Zillow Group Stock Price, News & Analysis

Zillow's latest monthly report reveals a shifting housing market as buyers step back from the peak shopping season. Key findings include:

1. Inventory is growing, up 4% from May to June and 23% above last year's levels.

2. Nearly 1 in 4 sellers (24.5%) cut home prices in June, the highest rate for this time of year since 2018.

3. Home value growth has slowed to 3.2% annually, down from a 2024 peak of 4.6% in March.

4. Affordability remains a challenge, with new mortgages affordable in only 11 of 50 major markets.

5. Competition is easing, especially in Southern markets, with homes typically on the market for 15 days before an offer is accepted.

These trends suggest a market shifting towards more balance between buyers and sellers, though affordability issues persist.

New data from Zillow reveals that while rents remain highest in large coastal markets like New York City, San Francisco, and Boston, the fastest-growing rents are in smaller Northeast and Midwest markets, with Hartford and Cleveland leading the way.

Hartford's rents have surged 7.8% year-over-year, followed by Cleveland at 7.2% and Louisville at 6.8%. Nationally, rents have increased by 3.5% from last year, marking the fastest annual growth since July 2023.

The typical rent in New York City stands at $3,472, with Manhattan's median asking rent at $4,400. San Jose and Boston also feature high typical rents at $3,429 and $3,127, respectively.

These trends are influenced by remote and hybrid work models, which allow renters to opt for more affordable areas, despite occasional commutes to larger cities.

A new analysis by Zillow reveals that to comfortably afford a typical U.S. home, a buyer earning the median income needs to put down $127,750, or 35.4%. This is significantly higher than five years ago when no down payment was necessary due to lower home values and mortgage rates. This increase highlights how the pandemic and rising mortgage rates have affected housing affordability. Around 43% of last year's buyers used financial gifts for their down payments, the highest since 2018. While many U.S. markets remain unaffordable, places like Pittsburgh offer more accessible housing options without a significant down payment.

The U.S. housing shortage has grown to 4.5 million homes in 2022, up from 4.3 million the previous year, exacerbating the housing affordability crisis.

Despite the pandemic-era construction boom, only 1.4 million homes were built in 2022, while 1.8 million new families were formed. This imbalance has driven up home prices, making homeownership increasingly unattainable for many.

Regions with stricter land-use regulations are particularly affected, with fewer people able to afford mortgage payments on typical homes. The Wharton Residential Land Use Regulatory Index highlights that highly regulated markets see persistent housing supply shortages.

In 2023, approximately 1.45 million homes were completed, indicating some progress. Experts advocate for zoning reforms to increase housing density and improve affordability.

The latest Zillow market report reveals a significant increase in home listings, with a 13% rise compared to last year, signaling that homeowners are breaking free from rate lock. However, buyer hesitation persists, leading to a 22% year-over-year increase in inventory. Despite this, inventory remains 34% below pre-pandemic levels. Home value growth has slowed, with typical home values appreciating by 3.9% year-over-year in May, down from 4.4% in April. Zillow forecasts a modest 0.4% increase in home values for 2024, with a 1.4% decline anticipated through May 2025. Market conditions are becoming more favorable for buyers, with nearly 24% of homes for sale receiving price cuts in May. Regional disparities exist, with the West Coast and coastal South seeing the highest increase in new listings. Major Florida markets lead in overall inventory growth due to strong new construction.

Zillow's latest analysis highlights Phoenix as the leading market for new college graduates in 2024. This ranking is based on factors including rent affordability, job prospects, and the number of residents in their twenties. Phoenix's strong job market and generous rental concessions make it the top choice, with graduates expected to spend 34.5% of their median entry-level income on rent. Albuquerque, Colorado Springs, San Antonio, and Portland, Oregon, also make the top five. Conversely, Miami and the New York City metro area rank low due to high rental costs. Des Moines offers the most affordable rents, with graduates spending less than a quarter of their income on rent. Charlotte stands out for offering the highest percentage of rental concessions. Zillow's data aims to help new grads find affordable living options while starting their careers.

The homeownership rate for Black households has grown faster than average since 2019, but remains below the 2004 peak of 49.7%, currently at 46%. Almost 1 in 4 Black mortgage applicants are denied, compared to 1 in 10 white applicants, primarily due to credit history issues. The value of Black-owned homes is significantly lower, contributing to a $3 trillion wealth gap between Black and white families. Zillow is leveraging technology to mitigate these disparities, advocating for changes to credit scoring to include rent payments and making down payment assistance easily accessible.

Despite improvements, the gap in homeownership rates and home values between Black and white households remains substantial, affecting wealth accumulation and financial stability.

Stagwell (STGW) announced a star-studded lineup for Sport Beach 2024, held during the Cannes Lions International Festival of Creativity from June 17-20. NBA's Carmelo Anthony will host the first Wine & Spirits Festival. Participating athletes include Eric Cantona, Karen Carney, Mary Earps, Draymond Green, and DeAndre Hopkins. The event will feature brand partnerships with Gatorade, Kansas City Chiefs, Snapchat, and BOSS. Activities will include pickleball clinics led by Patrick Mouratoglou and a range of podcast recordings. Stagwell aims to merge sports, business, and culture, offering a unique platform for athletes and brands to engage authentically with consumers.

Zillow has released its Fair Housing Classifier as open-source technology to enhance fair housing practices in AI-driven real estate conversations. This tool helps detect and address potential biases in AI outputs, ensuring compliance with fair housing laws. The classifier identifies discriminatory inputs or outputs related to protected characteristics, allowing developers to intervene appropriately. Zillow's commitment to transparency and equity is underscored by making the tool freely accessible on GitHub, encouraging collaboration and improvement. With AI's growing role in housing, this initiative aims to ensure that technology advancements do not compromise equity and fairness in real estate, especially for marginalized groups.

Survey data from Zillow reveals that despite long-standing fair housing laws, discrimination remains prevalent, with 57% of respondents reporting experiences of housing discrimination. The Fair Housing Classifier aims to address these issues by promoting equitable and transparent real estate practices.