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53% of U.S. homes lost value in the past year, the most since 2012

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Zillow (Z) research found 53% of U.S. homes lost value year-over-year as of October 2025, the highest share since April 2012. The national average drawdown from peak is 9.7%, while the median home value has risen 67% since last sale (median ownership ~8.6 years). Only 4.1% of homes are valued below their last sale price and 3.4% of new listings arrive priced under last-sale value. Metro variation is large: Denver, Austin and Dallas show very high shares of homes down, while Providence, Buffalo and Milwaukee show low shares.

This reflects broad regional dispersion: nationwide normalization in values rather than a repeat of Great Recession declines.

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Positive

  • Median value up 67% since last sale
  • Only 4.1% of homes valued below last sale (Oct 2025)
  • 3.4% of new listings priced below last-sale value

Negative

  • 53% of U.S. homes lost value year-over-year (Oct 2025)
  • Average drawdown from peak of 9.7%
  • Share of homes below last sale rose to 4.1% from 2.4% a year ago
  • High metro concentration: Denver 90.6%, Austin 89.5% homes down

News Market Reaction – Z

-0.54%
1 alert
-0.54% News Effect

On the day this news was published, Z declined 0.54%, reflecting a mild negative market reaction.

Data tracked by StockTitan Argus on the day of publication.

But losses since the last sale of homes are rare — owners aren't selling for a loss

  • Most homes have declined in value from their peak, with an average drawdown of 9.7%.
  • Just 4.1% of homes have lost value since their last sale, a smaller share than before the pandemic.
  • Home values are up a median of 67% since last sale nationwide.

SEATTLE, Nov. 17, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- Home values are falling for more than half of U.S. households. New research from Zillow® shows 53% of all U.S. homes have lost value since last year — the highest share since 2012, the tail end of home value declines after the Great Recession. 

But the vast majority of homeowners have seen their home values rise substantially in the time they've owned them — 67% growth at the median — and losses are rare; just over 4% of homes have lost value since they were last sold, a smaller share than before the pandemic. 

National home value appreciation has been flat over the past year, but that average hides peaks and valleys by region, metro, neighborhood and all the way down to the individual property. As of October, 53% of homes have lost value over the past year as measured by their Zestimate® from Zillow. This share has climbed from just 14% a year ago, and is the highest share of homes declining in value since April 2012, when the housing crash was reaching its bottom.

"Homeowners may feel rattled when they see their Zestimate drop, and it's more common in today's cooler market environment than in recent years. But relatively few are selling at a loss," said Treh Manhertz, senior economic researcher at Zillow. "Home values surged over the past six years, and the vast majority of homeowners still have significant equity. What we're seeing now is a normalization, not a crash."

The vast majority of homeowners have plenty to feel good about. Nationwide, the median home value increase since last sale — roughly eight and a half years ago at the median — is 67%. Some fast-growing and supply-constrained metros have seen home values rise much faster since last sale, led by Buffalo (108%), San Jose (97%), Providence (95%), Columbus (90%) and San Diego (88%). One contributing factor is that owners in these areas tend to stay in their homes longer than average.

Still, home value declines can be scary. For most homeowners, their house is their largest asset, and equity built over time is a major part of their long-term saving and retirement plans. Part of financial planning for many includes tracking the value of their home by regularly checking their Zestimate. Seeing that Zestimate hit a peak and then decline can be worrisome. 

Most homes have lost value from their peak, with the average drawdown at 9.7%; that hasn't worsened substantially over the past three years. It is a larger setback than the tiny 3.6% in spring 2022, but about level with pre-pandemic rates, and a far cry from the 27% average drawdown in early 2012. 

However, what really matters is gaining value (or losing it) between sales. In October, 4.1% of homes were valued lower than when they last sold. This share is up from 2.4% last year, but is still lower than the 11.2% of homes in the same position before the pandemic.

