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The Progressive Corporation (NYSE: PGR) outlines 2026–2027 catastrophe reinsurance and dividend

(Moderate)
(Neutral)
Form Type
8-K

Rhea-AI Filing Summary

The Progressive Corporation declared a quarterly common share dividend of $0.10 per share, payable on October 9, 2026 to shareholders of record on October 1, 2026. The company also provided a detailed overview of its 2026–2027 catastrophe reinsurance program for Property and certain business owners property business.

The Property per Occurrence excess-of-loss program running from June 1, 2026 to May 31, 2027 carries a $300 million retention for the first event outside Florida and $75 million in Florida, with coverage limits of $2.19 billion for a first Florida event and $1.85 billion for a first event elsewhere. Florida Hurricane Catastrophe Fund contracts are expected to provide $112.6 million of indemnification above a $71.7 million retention, and a Florida-only layer adds $225 million of coverage above a $75 million retention.

Additional layers, including catastrophe bonds via Bonanza Re Ltd and aggregate excess-of-loss protection, provide hundreds of millions of dollars of capacity, while catastrophe modeling as of March 31, 2026 estimates gross probable maximum losses up to $2,786 million for a 1-in-1,000-year event before reinsurance.

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Filing Explained

Progressive has placed catastrophe protection for 2026–2027, but coverage remains conditional on retentions, event sequence, and contract terms.

The company reports that it completed placement of its 2026–2027 property catastrophe per-occurrence reinsurance program, effective June 1, 2026, so the disclosed change is protection against specified catastrophe losses rather than a completed loss payment or cash proceeds.

The coverage generally responds only after stated retention thresholds: $300 million for the first event outside Florida and $75 million for the first Florida event, with stated limits of $1.85 billion and $2.19 billion, respectively. The program combines traditional reinsurance, catastrophe bonds, and Florida Hurricane Catastrophe Fund coverage.

Separately, the annual aggregate program provides $237.5 million of coverage above a $550 million aggregate retention for qualifying PCS events, plus $62.5 million above a $750 million retention; qualifying losses also face per-occurrence thresholds.

The report also discloses a 2026 boat catastrophe program with $150 million of named-windstorm coverage above a $225 million retention, while stating that Progressive does not reinsure personal auto outside regulated programs discussed in its 2025 Form 10-K.

Coverage for a second or later covered event depends on the earlier event’s location and loss extent and on available reinstatement limits, making the contract terms and the May 31, 2027 end of the per-occurrence period the relevant resolution points.

The modeled gross property and BOP loss estimate is as of March 31, 2026; the report states that actual losses could materially differ, with further risk discussion in the 2025 Form 10-K.

Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure Disclosure
Material non-public information disclosed under Regulation Fair Disclosure, often investor presentations or guidance.
Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits Exhibits
Financial statements, pro forma financial information, and exhibit attachments filed with this report.
Quarterly dividend $0.10 per share Declared August 7, 2026; payable October 9, 2026 to shareholders of record October 1, 2026
Florida first-event limit $2.19 billion Property per Occurrence XOL coverage limit for first event in Florida, net of retention
Non-Florida first-event limit $1.85 billion Property per Occurrence XOL coverage limit for first event outside Florida, net of retention
Florida Hurricane Catastrophe Fund coverage $112.6 million Estimated indemnification (90% of $125.1 million) above a $71.7 million retention for qualifying hurricanes
Florida-only XOL coverage $225 million Coverage in excess of a $75 million retention after FHCF coverage, June 1, 2026 – May 31, 2027
Aggregate XOL Layer 1+2 $237.5 million All-perils aggregate coverage above a $550 million aggregate retention for PCS events in 2026
1-in-1,000-year gross PML $2,786 million Modeled Property and BOP loss before reinsurance at 0.1% annual exceedance probability as of March 31, 2026
Boat product XOL coverage $150 million Named windstorm coverage for special lines boat product above a $225 million per-event retention in 2026
excess of loss financial
"The Property per Occurrence XOL program provides excess of loss protection for personal property"
A form of reinsurance where a reinsurer pays the portion of an insured loss that exceeds the primary insurer’s retained amount, up to a set limit. Think of it as an umbrella that kicks in only when a claim is bigger than what the original insurer can comfortably cover. Investors care because it reduces an insurer’s exposure to large, unexpected payouts and affects capital needs, profit stability and underwriting risk.
catastrophe bond financial
"comprised of privately placed reinsurance, reinsurance placed through catastrophe bond transactions"
A catastrophe bond is a type of bond sold by insurers or reinsurers that lets investors take on the financial risk of a specified natural disaster in exchange for higher interest payments; if the disaster happens, investors can lose part or all of their initial investment to cover insurer losses. It matters to investors because these bonds can pay attractive returns and behave differently from stocks and bonds, offering portfolio diversification—but they carry the real chance of a sudden, large loss, like collecting premium for an insurance policy that pays out if a house in a risky neighborhood burns down.
Florida Hurricane Catastrophe Fund financial
"coverage obtained through the Florida Hurricane Catastrophe Fund (FHCF)"
A state-run insurance backstop that helps pay a portion of insured hurricane losses in Florida by reimbursing private insurers after major storms. It acts like a shared emergency reserve or communal safety net: by absorbing some of the biggest payouts, it helps keep insurance companies solvent, limits sudden premium spikes for homeowners, and affects the financial exposure and regulatory risk that investors face when owning insurance companies or related bonds.
Reinstatement Premium Protection financial
"Reinstatement Premium Protection (RPP) Provides coverage for any additional premium"
quota-share reinsurance financial
"Commercial Lines business uses quota-share reinsurance agreements for TNC and certain BOP"
probable maximum loss financial
"Gross PML ($M) shows the probability modeled loss will equal or exceed the amount"
An estimate of the largest loss a company, project, or portfolio is likely to suffer from a single plausible adverse event, such as a natural disaster, major accident, or market shock. For investors it signals how much capital, insurance, or reserves may be needed to withstand a severe but realistic hit—like estimating the most damage a storm could cause to your house—helping assess downside risk and financial resilience.

AI-generated analysis. How Rhea-AI works. Not financial advice.

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FAQ

What dividend did The Progressive Corporation (PGR) declare on August 7, 2026?

The Progressive Corporation declared a $0.10 per share quarterly common share dividend, payable on October 9, 2026 to shareholders of record on October 1, 2026, as approved by its Board of Directors.

How is Progressive (PGR) protected against major catastrophe losses in 2026-2027?

Progressive’s Property per Occurrence program has retentions of $300 million outside Florida and $75 million in Florida, with first-event coverage limits of $2.19 billion in Florida and $1.85 billion elsewhere, supplemented by cat bonds and aggregate covers.

What reinsurance support does Progressive (PGR) receive from the Florida Hurricane Catastrophe Fund?

Florida Hurricane Catastrophe Fund contracts are expected to provide $112.6 million in coverage (90% of $125.1 million) above a $71.7 million retention for qualifying Property hurricane losses, benefiting both Florida-only and nationwide per occurrence layers.

What are Progressive’s (PGR) modeled catastrophe loss estimates before reinsurance?

As of March 31, 2026, modeled gross probable maximum losses for Property and BOP exposures range from $928.5 million at a 1-in-50-year event to $2,786 million at a 1-in-1,000-year event, before applying reinsurance, including allocated loss adjustment expenses.

What aggregate catastrophe reinsurance does Progressive (PGR) have for 2026?

For 2026, Progressive’s aggregate program provides $237.5 million of all-perils coverage above a $550 million aggregate retention and an additional $62.5 million above a $750 million retention, both subject to per-occurrence deductibles and qualifying layers.

