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Eversource (NYSE: ES) trims 2026 EPS view after FERC slashes allowed ROE

Filing Impact
(Moderate)
Filing Sentiment
(Neutral)
Form Type
8-K

Rhea-AI Filing Summary

Eversource Energy reports a new federal ruling that lowers its allowed return on equity for New England transmission assets and updates its earnings outlook. The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission set a base ROE of 9.57% and a 12.09% cap for transmission incentives, and may require customer refunds over 18 to 24 months. Eversource expects these ROE changes and related incentives to reduce its 2026 future after-tax earnings by about $70 million. After factoring in the ROE decision and a potential Aquarion sale, the company now targets 2026 non-GAAP earnings of $4.57 to $4.72 per share, implying a midpoint of $4.65. Using this midpoint as a base, Eversource projects long-term earnings per share growth of 5% to 7% annually through 2030 and anticipates growth toward the upper half of that range by 2028. The company is pursuing legal and regulatory options, including a motion for stay, a possible rehearing request, and a potential Section 205 filing to propose updated rates.

Positive

  • None.

Negative

  • FERC ROE reduction cuts earnings: A new 9.57% base ROE and 12.09% incentive cap for New England transmission assets is expected to lower Eversource’s 2026 future after-tax earnings by approximately $70 million, a material headwind for regulated returns.
  • Potential customer refunds: The order addresses possible refunds for prior periods, which, if upheld, would be issued to transmission customers over an 18 to 24‑month period and could add further financial pressure.

Insights

FERC’s ROE cut pressures earnings, but Eversource reaffirms mid‑single‑digit growth targets.

The order setting a 9.57% base ROE and 12.09% incentive cap directly reduces regulated transmission returns for Eversource Energy. Management estimates a roughly $70 million reduction to future after-tax earnings in 2026, which is meaningful for a large regulated utility.

Despite this, Eversource revised 2026 non-GAAP EPS guidance to $4.57–$4.72 per share and still targets long-term earnings growth of 5–7% annually through 2030, using a $4.65 midpoint as the base year. The outlook assumes the potential Aquarion sale, which would reduce 2026 earnings by about $15 million if it closes.

The company plans legal and regulatory responses, including a motion for stay, a rehearing request, and a potential Section 205 filing. Actual financial impact will depend on final FERC outcomes, the treatment and timing of any refunds over 18–24 months, and execution on planned transmission and strategic initiatives.

Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure Disclosure
Material non-public information disclosed under Regulation Fair Disclosure, often investor presentations or guidance.
Item 8.01 Other Events Other
Voluntary disclosure of events the company deems important to shareholders but not covered by other items.
Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits Exhibits
Financial statements, pro forma financial information, and exhibit attachments filed with this report.
Base ROE for New England transmission 9.57% Set by FERC order on March 19, 2026
Maximum ROE for incentives 12.09% FERC cap on transmission incentive ROE
Estimated 2026 earnings impact $70 million Future after-tax earnings reduction from ROE and incentive changes
2026 non-GAAP EPS guidance range $4.57–$4.72 per share Revised outlook incorporating ROE changes and potential Aquarion sale
2026 EPS midpoint $4.65 per share Base year for long-term EPS growth to 2030
Long-term EPS growth target 5–7% annually Expected cumulative earnings per share growth through 2030
Aquarion sale earnings impact $15 million Negative impact on 2026 non-GAAP earnings if sale closes
Refund payment period 18–24 months Timeframe for potential refunds to transmission customers if upheld
Federal Energy Regulatory Commission regulatory
"The recent decision by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) to arbitrarily reduce the return on equity"
A U.S. federal agency that acts like a referee for the large-scale flow and sale of electricity and natural gas across state lines, setting rules, approving rates and licenses, and reviewing major projects and market changes. Investors care because its decisions — on things like transmission rules, pipeline approvals and market structure — can change company profits, project timelines and the price and reliability of energy, similar to how a traffic controller affects delivery routes and costs.
return on equity financial
"establishing a base return on equity (“ROE”) of 9.57% for New England transmission owners"
Return on equity shows how effectively a company uses its shareholders' money to generate profit. It is calculated by dividing the company's net profit by its shareholders' equity, indicating how much profit is earned for each dollar invested by owners. Higher return on equity suggests the company is good at turning investments into earnings, which can be an important factor for investors assessing its profitability and efficiency.
Section 205 filing regulatory
"is also evaluating a Section 205 filing with FERC, which is a formal request under the FPA to change rates"
non-GAAP earnings guidance financial
"Eversource is adjusting its 2026 non-GAAP earnings guidance"
Federal Power Act regulatory
"we believe is inconsistent with the statutory limitations imposed by the Federal Power Act (FPA)"
motion for stay regulatory
"including filing a motion for stay of the order"
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UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

