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Specialty insurance rates soften at faster than expected pace, retreating to 2020 pricing levels, WTW survey finds

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WTW (WTW) reports specialty insurance rates softened faster than expected in 2025 and at 1 January 2026 renewals, with the SIMS index retreating to 2020 pricing levels. The survey covers about $250 billion of gross written premium (including $45 billion in 2025) and shows a 10-point index decline, a 5% aggregated rate fall gross of claims trend and an 8% decline net of claims trend.

For 1 January 2026 renewals, 75% of 42 material classes showed rate decreases versus 30% in 2024.

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Positive

  • Survey covers approximately $250 billion gross written premium
  • $45 billion of premium represented in 2025 data
  • SIMS provides client-contributed, insurer-level data for benchmarking

Negative

  • 10-point decline in the SIMS insurance rate index to 2020 levels
  • Aggregated rates down 5% gross of claims trend
  • Aggregated rates down 8% net of claims trend
  • 75% of 42 material classes showed rate decreases at 1 Jan 2026
  • Pronounced rate decreases in Property and Energy, then Marine and Financial Institutions

News Market Reaction – WTW

-2.72%
1 alert
-2.72% News Effect

On the day this news was published, WTW declined 2.72%, reflecting a moderate negative market reaction.

Data tracked by StockTitan Argus on the day of publication.

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LONDON, May 06, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Specialty insurance market rates declined in 2025 and for 1 January 2026 renewals, with the pace of change exceeding expectations in the published forecasts by both brokers and insurers, according to WTW’s Specialty Insurance Marketplace Survey (SIMS).

The WTW survey reflects around $250 billion of gross written premium over a 10-year cycle, including $45 billion in 2025, and covers specialty insurers operating across the London, Bermuda and the U.S. excess and surplus (E&S) markets. Rather than using broker-derived data, the survey is built exclusively on data contributed by clients of WTW’s Insurance Consulting and Technology business that participate directly in SIMS.

Based on the SIMS insurance rate index, expected performance (which is net of exposure trends) in 2025 has unwound the rate strengthening gains of the last few years back to levels last seen in 2021. 2025 was the first year since 2018 for which rate adequacy for new business was lower than for renewal business.

Data from 1 January 2026 renewals and new business point to continued rate softening, with a 10-point decline in the insurance rate index, back to 2020 levels.

Richard Clarkson, Global Market Leader, Global Specialty, WTW, said: “Our intention is to provide insights on Specialty market dynamics that hasn’t been possible before – using market derived data to deliver a consistent view of risk adjusted rate change over a large number of classes and key geographies, aligned to how underwriting teams are organised. Our clients already use this to validate business plans, compare current year rating trends, assess impact of new and renewal rate adequacy and support reserving processes.”

For 1 January 2026 renewals, 75% of the 42 material classes show rate decreases (on a gross-of-claims-trend basis), compared with 30% of classes in 2024. The inclusion of claims trend data within SIMS allows for a more complete picture of expected profitability movements. In particular, the survey shows that aggregated insurance rates decreased by 5% gross of claims trend and 8% net of claims trend (i.e. adjusted for actuarial-estimated inflation in claims costs over and above what is captured in rate change data).

The findings also highlight the speed of recent market movements. An approximate 45% cumulative rate increase was achieved between 2017 and the market peak in 2023, with around half of that increase eroded over the past two years.

The most pronounced rate decreases are in Property and Energy, followed by Marine, Financial Institutions and Professional Liability, reflecting benign catastrophe experience and distorted frequency/severity trends, offset by higher geopolitical tensions.

The general liability and medical malpractice markets are behaving counter-cyclically to the overall insurance markets. Substantial concerns relate to social inflation, nuclear jury verdicts and the expansion of litigation funding in this market. We do not believe this trend is sustainable, but how this might change in the short-term remains uncertain.

Figure 1. Specialty insurance rates across London, Bermuda and the U.S. excess and surplus (E&S) markets declined at a faster than expected pace in 2025.

Willis Towers Watson US LLC

Source: WTW SIMS Insurance Rate Index

SIMS provides a consistent view of rate movements across specialty markets, allowing carriers to assess how conditions evolve across both new business and renewals. The survey’s detailed segmentation provides a level of result granularity for participants not available elsewhere, with the data highlighting the pace at which market conditions are shifting and support more informed benchmarking and performance management.

About the Specialty Insurance Marketplace Survey (SIMS)
The Specialty Insurance Marketplace Survey (SIMS) is a survey dedicated to insurers who underwrite specialty, high volatility and complex (re)insurance in the London, Bermuda and US E&S insurance and reinsurance markets. WTW publishes SIMS twice yearly, with the next update based on H1 2026 results and the July renewal. Please reach out if you would like to participate.

About Insurance Consulting and Technology
WTW’s Insurance Consulting and Technology business is a global leader in P&C, Life, and Health insurance software and advisory services. With over 1,700 colleagues in 35 markets, we combine deep insurance expertise with leading-edge technology to help insurers navigate complexity and unlock value across pricing, underwriting, reserving, financial and capital modelling, claims, portfolio management, and regulatory reporting.

We’re redefining insurance through innovation and technology. By harnessing Generative and Agentic AI, we’re creating next-generation processes that reduce friction, enhance decision-making, and unlock faster, smarter outcomes for our clients. These capabilities accelerate innovation and enable us to deliver with precision and scale.

More than 1,000 insurers across six continents - including many of the world’s leading insurance groups - trust our unique combination of advisory insight and advanced software to help power their businesses and drive sustainable growth.

About WTW

At WTW (NASDAQ: WTW), we provide data-driven, insight-led solutions in the areas of people, risk and capital. Leveraging the global view and local expertise of our colleagues serving 140 countries and markets, we help organisations sharpen their strategy, enhance organisational resilience, motivate their workforce and maximise performance.

Working shoulder to shoulder with our clients, we uncover opportunities for sustainable success—and provide perspective that moves you.

Learn more at wtwco.com.

Media contact
Andrew Collis | andrew@acolliscommunications.com

A photo accompanying this announcement is available at https://www.globenewswire.com/NewsRoom/AttachmentNg/5fd00a48-e9de-484a-b890-bde7823cbd38


FAQ

How much of the market does WTW's SIMS survey cover for the 2025 specialty insurance data (WTW)?

Approximately $250 billion of gross written premium is covered, with $45 billion from 2025. According to WTW, SIMS uses client-contributed data across London, Bermuda and U.S. E&S to measure rate movements.

By how much did specialty insurance rates change in 2025 and at 1 January 2026 renewals for WTW (WTW)?

Aggregated insurance rates declined by 5% gross of claims trend and 8% net of claims trend. According to WTW, the SIMS index fell about 10 points, back to 2020 pricing levels.

Which specialty classes saw the largest rate decreases in WTW's 2025/2026 SIMS survey (WTW)?

Property and Energy showed the most pronounced decreases, followed by Marine, Financial Institutions and Professional Liability. According to WTW, benign catastrophe experience drove much of the softening in these classes.

What proportion of material classes showed rate decreases at 1 January 2026 in WTW's SIMS (WTW)?

For 1 January 2026 renewals, 75% of the 42 material classes showed rate decreases versus 30% in 2024. According to WTW, this reflects faster-than-expected market softening across classes.

Does WTW expect the current softening in specialty insurance rates to continue (WTW)?

WTW notes uncertainty about sustainability, stating some markets are counter-cyclical and affected by social inflation and litigation. According to WTW, short-term direction remains unclear despite recent rapid rate erosion.