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PRIME SUBGROUP ANALYSIS DEMONSTRATES 22% REDUCTION IN NICU ADMISSIONS IN FIRST-TIME PREGNANCIES USING PreTRM® Test-GUIDED CARE

(Moderate)
(Positive)
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Sera Prognostics (Nasdaq:SERA) reported new PRIME trial subgroup results showing PreTRM® Test-guided care in first-time pregnancies reduced NICU admissions by 22% and severe neonatal morbidity by 30% versus blinded control.

Among 1,783 nulliparous participants, 28 first-time pregnancies needed to be screened and treated to prevent one NICU admission, according to Sera Prognostics. Interventions were well tolerated, and the approach may support healthcare cost savings.

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Positive

  • 22% relative reduction in NICU admissions in first-time pregnancies
  • Two-fold reduction in NICU admissions after spontaneous preterm birth
  • 30% relative reduction in severe composite neonatal morbidity (6.4% vs. 9.1%)
  • 28 first-time pregnancies screened and treated to prevent one NICU admission
  • Interventions (progesterone, low-dose aspirin, care management) reported as well tolerated

Negative

  • None.

Market reaction after PRIME subgroup clinical data: SERA -4.37% in the Jul 10 session

-4.37%
2 alerts
-4.37% Session close to close
$80.28M Market Cap
0.1x Rel. Volume

In the Jul 10 session, SERA declined 4.37%, reflecting a moderate negative market reaction. Our momentum scanner triggered 2 alerts that day, indicating moderate trading interest and price volatility.

Data tracked by StockTitan Argus on the day of publication.

Market Context

The PRIME subgroup analysis reports a 22% reduction in NICU admissions and 30% lower severe morbidit...
Analysis

The PRIME subgroup analysis reports a 22% reduction in NICU admissions and 30% lower severe morbidity in first-time pregnancies, strengthening clinical validation for PreTRM. Investors may weigh this against early-stage revenue and execution on payer and provider adoption.

Key Figures

Subgroup size: 1,783 participants NICU admission reduction: 22% reduction NICU reduction in spontaneous preterm births: 2-fold reduction +5 more
8 metrics
Subgroup size 1,783 participants PRIME primigravid nulliparous subgroup
NICU admission reduction 22% reduction PreTRM Test-guided care vs. routine care in first-time pregnancies
NICU reduction in spontaneous preterm births 2-fold reduction Newborns following spontaneous preterm birth
Screening efficiency 28 pregnancies Number needed to screen and treat to prevent one NICU admission
Severe morbidity (PreTRM arm) 6.4% Severe composite neonatal morbidity in PreTRM Test-guided care group
Severe morbidity (control) 9.1% Severe composite neonatal morbidity in blinded control group
Morbidity reduction 30% relative reduction Severe composite morbidity vs. blinded control group
NICU admissions reduction (headline) 22% reduction Neonatal intensive care unit admissions in first-time pregnancies

Historical Context

5 past events · Latest: Jun 30 (Positive)
Pattern 5 events
Date Event Sentiment 24h Move Catalyst
Jun 30 Board appointment Positive +11.5% Veteran diagnostics executive Mark Capone added to board and compensation committee.
Jun 24 ARPA-H collaboration Positive +0.0% Joined up to $10.4M ARPA-H program to develop point-of-care fetal hypoxia test.
Jun 23 Medicaid coverage push Positive -2.2% Illinois initiative to expand Medicaid coverage for proteomic preterm birth testing.
Jun 01 Board transition Neutral -6.8% Director Jeff Elliott to step down, with search underway for replacement candidate.
May 06 1Q26 earnings Positive +6.1% Reported PRIME trial benefits, small revenue, sizeable cash, and runway through 2029.

24h Move is the share-price change in the day after each event; other market factors may also have contributed.

Pattern Detected

Recent news with clear strategic or clinical milestones has often seen positive price reactions, while policy- or collaboration-focused items have produced flat or negative moves.

Key Terms

randomized controlled trial, neonatal intensive care unit, biomarker, morbidity
4 terms
randomized controlled trial medical
"publication of a new subgroup analysis from the PRIME randomized controlled trial"
A randomized controlled trial is a research method that tests the effects of a new idea or treatment by randomly dividing participants into two groups: one that receives the treatment and one that does not. This approach helps ensure that the results are fair and unbiased, providing clear evidence about whether the treatment actually works. Investors value such trials because they offer reliable information that can influence decision-making and reduce uncertainty.
neonatal intensive care unit medical
"including a 22% reduction in neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) admissions"
A neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) is a specialized hospital ward that provides round‑the‑clock medical care and monitoring for newborns who are premature, born with medical complications, or need advanced support. For investors, NICUs matter because they drive demand for specialized equipment, staffing, drugs and services, influence hospital and insurer costs and reimbursements, and can affect regulatory approvals and revenue prospects for companies serving neonatal care—like a high‑needs business unit within healthcare.
biomarker medical
"providing innovative pregnancy biomarker information, today announced publication"
A biomarker is a measurable indicator found in the body, such as in blood or tissues, that provides information about health, disease, or how the body responds to treatment. For investors, biomarkers can signal the potential success or risk of medical products or therapies, influencing the value of related companies and industry trends. They act like signals or clues that help assess the progress of medical advancements and their market impact.
morbidity medical
"Healthier newborns: Reduced severe composite morbidity (6.4% vs. 9.1%)"
Morbidity is the rate or presence of disease, illness, or health complications in a population, often measured as incidence (new cases) or prevalence (existing cases). For investors, it signals the size and type of healthcare needs, potential demand for medical products and services, and possible cost pressures on insurers or employers—think of it like the number of potholes on a road that affects traffic, repairs, and maintenance budgets.