 

FORM 8-K

 

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): March 19, 2026

 

Commission

File Number

Registrant; State of Incorporation

Address; and Telephone Number

I.R.S. Employer

Identification No.

     
001-05324

EVERSOURCE ENERGY

(a Massachusetts voluntary association)

300 Cadwell Drive

Springfield, Massachusetts 01104

Telephone: (800) 286-5000  

04-2147929
     
000-00404

THE CONNECTICUT LIGHT AND POWER COMPANY

(a Connecticut corporation)

107 Selden Street

Berlin, Connecticut 06037-1616

Telephone: (800) 286-5000  

06-0303850
     
001-02301

NSTAR ELECTRIC COMPANY

(a Massachusetts corporation)

800 Boylston Street

Boston, Massachusetts 02199

Telephone: (800) 286-5000

04-1278810
     
001-06392

PUBLIC SERVICE COMPANY OF NEW HAMPSHIRE

(a New Hampshire corporation)

Energy Park

780 North Commercial Street

Manchester, New Hampshire 03101-1134

Telephone: (800) 286-5000  

02-0181050

 

Not Applicable

(Former name or former address, if changed since last report)

 

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

 

¨Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

 

¨Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

 

¨Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

 

¨Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

 

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

 

Registrant Title of each class

Trading

Symbol(s)

Name of each exchange on

which registered

Eversource Energy

Common Shares, $5.00 par value per share

ES New York Stock Exchange

 

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (17 CFR §230.405) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (17 CFR §240.12b-2).

 

 

Emerging growth

company

Eversource Energy ¨
The Connecticut Light and Power Company ¨
NSTAR Electric Company ¨
Public Service Company of New Hampshire ¨

 

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.

 

Eversource Energy ¨
The Connecticut Light and Power Company ¨
NSTAR Electric Company ¨
Public Service Company of New Hampshire ¨

 

 

 

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Document Period End Date 2026-03-19
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THE CONNECTICUT LIGHT_Soliciting material pursuant to ¨
THE CONNECTICUT LIGHT_Pre-commencement communications pursuant ¨
THE CONNECTICUT LIGHT_Pre-commencement communications pursuant ¨
Document Type 8-K
Document Period End Date 2026-03-19
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CIK 0000013372
NSTAR ELECTRIC_Written communications ¨
NSTAR ELECTRIC_Soliciting material pursuant to ¨
NSTAR ELECTRIC_Pre-commencement communications pursuant ¨
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CIK 0000315256
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Section 7 Regulation FD
     
Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure.

 

The recent decision by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) to arbitrarily reduce the return on equity (ROE) for New England transmission owners after more than a decade of uncertainty and inaction will have significant negative impacts for both transmission owners and customers across the region. Following this decision, which we believe is inconsistent with the statutory limitations imposed by the Federal Power Act (FPA), Eversource Energy (NYSE:ES) (the “Company”) is taking legal action to prevent the damaging financial repercussions that would occur from retroactive refunds, including filing a motion for stay of the order.

 

The Company, along with other New England transmission owners, is also evaluating a Section 205 filing with FERC, which is a formal request under the FPA to change rates. FERC used outdated, decade-old data to set the ROE, despite the fact that transmission owners are entitled to earn a just and reasonable rate of return based on current economic conditions.

 

New England urgently needs expanded transmission capacity and modernized infrastructure to support reliability and the integration of additional energy supply, which is essential to addressing energy affordability challenges in the region. This decision would have a devastating impact on those efforts by eroding investor confidence, raising the cost of capital required for vital infrastructure improvements, and risking cascading negative consequences for customers both now and in the decades ahead. Eversource’s ongoing infrastructure investments in the transmission system over the years have delivered significant benefits to customers, including eliminating significant congestion costs that have provided customers with billions of dollars in savings.