How does Progressive (PGR) reinsure its commercial workers’ compensation exposures?

Progressive uses excess-of-loss and catastrophe reinsurance for workers’ compensation, reinsuring portions of losses up to $38 million per occurrence, subject to a $2 million retention and a $20 million maximum one-life sublimit under the program.
FalsePROGRESSIVE CORP/OH/000008066100000806612026-08-072026-08-07

UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported) August 7, 2026

 
THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
Ohio001-0951834-0963169
(State or other jurisdiction of
incorporation)
(Commission File Number)(IRS Employer
Identification No.)
300 North Commons Blvd., Mayfield Village, Ohio44143
(Address of principal executive offices)(Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code (440) 461-5000
Not Applicable
(Former name or former address, if changed since last report.)
 
 

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)
Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:
Title of each classTrading Symbol(s)Name of each exchange on which registered
Common Stock, $1.00 Par ValuePGRNew York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).
Emerging growth company

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ¨





Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure.

On August 7, 2026, The Progressive Corporation’s (the “Company”) Board of Directors declared the Company’s quarterly common share dividend in the amount of ten cents ($0.10) per share, payable on October 9, 2026, to shareholders of record on October 1, 2026.

On August 10, 2026, the Company released a report on its Catastrophe Reinsurance Program providing an overview of the Company’s reinsurance practices (the “Report”). A copy of the Report is attached hereto as Exhibit 99. The Report, as well as similar reports the Company may issue in the future, may be accessed through the Company’s Investor Relations website at investors.progressive.com. The content of our Investor Relations website is not incorporated by reference in, and does not form part of, this Current Report on Form 8-K.

The information in this Item 7.01 and the Report is furnished and not filed pursuant to General Instruction B.2 of Current Report on Form 8-K and shall not be incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, except as may be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.

Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d) Exhibits

See exhibit index on page 3.
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SIGNATURES


    Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Date: August 10, 2026
                            THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION



                            By: /s/ Carl G. Joyce                     
                            Name: Carl G. Joyce
                        Title: Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer



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EXHIBIT INDEX

Exhibit No. Under Reg. S-K Item 601Form 8-K Exhibit No.
Description
9999
The Progressive Corporation’s Report on Catastrophe Reinsurance Program, dated August 2026
104104Cover Page Interactive Data File (the cover page tags are
embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

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Catastrophe Reinsurance Program

This report is to help interested stakeholders better understand our reinsurance program and how it affects the financial results of The Progressive Corporation and our wholly owned subsidiaries and affiliates in which we have a controlling financial interest; collectively referred to as Progressive, we, or our. We offer this report as an overview of our reinsurance practices. It is not intended to be, nor is it, a comprehensive examination of our practices. For a further discussion of our reinsurance program and outcomes, please refer to our periodic reports that are publicly filed with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC"). Our reinsurance programs support our overall exposure management strategy, in alignment with our corporate risk management and risk appetite, to limit volatility primarily caused by the unpredictability of losses related to severe weather.
Progressive evaluates its reinsurance programs during the renewal process, if not more frequently, to ensure our programs continue to effectively address the company’s risk exposure and tolerance. Progressive will continue to assess its need and ability to assume more risks with the availability and costs of various types of reinsurance contracts.
Progressive does not reinsure its personal auto business outside of the regulated programs discussed in our Annual Report on Form 10-K filed with the SEC for the year ended December 31, 2025.

2026 - 2027 Property Catastrophe Reinsurance Program

Progressive completed placement of its 2026-2027 Property Catastrophe per Occurrence Reinsurance program, which renewed June 1, 2026. Progressive also renewed its annual Property Catastrophe Aggregate Reinsurance program January 1, 2026.