AI-generated analysis. How Rhea-AI works. Not financial advice.

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-- Study Highlights Screening Efficiency and Potential Cost Savings in a Large Underserved Population --

SALT LAKE CITY, July 9, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Sera Prognostics Inc., The Pregnancy Company® (Nasdaq: SERA), focused on improving maternal and neonatal health by providing innovative pregnancy biomarker information, today announced publication of a new subgroup analysis from the PRIME randomized controlled trial. The analysis demonstrated that PreTRM® Test-guided care in first-time pregnancies significantly improved neonatal outcomes, including a 22% reduction in neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) admissions.

Sera Prognostics Logo

Because NICU care is among the most expensive types of hospital care, reducing admissions has the potential to generate meaningful healthcare savings while improving newborn health outcomes. Four in ten U.S. births are to first-time mothers. Traditional risk assessment tools rely heavily on prior pregnancy history, which is not available in this population. The PreTRM Test enables early risk identification, creating an opportunity for early intervention and improved outcomes.

The findings, published in The Journal of Maternal-Fetal & Neonatal Medicine, highlight the clinical value of early risk stratification using the PreTRM® Test combined with accessible interventions in women in their first pregnancy, a large population in which risk is otherwise difficult to predict.

Key Findings from PRIME Primigravid Nulliparous Subgroup (n=1,783):

  • Reduced NICU admissions: 22% overall relative reduction, including a 2-fold reduction among newborns following spontaneous preterm birth
  • Strong screening efficiency: 28 first-time pregnancies needed to screen and treat to prevent one NICU admission
  • Healthier newborns: Reduced severe composite morbidity (6.4% vs. 9.1%), representing a 30% relative reduction compared to the blinded control group

In this subgroup of 1,783 nulliparous participants, PreTRM Test-guided care significantly reduced NICU admissions and improved neonatal outcomes compared to routine care. Interventions —including progesterone, low-dose aspirin, and care management— were well tolerated.

The screening and treatment approach substantially outperformed traditional methods, supporting its potential as a more effective standard of care in this population without prior birth history. These findings further reinforce the clinical utility of the PreTRM platform in enabling earlier intervention and improving neonatal outcomes.

"This study demonstrates the power of tailoring pregnancy care for first-time pregnancies," said Zhenya Lindgardt, President and CEO of Sera Prognostics. "These results show that the PreTRM Test-guided care pathway can improve outcomes in this large subgroup within a pregnant population where the least information is available to evaluate risk. Delivering on the potential to improve affordability, an important result for patients, providers, and payers." 

"First-time pregnancies have been a significant contributor to spontaneous preterm birth and long presented a challenge for clinicians because of the lack of prior obstetric history to guide risk assessment," said Anthony C. Sciscione, DO, lead author of the study. "These findings show that biomarker-guided care can identify risk earlier and enable interventions that meaningfully improve neonatal outcomes, including reducing NICU admissions in this large and often underserved population."

By enabling earlier risk identification, Sera's approach supports broader adoption of effective care strategies across diverse clinical settings. This publication strengthens Sera's growing body of evidence supporting the PreTRM Test as a scalable solution to improve outcomes and reduce healthcare costs.

About Sera Prognostics, Inc.
Sera Prognostics is a leading health diagnostics company dedicated to improving the lives of women and babies through precision pregnancy care. Sera's mission is to provide early, pivotal pregnancy information to improve the health of mothers and newborns, resulting in reductions in the costs of healthcare delivery. Sera has a robust pipeline of innovative diagnostic tests focused on the early prediction of preterm birth risk and other complications of pregnancy. Sera's precision medicine PreTRM® Test reports to a physician the individualized risk of spontaneous premature delivery in a pregnancy, enabling earlier proactive interventions in women with higher risk. Sera Prognostics is headquartered in Salt Lake City, Utah.

