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Tilly’s, Inc. Announces 2023 Holiday Period Net Sales, Updates Fourth Quarter Outlook

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Tilly’s, Inc. (NYSE: TLYS) announced net sales results for the 2023 holiday period, with total net sales of $139.7 million, a decrease of (7.4)% compared to the 2022 holiday period. Comparable net sales, including physical stores and e-commerce, decreased by (9.0)%. The company expects its fiscal 2023 fourth quarter net sales to be in the range of approximately $169 million to $172 million with a loss per share in the range of $(0.20) to $(0.24).
Positive
  • None.
Negative
  • Decrease in total net sales and comparable net sales compared to the previous year's holiday period
  • Anticipated loss per share for the fiscal 2023 fourth quarter

The disclosed financials by Tilly's, Inc. indicate a contraction in net sales during a critical earning period, which is a pivotal metric for investors monitoring retail sector performance. The (7.4)% decline in total net sales and (9.0)% decrease in total comparable net sales year-over-year are symptomatic of broader consumer behavior shifts and potentially heightened competition. The granularity of the report, showcasing category-specific performance, provides a nuanced understanding of the company's challenges, particularly in physical store sales which have seen a (12.3)% drop. However, the increase in e-commerce sales by 1.6% suggests a strategic pivot point that Tilly's may capitalize on, considering the growing trend of digital consumerism.

From a liquidity standpoint, the strong cash position and absence of debt are reassuring indicators of financial health, which may buffer against short-term market volatility. However, the projected loss per share for the fiscal 2023 fourth quarter raises concerns about profitability and operational efficiency. Investors should closely monitor subsequent financial disclosures for signs of stabilization or further deterioration in sales and earnings.

Examining Tilly's performance within the retail industry context, the reported holiday sales downturn reflects a larger pattern of inconsistent consumer spending, particularly in the brick-and-mortar segment. The differentiation in performance between product categories, with Footwear showing resilience, suggests a shift in consumer preferences which Tilly's may need to address through inventory optimization and targeted marketing strategies.

The reported regional disparities in physical store sales performance highlight the importance of market segmentation and the potential need for a tailored approach to store operations. The increase in e-commerce's contribution to net sales underscores the ongoing digital transformation in retail, which Tilly's appears to be engaging with, albeit at a modest growth rate. This shift presents both a challenge in terms of increased competition with pure-play online retailers and an opportunity to enhance omnichannel capabilities.

The retail sector serves as a bellwether for consumer discretionary spending and Tilly's reported sales outcomes may be indicative of broader economic trends, such as inflationary pressures or shifts in consumer confidence. The holiday period traditionally accounts for a significant portion of annual retail sales and the reported decrease could suggest a macroeconomic cooling effect, with consumers potentially prioritizing essential spending.

While Tilly's financial stability in terms of cash reserves and no debt is commendable, the potential loss per share points to a challenging revenue environment that may reflect wider market conditions. The company's forward-looking statements regarding the uncertainty of financial results through the remainder of the quarter acknowledge the volatile nature of the current market, which could be influenced by factors such as changing consumer behavior, supply chain disruptions, or economic policy changes.

IRVINE, Calif.--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- Tilly’s, Inc. (NYSE: TLYS, the “Company”) today announced net sales results for the nine-week period ended December 30, 2023 (the “2023 holiday period”) in advance of its attendance and participation in the ICR Conference 2024 on January 8-9, 2024.

“Condensed peaks of increased consumer activity over Black Friday weekend, just before Christmas and in the week following Christmas were more than offset by significant decreases in consumer activity outside of those event-driven peaks, producing a slightly softer holiday season for us overall than we originally anticipated,” commented Ed Thomas, President and Chief Executive Officer. “We anticipate ending fiscal 2023 with a strong cash position, a reasonable inventory level, and no debt as we continue to focus on opportunities to improve our business in fiscal 2024.”

  • Total net sales of $139.7 million decreased by (7.4)% for the 2023 holiday period compared to $150.9 million for last year’s comparable nine-week holiday period ended December 31, 2022 (the “2022 holiday period”).
  • Total comparable net sales, including both physical stores and e-commerce, decreased by (9.0)% during the 2023 holiday period compared to the 2022 holiday period. Comparable net sales of Footwear increased by a single-digit percentage, Girls and Mens apparel decreased by single-digit percentages, while Boys, Womens and Accessories decreased by double-digit percentages compared to the 2022 holiday period.
    • Comparable net sales in physical stores decreased by (12.3)% during the 2023 holiday period compared to the 2022 holiday period. Comparable net sales in physical stores were single-digit negative in the Midwest, New England and the Northwest and double-digit negative elsewhere on a percentage basis compared to the 2022 holiday period. Net sales in physical stores represented 71.9% of total net sales during the 2023 holiday period compared to 74.4% of total net sales during the 2022 holiday period.
    • E-commerce net sales increased by 1.6% during the 2023 holiday period compared to the 2022 holiday period. E-commerce net sales represented 28.1% of total net sales during the 2023 holiday period compared to 25.6% of total net sales during the 2022 holiday period.
  • As of January 2, 2024, the Company had approximately $129 million of cash and marketable securities and no debt outstanding.