The continued lack of homes for sale indicates that the overwhelming majority of sellers are not being forced to sell at a discount. Only 3.4% of new listings coming to market are priced below their last sale price. That's up slightly from 2.1% a year ago, but is still just over half the 2019 rate of 5.9%

Metros that saw some of the fastest growth early in the pandemic and the two most expensive metros have the largest share of listings priced below their last sale, led by San Francisco (14%), Austin (13%), San Jose (9%), San Antonio (8%) and Dallas (7%). 

Providence, Milwaukee and Cincinnati all have less than 1% of new listings priced below their last sale, while 13 other metros across the Northeast, Great Lakes region, South and Midwest have less than 2%

Metro Area*

Share of
Homes That
Lost Value
Year over
Year

Average
Value
Decline
Since Peak

Median
Years
Since Last
Sale

Median
Change in
Value Since
Last Sale

Share of
New Listings
Priced Below
Last Sale
Value

2019 Share of
New Listings
Priced Below
Last Sale
Value

United States

53.0 %

9.7 %

8.6

67.2 %

3.4 %

5.9 %

New York, NY

21.1 %

6.5 %

9.4

68.2 %

2.6 %

10.5 %

Los Angeles,
CA

78.5 %

7.5 %

12.1

84.7 %

2.9 %

2.6 %

Chicago, IL

22.9 %

7.7 %

9.8

54.1 %

2.0 %

13.7 %

Dallas, TX

86.7 %

11.0 %

8.4

50.3 %

6.6 %

2.2 %

Houston, TX

79.6 %

9.5 %

8.8

44.9 %

3.7 %

3.6 %

Washington,
DC

43.2 %

6.0 %

9.4

48.0 %

2.6 %

8.5 %

Philadelphia,
PA

26.5 %

6.5 %

9.5

72.8 %

1.2 %

9.5 %

Miami, FL

75.9 %

11.0 %

9.7

84.6 %

3.3 %

6.3 %

Atlanta, GA

70.4 %

8.6 %

7.7

72.5 %

4.0 %

2.1 %

Boston, MA

20.7 %

4.8 %

9.8

82.4 %

1.1 %

3.0 %

Phoenix, AZ

86.9 %

9.0 %

8.1

78.9 %

5.5 %

2.9 %

San
Francisco, CA

83.0 %

14.8 %

12.1

64.7 %

14.4 %

4.3 %

Riverside, CA

74.3 %

6.5 %

9.8

80.1 %

3.9 %

5.3 %

Detroit, MI

38.1 %

11.1 %

9.8

62.4 %

2.4 %

6.3 %

Seattle, WA

78.4 %

9.5 %

9.2

81.4 %

3.8 %

1.7 %

Minneapolis,
MN

55.4 %

6.6 %

9.2

49.9 %

2.1 %

2.6 %

San Diego, CA

77.8 %

8.2 %

11.1

87.9 %

4.0 %

2.5 %

Tampa, FL

85.2 %

12.0 %

7.9

78.4 %

5.4 %

3.4 %

Denver, CO

90.6 %

9.7 %

8.4

58.9 %

6.3 %

0.6 %

Baltimore,
MD

33.8 %

7.2 %

9.8

48.9 %

2.6 %

16.2 %

St. Louis, MO

38.2 %

10.9 %

8.4

55.3 %

2.8 %

7.0 %

Orlando, FL

85.2 %

8.3 %

8.2

72.4 %

6.5 %

5.6 %

Charlotte, NC

56.8 %

7.1 %

7.6

82.0 %

1.9 %

1.3 %

San Antonio,
TX

86.3 %

13.1 %

8.6

37.4 %

8.1 %

2.2 %

Portland, OR

80.8 %

8.2 %

9.0

57.8 %

6.4 %

2.8 %

Sacramento,
CA

87.5 %

8.7 %

9.6

60.1 %

3.6 %

3.1 %

Pittsburgh,
PA

48.1 %

13.2 %

9.9

69.6 %

1.7 %

4.8 %

Cincinnati,
OH

29.4 %

7.0 %

9.4

82.4 %

0.9 %

4.6 %

Austin, TX

89.5 %

20.5 %

7.6

47.3 %

12.6 %

1.6 %

Las Vegas,
NV

81.2 %

6.8 %

8.4

66.7 %

3.3 %

6.5 %

Kansas City,
MO

46.1 %

7.9 %

8.6

62.9 %

1.6 %

2.5 %

Columbus,
OH

40.9 %

7.5 %

9.5

89.9 %

1.0 %

2.0 %

Indianapolis,
IN

48.7 %

6.5 %

7.2

66.3 %

1.7 %

3.3 %

Cleveland,
OH

21.1 %

