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S&P CORELOGIC CASE-SHILLER INDEX RECORDS 2.7% ANNUAL GAIN IN APRIL 2025

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The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index recorded a 2.7% annual gain in April 2025, down from 3.4% in March, marking its slowest appreciation since mid-2023. The 10-City and 20-City Composites posted gains of 4.1% and 3.4% respectively.

A significant regional shift emerged with New York leading at 7.9% growth, followed by Chicago (6.0%) and Detroit (5.5%). Former market leaders struggled, with Tampa declining 2.2% and Dallas falling 0.2%. After seasonal adjustment, the National Index posted a 0.4% monthly decrease, suggesting weakening market conditions despite typical spring patterns.

The market faces challenges from mid-6% mortgage rates and affordability constraints, though limited housing supply continues to provide price support.

L'Indice Nazionale dei Prezzi delle Case S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller ha registrato un incremento annuo del 2,7% ad aprile 2025, in calo rispetto al 3,4% di marzo, segnando la crescita più lenta dalla metà del 2023. I Composite delle 10 e 20 città hanno mostrato aumenti rispettivamente del 4,1% e del 3,4%.

Si è osservato un significativo cambiamento regionale con New York in testa con una crescita del 7,9%, seguita da Chicago (6,0%) e Detroit (5,5%). Le città che in precedenza guidavano il mercato hanno invece mostrato difficoltà, con Tampa in calo del 2,2% e Dallas in diminuzione dello 0,2%. Dopo la correzione stagionale, l'Indice Nazionale ha evidenziato un calo mensile dello 0,4%, indicando un indebolimento delle condizioni di mercato nonostante i consueti andamenti primaverili.

Il mercato deve affrontare sfide legate ai tassi ipotecari intorno al 6% medio e ai vincoli di accessibilità economica, anche se la limitata offerta abitativa continua a sostenere i prezzi.

El Índice Nacional de Precios de Viviendas S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller registró un incremento anual del 2,7% en abril de 2025, descendiendo desde el 3,4% en marzo, marcando su apreciación más lenta desde mediados de 2023. Los Compuestos de 10 y 20 ciudades mostraron ganancias del 4,1% y 3,4% respectivamente.

Se observó un cambio regional significativo con Nueva York liderando con un crecimiento del 7,9%, seguida por Chicago (6,0%) y Detroit (5,5%). Las ciudades que antes lideraban el mercado enfrentaron dificultades, con Tampa cayendo un 2,2% y Dallas bajando un 0,2%. Tras ajuste estacional, el Índice Nacional mostró una disminución mensual del 0,4%, sugiriendo un debilitamiento de las condiciones del mercado a pesar de los patrones típicos de primavera.

El mercado enfrenta desafíos debido a tasas hipotecarias alrededor del 6% medio y restricciones de accesibilidad, aunque la limitada oferta de viviendas sigue apoyando los precios.

S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 미국 전국 주택가격 지수는 2025년 4월에 연간 2.7% 상승을 기록했으며, 이는 3월의 3.4%에서 하락한 수치로 2023년 중반 이후 가장 느린 상승률입니다. 10개 도시 및 20개 도시 복합지수는 각각 4.1%와 3.4%의 상승을 보였습니다.

지역별로 큰 변화가 나타났는데, 뉴욕이 7.9% 성장으로 선두를 차지했고 그 뒤를 시카고(6.0%)와 디트로이트(5.5%)가 이었습니다. 이전 시장 선도 도시들은 어려움을 겪었으며, 탬파는 2.2% 하락, 달라스는 0.2% 하락했습니다. 계절 조정 후 전국 지수는 월간 0.4% 감소를 기록해 봄철 전형적인 패턴에도 불구하고 시장 상황이 약화되고 있음을 시사합니다.

시장에는 6% 중반대의 모기지 금리와 구매력 제약이라는 도전이 있으나, 제한된 주택 공급은 가격을 지지하는 요인으로 작용하고 있습니다.

L'Indice national des prix des logements S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller a enregistré une hausse annuelle de 2,7% en avril 2025, en baisse par rapport à 3,4% en mars, marquant la plus faible appréciation depuis la mi-2023. Les indices composites des 10 et 20 villes ont affiché des gains respectifs de 4,1% et 3,4%.