The Property Catastrophe Reinsurance Program provides excess of loss protection for personal property (Property) and for certain business owners property (BOP) business, for losses related to catastrophe events, including but not limited to hurricanes, severe convective storms, named storms, fire following earthquakes, severe winter weather, and wildfires. The program is designed to reduce overall risk while, to the extent of coverage purchased, protecting capital from the costs associated with catastrophic events. This program includes contracts that cover single and multi-year periods with both traditional reinsurers and insurance-linked securities (ILS) markets.


Property per Occurrence Excess of Loss (XOL) Program
The Property per Occurrence XOL program, which covers losses occurring during the period from June 1, 2026, through May 31, 2027, supports the goal of maintaining adequate capital and is comprised of privately placed reinsurance, reinsurance placed through catastrophe bond transactions, and coverage obtained through the Florida Hurricane Catastrophe Fund (FHCF). The Property per Occurrence XOL program has a retention threshold of $300 million of losses and allocated loss adjustment expenses (ALAE) for the first event outside of Florida and $75 million for the first event in Florida. Coverage limits, net of retention but including the shared limit coverage discussed below, are $2.19 billion for a first event in Florida and $1.85 billion for a first event outside of Florida.


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Coverage for a second event (and, potentially, for subsequent covered events) under the Property per Occurrence XOL program would depend on several factors, including the location and the extent of covered losses of the earlier events in the contract period. Portions of our program include reinstatement limits providing coverage for subsequent events. Some portions of our Property per Occurrence XOL program have an obligatory reinstatement of coverage. Reinstatement premiums would have no effect on our results of operations since, per our contracts, we have separate reinsurance to cover these situations.

Florida-Only XOL Layer
Provides $225 million of coverage in excess of a $75 million retention threshold and after FHCF coverage.
Effective: June 1, 2026 - May 31, 2027
Reinstatement: None

FHCF contracts provide an estimated $112.6 million (90% of $125.1 million) in excess of a $71.7 million retention of indemnification for qualifying Property losses caused by National Hurricane Center declared hurricanes.
Reimburses ultimate net loss plus up to 10% of
loss adjustment expenses that are in excess of the retention
Inures to the benefit of both the Florida-Only XOL layer and
the nationwide Property per Occurrence XOL Program
reinsurancegraphic.jpg
Reinstatement: None

Layers 1-3: Single-Year and Multi-Year per Occurrence XOL
Reinsures Property and BOP business against losses and ALAE arising from perils including, but not limited to, hurricane, windstorm, severe convective storm, hail, tornado, fires following earthquakes, and wildfire.
Effective: June 1, 2026 with a combination of single-year and multi-year agreements
Reinstatement: Layers 1-3 each have one reinstatement with no additional reinstatement premium owed due to pre-paid reinstatement and/or reinstatement premium protection (RPP).

Layer 1 provides $150 million of coverage in excess of $300 million with a combination of single-year and two-year agreements effective 6/1/2026 with portions of limit expiring 6/1/2027 and 6/1/2028.

Layer 2 provides $250 million of coverage in excess of $450 million with a combination of single-year and multi-year agreements effective 6/1/2026 with portions of limit expiring 6/1/2027, 6/1/2028, and 6/1/2029.

Layer 3 provides $350 million of coverage in excess of $700 million with a combination of single-year and multi-year agreements effective 6/1/2026 with portions of limit expiring 6/1/2027, 6/1/2028, and 6/1/2029.
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Layers 4-6: Single-Year and Multi-Year per Occurrence XOL & Multi-Year Cat Bonds
Reinsures Property and BOP business against losses and ALAE arising from perils including, but not limited to, hurricane, windstorm, severe convective storm, hail, tornado, fires following earthquakes, and wildfire.
Layers 4-6 cascade down to attach at $1.05 billion depending on various potential scenarios involving multiple loss events.
Reinstatement: None

Layer 4 Bonanza Re Ltd 2024-1 Class C Cat bond, provides $200 million of coverage in excess of $1.05 billion.
Effective: June 1, 2026 – May 31, 2027

Layer 5 provides $400 million of coverage in excess of $1.05 billion with a combination of single-year and multi-year agreements effective 6/1/2026 with a portion of limit expiring 6/1/2027, 6/1/2028, and 6/1/2029.