 

For more than a decade, FERC’s inaction has created regulatory uncertainty that makes it harder for transmission owners to attract capital and plan necessary long-term investment, putting regional reliability, affordability, and economic growth at risk. If FERC’s retroactive refund order beyond the 15-month statutory limit is upheld, it would signal that rates can be adjusted using decade old data, increasing regulatory risk, raising borrowing costs caused by the likelihood of credit downgrades, and making future transmission projects more expensive—costs ultimately borne by customers.

 

The change in the base ROE, and the related specific transmission incentive adders, is expected to lower Eversource's future after-tax earnings in the aggregate by approximately $70 million for 2026. Taking into account the impacts of the prospective change to the transmission ROE, inclusive of the increased incentive cap as well as the potential Aquarion sale, Eversource is adjusting its 2026 non-GAAP earnings guidance. The Company's revised 2026 non-GAAP guidance includes the impact of the elimination of Aquarion earnings should the sale close this year, which sale was recently approved by PURA. This revised 2026 non-GAAP earnings guidance includes a $15 million negative impact should the Aquarion transaction close, recognizing that approximately 70% of Aquarion's earnings occur in the second half of the year. The Company's revised 2026 non-GAAP earnings guidance is now expected to be in the range of $4.57 per share and $4.72 per share. The Company also expects that its cumulative long-term earnings per share growth rate would be within the range of 5 to 7 percent through 2030, using the adjusted 2026 non-GAAP earnings guidance mid-point of $4.65 per share as the base year. The Company expects annual earnings growth towards the upper half of its long-term guidance by 2028. 

 

 

 

 

The information contained in this Item 7.01 shall not be deemed “filed” with the Securities and Exchange Commission, nor incorporated by reference in any registration statement filed by the Company or any subsidiary thereof under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, unless specified otherwise.

 

Forward-Looking Statements

 

This document includes statements concerning Eversource Energy’s expectations, beliefs, plans, objectives, goals, strategies, assumptions of future events, future financial performance or growth and other statements that are not historical facts, including leverage targets and earnings objectives and expectations about closing the transaction and the timing thereof. These statements are “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of U.S. federal securities laws. Generally, readers can identify these forward-looking statements through the use of words or phrases such as “estimate,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “intend,” “plan,” “project,” “believe,” “forecast,” “would,” “should,” “could” and other similar expressions. Forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results or outcomes to differ materially from those included in the forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are based on the current expectations, estimates, assumptions or projections of management and are not guarantees of future performance. These expectations, estimates, assumptions or projections may vary materially from actual results. Accordingly, any such statements are qualified in their entirety by reference to, and are accompanied by, the following important factors that may cause our actual results or outcomes to differ materially from those contained in our forward-looking statements, including, but not limited to cyber events or breaches, including acts of war or terrorism, affecting our systems or the systems of third parties on which we rely; unauthorized access to, and the misappropriation of, confidential and proprietary Company, customer, employee, financial or system operating information; actions or inaction of local, state and federal regulatory, public policy and taxing bodies; changes in laws, regulations, Presidential executive orders or regulatory policy, including compliance with laws and regulations, which may impact the cost of compliance and strategic initiatives of the Company; adverse publicity, which can harm our reputation, influence legislative and regulatory bodies, and result in unfavorable outcomes; variability in the costs and final investment returns of the Revolution Wind and South Fork Wind offshore wind projects as it relates to the purchase price post-closing adjustment under the terms of the sale agreement for these projects; the ability to qualify for investment tax credits; extreme weather, including severe storms, due to the impacts of climate change, and fluctuations in weather patterns; adequacy, contamination of, or disruption in, our water supplies; physical attacks or grid disturbances that may damage and disrupt our electric transmission and electric, natural gas, and water distribution systems; ability or inability to commence and complete our major strategic development projects and opportunities; breakdown, failure of, or damage to operating equipment, information technology systems, or processes of our transmission and distribution systems; changes in levels or timing of capital expenditures, including unplanned expenditures and increased capital expenditure requirements; changes in business conditions, which could include disruptive technology or development of alternative energy sources related to our current or future business model; substandard performance of third-party suppliers and service providers, or counterparties not meeting their obligations; limits on our access to, or increases in, the cost of capital, including disruptions in the capital markets or other events that make our access to necessary capital more difficult or costly; changes in economic conditions, including impact on interest rates, tax policies, tariffs and customer demand and payment ability; changes in accounting standards and financial reporting regulations; actions of rating agencies; and other presently unknown or unforeseen factors.