Un changement régional significatif s'est dessiné avec New York en tête avec une croissance de 7,9%, suivie de Chicago (6,0%) et Detroit (5,5%). Les anciens leaders du marché ont rencontré des difficultés, Tampa enregistrant une baisse de 2,2% et Dallas une chute de 0,2%. Après ajustement saisonnier, l'indice national a affiché une baisse mensuelle de 0,4%, suggérant un affaiblissement des conditions du marché malgré les tendances printanières habituelles.

Le marché fait face à des défis liés aux taux hypothécaires autour de 6% et aux contraintes d'accessibilité, bien que l'offre limitée de logements continue de soutenir les prix.

Der S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index verzeichnete im April 2025 einen jährlichen Zuwachs von 2,7%, was einen Rückgang gegenüber 3,4% im März bedeutet und die langsamste Wertsteigerung seit Mitte 2023 markiert. Die 10-City- und 20-City-Komposite wiesen Gewinne von 4,1% bzw. 3,4% auf.

Es zeigte sich eine bedeutende regionale Verschiebung, wobei New York mit 7,9% Wachstum führend war, gefolgt von Chicago (6,0%) und Detroit (5,5%). Frühere Marktführer hatten Schwierigkeiten, mit einem Rückgang von 2,2% in Tampa und einem Rückgang von 0,2% in Dallas. Nach saisonaler Bereinigung verzeichnete der nationale Index einen monatlichen Rückgang von 0,4%, was trotz typischer Frühlingsmuster auf eine Abschwächung der Marktbedingungen hindeutet.

Der Markt steht vor Herausforderungen durch Mittel-6%-Hypothekenzinsen und Erschwinglichkeitsbeschränkungen, obwohl das begrenzte Wohnungsangebot weiterhin Preisdruck verhindert.

Positive
  • New York market shows strong growth with 7.9% annual gain
  • Chicago and Detroit demonstrate robust performance with 6.0% and 5.5% gains respectively
  • 18 out of 20 metros posted positive monthly gains before seasonal adjustment
  • Limited housing supply helps maintain price stability
Negative
  • National home price growth slowed to 2.7%, the lowest since mid-2023
  • Tampa and Dallas markets turned negative with -2.2% and -0.2% annual returns
  • Seasonally adjusted National Index declined 0.4% month-over-month
  • High mortgage rates continue to impact affordability and buyer participation

Insights

Housing market slowing with 2.7% annual gain in April, showing regional shift from Sun Belt to Northeast/Midwest markets.

The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Index data reveals a significant deceleration in the housing market, with the National Index posting just a 2.7% annual gain in April—down from 3.4% in March and marking the slowest appreciation since mid-2023. This moderation appears broadly distributed across metropolitan areas.

What's particularly noteworthy is the dramatic regional reshuffling occurring in this cycle. The pandemic darlings of the Sun Belt are now underperforming, with Tampa declining -2.2% and Dallas falling -0.2% year-over-year. Meanwhile, traditionally stable markets are surging, led by New York (7.9%), Chicago (6.0%), and Detroit (5.5%).

The underlying fundamentals tell an important story. While the market posted a pre-seasonal adjustment gain of 0.6% month-over-month, the seasonally adjusted figure showed a -0.4% decline—indicating April's performance was actually weaker than typical spring patterns would suggest. This divergence between raw and adjusted figures signals potential weakening beyond normal seasonal variations.

The market appears caught between contradictory forces: persistent affordability challenges with mortgage rates in the mid-6% range versus severely constrained housing supply as existing homeowners remain reluctant to surrender their low pandemic-era rates. This supply-demand imbalance is preventing sharp corrections while simultaneously limiting growth potential.

This transition to more moderate, geographically diverse price growth likely represents a healthier market trajectory than the unsustainable nationwide boom of recent years—one where local fundamentals now matter more than national trends.

NEW YORK, June 24, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- S&P Dow Jones Indices (S&P DJI) today released the April 2025 results for the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices. The leading measure of U.S. home prices recorded a 2.7% annual gain in April 2025, a slight decrease from the previous reading in March 2025. More than 27 years of history are available for the data series and can be accessed in full by going to https://www.spglobal.com/spdji/en/index-family/indicators/sp-corelogic-case-shiller/.