Layer 6 comprises a combination of Cat Bond, single-year, and multi-year traditional reinsurance agreements.
Layer 6.A, Bonanza Re Ltd Series 2024-1 Class B Cat Bond, provides $75 million (22.73% of $330 million) of coverage in excess of $1.05 billion. Effective: June 1, 2026 – May 31, 2027.
Layer 6.B provides $255 million (77.27% of $330 million) of coverage in excess of $1.05 billion and is comprised of a combination of single-year and multi-year agreements effective 6/1/2026 with portions of limit expiring 6/1/2027, 6/1/2028, and 6/1/2029.

Top Layer and Aggregate Shared Limit
Included in the Property per Occurrence XOL Program is shared limit coverage “Top & Aggregate” layer that provides $175 million of limit for named storms. This reinsurance agreement has two coverage parts which can, depending on the circumstances, provide additional coverage for a significant covered event, or provide coverage for aggregate losses under our Occurrence XOL retention.
Effective: January 1, 2026 – December 31, 2026
Coverage A: Occurrence layer provides per occurrence coverage of $175 million in excess of $1.05 billion
Coverage B: Aggregate layer provides $175 million of coverage in excess of a $335 million retention with a $280 million in excess of $20 million per event qualifying layer
Limit provided by Coverage A and B is shared
Reinstatement: None

Reinstatement Premium Protection (RPP)
Provides coverage for any additional premium due to reinstate limit because of a loss ceded to Layers 1-3 of Property per Occurrence XOL Program. This coverage eliminates reinstatement premium exposure following a ceded catastrophe loss to Layers 1-3.







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Property Aggregate XOL Program
The Aggregate XOL Program provides multiple layers of coverage for Property and BOP catastrophe losses and ALAE on an annual basis.

Layer 1 and 2 Aggregate XOL
Provides $237.5 million of all perils aggregate coverage against ISO Property Claim Services (PCS) events in excess of an aggregate retention of $550 million.
Effective: January 1, 2026 – December 31, 2026
Layer 1: $112.5 million of total coverage, net of retention
Layer 2: $125 million of total coverage, net of retention, through Bonanza Re Ltd Series 2025-1 Class A bonds
Qualifying Layer: Before each loss could be considered for aggregation, a per occurrence deductible of $20 million and retention limit, net of the per occurrence deductible, of $280 million applies.

Layer 3 Aggregate XOL
Provides $62.5 million of all perils aggregate coverage against PCS events in excess of an aggregate retention of $750 million.
Effective: January 1, 2026 – December 31, 2026
Qualifying Layer: Before each loss could be considered for aggregation, a per occurrence deductible of $20 million and retention limit, net of the per occurrence deductible, of $280 million applies.

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Other Reinsurance

Additional Personal Lines Reinsurance
Beginning in 2026, we have an occurrence XOL program covering our special lines boat product, which provides coverage from January 1, 2026, through December 31, 2026. This program provides $150 million of coverage for named windstorms in excess of a $225 million per event retention. The boat XOL program includes reinstated limits providing coverage for subsequent events.

Commercial Lines Program
The reinsurance program for our Commercial Lines business is designed to help manage certain additional exposures in our transportation network company (TNC), BOP, and workers’ compensation products. Our Commercial Lines business uses quota-share reinsurance agreements for TNC and certain BOP product coverages. We also utilize XOL reinsurance agreements for workers’ compensation, which reinsure a portion of loss above a retention threshold. Under each agreement, we cede a portion of premiums, losses, and, in most cases, loss adjustment expenses.
For workers’ compensation products, we have a combination of XOL and catastrophe coverage up to $38 million per occurrence, pursuant to a $20 million maximum one-life sublimit, excess a $2 million retention.

