Prairie Operating (NASDAQ: PROP) Q1 loss but strong EBITDA guidance
Prairie Operating Co. reported sharply higher first-quarter 2026 activity, with total revenues of $83.4 million and production of 2,086 MBoe, or 23,182 Boe per day, driven by oil-weighted output from the DJ Basin. Despite this, the company posted a net loss attributable to common stockholders of $174.4 million, largely reflecting a $177.1 million loss on derivatives and a $31.9 million non-cash loss from fair value adjustments on embedded derivatives, debt, and warrants.
Operationally, Prairie drilled 17 wells across two pads, delivered all wells below budget with average savings exceeding $100,000 per well, and achieved Adjusted EBITDA of $37.2 million versus $5.2 million a year earlier. Liquidity stood at about $113.5 million as of March 31, 2026, supported by a $475 million borrowing base, and full-year 2026 guidance calls for net income of $55–65 million and Adjusted EBITDA of $240–260 million.
Positive
- None.
Negative
- None.
Insights
Strong Q1 operating growth offset by large non-cash derivative losses.
Prairie Operating Co. delivered substantial volume and revenue growth in Q1 2026, with revenues of $83.4 million and production of 2,086 MBoe. Adjusted EBITDA rose to $37.2 million, indicating much stronger underlying cash generation than a year earlier.
However, the company recorded a sizeable net loss to common of $174.4 million, driven mainly by a $177.1 million loss on derivatives and a $31.9 million non-cash fair value loss on embedded derivatives, debt, and warrants. These items are accounting-driven and can be volatile period to period.
Management reaffirmed full-year 2026 guidance, targeting net income of $55–65 million and Adjusted EBITDA of $240–260 million. Actual outcomes will depend on commodity prices, hedge performance, and continued execution of the DJ Basin development plan, including maintaining drilling efficiency and cost control demonstrated in Q1 2026.
8-K Event Classification
Key Figures
Key Terms
Adjusted EBITDA financial
Series F convertible preferred stock financial
embedded derivatives financial
Credit Facility financial
Denver-Julesburg (DJ) Basin financial
Earnings Snapshot
Full-year 2026 guidance for net income attributable to Prairie Operating Co. of $55–65 million and Adjusted EBITDA of $240–260 million.
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(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)
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(Commission File Number)
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(IRS Employer Identification No.)
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(Address of principal executive offices)
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(Zip Code)
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Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)
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Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)
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Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))
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Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))
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Title of each class
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Trading Symbol(s)
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Name of each exchange on which registered
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Item 2.02
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Results of Operations and Financial Condition.
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Item 9.01
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Financial Statements and Exhibits.
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Exhibit Number
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Description
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99.1
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Current Report on Form 8-K, dated May 14, 2026.
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104
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Cover Page Interactive Date File-formatted as Inline XBRL.
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PRAIRIE OPERATING CO.
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By:
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/s/ Gregory S. Patton
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Name:
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Gregory S. Patton
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Title:
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Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
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Date: May 14, 2026
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| • |
Total production of 2.1 MMBoe, or approximately 23,200 Boe/d, with 72% liquids (48% oil).
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| • |
Total revenue of $83.4 million, an increase of over 500% quarter-over-quarter
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| • |
Adjusted EBITDA(1) of $37.2 million, an increase of over 600% quarter-over-quarter.
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| • |
Delivered strong operational execution, with recently drilled wells coming in below AFE.
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| • |
Expanded hedging program, securing commodity price protection through the second quarter of 2029.
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| • |
Executed partial refinancing of the Series F Preferred Stock in April, reducing outstanding balance and significantly lowering
warrant-related dilution.
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| • |
Revenue of $83.4 million, driven by realized prices (excluding hedges) of $67.91 per barrel for oil, $13.33 per barrel for NGLs, and
$2.53 per Mcf for natural gas.
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| • |
Net loss attributable to Prairie Operating Co. common stockholders of $174.4 million, or $2.16 basic loss per share.
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| • |
Adjusted EBITDA(1) of $37.2 million compared to $5.2 million for the quarter ended March 31, 2025.
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| • |
Capital expenditures incurred of $34.1 million.
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| • |
Net cash provided by operating activities of $42.3 million.
