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Zillow's August Market Report shows elevated rates dampen home sales

Zillow’s August data shows weakening home sales, modest inventory gains and rent growth absorbing demand priced out by higher mortgage rates.

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Zillow (Z) reports that August 2026 U.S. home sales fell 0.6% year over year and 10.7% from July amid mortgage rates above 6.5%.

Newly pending listings, a leading demand indicator, declined 2.6% annually, and Zillow expects continued softness in the for-sale market as affordability pressures push demand toward rentals. The typical U.S. home value was $369,678, up 1.3% year over year but down 0.1% month over month, while the estimated monthly mortgage payment on a typical home reached $1,897, 2% higher than a year earlier.

Inventory rose to 1.41 million homes, 3% above last year and 0.2% above July, yet new listings slipped 7.9% from July to 356,934. Rents climbed 2.5% year over year to $1,948, with concessions offered on 39.2% of rental listings, suggesting the rental market is absorbing demand sidelined from buying.

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Market Reaction – Z

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Following this news, Z has declined 5.03%, reflecting a notable negative market reaction. Our momentum scanner has triggered 37 alerts so far, indicating elevated trading interest and price volatility. The stock is currently trading at $32.85.

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Market Context

Zillow's Aug. 20 affordability analysis was followed by a 2.35% 24-hour decline; this report similar...
Analysis

Zillow's Aug. 20 affordability analysis was followed by a 2.35% 24-hour decline; this report similarly documented affordability pressure and weaker housing demand, adding updated sales, pending-listing and rental-market data.

Key Figures

Home sales change: -0.6% YoY Newly pending listings: -2.6% YoY Mortgage rates: Above 6.5% +5 more
Home sales change
-0.6% YoY
August
Newly pending listings
-2.6% YoY
August
Mortgage rates
Above 6.5%
Highest level in a year
Typical home value
$369,678
United States, August
Home value growth
1.3% YoY
United States, August
Monthly mortgage payment
$1,897; 2% higher YoY
Typical U.S. home with 20% down payment
Typical rent
$1,948; 2.5% higher YoY
United States, August
Active inventory
1.41 million homes; 3% higher YoY
United States, August

Historical Context

1 past event · Latest: Aug 20
1 event
  1. Aug 20

    Affordability analysis

    24h Move
    -2.4%

    Reported extended saving and break-even timelines for median-income households versus renting.

24h Move is the share-price change in the day after each event; other market factors may also have contributed.

AI-generated analysis. How Rhea-AI works. Not financial advice.

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Zillow expects continued softness in the for-sale market, with newly pending sales and inventory growth both decelerating as affordability challenges push demand toward rentals

  • Home sales fell 0.6% year over year in August, a deceleration from July's 6% annual gain, according to Zillow's August Market Report.
  • Newly pending listings, a leading indicator of future closings, fell 2.6% year over year in August, extending a rapid deceleration from June's 7.5% annual gain — even as the number of homes for sale continues to climb.
  • The rental market shows signs of absorbing sidelined demand, with rents rising 2.5% year over year, nearly double the rate of home value growth.

SEATTLE, Sept. 8, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Home sales slipped 0.6% year over year in August and fell sharply from July, according to the Zillow® August Market Report. Mortgage rates holding above 6.5% — their highest level in a year — kept many buyers on the sidelines. Newly pending listings, a forward-looking measure of demand, fell 2.6% from a year ago, a sign that the slowdown could continue through the remainder of the year.

Zillow logo

August's closed sales largely reflect contracts signed in July, when elevated rates were already discouraging many would-be buyers. The typical U.S. home value rose 1.3% from a year ago to $369,678, according to the Zillow Home Value Index, and the monthly mortgage payment on the typical home was 2% higher than last year. Rents are climbing, too, up 2.5% year over year to $1,948 nationwide, giving prospective buyers little relief on either side of the rent-versus-own equation. That annual rent growth figure is also reaccelerating, up from 2.3% last month and 2% a year ago, suggesting the rental market is absorbing some of the demand that has shifted away from the for-sale market.

Inventory continues to offer a modest bright spot, with 1.41 million homes for sale nationwide, up 3% from a year ago. But new listings fell 7.9% from July, and the share of listings with a price cut edged up to 26.3% — half a percentage point above last year — a sign that sellers are still having to adjust expectations to meet the market.

