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Tonix Pharmaceuticals Announces Publication in the Peer-Reviewed Journal of Virology Assessing Virulence of the 2022 Outbreak Strain of Mpox in New Animal Models

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Tonix Pharmaceuticals (Nasdaq: TNXP) reported publication in the peer‑reviewed Journal of Virology of new preclinical data on mpox. Tonix scientists showed that the 2022 outbreak clade IIb mpox virus is approximately 100 to 100,000‑fold less virulent than the historic 2003 clade IIa in multiple mouse models.

The study expands the CAST/EiJ mouse system to older animals and introduces three novel C57BL/6 models lacking interferon‑α, interferon‑γ, or both receptors. According to Tonix, these models will support investigation of mpox pathogenesis and assessment of medical countermeasures, including its investigational vaccine candidate TNX‑801.

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Market reaction after preclinical mpox virulence data: TNXP +4.97% in the Jul 15 session

+4.97%
7 alerts
+4.97% Session close to close
+2.9% Peak in 6 min
$186.59M Market Cap
0.1x Rel. Volume

In the Jul 15 session, TNXP gained 4.97%, reflecting a moderate positive market reaction. Argus tracked a peak move of +2.9% during that session. Our momentum scanner triggered 7 alerts that day, indicating moderate trading interest and price volatility.

Data tracked by StockTitan Argus on the day of publication.

Market Context

With shares previously far below their 52‑week high and short interest categorized as high, this mpo...
Analysis

With shares previously far below their 52‑week high and short interest categorized as high, this mpox virulence paper arrives amid elevated positioning. Recent insider net buying of 11,415 shares adds a supportive signal, but the active S‑3 shelf and prior usage keep financing risk on the radar.

Key Figures

Virulence reduction range: 100 to 100,000-fold less virulent Case fatality rate Ia: 11% Case fatality rate Ib/IIa: 4% +5 more
8 metrics
Virulence reduction range 100 to 100,000-fold less virulent Clade IIb 2022 outbreak strain vs clade IIa 2003 outbreak
Case fatality rate Ia 11% MPXV subclade Ia case fatality rate
Case fatality rate Ib/IIa 4% MPXV subclades Ib and IIa case fatality rate
Case fatality rate IIb 0.2% MPXV subclade IIb case fatality rate
Mouse age (younger cohort) 7 to 8 weeks old CAST/EiJ mouse susceptibility evaluation
Mouse age (older cohort) 4 to 5 months old CAST/EiJ mouse susceptibility evaluation
Novel mouse models 3 models C57BL/6 mouse models deficient in interferon receptors
Pre-headline price vs 52-week high -84.19% TNXP price relative to 52-week high before publication

Historical Context

5 past events · Latest: Jul 13 (Positive)
Pattern 5 events
Date Event Sentiment 24h Move Catalyst
Jul 13 payer coverage deal Positive -6.6% Major Medicare payer agreement expanding TONMYA access to additional covered lives.
Jun 29 clinical trial start Positive -3.6% First patient enrolled in potentially pivotal Phase 2 HORIZON MDD study.
Jun 11 conference participation Neutral -2.8% Participation in BTIG Infectious Disease Day 2026 investor meetings.
Jun 08 payer coverage deal Positive +4.2% Second commercial payer agreement expanding TONMYA commercial coverage in U.S.
May 28 data presentation Neutral -2.5% Real-world claims analysis on opioid use in fibromyalgia patients presented at ASCP.

24h Move is the share-price change in the day after each event; other market factors may also have contributed.

Pattern Detected

Recent news, including positive commercial and clinical milestones, has more often been followed by downside moves in the stock than sustained gains.