YEAR-OVER-YEAR

The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index, covering all nine U.S. census divisions, reported a 2.7% annual return for April, down from a 3.4% annual gain in the previous month. The 10-City Composite saw an annual increase of 4.1%, down from a 4.8% annual increase in the previous month. The 20-City Composite posted a year-over-year increase of 3.4%, down from a 4.1% increase in the previous month. New York again reported the highest annual gain among the 20 cities with a 7.9% increase in April, followed by Chicago and Detroit with annual increases of 6.0% and 5.5%, respectively. Tampa posted the lowest return, falling 2.2%.

MONTH-OVER-MONTH

The pre-seasonally adjusted U.S. National Index saw slight upward trends in April, posting gains of 0.6%. The 10-City Composite and 20-City Composite Indices both reported gains of 0.7%.

After seasonal adjustment, the U.S. National Index posted a decrease of -0.4%. Both the 10-City Composite and the 20-City Composite Indices saw a -0.3% decrease.

ANALYSIS

"The housing market continued its gradual deceleration in April, with annual price gains slowing to their most modest pace in nearly two years," said Nicholas Godec, CFA, CAIA, CIPM, Head of Fixed Income Tradables & Commodities at S&P Dow Jones Indices. "What's particularly striking is how this cycle has reshuffled regional leadership—markets that were pandemic darlings are now lagging, while historically steady performers in the Midwest and Northeast are setting the pace. This rotation signals a maturing market that's increasingly driven by fundamentals rather than speculative fervor.

"The National Composite Index posted a 2.7% annual gain in April, marking its slowest year-over-year appreciation since mid-2023. This deceleration was broad-based, with the 20-City Composite advancing 3.4% and the 10-City Composite up 4.1%—both substantially below their recent peaks. The composition of these gains tells an important story: Approximately 1.7 percentage points of April's annual increase occurred over the past six months, indicating that price momentum has been concentrated in the recent spring selling season rather than sustained throughout the year.

"Regional performance revealed a dramatic shift from pandemic-era patterns. New York led all metros with a robust 7.9% annual gain, followed by Chicago (6.0%) and Detroit (5.5%)—a lineup that would have been unthinkable during the height of the Sun Belt surge. Meanwhile, former leaders stumbled: Tampa fell 2.2% year-over-year and Dallas turned negative at -0.2%, becoming the only two metros to post annual declines. San Francisco managed just 0.2% growth, while Phoenix (+1.3%) and Miami (+1.4%) barely registered gains. This geographic rotation reflects the fundamental economics now driving the market: Affordability constraints have hit previously overheated markets hardest, while traditionally stable markets with more reasonable price levels are attracting renewed interest.

"April's monthly performance showed continued seasonal strength but with notable cooling from March's peak. Eighteen metros posted positive monthly gains before seasonal adjustment, led by Detroit (+1.5%), Boston (+1.5%), and New York (+1.2%). However, after seasonal adjustment, the National Index actually declined 0.4%, suggesting that April's 0.6% raw gain was weaker than typical spring patterns would predict. This divergence between raw and seasonally adjusted figures hints that the market's seasonal rhythms may be dampening as affordability pressures intensify.

"The underlying market dynamics remain challenging but not dire. Mortgage rates sustained their mid-6% range throughout April, keeping monthly payment burdens near generational highs and effectively pricing out significant segments of potential buyers. Yet housing supply remains severely constrained, with existing homeowners reluctant to surrender their sub-4% pandemic-era rates and new construction failing to meet demand. This supply-demand imbalance continues to provide a price floor, preventing the sharp corrections that some had feared.

"We're witnessing a housing market in transition," Godec concluded. "The era of broad-based, rapid price appreciation appears over, replaced by a more selective environment where local fundamentals matter more than national trends. For investors and policymakers alike, this shift toward geographic divergence and moderate growth may actually represent a healthier, more sustainable trajectory than the unsustainable boom we experienced just a few years ago."

SUPPORTING DATA

Table 1 below shows the housing boom/bust peaks and troughs for the three composites along with the current levels and percentage changes from the peaks and troughs.