"The for-sale housing market took a step back in August, and mortgage rates above 6.5% are the primary culprit," said Mischa Fisher, chief economist at Zillow. "The combination of weak sales and even weaker pending sales points to a soft close to 2026. There are more homes for sale than a year ago, which is good news for buyers who are ready to move, but until rates ease, many households will likely stay on the sidelines a little longer as renting is still the more affordable substitute."

Home Values & Mortgage Payments

  • The typical U.S. home value is $369,678.
  • The Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) fell 0.1% month over month in August. Home values are 1.3% higher than a year earlier.
  • The monthly mortgage payment on a typical U.S. home is $1,897, assuming a 20% down payment and including estimates for taxes, insurance and maintenance. That is 2% higher than last year.

Inventory

  • There were 1.41 million homes for sale nationwide in August.
  • Active inventory was 3% higher than a year earlier. Inventory rose 0.2% from July.
  • New for-sale listings totaled 356,934 in August, up 2.4% from a year earlier and down 7.9% from July.

Sales

  • 339,927 homes were sold in August, according to Zillow's sales count nowcast.
  • That is 0.6% lower than a year earlier, and down 10.7% from July.

Competition

  • Homes took a median of 27 days to go pending in August. That's the same as last year and two days longer than July.
  • The share of listings with a price cut in August was 26.3%. That was up 0.5 percentage points from a year earlier and down 0.8 percentage points from July.
  • 29.6% of homes sold above list price in July, the most recent data available. That was 0.8 percentage points higher than a year earlier and 1.1 percentage points lower than June.

Rents

  • The typical rent nationwide is $1,948, according to the Zillow Observed Rent Index. That's 2.5% higher than a year earlier and up 0.2% from July.
  • 39.2% of rental listings on Zillow offered a concession in August. That's 2.5 percentage points higher than a year earlier and down 0.6 percentage points from July.

Local data can be found on Zillow's market explorer. The Zillow September Market Report is expected to be released October 6.

Zillow August Market Report

Metro Area*

Typical
Home
Value
(ZHVI)

Home
Value
Change:
MoM

Home
Value
Change:
YoY

Inventory
Change:
YoY

Sales
Count
Nowcast 
Change:
YoY

Typical
Rent
(ZORI)