Key Terms

clade, biosafety level 3, interferon-α receptor, interferon-γ receptor
4 terms
clade medical
"clade IIb from 2022 outbreak is 100 to 100,000-fold less virulent than clade IIa"
A clade is a group of organisms or virus strains that all descend from a common ancestor, identified by shared genetic characteristics. For investors, clades matter because different clades can behave differently—for example, spreading faster, resisting treatments, or changing diagnostic accuracy—so knowing which clade is circulating is like knowing which model of car is on the road when deciding maintenance or insurance risk.
biosafety level 3 technical
"including a Biosafety Level 3 (BSL-3) lab and an Animal Biosafety Level 3"
Biosafety Level 3 is a classification for laboratory facilities and procedures designed to handle infectious agents that can cause serious or potentially lethal disease when inhaled; think of it as a high-security workshop for dangerous germs. For investors, BSL-3 status signals greater regulatory oversight, higher construction and operating costs, longer approval timelines and stricter safety and liability requirements—factors that can affect a company’s development speed, budget and risk profile.
interferon-α receptor medical
"C57BL/6 mouse models deficient in the interferon-α receptor, interferon-γ receptor"
A protein complex on the surface of cells that binds interferon‑alpha, a signaling molecule the body uses to trigger antiviral and immune responses. When interferon‑alpha attaches to this receptor, it activates a chain of internal signals that change gene activity and cell behavior; for investors, the receptor is important because it is a common drug target, biomarker, or mechanism influencing efficacy, safety, and regulatory review of therapies.
interferon-γ receptor medical
"C57BL/6 mouse models deficient in the interferon-α receptor, interferon-γ receptor"
A cell-surface protein complex that binds the immune signaling molecule interferon-gamma and transmits that signal into the cell, triggering changes in gene activity and immune response. Think of it as a lock (the receptor) that a key (interferon-gamma) fits into to switch on antiviral and inflammatory programs; it matters to investors because it is a common biomarker and drug target in therapies, clinical trials, and regulatory decisions for immune-related diseases and oncology.

AI-generated analysis. How Rhea-AI works. Not financial advice.

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Data show clade IIb from 2022 outbreak is 100 to 100,000-fold less virulent than clade IIa from 2003 outbreak

Three new models for investigating mpox infection and pathogenesis identified

Tonix is advancing TNX-801, a live, attenuated, minimally replicative investigational vaccine candidate based on horsepox virus to protect against mpox disease

BERKELEY HEIGHTS, N.J., July 15, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp. (Nasdaq: TNXP) (“Tonix” or the “Company”), a fully integrated, commercial-stage biotechnology company, today announced the publication of a paper, "Monkeypox virus clade IIb isolate exhibits reduced virulence relative to clade IIa isolates in multiple murine models," in the Journal of Virology, the peer-reviewed publication of the American Society for Microbiology (ASM). The research, conducted at Tonix, found new animal models for investigating mpox pathogenesis and demonstrated significant differences in virulence between the clade IIb circulating in the U.S. and the historic 2003 clade IIa. The manuscript can be accessed at:
https://doi.org/10.1128/jvi.00247-26.

“Global mpox outbreaks that have caused severe human disease continue to occur due to previously unrecognized subclades,” said Seth Lederman, M.D., Chief Executive Officer of Tonix Pharmaceuticals. “New approaches to understand and mitigate the spread of emerging mpox subclades are urgently needed. To examine the pathogenesis of emerging mpox clades, we identified three new murine models susceptible to mpox clade II infection, which revealed significant differences in virulence between clades. As Tonix investigates TNX-801 (live attenuated horsepox vaccine) for the prevention of mpox and smallpox, establishing additional foundational models are important to categorize and ultimately protect against the disease."

“The decreased virulence of clade IIb may have contributed to its ability to spread worldwide,” said Sina Bavari, Ph.D., Executive Vice President of Tonix and site head of Tonix’s Research and Development Center (RDC) in Frederick, Maryland. “Indolent subclinical infection is a risk factor for unintentional spread. Importantly, a deeper understanding of mpox virus (MPXV) pathogenesis will help guide the continued development and positioning of the TNX-801 vaccine platform, a vaccine candidate against mpox. Tonix is committed to advancing the understanding of emerging mpox disease and to developing TNX-801 platform as a potential vaccine candidate to address the continuing global threat posed by mpox.”

Led by Farooq Nasar, Ph.D., Director, Virology, Tonix utilized its state-of-the-art research laboratory capabilities, including a Biosafety Level 3 (BSL-3) lab and an Animal Biosafety Level 3 (ABSL-3) facility, at RDC which is close to the center of the U.S. biodefense research community.

