |
|
|
|
4.1 % |
13.8 % |
|
86.2 % |
|
|
|
4.3 % |
14.0 % |
|
107.3 % |
|
|
|
4.0 % |
13.7 % |
|
92.9 % |
|
|
|
4.0 % |
18.8 % |
|
110.4 % |
|
|
|
4.3 % |
10.6 % |
|
63.3 % |
|
|
|
4.3 % |
12.8 % |
|
68.1 % |
|
|
|
4.3 % |
9.6 % |
|
69.4 % |
|
|
|
4.3 % |
12.4 % |
|
69.8 % |
|
|
|
4.1 % |
14.8 % |
|
98.5 % |
|
|
|
4.3 % |
14.7 % |
|
133.6 % |
|
|
|
4.5 % |
13.1 % |
|
115.8 % |
|
|
|
4.5 % |
8.8 % |
|
70.7 % |
|
|
|
4.1 % |
14.2 % |
|
88.7 % |
|
|
|
4.3 % |
12.4 % |
|
81.9 % |
|
|
|
3.8 % |
20.8 % |
|
161.9 % |
|
|
|
4.1 % |
13.3 % |
|
78.7 % |
|
|
|
3.8 % |
21.4 % |
|
98.8 % |
|
|
|
4.8 % |
5.5 % |
|
61.9 % |
|
|
|
4.3 % |
8.9 % |
|
71.8 % |
|
|
|
4.1 % |
16.7 % |
|
92.6 % |
|
|
|
3.9 % |
18.4 % |
|
90.5 % |
|
|
|
3.9 % |
16.7 % |
|
72.9 % |
|
|
|
4.1 % |
16.8 % |
|
116.8 % |
|
|
|
4.0 % |
17.6 % |
|
94.1 % |
|
|
|
4.1 % |
12.8 % |
|
53.6 % |
|
|
|
4.0 % |
21.8 % |
|
108.5 % |
|
|
|
4.3 % |
18.1 % |
|
80.2 % |
|
|
|
4.3 % |
12.4 % |
|
77.7 % |
|
|
|
4.0 % |
14.1 % |
|
110.5 % |
|
|
|
4.3 % |
14.0 % |
|
84.0 % |
|
|
|
3.8 % |
18.7 % |
|
145.9 % |
|
|
|
4.4 % |
13.7 % |
|
69.8 % |
|
|
|
4.0 % |
17.6 % |
|
62.8 % |
|
|
|
4.0 % |
13.1 % |
|
99.1 % |
|
|
|
4.1 % |
14.4 % |
|
43.3 % |
|
|
|
4.3 % |
15.1 % |
|
100.4 % |
|
|
|
4.0 % |
21.0 % |
|
167.0 % |
|
|
|
3.9 % |
19.9 % |
|
95.9 % |
|
|
|
3.9 % |
16.3 % |
|
137.1 % |
|
|
|
4.0 % |
16.9 % |
|
78.2 % |
|
|
|
4.0 % |
13.6 % |
|
95.0 % |
|
|
|
3.9 % |
11.4 % |
|
117.2 % |
|
|
|
4.3 % |
16.5 % |
|
94.4 % |
|
|
|
3.8 % |
18.7 % |
|
99.5 % |
|
|
|
3.8 % |
14.2 % |
|
117.1 % |
|
|
|
4.4 % |
6.7 % |
|
60.8 % |
|
|
|
3.6 % |
20.9 % |
|
121.8 % |
|
|
|
3.8 % |
25.4 % |
|
98.6 % |
|
|
|
3.6 % |
26.2 % |
|
164.8 % |
|
|
|
4.3 % |
8.5 % |
|
109.1 % |
|
|
|
3.9 % |
19.6 % |
|
111.3 % |
|
Spokane-Spokane |
|
4.0 % |
17.7 % |
|
97.5 % |
|
|
|
4.0 % |
13.0 % |
|
68.8 % |
|
|
|
3.9 % |
16.4 % |
|
104.6 % |
|
|
|
4.3 % |
14.1 % |
|
115.0 % |
|
|
|
4.3 % |
13.0 % |
|
79.1 % |
|
|
|
4.3 % |
12.7 % |
|
65.3 % |
|
|
|
4.3 % |
12.0 % |
|
71.4 % |
|
|
|
4.4 % |
12.0 % |
|
86.8 % |
|
Urban |
|
3.8 % |
13.5 % |
|
67.4 % |
|
|
|
4.0 % |
9.7 % |
|
97.1 % |
|
|
|
3.8 % |
15.8 % |
|
73.5 % |
|
|
|
4.3 % |
9.6 % |
|
97.2 % |
|
|
|
4.3 % |
12.6 % |
|
95.3 % |
|
|
|
4.0 % |
12.9 % |
|
128.7 % |
Methodology
Current mortgage payments are estimated from fixed-rate, owner-occupied purchase and refinance loans originated since 2013, weighted to match the number of outstanding mortgages by loan age. The estimated payment to buy is based on each area's September 2026 median listing price, a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage, the area's median down-payment share (
About Realtor.com®
For over 30 years, Realtor.com® has connected buyers, sellers, and renters with trusted insights, professional guidance and powerful tools to help them find their perfect home. Recognized as the No. 1 real estate site REALTOR® agents recommend, Realtor.com® delivers consumer connections and a robust suite of marketing tools to support business growth. Realtor.com® is operated by News Corp [Nasdaq: NWS, NWSA] [ASX: NWS, NWSLV] subsidiary Move, Inc.
Media Contact: Mallory Micetich, press@realtor.com
View original content:https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/buying-a-median-priced-home-would-cost-typical-mortgage-holders-about-1-100-more-a-month-302935597.html
SOURCE Realtor.com
FAQ
AI-generated questions and answers. How Rhea-AI works. Not financial advice.
How much more would buying a median-priced home cost typical mortgage holders in Realtor.com's study?
The estimated monthly principal-and-interest payment would be $2,468 versus $1,332 for the typical current mortgage holder, an 85.3% increase. The purchase estimate uses a 7.32% mortgage rate, September 2026's median listing price of $419,250 and a 14.3% down payment. Property taxes and insurance are excluded.
Would a 6% mortgage rate close the affordability gap in Realtor.com's study?
No. At a 6.0% rate, the estimated monthly principal-and-interest payment would be $2,154, still 61.7% higher than the typical current mortgage-holder payment. That rate would put the median-priced home within reach of 50.2% of U.S. households.