Rent
Change:
MoM

Rent
Change:
YoY

United States

$369,678

-0.1 %

1.3 %

0.2 %

-0.6 %

$1,948

0.2 %

2.5 %

New York, NY

$739,324

0.4 %

5.2 %

-3.5 %

-2.3 %

$3,615

0.2 %

4.2 %

Los Angeles, CA

$957,612

-0.3 %

1.4 %

0.5 %

-2.0 %

$2,941

0.2 %

1.6 %

Chicago, IL

$359,782

0.3 %

5.1 %

-0.4 %

4.9 %

$2,210

-0.1 %

4.9 %

Dallas, TX

$361,463

-0.3 %

-1.9 %

-1.3 %

-2.1 %

$1,659

0.1 %

0.4 %

Houston, TX

$305,386

-0.3 %

-1.8 %

-1.1 %

-4.0 %

$1,643

0.0 %

0.0 %

Washington, DC

$575,362

-0.5 %

0.3 %

-2.6 %

-3.5 %

$2,433

0.2 %

0.8 %

Philadelphia, PA

$390,935

-0.1 %

2.5 %

-0.2 %

-2.7 %

$1,911

0.4 %

3.6 %

Miami, FL

$477,919

0.2 %

0.5 %

-2.6 %

-1.0 %

$2,666

0.2 %

1.6 %

Atlanta, GA

$377,813

-0.4 %

-1.5 %

0.6 %

-0.8 %

$1,853

0.3 %

2.0 %

Boston, MA

$737,482

-0.2 %

2.3 %

-4.2 %

0.1 %

$3,074

-0.7 %

2.4 %

Phoenix, AZ

$442,171

-0.4 %

-1.0 %

-0.9 %

-1.4 %

$1,722

0.1 %

0.7 %

San Francisco, CA

$1,134,525

-0.3 %

3.3 %

-1.1 %

2.5 %

$3,409

1.7 %

10.8 %

Riverside, CA

$583,081

-0.1 %

0.4 %

-0.9 %

-0.7 %

$2,541

0.3 %

2.8 %

Detroit, MI

$267,999

-0.1 %

1.8 %

5.0 %

-1.6 %

$1,524

0.4 %

3.8 %

Seattle, WA

$730,623

-0.8 %

-1.6 %

0.0 %

-6.5 %

$2,278

0.2 %

1.7 %

Minneapolis, MN

$390,396

-0.2 %

1.7 %

1.4 %

4.4 %

$1,719

0.1 %

3.5 %

San Diego, CA

$934,936

-0.4 %

1.0 %

-2.0 %

-6.3 %

$2,994

0.3 %

2.0 %

Tampa, FL

$359,285

-0.1 %

-0.6 %

-1.4 %

2.7 %

$2,001

0.1 %

-0.1 %

Denver, CO

$562,732

-0.5 %

-1.5 %

0.0 %

-1.6 %

$1,922

-0.1 %

-0.6 %

Baltimore, MD

$400,583

-0.4 %

0.4 %

0.2 %

3.7 %

$1,948

0.3 %

2.6 %

St. Louis, MO

$277,084

-0.1 %

3.3 %

-0.5 %

-5.3 %

$1,443

0.2 %

3.9 %

Orlando, FL

$383,656

-0.2 %

-1.4 %

-1.0 %

5.8 %

$1,942

0.0 %

0.7 %

Charlotte, NC

$384,369

-0.4 %

-0.7 %

-1.5 %

-2.4 %

$1,749

0.2 %

1.0 %

San Antonio, TX

$276,834

-0.3 %

-1.8 %

-0.5 %

5.7 %

$1,422

0.2 %

-1.3 %

Portland, OR

$545,374

-0.3 %

0.1 %

-0.4 %

1.4 %

$1,818

0.3 %

0.6 %

Sacramento, CA

$576,967

-0.3 %

0.2 %

-1.3 %

3.5 %

$2,282

0.3 %

1.7 %

Pittsburgh, PA

$232,967

0.1 %

0.3 %

-0.3 %

-6.5 %

$1,469

0.0 %

3.4 %

Cincinnati, OH

$309,495

-0.2 %

2.3 %

-1.8 %

3.7 %

$1,522

0.2 %

2.6 %

Austin, TX

$419,900

-0.5 %

-4.2 %

-3.2 %

2.0 %

$1,622

0.1 %

0.0 %

Las Vegas, NV

$423,354

-0.5 %

-2.8 %

1.8 %

2.1 %

$1,742

-0.3 %

0.1 %

Kansas City, MO

$329,538

0.0 %

3.8 %

-0.5 %

1.7 %

$1,529

0.3 %

3.6 %

Columbus, OH

$331,866

-0.1 %

1.3 %

-0.5 %

6.3 %

$1,521

0.5 %

2.6 %

Indianapolis, IN

$294,343

-0.1 %

1.0 %

2.9 %

-2.7 %

$1,552

0.3 %

3.3 %

Cleveland, OH

$255,245

0.3 %

4.0 %

1.6 %

1.4 %

$1,454

0.3 %

4.5 %

San Jose, CA

$1,544,638

-1.0 %

0.3 %

0.2 %

-5.7 %

$3,815

1.0 %

7.6 %

Nashville, TN

$453,322

-0.2 %

-0.3 %

0.7 %

1.0 %

$1,813

0.2 %

0.8 %

Virginia Beach, VA

$374,765

0.0 %

2.9 %

0.6 %

3.4 %

$1,891

1.0 %

6.6 %

Providence, RI

$528,018

0.1 %

3.7 %

2.3 %

-1.5 %

$2,167

0.1 %

4.3 %

Jacksonville, FL

$351,487

-0.1 %

0.0 %

-2.2 %

-1.0 %

$1,696

0.2 %

1.8 %

Milwaukee, WI

$391,398

0.1 %

5.5 %

-1.4 %

-2.9 %

$1,563

0.3 %

5.0 %

Oklahoma City, OK

$246,105

0.0 %

1.1 %

2.4 %

-4.9 %

$1,388

0.2 %

2.3 %

Raleigh, NC

$431,407

-0.4 %

-1.6 %

-1.4 %

4.7 %

$1,675

0.3 %

0.8 %

Memphis, TN

$244,845

-0.2 %

0.1 %

-0.5 %

0.8 %

$1,400

-0.1 %

1.0 %

Richmond, VA

$396,305

-0.1 %

2.7 %

3.5 %

-3.6 %

$1,729

-0.2 %

2.5 %

Louisville, KY

$280,808

-0.3 %

1.6 %

1.7 %

-0.2 %

$1,348

0.0 %

1.6 %

New Orleans, LA

$261,012

-0.3 %

1.6 %

-0.8 %

-2.7 %

$1,598

0.0 %

1.4 %

Salt Lake City, UT

$562,551

-0.2 %

1.0 %

6.2 %

0.1 %

$1,641

0.1 %

0.5 %

Hartford, CT

$404,670

0.2 %

5.2 %

1.0 %

1.2 %

$2,034

0.3 %

3.2 %

Buffalo, NY

$292,435

0.3 %

3.7 %

5.2 %

-3.8 %

$1,449

0.5 %

3.5 %

Birmingham, AL

$263,461

0.0 %

2.5 %

0.4 %

1.0 %

$1,433

0.8 %

2.0 %

*Table ordered by market size 

Forward-looking statements