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(In thousands, except per share amounts)
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Three Months Ended March 31, 2026
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|||
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Total revenues
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$
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83,417
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Net loss attributable to Prairie Operating Co. common stockholders
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$
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(174,397
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)
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Loss per share – basic & diluted
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$
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(2.16
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)
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Adjusted EBITDA
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$
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37,203
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Capital expenditures (1)
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$
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34,074
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(1)
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Excludes $47.3 million of capital costs included in accounts payable and accrued expenses as of March 31, 2026.
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Three Months Ended March 31, 2026
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|||
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Revenues (in thousands)
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||||
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Oil revenue
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$
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67,838
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Natural gas revenue
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8,956
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|||
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NGL revenue
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6,623
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|||
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Total revenues
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$
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83,417
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Production:
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||||
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Oil (MBbls)
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999
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Natural gas (MMcf)
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3,538
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|||
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NGL (MBbls)
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497
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Total production (MBoe) (2)
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2,086
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||||
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Average sales volumes per day (Boe/d)
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23,182
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||||
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Average realized price (excluding effects of derivatives):
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||||
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Oil (per MBbl)
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$
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67.91
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||
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Natural gas (per MMcf)
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$
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2.53
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||
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NGL (per MBbl)
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$
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13.33
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Average realized price (per MBoe)
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$
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39.99
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||||
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Average realized price (including effects of derivatives):
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||||
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Oil (per MBbl)
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$
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56.49
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||
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Natural gas (per MMcf)
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$
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1.82
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NGL (per MBbl)
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$
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12.76
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Average price (per MBoe)
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$
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33.19
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Average NYMEX prices:
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||||
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WTI (per MBbl)
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$
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72.74
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Henry Hub (per MMBtu)
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$
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4.71
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(In thousands, except per Boe amounts)
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Three Months Ended March 31, 2026
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Lease operating expenses
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$
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14,841
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Lease operating expenses per Boe
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$
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7.11
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Transportation and processing
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$
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2,496
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||
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Transportation and processing per Boe
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$
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1.20
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||||
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Ad valorem and production taxes (1)
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$
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6,792
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||
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Ad valorem and production taxes per Boe
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$
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3.26
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||||
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General and administrative expenses (1)
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$
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16,886
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||
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General and administrative expenses per Boe
|
$
|
8.09
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(1)
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Ad valorem and production taxes payable for the three months ended March 31, 2026 includes the quarterly Colorado production fee of $0.6
million, or $0.27 per Boe.
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(2)
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General and administrative expenses for the three months ended March 31, 2026, includes non-cash stock-based compensation of $5.8
million, or $2.78 per Boe, and non-recurring litigation and severance settlement expenses of $3.3 million, or $1.60 per Boe.
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| ● |
Average Daily Production: 25,500 – 27,500 Boe/d.
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| ● |
Capital Expenditures: $200.0 million – $220.0 million.
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| ● |
Adjusted EBITDA(1): $240.0 million – $260.0 million.
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Settling
April 1, 2026
through
December 31,
2026
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Settling
January 1,
2027
through
December 31,
2027
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Settling
January 1,
2028
through
December 31,
2028
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Settling
January 1,
2029 through
December 31,
2029
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|||||||||||||
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Crude Oil Swaps:
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||||||||||||||||
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Notional volume (Bbls)
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3,775,808
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4,662,503
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2,862,307
|
210,000
|
||||||||||||
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Weighted average price ($/Bbl)
|
$
|
62.86
|
$
|
62.51
|
$
|
62.17 |
$
|
61.57
|
||||||||
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Natural Gas Swaps:
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||||||||||||||||
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Notional volume (MMBtus)
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10,957,305
|
14,082,126
|
5,606,357
|
400,000
|
||||||||||||
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Weighted average price ($/MMBtu)
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$
|
4.07
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$
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4.08
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$
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4.02
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$
|
4.11
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Ethane Swaps:
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||||||||||||||||
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Notional volume (Bbls)
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309,747
|
400,675
|
220,109
|
—
|
||||||||||||
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Weighted average price ($/Bbl)
|
$
|
11.25
|
$
|
10.70
|
$
|
9.96
|
$
|
—
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||||||||
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Propane Swaps:
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||||||||||||||||
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Notional volume (Bbls)
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436,790
|
522,684
|
199,160
|
—
|
||||||||||||
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Weighted average price ($/Bbl)
|
$
|
28.64
|
$
|
26.85
|
$
|
25.93
|
$
|
—
|
||||||||
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Iso Butane Swaps:
|
||||||||||||||||
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Notional volume (Bbls)
|
60,157
|
74,572
|
35,088
|
—
|
||||||||||||
|
Weighted average price ($/Bbl)
|
$
|
35.19
|
$
|
31.77
|
$
|
30.77
|
$
|
—
|
||||||||
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Normal Butane Swaps:
|
||||||||||||||||
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Notional volume (Bbls)
|
153,300
|
184,140
|
74,903
|
—
|
||||||||||||
|
Weighted average price ($/Bbl)
|
$
|
35.71
|
$
|
31.95
|
$
|
30.36
|
$
|
—
|
||||||||
|
Pentane Plus Swaps:
|
||||||||||||||||
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Notional volume (Bbls)
|
126,531
|
160,242
|
78,806
|
—
|
||||||||||||
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Weighted average price ($/Bbl)
|
$
|
54.79
|
$
|
53.31
|
$
|
52.81
|
$
|
—
|
||||||||
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Three Months Ended
March 31,
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|||||||
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2026
|
2025
|
||||||
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(In thousands)
|
|||||||
|
Net loss attributable to Prairie Operating Co.