About Preterm Birth
Preterm birth is defined as any birth before 37 weeks' gestation and is the leading cause of illness and death in newborns. The 2025 March of Dimes Report Card shows that, for the fourth consecutive year, the United States earned a D+ grade for preterm birth, marking the longest stretch of the lowest grade in Report Card history. Prematurity is associated with a significantly increased risk of major long-term medical complications, including learning disabilities, cerebral palsy, chronic respiratory illness, intellectual disability, seizures, and vision and hearing loss, and can generate significant costs throughout the lives of affected children. The annual health care costs to manage short- and long-term complications of prematurity in the United States were estimated to be approximately $25 billion for 2016.

About the PreTRM® Test
The PreTRM® Test is the only broadly validated, commercially available blood-based biomarker test that provides an early, accurate and individualized risk prediction for spontaneous preterm birth in asymptomatic singleton pregnancies. The PreTRM® Test measures and analyzes proteins in the blood that are highly predictive of preterm birth. The PreTRM® Test permits physicians to identify, during the weeks 18 through 20 of pregnancy, which women are at increased risk for preterm birth and its complications, enabling more informed, personalized clinical decisions based on each woman's individual risk. The PreTRM® Test is ordered by a medical professional.

Sera, Sera Prognostics, the Sera Prognostics logo, The Pregnancy Company, and PreTRM are trademarks or registered trademarks of Sera Prognostics, Inc. in the United States and/or other countries.

Safe Harbor Statement
This press release contains "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including statements relating to broader adoption of effective care strategies across diverse clinical settings; reducing healthcare costs; and the Company's strategic directives under the caption "About Sera Prognostics, Inc." These "forward-looking statements" are based on management's current expectations of future events and are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially and adversely from those set forth in or implied by forward-looking statements. These risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to: net losses, cash generation, and the potential need to raise more capital; revenues from the PreTRM Test representing substantially all Company revenues to date; the need for broad scientific and market acceptance of the PreTRM Test; a concentrated number of material customers; our ability to introduce new products; potential competition; our proprietary biobank; critical suppliers; estimates of total addressable market opportunity and forecasts of market growth; potential third-party payer coverage and reimbursement; new reimbursement methodologies applicable to the PreTRM Test, including new CPT codes and payment rates for those codes; changes in FDA regulation of laboratory-developed tests; the intellectual property rights protecting our tests and market position; and other factors discussed under the heading "Risk Factors" contained in our Annual Report on Form 10-K and Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, as well as any updates to those risk factors filed from time to time in our periodic and current reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. All information in this press release is as of the date of the release, and the Company undertakes no duty to update this information unless required by law.

Investor Contact
Jennifer Zibuda, Head of Investor Relations
jzibuda@sera.com
+1 (801) 396-8043

Media Contact
Nicole Kaplan at Allison Worldwide
sera@allisonworldwide.com
+1 (847) 721-6033

Cision View original content to download multimedia:https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/prime-subgroup-analysis-demonstrates-22-reduction-in-nicu-admissions-in-first-time-pregnancies-using-pretrm-test-guided-care-302822056.html

SOURCE Sera Prognostics, Inc.

FAQ

What did Sera Prognostics (Nasdaq:SERA) announce about the PRIME subgroup analysis on July 9, 2026?

Sera Prognostics announced PRIME trial subgroup results showing PreTRM® Test-guided care reduced NICU admissions and severe neonatal morbidity in first-time pregnancies. According to Sera Prognostics, these data support earlier risk identification and targeted interventions in a large, historically hard-to-assess population.

How much did the PreTRM Test reduce NICU admissions in first-time pregnancies in the PRIME trial?

PreTRM® Test-guided care showed a 22% relative reduction in NICU admissions among first-time pregnancies. According to Sera Prognostics, newborns following spontaneous preterm birth experienced a two-fold reduction in NICU admissions compared with the blinded control group receiving routine care.

What neonatal morbidity benefits were seen with PreTRM Test-guided care in the SERA PRIME subgroup?

PreTRM® Test-guided care reduced severe composite neonatal morbidity to 6.4% versus 9.1% in controls. According to Sera Prognostics, this represents a 30% relative reduction, suggesting healthier newborn outcomes when biomarker-guided interventions are applied in first-time pregnancies.

How many first-time pregnancies must be screened with PreTRM to prevent one NICU admission?

According to Sera Prognostics, 28 first-time pregnancies needed to be screened and treated with PreTRM® Test-guided care to prevent one NICU admission. This screening efficiency figure comes from the PRIME nulliparous subgroup of 1,783 participants.

What interventions were used in the PreTRM Test-guided care arm of the PRIME trial?

The PreTRM® Test-guided care arm used interventions including progesterone, low-dose aspirin, and care management. According to Sera Prognostics, these interventions were well tolerated and contributed to reduced NICU admissions and improved neonatal outcomes in first-time pregnancies.

How could PreTRM Test-guided care impact healthcare costs for first-time pregnancies?

Reducing NICU admissions may lower healthcare costs because NICU care is among the most expensive hospital services. According to Sera Prognostics, the observed 22% reduction in NICU admissions suggests potential for meaningful healthcare savings alongside better neonatal outcomes.