This press release includes forward-looking statements about future housing market conditions, mortgage rates, rental trends and other economic factors. These statements are based on current expectations and assumptions, which are subject to change. Actual outcomes may differ materially due to changes in economic and market conditions. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this release, and Zillow Group undertakes no obligation to update them.

About Zillow Group
Zillow Group, Inc. (Nasdaq: Z and ZG) is reimagining real estate to make home a reality for more and more people.

As the most visited real estate app and website in the United States, Zillow connects hundreds of millions of consumers with innovative technology, trusted agents and loan officers, and seamless digital solutions. With industry-leading tools and resources, Zillow supercharges real estate professionals so they can grow their businesses and deliver exceptional client experiences. For renters and housing providers, Zillow offers not only a robust marketplace but a set of end-to-end products and services to streamline applications, leases, payments and more.

Zillow's ecosystem spans the entire home journey — from dreaming and shopping to renting, buying, selling and financing.

Zillow Group's affiliates, subsidiaries and brands include Zillow®, Zillow Premier Agent®, Zillow Home Loans®, Zillow Rentals®, Zillow® New Construction, Trulia®, StreetEasy®, Out East®, HotPads®, Follow Up Boss®, ShowingTime®, dotloop® and Zillow® Closing.

All marks herein are owned by MFTB Holdco, Inc., a Zillow affiliate. Zillow Home Loans, LLC is an Equal Housing Lender, NMLS #10287 (www.nmlsconsumeraccess.org). © 2026 MFTB Holdco, Inc., a Zillow affiliate.

(ZFIN)

Cision View original content to download multimedia:https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/zillows-august-market-report-shows-elevated-rates-dampen-home-sales-302870554.html

SOURCE Zillow, Inc.

FAQ

How did Zillow characterize the outlook for the for-sale housing market for the rest of 2026?

Zillow’s chief economist said the combination of weak closed sales and even weaker newly pending sales points to a “soft close to 2026.” The company expects continued softness in the for-sale market while mortgage rates remain above 6.5%, with many households likely to stay on the sidelines and renting viewed as the more affordable substitute.

What key metrics did Zillow report for August 2026 home values, sales, inventory and rents?

The typical U.S. home value was $369,678, up 1.3% year over year and down 0.1% month over month. Zillow’s sales count nowcast showed 339,927 homes sold, 0.6% below a year earlier and 10.7% below July. There were 1.41 million homes for sale, 3% higher than a year ago, and new listings totaled 356,934, up 2.4% year over year but down 7.9% from July. Typical rent was $1,948, 2.5% higher than a year earlier and 0.2% above July.

What signs did Zillow highlight about pricing dynamics and concessions in August?

Homes took a median of 27 days to go pending, matching last year but two days longer than July. The share of for-sale listings with a price cut was 26.3%, up 0.5 percentage points from a year earlier. On the rental side, 39.2% of listings on Zillow offered a concession, 2.5 percentage points more than a year ago, indicating landlords are using incentives even as rents rise.

Where can readers find local-level housing and rent data from this report?

Zillow directs readers to its market explorer for metro-level data on typical home values, inventory changes, sales count nowcasts and rents. The release also includes a table summarizing key indicators such as month-over-month and year-over-year changes for home values and rents across major U.S. metro areas.

When is Zillow’s next monthly housing market report expected to be released?

The next installment, the Zillow September Market Report, is expected to be released on October 6.

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