|
$
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(152,673
|
)
|
$
|
(2,617
|
)
|
||
|
Adjustments:
|
||||||||
|
Depreciation, depletion, and amortization
|
15,844
|
2,123
|
||||||
|
Abandonment and impairment of unproved properties (1)
|
412
|
—
|
||||||
|
Non-cash stock-based compensation
|
5,805
|
1,324
|
||||||
|
Interest expense, net
|
8,130
|
1,308
|
||||||
|
Unrealized loss on derivatives
|
162,883
|
898
|
||||||
|
Non-cash loss on adjustment to fair value – embedded derivatives, debt, and warrants (2)
|
31,851
|
2,164
|
||||||
|
Litigation and severance settlement expense
|
3,345
|
—
|
||||||
|
Income tax benefit (3)
|
(38,394
|
)
|
—
|
|||||
|
Adjusted EBITDA
|
$
|
37,203
|
$
|
5,200
|
||||
| (1) |
Reflects the abandonment of unproved locations which we have deemed non–core and allowed to expire.
|
| (2) |
Reflects the changes in the fair values of the financial instruments measured at fair value on a recurring basis.
|
| (3) |
Reflects deferred income taxes recognized for the three months ended March 31, 2026.
|
|
|
Full-year 2026 Guidance Range
|
|||||||
|
|
(In thousands)
|
|||||||
|
Net income attributable to Prairie Operating Co.
|
$
|
55,000
|
$
|
65,000
|
||||
|
Adjustments:
|
||||||||
|
Depreciation, depletion, and amortization
|
41,000
|
41,000
|
||||||
|
Non-cash stock-based compensation
|
18,000
|
18,000
|
||||||
|
Interest expense, net
|
35,000
|
33,000
|
||||||
|
Unrealized loss on derivatives
|
5,000
|
15,000
|
||||||
|
Non-cash loss on adjustment to fair value – embedded derivatives, debt, and warrants (1)
|
65,000
|
65,000
|
||||||
|
Income tax expense (2)
|
21,000
|
23,000
|
||||||
|
Adjusted EBITDA
|
$
|
240,000
|
$
|
260,000
|
||||
| (1) |
Reflects the changes in the fair values of the financial instruments measured at fair value on a recurring basis.
|
| (2) |
Reflects deferred income taxes.
