Methane Emissions Intensity of Permian Basin Declined by More than Half in Two Years, New S&P Global Commodity Insights Analysis Finds

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S&P Global Commodity Insights (NYSE:SPGI) has released a comprehensive analysis revealing significant methane emissions reductions in the Permian Basin. The study shows that methane intensity in the region declined by more than 50% during 2022-2024, with the 2024 intensity rate at 0.44% per barrel of oil equivalent, representing a 29% reduction from the previous year.

The analysis, conducted in partnership with Insight M, utilized over 500 high-resolution aerial surveys covering 90% of the basin's production. Absolute annual methane emissions in 2024 decreased by 21.3 billion cubic feet (22% decline), equivalent to avoiding 11.1 million tons of carbon dioxide emissions. The reduction was achieved through improved operations, better equipment, and the implementation of AI and advanced technologies.

Positive

• Methane emissions intensity declined by more than 50% during 2022-2024
• Absolute annual methane emissions decreased by 21.3 billion cubic feet (22%) in 2024
• Implementation of AI and advanced technologies for emissions detection and prevention
• Coverage of 90% of basin's production through 500+ high-resolution aerial surveys

Negative

• Low commercial value of gas in the region with average price of just $0.02 in 2024
• Challenges with oversupply and lack of takeaway capacity in the region

New analysis provides the most accurate public, basin-wide estimate of methane emissions for the Permian

HOUSTON, July 24, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- The methane intensity of oil and gas production in the Permian Basin—an area responsible for half of U.S. oil production and one fifth of natural gas—declined by more than 50% during the 2022-2024 period as improved operations, better equipment and the utilization of AI and other advanced technologies led to reductions across all observable plume rates (large and small), according to a new analysis by S&P Global Commodity Insights.

The latest data for the year 2024 show the methane emissions intensity of upstream oil and gas operations in the region to be 0.44% per barrel of oil equivalent—a 29% reduction from the previous year.

Absolute annual 2024 methane emissions decreased by 21.3 billion cubic feet (bcf), a 22% decline from the previous year. Given that methane is a potent greenhouse gas, the reduction was equivalent to 11.1 million tons of carbon dioxide emissions avoided (100-year equivalency factor of 28*).

Since the end of 2022, absolute emissions have declined by 55.2 bcf, equivalent to 28.8 MMT of carbon dioxide emissions avoided. 

To put the numbers into perspective, the 28.8 MMt CO2e reduction in absolute methane emissions over a two-year period was:

• Roughly equivalent to emissions from the nation of Lithuania
• 15% greater than the emissions avoided by all electric vehicles sold in the United States and the European Union
• 50% greater than the total emissions reductions in the UK power sector
• Equal to 2.2 billion trash bags recycled instead of landfilled
• Greater than the greenhouse gas emissions from cooling and heating all the homes in California

The findings of the latest analysis for Permian upstream methane, produced in partnership with leading methane management firm Insight M, are based on high frequency observation data that include more than 500 high-resolution aerial surveys covering 90% of the basin's production to provide the most accurate, basin-wide estimate of methane emissions.

"Access to reliable methane data is crucial to provide critical context to benchmark and allow companies to differentiate themselves and truly compete on carbon," said Kevin Birn, Head of the Center for Emissions Excellence, S&P Global Commodity Insights. "Whereas data quality still varies globally, improvements in access to reliable observation data in places like the Permian are leading the way and allow us to more credibly measure the impact of emissions mitigation efforts."

The overflight data to which S&P Global Commodity Insights has access showed reductions across all observable plume rates, from large (1000+kg per hour) to small (10kg per hour) emissions.

The continued emissions reductions occurred despite the relatively low commercial value of gas in the region, where the annual average price for those selling gas on the spot market was just $0.02 in 2024 due to oversupply and a lack of takeaway capacity. Consequently, the lost economic value (i.e. had the gas been captured and sold) from fugitive emissions equated to just 0.002% of total 2024 hydrocarbon revenues, the analysis reveals.

The analysis attributes the continued breadth and depth of the emissions decline to ongoing improvements in equipment as well as increasing deployment of new technologies—from AI-driven analysis of operational data to on-the-ground sensors, aircraft overflights and satellites—that make it possible to detect leaks with greater speed and accuracy.

"Methane emissions management is being increasingly normalized as part of field operations. It's becoming a standard and accepted part of the field staff's responsibilities," said Raoul LeBlanc, Vice President, Global Upstream, S&P Global Commodity Insights. "At the same time, oilfield service manufacturers are now producing equipment that includes emissions reduction as an important feature, and operators are increasingly utilizing AI and machine learning to not only 'find and fix' but 'predict and prevent' emissions."