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For our TNC product, the amounts retained vary by state and cost-sharing agreements are in place with companies owned by the TNC company. Recoverable balances under these arrangements are required by our contracts to be collateralized (i.e., secured by assets held by an independent third party or a letter of credit issued by a commercial bank) at a target of over 100% of the recoverable balance.


Catastrophe Modeling

The extent of insured losses from a catastrophe event is a function of our total insured exposure in the area affected by the event, the nature, severity, and duration of the event, and the extent of reinsurance that we have obtained with respect to such an event. We use various analyses and methods, including proprietary and third-party catastrophe modeling, to help estimate our exposure to such events to price our products, estimate our losses arising from catastrophe events, and inform our reinsurance strategy. We model various catastrophic perils, with hurricane being our portfolio’s most significant natural catastrophe peril.

The following table shows the probability that modeled loss for Property and BOP exposures, from a single catastrophic event in a one-year timeframe, will equal or exceed the indicated loss amount (including allocated claim adjustment expenses and gross of tax) for a range of return periods prior to the application of reinsurance.


Likelihood of Exceedance
Return Period
Gross PML ($M)
2 %
1 in 50 yr.
928.5
1 %
1 in 100 yr.
1,325
0.4 %
1 in 250 yr.
1,798
0.1 %
1 in 1,000 yr.
2,786

These estimated loss amounts are as of March 31, 2026. The modeled loss amounts are based on the occurrence exceedance probability for hurricane wind, severe convective storm, winter storm, earthquake fire following, and wildfire perils from a commercially available vendor model. The loss amounts contemplate impacts of historical losses, exposure change, inflation, and modeling updates based on recent trends and scientific analysis.

Catastrophe modeling is subject to significant uncertainty and relies on a significant amount of judgement regarding experience, exposure, scientific engineering, history, and other assumptions that limit their reliability and predictive value. Those tools are based on historical data and other assumptions that limit their reliability and predictive value. Actual losses could materially differ from the indicated threshold loss. See Item 1A, Risk Factors in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025 for a discussion of certain risks related to catastrophe events.












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About Progressive
Progressive Insurance® makes it easy to understand, buy and use car insurancehome insurance, and other protection needs. Progressive offers choices so consumers can reach us however it's most convenient for them — online at progressive.com, by phone at 1-800-PROGRESSIVE, via the Progressive mobile app, or in-person with a local agent.

Progressive provides insurance for personal and commercial autos and trucks, motorcycles, boats, recreational vehicles, and homes; it is a leading seller of personal auto, commercial auto, motorcycle, and boat insurance, and one of the top 15 homeowners insurance carriers in the United States.

Founded in 1937, Progressive continues its long history of offering shopping tools and services that save customers time and money, like Name Your Price®, Snapshot®, and HomeQuote Explorer®.

The Common Shares of The Progressive Corporation, the Mayfield Village, Ohio-based holding company, trade publicly at NYSE: PGR.


Safe Harbor Statement Under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995: Investors are cautioned that certain statements in this report not based upon historical fact are forward-looking statements as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements often use words such as “estimate,” “expect,” “intend,” “plan,” “believe,” “goal,” “target,” “anticipate,” “will,” “could,” “likely,” “may,” “should,” and other words and terms of similar meaning, or are tied to future periods, in connection with a discussion of future operating or financial performance. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance, are based on current expectations and projections about future events, and are subject to certain risks, assumptions, and uncertainties that could cause actual events and results to differ materially from those discussed herein. For a discussion of the risks, assumptions, uncertainties, and other important factors that could cause actual events and results to differ materially from those discussed in this report, see our most recent reports and other documents filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, including, without limitation, the Risk Factors section of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ending December 31, 2025. Any forward-looking statements are made only as of the date presented. Except as required by applicable law, we undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or developments or otherwise.

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Filing Exhibits & Attachments

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