Redfin Reports Home Sellers Now Outnumber Buyers By 63%, the Biggest Gap in at Least 13 Years

All 13 metros with more than twice as many sellers as buyers in September were in the Sun Belt.

Rhea-AI Summary

Rocket (RKT) brokerage Redfin reported an estimated 62.6% surplus of U.S. home sellers over buyers in September, a record since 2013. The gap widened from 56.9% in August, marking the fourth consecutive record month. Estimated buyers fell 2.4% month over month to 928,892, the lowest count in records dating to 2013 and the fifth consecutive monthly decline. Sellers rose 1.2% to 1,510,784, the highest count since March 2020.

Of the 50 metros analyzed, 41 were buyer's markets, four were balanced and five were seller's markets. Miami had the largest seller surplus at 158.9%, followed by Nashville and Houston. Nassau County, Montgomery County, Newark, Milwaukee and San Francisco were the seller's markets. Redfin attributes the national imbalance to high housing costs and economic uncertainty limiting demand. In August, home-sale prices rose an average of 6.4% year over year across the five seller's markets, versus 1% across buyer's markets.

News Explained

Redfin defines a buyer’s market as one with more than 10% extra sellers; its reported 62.6% U.S. seller surplus in September falls in that category, which Redfin says gives buyers more negotiating power.

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Key Figures

Seller surplus over buyers: 62.6% Seller surplus over buyers: 56.9% Homebuyers: 928,892 +3 more

Seller surplus over buyers

62.6%

U.S. housing market, September

Seller surplus over buyers

56.9%

U.S. housing market, August

Homebuyers

928,892

U.S. housing market, September

Buyer count change

-2.4%

Month over month, September

Home sellers

1,510,784

U.S. housing market, September

Seller count change

+1.2%

Month over month, September

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• The number of buyers in the market dipped to the lowest level in records dating back to 2013, while the number of sellers rose to its highest level since 2020
• 41 of the 50 most populous U.S. metro areas are buyer's markets, the most in Redfin's records, led by Miami, Nashville and Houston
• There are just 5 seller's markets: San Francisco, and a few Northeast metros

SEATTLE, Oct. 14, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- There were an estimated 62.6% more home sellers than buyers in the U.S. housing market in September, the biggest gap in records dating back to 2013. That's according to a new report from Redfin, the real estate brokerage powered by Rocket.

This marks the fourth record-breaking month in a row, and the margin is up sharply from 56.9% in August. The Sun Belt is driving the extreme buyer's market nationwide; led by huge seller surpluses in Miami, Nashville, TN, and a handful of Texas metros.

When sellers outnumber buyers, buyers typically have more negotiating power because they have options. That's why a market with a lot more sellers than buyers is considered a buyer's market. Redfin defines a market where there are over 10% more sellers than buyers as a buyer's market and a market where there are over 10% fewer sellers than buyers as a seller's market. A market where the gap is plus or minus 10% is considered a balanced market.

It's only a buyer's market for people who can afford to buy. High housing costs and widespread economic uncertainty have caused many would-be buyers to back off in recent years, creating the imbalance of buyers and sellers today.

"This is a buyer's market born out of caution, not strength," said Asad Khan, a senior economist at Redfin. "Buyers have tremendous negotiating power in most of the country because so many other would-be buyers have been priced out of the market, or scared off by economic uncertainty. For house hunters who have the budget and job security to purchase a home in today's market, that creates a unique opportunity: They can be picky, negotiate and even walk away if the deal doesn't make sense financially or they find something they like better. The irony is that in terms of supply, these are some of the best conditions for buyers in many years—but they have arrived at a time when costs are so high that fewer people can afford to take advantage of them."

Homebuyer Count Drops to Lowest Level on Record, Driving Gap Between Sellers and Buyers

The gap between buyers and sellers widened in September because buyers pulled back, while sellers kept showing up.

There were an estimated 928,892 homebuyers in the market nationwide in September, the lowest level in records dating back through 2013. That's down 2.4% from a month earlier, the fifth straight monthly decline.

On the flip side, there were an estimated 1,510,784 home sellers in the market, the most since March 2020. That's up 1.2% month over month.

The number of homes on the market is rising largely because many homes are lingering without finding buyers. That builds up a big pool of listings, and each month, new listings add to that pool.

Homeowners have continued listing despite falling demand because many have simply given up waiting. After years on the sidelines hoping rates would drop or demand would rebound, some sellers see little reason to keep waiting, especially with prices still elevated enough to sell at a gain. Some homeowners are choosing to sell now because they're concerned prices could drop if they wait longer. Others are listing out of necessity: new jobs, growing families, divorce or retirement, for example. But note that many homeowners who don't need to move may decide not to list, or pull their homes off the market: Many have substantial equity, and the relatively strong job market means there's typically not much pressure to sell.