 

 

 

 

Other risk factors are detailed in Eversource Energy’s reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). They are updated as necessary and available on Eversource Energy’s website at www.eversource.com and on the SEC’s website at www.sec.gov. All such factors are difficult to predict and contain uncertainties that may materially affect Eversource Energy’s actual results, many of which are beyond our control. You should not place undue reliance on the forward-looking statements, as each speaks only as of the date on which such statement is made, and, except as required by federal securities laws, Eversource Energy undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statement or statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date on which such statement is made or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events.

 

Section 8 Other
     
Item 8.01  Other.

 

On March 19, 2026, the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (“FERC”) issued an order establishing a base return on equity (“ROE”) of 9.57% for New England transmission owners and a maximum ROE for transmission incentives of 12.09%.

 

Eversource Energy (the “Company”), together with other New England transmission owners, is evaluating legal and regulatory responses to the order, including the filing of a request for rehearing and a motion for stay. The Company and other transmission owners are also evaluating a potential filing under Section 205 of the Federal Power Act to propose updated rates.

 

The FERC order also addresses the potential for refunds relating to prior periods. Should such refunds be upheld, such required refunds to transmission customers would be issued over an 18 to 24-month period in coordination with other New England transmission owners and ISO New England, and with FERC’s approval.

 

Section 9 Financial Statements and Exhibits
     
Item 9.01  Financial Statements and Exhibits.

 

Exhibit
Number
  Description
104   Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document).

 

 

 

 

SIGNATURE

 

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrants have duly caused this report to be signed on their behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

 

  EVERSOURCE ENERGY
THE CONNECTICUT LIGHT AND POWER COMPANY
NSTAR ELECTRIC COMPANY

PUBLIC SERVICE COMPANY OF NEW HAMPSHIRE
(Registrants)
   
March 31, 2026 By: /s/ Jay S. Buth
    Jay S. Buth
    Vice President, Controller and Chief Accounting Officer

 

 

 

FAQ

How does the new FERC ROE order affect Eversource Energy (ES)?

The FERC order sets a 9.57% base return on equity and a 12.09% incentive cap for New England transmission, which Eversource expects will reduce its 2026 future after-tax earnings by about $70 million, directly pressuring regulated transmission profitability and overall earnings power.

What new 2026 earnings guidance did Eversource Energy (ES) provide?

Eversource now expects 2026 non-GAAP earnings of $4.57 to $4.72 per share. This range incorporates the impact of the lower transmission ROE, incentive changes, and the potential Aquarion sale, which management estimates would reduce 2026 earnings by about $15 million if the transaction closes.

How will the potential Aquarion sale impact Eversource Energy (ES) earnings?

The revised 2026 non-GAAP EPS guidance includes a roughly $15 million negative impact if the Aquarion sale closes. Management notes about 70% of Aquarion’s earnings occur in the second half of the year, so closing timing meaningfully influences the year’s contribution and resulting earnings profile.

What long-term earnings growth does Eversource Energy (ES) project?

Using the adjusted 2026 non-GAAP EPS midpoint of $4.65 as a base, Eversource expects cumulative long-term earnings per share growth between 5% and 7% annually through 2030, and anticipates annual earnings growth moving toward the upper half of that range by 2028.

Could Eversource Energy (ES) be required to issue customer refunds under the FERC order?

The order addresses potential refunds for prior periods that, if ultimately upheld, would be issued to transmission customers over an 18 to 24‑month period, coordinated with other New England transmission owners and ISO New England, and subject to Federal Energy Regulatory Commission approval.

Filing Exhibits & Attachments

4 documents
Eversource Energ

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