Mpox is an emerging human disease caused by four distinct MPXV subclades (Ia, Ib, IIa, and IIb). Despite their genetic similarities, the case fatality rates differ considerably among the subclades: Ia (~11%), Ib and IIa (~4%), and IIb (~0.2%). Since 2022, multiple mpox outbreaks caused by the previously unrecognized Ib and IIb subclades have led the World Health Organization to declare two Public Health Emergencies of International Concern. Cases are currently increasing in multiple regions of the Americas. This unprecedented global spread and the marked differences in disease severity among MPXV subclades underscore the importance of investigating the pathogenesis of emerging MPXV variants. However, a critical limitation has been the lack of suitable small animal models.

This publication expands on the previously established CAST/EiJ mouse model by evaluating susceptibility to MPXV subclade IIa and IIb infection in both 7- to 8-week-old and 4- to 5-month-old mice. The demonstrated susceptibility of older CAST/EiJ mice to clade IIa infection highlights the utility of this model for evaluating long-term vaccine durability and protective efficacy. In addition, the study describes three novel C57BL/6 mouse models deficient in the interferon-α receptor, interferon-γ receptor, or both receptors for the study of MPXV infection. The study demonstrates that the emerging clade IIb isolate is up to 100,000-fold less virulent than clade IIa isolates. Collectively, these models provide valuable new tools for rapidly investigating the pathogenesis of emerging MPXV subclades and evaluating medical countermeasures, including vaccines.

About Mpox

Mpox is an acute contagious disease caused by the monkeypox virus or MPXV, which is also a member of the orthopoxvirus family. Mpox is emerging as an important zoonotic infection in humans in Central and West Africa. Until 2022, only a few cases of mpox were reported outside of Africa in patients who had been infected while in Africa. Starting in May of 2022, mpox clade II cases spread rapidly in the U.S. and other countries. The World Health Organization (WHO) declared mpox clade IIb to be a public health emergency of international concern (PHEIC). The clade II mpox affects mostly men who have sex with men in the U.S., where it has become endemic. The WHO lifted PHEIC designation for clade Ib. In August 2024, the WHO declared mpox clade Ib to be a PHEIC due to an outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo that spread globally, including to the U.S. clade Ib affects children and adults. Although the WHO has lifted PHEIC designation for clade Ib, mpox continues to spread in Africa, and mutations of the virus are considered by public health experts to be an ongoing threat to be monitored for new epidemic spread.

About TNX-801

TNX-801 (recombinant horsepox virus) is an attenuated, minimally replicative, live virus vaccine based on horsepox in pre-clinical development to prevent mpox and smallpox. TNX-801 is expected to enter a Phase 1 study in 2027 pending FDA clearance of an Investigational New Drug Application (IND). TNX-801 is in the pre-IND stages of development.

Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp.

Tonix Pharmaceuticals* is a fully integrated, commercial-stage biotechnology company focused on central nervous system (CNS) disorders, infectious diseases, immunology conditions, and rare diseases where there exists high unmet medical need. TONMYA® (cyclobenzaprine HCl sublingual tablets 2.8mg), the Company’s flagship internally conceived and developed medicine, is the first new treatment for fibromyalgia in more than 15 years. Tonix’s CNS commercial infrastructure supports its marketed products, including its acute migraine products, Zembrace® SymTouch® (sumatriptan injection 3 mg) and Tosymra® (sumatriptan nasal spray 10 mg). Tonix is extending the science behind TONMYA in Phase 2 clinical studies to evaluate the potential of TNX-102 SL in major depressive disorder and acute stress disorder/acute stress reaction. Tonix is also advancing a pipeline of infectious disease programs, including monoclonal antibody TNX-4800 (anti-OspA mAb) for Lyme disease prevention in the U.S. and TNX-801 (horsepox, live virus vaccine), a vaccine in development for the prevention of mpox and smallpox. Tonix has been awarded a contract with the U.S. DoD’s Defense Threat Reduction Agency (DTRA) for up to $34 million over five years to develop TNX-4200, small molecule broad-spectrum antiviral agents targeting CD45 for the prevention or treatment of infections to improve the medical readiness of military personnel in biological threat environments. Tonix owns and operates a state-of-the art infectious disease research facility in Frederick, Maryland. Within immunology, Tonix is developing TNX-1500 (anti-CD40L mAb), a third-generation CD40 ligand inhibitor for the prevention of kidney transplant rejection. Finally, the Company’s rare disease portfolio includes TNX-2900, which is Phase 2 ready for the treatment of Prader-Willi syndrome. To learn more, visit www.tonixpharma.com.