2006 Peak

2012 Trough

Current

Index

Level

Date

Level

Date

From Peak (%)

Level

From Trough (%)

From Peak (%)

National

184.61

Jul-06

133.99

Feb-12

-27.4 %

329.61

146.0 %

78.5 %

20-City

206.52

Jul-06

134.07

Mar-12

-35.1 %

341.48

154.7 %

65.3 %

10-City

226.29

Jun-06

146.45

Mar-12

-35.3 %

361.38

146.8 %

59.7 %

Table 2 below summarizes the results for April 2025. The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices could be revised for the prior 24 months, based on the receipt of additional source data.


April 2025

April/March

March/February

1-Year

Metropolitan Area

Level

Change (%)

Change (%)

Change (%)

Atlanta

250.71

0.7 %

0.9 %

2.1 %

Boston

348.64

1.5 %

0.7 %

3.9 %

Charlotte

283.96

1.0 %

0.7 %

2.4 %

Chicago

217.55

1.2 %

1.1 %

6.0 %

Cleveland

198.71

1.0 %

1.8 %

5.2 %

Dallas

297.98

0.8 %

0.5 %

-0.2 %

Denver

322.08

0.7 %

1.1 %

0.7 %

Detroit

195.37

1.5 %

1.1 %

5.5 %

Las Vegas

304.60

0.6 %

0.7 %

4.1 %

Los Angeles

450.90

-0.1 %

1.4 %

2.5 %

Miami

442.86

0.5 %

-0.2 %

1.4 %

Minneapolis

244.15

0.9 %

1.1 %

2.4 %

New York

330.24

1.2 %

1.6 %

7.9 %

Phoenix

330.69

0.0 %

0.2 %

1.3 %

Portland

333.28

0.4 %

0.8 %

0.8 %

San Diego

447.78

0.7 %

1.0 %

1.0 %

San Francisco

363.50

0.5 %

1.1 %

0.2 %

Seattle

402.33

1.0 %

1.8 %

3.0 %

Tampa

375.94

0.7 %

-0.3 %

-2.2 %

Washington

339.65

0.9 %

1.4 %

4.3 %

Composite-10

361.38

0.7 %

1.2 %

4.1 %

Composite-20

341.48

0.7 %

1.1 %

3.4 %

U.S. National

329.61

0.6 %

0.8 %

2.7 %

Sources: S&P Dow Jones Indices and CoreLogic



Data through April 2025




Table 3 below shows a summary of the monthly changes using the seasonally adjusted (SA) and non-seasonally adjusted (NSA) data. Since its launch in early 2006, the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices have published, and the markets have followed and reported on, the non-seasonally adjusted data set used in the headline indices. For analytical purposes, S&P Dow Jones Indices publishes a seasonally adjusted data set covered in the headline indices, as well as for the 17 of 20 markets with tiered price indices and the five condo markets that are tracked.


April/March Change (%)

March/February Change (%)

Metropolitan Area

NSA

SA

NSA

SA

Atlanta

0.7 %

-0.1 %

0.9 %

0.0 %

Boston

1.5 %

-0.4 %

0.7 %

-0.6 %

Charlotte

1.0 %

0.0 %

0.7 %

-0.2 %

Chicago

1.2 %

0.3 %

1.1 %

0.3 %

Cleveland

1.0 %

0.3 %

1.8 %

0.7 %

Dallas

0.8 %

-0.6 %

0.5 %

-0.8 %

Denver

0.7 %

-0.8 %

1.1 %

-0.8 %

Detroit

1.5 %

0.1 %

1.1 %

0.2 %

Las Vegas

0.6 %

-0.2 %

0.7 %

-0.1 %

Los Angeles

-0.1 %

-1.1 %

1.4 %

-0.1 %

Miami

0.5 %

-0.2 %

-0.2 %

-0.7 %

Minneapolis

0.9 %

-0.4 %

1.1 %

-0.1 %

New York

1.2 %

0.6 %

1.6 %

1.0 %

Phoenix

0.0 %

-0.9 %

0.2 %

-0.6 %

Portland

0.4 %

-0.8 %

0.8 %

-0.7 %

San Diego

0.7 %

-0.6 %

1.0 %

-0.9 %

San Francisco

0.5 %

-1.2 %

1.1 %

-1.5 %

Seattle

1.0 %

-0.9 %

1.8 %

-0.7 %

Tampa

0.7 %

0.0 %

-0.3 %

-1.1 %

Washington

0.9 %

-0.1 %

1.4 %

0.0 %

Composite-10

0.7 %

-0.3 %

1.2 %

0.0 %

Composite-20

0.7 %

-0.3 %

1.1 %

-0.2 %

U.S. National

0.6 %

-0.4 %

0.8 %

-0.3 %

Sources: S&P Dow Jones Indices and CoreLogic



Data through April 2025




For more information about S&P Dow Jones Indices, please visit www.spglobal.com/spdji.