Buyers Have More Negotiating Power in Miami Than Anywhere Else in the Country

Over 80% of U.S. metro areas—41 of the 50 U.S. metro areas Redfin analyzed—are buyer's markets. That's the most in records dating back through 2013.

For the second month in a row, Miami, Nashville and Houston have the biggest surpluses of sellers over buyers. In the top 13 buyer's markets, there were more than twice as many sellers as buyers in September. All of them are located in the Sun Belt; four are in Texas and four are in Florida.

The Sun Belt—particularly Texas and Florida—is home to some of the nation's biggest buyer's markets partly because homebuilding has been so robust. Builders continue to add newly constructed homes even as buyer demand has cooled, contributing to a buildup of inventory and giving buyers more options and negotiating power.

Demand has cooled largely because buyers are increasingly priced out, with mortgage rates rising and home prices holding up. And in Florida, other costs associated with homebuying are rising, too, including HOA and insurance fees.

Four metros were "balanced" in September—neither buyer's nor seller's markets. Two New England metros are trending toward becoming buyer's markets: Boston, where sellers outnumbered buyers by 7.4% after being roughly even the month before, and Providence, RI, where sellers outnumbered buyers by 2.4%, a reversal from the prior month, when there were 7.4% fewer sellers than buyers. 

In Nearly All the Buyer's Markets, Buyers Got Even More Power

The surplus of home sellers over buyers grew month over month in all but two of the buyer's markets in the nation in September.

The surplus increased most in Miami, which also has the biggest surplus of sellers over buyers; there were 158.9% more sellers than buyers in September, up from 134.5% the month before. The next-biggest monthly increase was in Tampa, where there were 103.7% more sellers than buyers in September, up from 82.2% in August. Warren, MI rounds out the top three (47.1% more sellers than buyers, up from 27.3%).

House hunters lost negotiating power in just two buyer's markets. The surplus of sellers over buyers fell from August to September in St. Louis and Detroit, both of which are tilted in buyers' favor, but not nearly as much as the Sun Belt metros. In Detroit, there were 37.9% more sellers than buyers in September, down from 46.5% the month before. In St. Louis, it was 24.5%, down from 26.9%.

There Are Just 5 Seller's Markets, Including New York City Suburbs and San Francisco

Just five of the major U.S. metro areas Redfin analyzed were seller's markets in September.

Nassau County, NY was the number-one seller's market, with 28.6% fewer sellers than buyers.

The other seller's markets were Montgomery County, PA (-22.7%), Newark, NJ (-18.5%), Milwaukee (-16.1%) and San Francisco (-10.6%). That's the second month in a row those five were the only seller's markets in the nation.

The seller's markets are concentrated in places where limited homebuilding has kept housing supply tight. In the greater New York City area, years of constrained construction, combined with strong demand for homes near a major job center, have left buyers competing for relatively few listings. In San Francisco, the housing market has heated up as the AI boom creates wealth, fueling an increase in home sales and competition among buyers.

Home-sale prices rose an average of 6.4% year over year across the five seller's markets in August. That's compared with a 1% uptick across all of the buyer's markets—a sign that in seller's markets, competition among buyers is pushing up home prices.

To view the full report, including more metro-level data and methodology, please visit:

https://www.redfin.com/news/buyers-vs-sellers-september-2026

About Redfin

Redfin is a technology-driven real estate company with the country's most-visited real estate brokerage website. As part of Rocket Companies (NYSE: RKT), Redfin is creating an integrated homeownership platform from search to close to make the dream of homeownership more affordable and accessible for everyone. Redfin's clients can see homes first with on-demand tours, easily apply for a home loan with Rocket Mortgage, and save thousands in fees while working with a top local agent.

You can find more information about Redfin and get the latest housing market data and research at https://www.redfin.com/news. For more information about Rocket Companies, visit https://www.rocketcompanies.com.

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SOURCE Redfin

FAQ

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How much did home sellers outnumber buyers in Redfin's September 2026 report?

U.S. home sellers outnumbered buyers by an estimated 62.6% in September, the largest gap in records dating back to 2013. The surplus increased from 56.9% in August, making September the fourth consecutive record-breaking month.

How does Redfin define a buyer's market or seller's market?

Redfin defines a buyer's market as one with over 10% more sellers than buyers, and a seller's market as one with over 10% fewer sellers than buyers. A gap within plus or minus 10% is considered balanced.

Which buyer's markets in Redfin's September 2026 report had shrinking seller surpluses?

Detroit and St. Louis were the only buyer's markets where the seller surplus declined from August to September. Detroit's surplus fell from 46.5% to 37.9%, while St. Louis's fell from 26.9% to 24.5%. Both remained buyer's markets.