*Tonix’s product development candidates, including TNX-102 SL for new, unapproved indications, are investigational new drugs or biologics. Their efficacy and safety have not been established and have not been approved for any indication.

Zembrace SymTouch and Tosymra are registered trademarks of Tonix Medicines. TONMYA is a registered trademark of Tonix Pharma Limited. All other marks are property of their respective owners.

Forward-Looking Statements

Certain statements in this press release are forward-looking within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 including those relating to the completion of the offering, the satisfaction of customary closing conditions, the intended use of proceeds from the offering and other statements that are predictive in nature. These statements may be identified by the use of forward-looking words such as “anticipate,” “believe,” “forecast,” “estimate,” “expect,” and “intend,” among others. There are a number of factors that could cause actual events to differ materially from those indicated by such forward-looking statements. These factors include, but are not limited to, risks related to the failure to successfully launch and commercialize TONMYA® and any of our approved products; risks related to the failure to obtain FDA clearances or approvals and noncompliance with FDA regulations; risks related to the timing and progress of clinical development of our product candidates; our need for additional financing; uncertainties of patent protection and litigation; uncertainties of government or third party payor reimbursement; limited research and development efforts and dependence upon third parties; and substantial competition. As with any pharmaceutical under development, there are significant risks in the development, regulatory approval and commercialization of new products. Tonix does not undertake an obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statement. Investors should read the risk factors set in the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025, as filed with the SEC on March 12, 2026, and periodic reports filed with the SEC on or after the date thereof. Tonix does not undertake an obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statement. All of Tonix’s forward-looking statements are expressly qualified by all such risk factors and other cautionary statements. The information set forth herein speaks only as of the date thereof.

Contacts

Deborah Elson (Investors/Media)
Tonix Pharmaceuticals
deborah.elson@tonixpharma.com
investor.relations@tonixpharma.com  

Brian Korb (Investors)
astr partners
(917) 653-5122
brian.korb@astrpartners.com

Andrea Cohen (Media)
Sam Brown Inc.
(917) 209-7163
andreacohen@sambrown.com


FAQ

What did Tonix Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: TNXP) announce about mpox research on July 15, 2026?

Tonix Pharmaceuticals announced a peer-reviewed Journal of Virology publication detailing new mpox animal models and virulence data. According to Tonix, the paper characterizes clade IIb versus clade IIa mpox in mice and supports development of its TNX-801 mpox and smallpox vaccine candidate.

How much less virulent is the 2022 clade IIb mpox strain according to Tonix Pharmaceuticals (TNXP)?

According to Tonix, the 2022 outbreak mpox clade IIb is about 100 to 100,000-fold less virulent than clade IIa in mouse models. This reduced virulence was demonstrated across several murine systems developed at Tonix and described in the July 2026 Journal of Virology publication.

What new mpox animal models did Tonix Pharmaceuticals (TNXP) describe in its July 2026 publication?

Tonix described expanded CAST/EiJ mouse use and three new C57BL/6 models lacking interferon-α receptor, interferon-γ receptor, or both. According to Tonix, these models enable detailed study of mpox virus pathogenesis and rapid evaluation of medical countermeasures, including vaccine candidates such as TNX-801.

How does the new mpox virulence study support Tonix Pharmaceuticals’ TNX-801 vaccine program (TNXP)?

The study provides new murine models and virulence comparisons that can be used to test vaccine protection. According to Tonix, these models help evaluate durability and efficacy of TNX-801, its live attenuated horsepox-based candidate for preventing mpox and smallpox disease in future studies.

What mpox subclade fatality rates did Tonix Pharmaceuticals (TNXP) highlight in the July 2026 announcement?

According to Tonix, reported case fatality rates are about 11% for clade Ia, ~4% for clades Ib and IIa, and ~0.2% for clade IIb. These differences underscore why the company is studying mpox pathogenesis and developing the TNX-801 vaccine platform.

Why are the new mpox mouse models important for Tonix Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: TNXP) and investors?

The models offer tools to study emerging mpox variants and test countermeasures, including vaccines. According to Tonix, susceptibility of older CAST/EiJ mice and new interferon-receptor-deficient C57BL/6 models may support evaluations of long-term vaccine durability and protective efficacy for platforms like TNX-801.