7.9 %

10.6

71.5 %

2.0 %

10.4 %

San Jose, CA

78.0 %

10.3 %

12.5

97.2 %

8.9 %

2.2 %

Nashville, TN

65.7 %

7.7 %

7.7

82.8 %

2.6 %

2.5 %

Virginia
Beach, VA

31.4 %

4.6 %

7.1

51.3 %

2.4 %

12.2 %

Providence,
RI

16.3 %

3.6 %

10.2

95.3 %

0.9 %

5.4 %

Jacksonville,
FL

82.7 %

10.7 %

7.0

63.5 %

6.4 %

6.1 %

Milwaukee,
WI

13.5 %

5.4 %

9.4

77.8 %

0.9 %

6.4 %

Oklahoma
City, OK

64.7 %

7.7 %

7.7

55.7 %

1.8 %

2.4 %

Raleigh, NC

67.9 %

6.7 %

7.2

74.8 %

2.7 %

1.9 %

Memphis, TN

68.1 %

9.5 %

9.1

64.9 %

3.6 %

6.5 %

Richmond,
VA

29.0 %

6.3 %

8.1

67.1 %

1.0 %

4.8 %

Louisville, KY

36.6 %

6.2 %

8.3

62.0 %

1.3 %

3.1 %

New Orleans,
LA

54.0 %

15.9 %

9.3

46.4 %

4.9 %

6.0 %

Salt Lake
City, UT

46.5 %

5.4 %

8.8

78.3 %

4.0 %

0.9 %

Hartford, CT

12.7 %

5.7 %

10.9

72.0 %

1.3 %

16.4 %

Buffalo, NY

15.9 %

5.4 %

10.3

107.9 %

2.3 %

1.9 %

Birmingham,
AL

46.5 %

10.7 %

8.0

52.3 %

4.9 %

7.8 %

*Table ordered by market size

About Zillow Group:
Zillow Group, Inc. (Nasdaq: Z and ZG) is reimagining real estate to make home a reality for more and more people. As the most visited real estate app and website in the United States, Zillow and its affiliates help people find and get the home they want by connecting them with digital solutions, dedicated real estate professionals, and easier buying, selling, financing, and renting experiences. 

Zillow Group's affiliates, subsidiaries and brands include Zillow®, Zillow Premier Agent®, Zillow Home Loans℠, Zillow Rentals®, Trulia®, Out East®, StreetEasy®, HotPads®, ShowingTime+℠, Spruce®, and Follow Up Boss®

All marks herein are owned by MFTB Holdco, Inc., a Zillow affiliate. Zillow Home Loans, LLC is an Equal Housing Lender, NMLS #10287 (www.nmlsconsumeraccess.org). © 2025 MFTB Holdco, Inc., a Zillow affiliate.

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SOURCE Zillow

FAQ

What does Zillow's Nov 17, 2025 report say about U.S. home values (Z)?

Zillow reports 53% of U.S. homes lost value year-over-year and a 9.7% average drawdown as of October 2025.

How many U.S. homes are worth less than when they were last sold (Z)?

As of October 2025, 4.1% of homes were valued below their last sale price.

What is the median change in home value since last sale nationwide (Z)?

The median home value increased by 67% since the last sale, with a median ownership length of about 8.6 years.

How common are new listings priced below last-sale value in Oct 2025 (Z)?

About 3.4% of new listings came to market priced below their last sale value.

Which metros had the highest share of homes down year-over-year in Zillow's report (Z)?

High-share metros include Denver 90.6%, Austin 89.5%, Dallas 86.7%.

Does Zillow describe the current housing trend as a crash or normalization (Z)?

Zillow characterizes the trend as a normalization following years of rapid gains, not a repeat of the Great Recession crash.
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