TNL Mediagene Targets EBITDA Break-Even in 2026 and Positive EBITDA in 2027－Company outlines path driven by technology business growth and cost reductions
Rhea-AI Summary
TNL Mediagene (Nasdaq: TNMG) outlined a path to EBITDA break-even in fiscal 2026 and positive EBITDA in fiscal 2027, driven by growth in its technology business and operating cost reductions through organizational simplification and automation.
For fiscal 2025 the company expects approximately $49.1 million in revenue and $17.8 million in gross profit. Following a 1-for-20 reverse stock split completed in December, the company has 2,556,405 shares outstanding.
Positive
- Fiscal 2025 revenue of approximately $49.1M
- Fiscal 2025 gross profit of $17.8M
- Target: EBITDA break-even in 2026 driven by technology revenue growth
- Target: Positive EBITDA in 2027 via organic growth, new products, and acquisitions
- Operational plan to reduce costs through organizational simplification and automation
Negative
- 1-for-20 reverse stock split completed, leaving 2,556,405 shares outstanding which may reduce float and liquidity
Key Figures
Market Reality Check
Peers on Argus
TNMG fell 7.26% while key publishing peers showed mixed moves and only one momentum-peer (GXAI, down about 4%) appeared, indicating a stock-specific reaction rather than a sector-wide shift.
Historical Context
| Date | Event | Sentiment | Move | Catalyst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-22 | Nasdaq compliance | Positive | +14.2% | Regained compliance with Nasdaq Bid Price Rule and entered monitoring period. |
| 2026-01-13 | Commerce performance | Positive | -4.7% | GIZMART’s debut crowdfunding campaign exceeded ¥300 million GMV and 23,602 buyers. |
| 2026-01-07 | Government partnership | Positive | -2.9% | Subsidiary Infobahn chosen as Lead Partner for METI fashion IP initiative. |
| 2026-01-06 | AI platform move | Positive | -2.2% | Introduced NLWeb support to make media assets machine-readable for AI monetization. |
| 2025-12-30 | Corporate update | Positive | +6.3% | Corporate update highlighting FY2025 revenue expectations, AI initiatives and partnerships. |
Recent history shows mixed reactions: compliance and broad corporate updates lifted the stock, while several positive operational or partnership announcements saw negative next-day moves.
Over the past months, TNMG news has focused on Nasdaq listing compliance, growth initiatives and AI-driven platform development. A Dec 30, 2025 corporate update highlighting expected FY2025 revenue of $49.1 million and technology growth coincided with a 6.25% gain. Regaining Nasdaq bid-price compliance on Jan 22, 2026 triggered a 14.2% rise. By contrast, positive items like strong crowdfunding GMV, an AI content infrastructure rollout, and a METI fashion IP partnership saw modest negative reactions, underscoring inconsistent price responses to constructive news.
Market Pulse Summary
This announcement outlines TNMG’s shift toward profitability, with management targeting EBITDA break-even in 2026 and positive EBITDA in 2027, building on expected FY2025 revenue of $49.1 million and gross profit of $17.8 million. Recent history includes Nasdaq compliance, AI-driven initiatives and partnerships, alongside a 1-for-20 reverse split that left 2,556,405 shares outstanding. Investors may watch how technology revenue growth, cost reductions, and disciplined acquisitions affect EBITDA versus these stated milestones.
Key Terms
ebitda financial
reverse stock split financial
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
For fiscal year 2025, the Company expects to report approximately
Management aims to reach EBITDA break-even in fiscal year 2026, driven by growth in technology business revenue and continued reductions in operating costs through organizational simplification and increased use of automation.
Management further aims to achieve positive EBITDA in fiscal year 2027 through organic growth of its core businesses, development of new products, and disciplined strategic acquisitions.
"We are focused on building a more efficient and scalable organization," said Joey Chung, Co-Founder & CEO. "By growing technology business revenue and reducing costs, we are aiming to reach EBITDA break-even in 2026 and positive EBITDA in 2027 through organic growth of our core businesses, new product development, and disciplined strategic acquisitions."