ABOUT S&P DOW JONES INDICES

S&P Dow Jones Indices is the largest global resource for essential index-based concepts, data and research, and home to iconic financial market indicators, such as the S&P 500® and the Dow Jones Industrial Average®. More assets are invested in products based on our indices than products based on indices from any other provider in the world. Since Charles Dow invented the first index in 1884, S&P DJI has been innovating and developing indices across the spectrum of asset classes helping to define the way investors measure and trade the markets.

S&P Dow Jones Indices is a division of S&P Global (NYSE: SPGI), which provides essential intelligence for individuals, companies, and governments to make decisions with confidence. For more information, visit www.spglobal.com/spdji.

FOR MORE INFORMATION:

Alyssa Augustyn
Communications Manager
New York, USA
+1 773-919-4732
alyssa.augustyn@spglobal.com

S&P Dow Jones Indices' interactive blog, IndexologyBlog.com, delivers real-time commentary and analysis from industry experts across S&P Global on a wide range of topics impacting residential home prices, homebuilding and mortgage financing in the United States. Readers and viewers can visit the blog at www.indexologyblog.com, where feedback and commentary are welcomed and encouraged.

The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices are published on the last Tuesday of each month at 9:00 am ET. They are constructed to accurately track the price path of typical single-family homes located in each metropolitan area provided. Each index combines matched price pairs for thousands of individual houses from the available universe of arms-length sales data. The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index tracks the value of single-family housing within the United States. The index is a composite of single-family home price indices for the nine U.S. Census divisions and is calculated quarterly. The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 10-City Composite Home Price Index is a value-weighted average of the 10 original metro area indices. The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Home Price Index is a value-weighted average of the 20 metro area indices. The indices have a base value of 100 in January 2000; thus, for example, a current index value of 150 translates to a 50% appreciation rate since January 2000 for a typical home located within the subject market.

These indices are generated and published under agreements between S&P Dow Jones Indices and CoreLogic, Inc.

The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices are produced by CoreLogic, Inc. In addition to the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices, CoreLogic also offers home price index sets covering thousands of zip codes, counties, metro areas, and state markets. The indices, published by S&P Dow Jones Indices, represent just a small subset of the broader data available through CoreLogic.

Case-Shiller® and CoreLogic® are trademarks of CoreLogic Case-Shiller, LLC or its affiliates or subsidiaries ("CoreLogic") and have been licensed for use by S&P Dow Jones Indices. None of the financial products based on indices produced by CoreLogic or its predecessors in interest are sponsored, sold, or promoted by CoreLogic, and neither CoreLogic nor any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, or predecessors in interest makes any representation regarding the advisability of investing in such products.

Cision View original content:https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/sp-corelogic-case-shiller-index-records-2-7-annual-gain-in-april-2025--302489810.html

SOURCE S&P Dow Jones Indices

FAQ

What was the S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index annual gain in April 2025?

The S&P Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index recorded a 2.7% annual gain in April 2025, down from 3.4% in March.

Which cities showed the strongest and weakest housing market performance in April 2025?

New York led with 7.9% growth, followed by Chicago (6.0%) and Detroit (5.5%). The weakest markets were Tampa (-2.2%) and Dallas (-0.2%).

How did the Case-Shiller 10-City and 20-City Composites perform in April 2025?

The 10-City Composite increased 4.1% annually, while the 20-City Composite rose 3.4% year-over-year.

What was the month-over-month change in home prices for April 2025?

The National Index posted a 0.6% gain before seasonal adjustment, but showed a -0.4% decrease after seasonal adjustment.

How has the housing market trend shifted from pandemic patterns?

Traditional markets in the Northeast and Midwest are now leading, while former pandemic hotspots in the Sun Belt are showing slower growth or declines.
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