Fiscal 2023 Fourth Quarter Outlook Update

Based on the Company’s net sales results for the 2023 holiday period and historical trends for the remainder of the quarter, the Company now expects its fiscal 2023 fourth quarter net sales to be in the range of approximately $169 million to $172 million and its loss per share to be in the range of $(0.20) to $(0.24). The Company expects to end fiscal 2023 with 248 total stores, total cash and marketable securities of approximately $90 million reflecting the normal seasonal fluctuation of such balances, and no debt outstanding.

The scope and nature of the impacts of current market conditions on the Company’s business continue to evolve. As a result, there can be no guarantee that the Company’s financial results through the remainder of the fourth quarter will remain consistent with those of the 2023 holiday period. In addition, the foregoing information does not reflect the full financial results for the 2023 holiday period. The Company’s actual financial results for the fiscal 2023 fourth quarter and full fiscal year ending February 3, 2024, are subject to completion of the period, the finalization of its normal quarter-end and year-end accounting procedures, and the audit of its fiscal 2023 financial statements. The Company currently expects to report its actual results for the fiscal 2023 fourth quarter and full fiscal year on or about March 14, 2024.

ICR Conference 2024

The Company will be participating in the ICR Conference 2024 in Orlando, Florida on January 8-9, 2024. The Company will be conducting a fireside chat presentation at 10:30 a.m. Eastern time on Tuesday, January 9, 2024. The audio of the fireside chat will be webcast live over the internet and can be accessed under the Investor Relations section of the Company’s website at www.tillys.com.

About Tillys

Tillys is a leading, destination specialty retailer of casual apparel, footwear and accessories for young men, young women, boys and girls with an extensive selection of iconic global, emerging, and proprietary brands rooted in an active, outdoor and social lifestyle. Tillys is headquartered in Irvine, California and currently operates 251 total stores across 33 states as well as its website, www.tillys.com

Forward Looking Statements

Certain statements in this press release are forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. In particular, statements regarding our current operating expectations in light of historical results, the impacts of inflation and potential recession on us and our customers, including on our future financial condition or operating results, expectations regarding customer traffic, our supply chain, our ability to properly manage our inventory levels, and any other statements about our future cash position, financial flexibility, expectations, plans, intentions, beliefs or prospects expressed by management are forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are based on management’s current expectations and beliefs, but they involve a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results or events to differ materially from those indicated by such forward-looking statements, including, but not limited to the impact of inflation on consumer behavior and our business and operations, supply chain difficulties, and our ability to respond thereto, our ability to respond to changing customer preferences and trends, attract customer traffic at our stores and online, execute our growth and long-term strategies, expand into new markets, grow our e-commerce business, effectively manage our inventory and costs, effectively compete with other retailers, attract talented employees, or enhance awareness of our brand and brand image, general consumer spending patterns and levels, including changes in historical spending patterns, the markets generally, our ability to satisfy our financial obligations, including under our credit facility and our leases, and other factors that are detailed in our Annual Report on Form 10-K, filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”), including those detailed in the section titled “Risk Factors” and in our other filings with the SEC, which are available on the SEC’s website at www.sec.gov and on our website at www.tillys.com under the heading “Investor Relations”. Readers are urged not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this press release. We do not undertake any obligation to update or alter any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. This release should be read in conjunction with our financial statements and notes thereto contained in our Form 10-K.

Investor Relations:

Michael L. Henry

Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer

949-609-5599 x.17000

irelations@tillys.com

Source: Tilly’s, Inc.

FAQ

What were Tilly's net sales results for the 2023 holiday period?

Tilly's, Inc. (NYSE: TLYS) announced net sales of $139.7 million, a decrease of (7.4)% compared to the 2022 holiday period.

What are Tilly's expectations for the fiscal 2023 fourth quarter net sales?

The company expects its fiscal 2023 fourth quarter net sales to be in the range of approximately $169 million to $172 million.

What is Tilly's expected loss per share for the fiscal 2023 fourth quarter?

The company anticipates a loss per share in the range of $(0.20) to $(0.24) for the fiscal 2023 fourth quarter.

Tilly's, Inc.

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About TLYS

tillys is a leading specialty retailer in the action sports industry selling clothing, shoes, and accessories. we opened our first store in southern california in 1982 and have grown to 220 stores in 33 states. tillys offers one of the largest assortments of brands and merchandise from the top players in the surf, skate, motocross and lifestyle apparel industries available both in stores and online at tillys.com. our knowledge of ever-evolving trends and our access to the most popular brands allows us to have an unparalleled assortment of merchandise. our selection and the look and feel of our stores are distinct and create a shopping experience that is unique, creative and fun.