About the analysis

Produced by S&P Global Commodity Insights Center for Emissions Excellence in partnership with Insight M, the Permian upstream methane analysis combines near-total coverage of the basin and high frequency observations to provide the most accurate public, basin-wide estimate of fugitive methane leaks and venting released to date.

Frequency: 

• The 2024 observed data is derived from roughly 529 survey flights which took place on 175 separate days spread over the course of the year.

Coverage:

• 81.8% of the 161,000 active Permian wells, (78.5% of conventional wells and 88.6% of unconventional wells)
• Assets supplying 90.0% of the 3.9 billion boe produced in 2024.

Resolution: 

• Overflights offer a level of resolution that is up to 5 times greater than that of satellites, providing reliable attribution not only by facility, but in most cases to specific assets or pieces of equipment.

Threshold: 

• Measurements taken detect emissions as low as the range of 50-10 kg/hr depending on the specific overflight. These observed volumes account for more than 68% of total methane released to the atmosphere from upstream oil and gas operations. The volumes from all sources below this threshold were estimated using the Rutherford model developed by Stanford University and included in the totals used in the analysis. More information on the methodology employed by Insight M can be found here.

Global Warming Potential Factor:

• S&P Global Commodity Insights conversion of methane to CO2 equivalency are based on a Global Warming Potential (GWP) factor for 100 years of 28 tons of CO2 per ton of methane. Using the 20-year factor of 86 would thus increase both the emissions reduction and the continuing emissions to 3.07 times the figures cited in this report.

* Compared with a ton of CO2, a ton of methane (CH4) absorbs more energy and thus has a greater impact on earth's warming. However, methane stays in the atmosphere for only about a decade, whereas CO2 persists for hundreds of years. When looked at on a 100-year basis, methane thus has a Global Warming Potential of 27-30 times that of the same mass of CO2.

Media Contacts:

Jeff Marn +1-202-463-8213, Jeff.marn@spglobal.com 

Americas: Kathleen Tanzy + 1 917-331-4607, kathleen.tanzy@spglobal.com
Asia: Melissa Tan + 65-6597-6241, melissa.tan@spglobal.com

About S&P Global Commodity Insights
At S&P Global Commodity Insights, our complete view of global energy and commodity markets enables our customers to make decisions with conviction and create long-term, sustainable value. 

We're a trusted connector that brings together thought leaders, market participants, governments, and regulators and we create solutions that lead to progress. Vital to navigating commodity markets, our coverage includes oil and gas, power, chemicals, metals, agriculture, shipping and energy transition. Platts^® products and services, including leading benchmark price assessments in the physical commodity markets, are offered through S&P Global Commodity Insights. S&P Global Commodity Insights maintains clear structural and operational separation between its price assessment activities and the other activities carried out by S&P Global Commodity Insights and the other business divisions of S&P Global. 

S&P Global Commodity Insights is a division of S&P Global (NYSE: SPGI). S&P Global is the world's foremost provider of credit ratings, benchmarks, analytics and workflow solutions in the global capital, commodity and automotive markets. With every one of our offerings, we help many of the world's leading organizations navigate the economic landscape so they can plan for tomorrow, today. For more information visit https://www.spglobal.com/commodityinsights.

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SOURCE S&P Global Commodity Insights

FAQ

What was the methane emissions reduction in Permian Basin for 2024?

In 2024, methane emissions intensity decreased to 0.44% per barrel of oil equivalent, representing a 29% reduction from the previous year. Absolute emissions decreased by 21.3 billion cubic feet, a 22% decline.

How does S&P Global (NYSE:SPGI) measure methane emissions in the Permian Basin?

S&P Global conducts analysis using over 500 high-resolution aerial surveys covering 90% of the basin's production, in partnership with methane management firm Insight M, providing the most accurate basin-wide estimate.

What technologies are being used to reduce methane emissions in the Permian Basin?

Companies are utilizing AI-driven analysis, on-the-ground sensors, aircraft overflights, satellites, and improved equipment to detect and prevent methane leaks with greater speed and accuracy.

What is the economic impact of methane emissions in the Permian Basin for 2024?

Due to low gas prices ($0.02 average) from oversupply, the lost economic value from fugitive emissions represented just 0.002% of total 2024 hydrocarbon revenues.

How significant is the Permian Basin's methane reduction in environmental terms?

The two-year reduction of 55.2 bcf in methane emissions is equivalent to avoiding 28.8 million tons of CO2 emissions, exceeding the emissions from cooling and heating all homes in California.