Following the 1-for-20 reverse stock split completed in December, the Company has 2,556,405 shares outstanding.
About TNL Mediagene
TNL Mediagene's operations span original and licensed media brands in Japanese, Chinese, and English, covering topics such as news, business, technology, science, food, sports, and lifestyle. It also offers AI-driven advertising services, marketing technology platforms, ecommerce, and innovative solutions tailored to the needs of advertising agencies. Known for its political neutrality, appeal to younger audiences, and high-quality content, TNL Mediagene has approximately 500 employees across
Use of Non-IFRS Financial Measures
In this press release, we have included EBITDA, a non-IFRS financial measure, which is one of many key measures used by our management and board of directors in evaluating our operating performance. EBITDA is a preferred metric for profitability because we believe it facilitates operating performance and profit performance comparisons on a period-to-period basis and excludes items that we do not consider to be indicative of our core operating performance.
EBITDA has limitations as an analytical tool, and you should not consider it in isolation or as a substitute for analysis of our results as reported under IFRS.
We have not provided a reconciliation of forward-looking EBITDA targets to the most directly comparable IFRS measure due to the inherent difficulty in forecasting certain items.
Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements
This press release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, that are based on beliefs and assumptions and on information currently available to TNL Mediagene. Forward-looking statements generally relate to future events or TNL Mediagene's future financial or operating performance. In some cases, you can identify forward-looking statements by the following words: "may," "will," "could," "would," "should," "expect," "intend," "plan," "anticipate," "believe," "estimate," "predict," "project," "potential," "continue," "ongoing," "target," "aim," "seek" or the negative or plural of these words, or other similar expressions that are predictions or indicate future events or prospects, although not all forward-looking statements contain these words. Forward-looking statements in this communication include, but are not limited to, statements about TNL Mediagene's future business plan and growth strategies and statements by TNL Mediagene's management. Any statements that refer to expectations, projections or other characterizations of future events or circumstances, including strategies or plans, are also forward-looking statements. These statements involve risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual results, levels of activity, performance or achievements to be materially different from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements in this communication or elsewhere speak only as of the date made. New uncertainties and risks arise from time to time, and it is impossible for TNL Mediagene to predict these events or how they may affect TNL Mediagene. In addition, risks and uncertainties are described in TNL Mediagene's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including the risks and uncertainties set forth under the heading "Risk Factors" in TNL Mediagene's Annual Report on Form 20-F filed on April 30, 2025, as may be supplemented or amended by the TNL Mediagene's Reports of a Foreign Private Issuer on Form 6-K. These filings may identify and address other important risks and uncertainties that could cause actual events and results to differ materially from those contained in the forward-looking statements. TNL Mediagene cannot assure you that the forward-looking statements in this communication will prove to be accurate. There may be additional risks that TNL Mediagene presently does not know or that TNL Mediagene currently does not believe are immaterial that could also cause actual results to differ from those contained in the forward-looking statements. In light of the significant uncertainties in these forward-looking statements, you should not regard these statements as a representation or warranty by TNL Mediagene, its directors, officers or employees or any other person. Except as required by applicable law, TNL Mediagene does not have any duty to, and does not intend to, update or revise the forward-looking statements in this communication or elsewhere after the date of this communication. You should, therefore, not rely on these forward-looking statements as representing the views of TNL Mediagene as of any date subsequent to the date of this communication.
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SOURCE TNL Mediagene
FAQ
What EBITDA targets did TNL Mediagene (TNMG) announce for 2026 and 2027?
What were TNL Mediagene's expected revenue and gross profit for fiscal 2025 (TNMG)?
How will TNL Mediagene (TNMG) drive cost reductions to reach EBITDA break-even?
What role will technology business revenue play in TNMG's financial plan?
Did TNL Mediagene (TNMG) change its share count recently and why does it matter?
What actions did TNL Mediagene (TNMG) say could enable positive EBITDA in 2027?