|
|
|
March 31,
2026
|
December 31,
2025
|
||||||
|
Assets
|
||||||||
|
Current assets:
|
||||||||
|
Cash and cash equivalents
|
$
|
263
|
$
|
20
|
||||
|
Oil, natural gas, and NGL accrued revenue
|
27,095
|
22,728
|
||||||
|
Joint interest and other receivables
|
26,683
|
23,106
|
||||||
|
Derivative assets
|
—
|
28,812
|
||||||
|
Inventory
|
2,653
|
3,604
|
||||||
|
Prepaid expenses and other current assets
|
1,655
|
1,452
|
||||||
|
Total current assets
|
58,349
|
79,722
|
||||||
|
|
||||||||
|
Property and equipment:
|
||||||||
|
Oil and natural gas properties, successful efforts method of accounting including $115,613 and $57,897
excluded from depletable base as of March 31, 2026 and December 31, 2025, respectively
|
912,615
|
852,732
|
||||||
|
Other property and equipment
|
21,349
|
21,067
|
||||||
|
Less: Accumulated depreciation, depletion, and amortization
|
(65,110
|
)
|
(49,343
|
)
|
||||
|
Total property and equipment, net
|
868,854
|
824,456
|
||||||
|
Deferred tax asset
|
16,742
|
—
|
||||||
|
Derivative assets
|
—
|
24,627
|
||||||
|
Debt issuance costs, net
|
11,679
|
12,642
|
||||||
|
Operating lease assets
|
2,997
|
2,966
|
||||||
|
Other non–current assets
|
133
|
133
|
||||||
|
Total assets
|
$
|
958,754
|
$
|
944,546
|
||||
|
|
||||||||
|
Liabilities, Mezzanine Equity, and Stockholders’ Equity
|
||||||||
|
Current liabilities:
|
||||||||
|
Accounts payable and accrued expenses
|
$
|
104,642
|
$
|
62,792
|
||||
|
Oil, natural gas, and NGL revenue payable
|
34,026
|
30,300
|
||||||
|
Ad valorem and production taxes payable
|
30,352
|
31,385
|
||||||
|
Derivative liabilities
|
68,988
|
—
|
||||||
|
Operating lease liabilities
|
1,363
|
1,300
|
||||||
|
Total current liabilities
|
239,371
|
125,777
|
||||||
|
|
||||||||
|
Long–term liabilities:
|
||||||||
|
Credit facility
|
361,500
|
366,000
|
||||||
|
Subordinated note – related party
|
1,458
|
1,458
|
||||||
|
Subordinated note warrants, at fair value – related party
|
725
|
316
|
||||||
|
Series F convertible preferred stock embedded derivatives, at fair value
|
15,806
|
15,853
|
||||||
|
Series F convertible preferred stock warrants, at fair value
|
114,433
|
90,134
|
||||||
|
Derivative liabilities
|
40,457
|
—
|
||||||
|
Oil, natural gas, and NGL revenue payable
|
24,831
|
27,402
|
||||||
|
Ad valorem and production taxes payable
|
31,259
|
22,751
|
||||||
|
Deferred tax liability
|
—
|
21,652
|
||||||
|
Asset retirement obligation
|
3,657
|
4,019
|
||||||
|
Operating lease liabilities
|
1,756
|
1,792
|
||||||
|
Other long-term liabilities
|
1,042
|
1,082
|
||||||
|
Total long–term liabilities
|
596,924
|
552,459
|
||||||
|
Total liabilities
|
836,295
|
678,236
|
||||||
|
|
||||||||
|
Commitments and contingencies
|
||||||||
|
|
||||||||
|
Mezzanine equity:
|
||||||||
|
Series F convertible preferred stock; $0.01 par value; 50,000,000 shares authorized, and 98,000 and 121,500
shares issued and outstanding as of March 31, 2026 and December 31, 2025, respectively
|
122,059
|
136,146
|
||||||
|
|
||||||||
|
Stockholders’ equity:
|
||||||||
|
Series D convertible preferred stock; $0.01 par value; 50,000 shares authorized, and 5,982 shares issued
and outstanding as of March 31, 2026 and December 31, 2025
|
—
|
—
|
||||||
|
Common stock; $0.01 par value; 500,000,000 shares authorized, and 85,331,304 and 62,499,375 shares issued
and outstanding as of March 31, 2026 and December 31, 2025, respectively
|
854
|
625
|
||||||
|
Treasury stock, at cost; 659,096 and 111,357 shares issued and outstanding as of March 31, 2026 and
December 31, 2025, respectively
|
(1,719
|
)
|
(531
|
)
|
||||
|
Additional paid–in capital
|
241,653
|
217,785
|
||||||
|
Accumulated deficit
|
(240,388
|
)
|
(87,715
|
)
|
||||
|
Total stockholders’ equity
|
400
|
130,164
|
||||||
|
Total liabilities, mezzanine equity, and stockholders’ equity
|
$
|
958,754
|
$
|
944,546
|
||||
|
Three Months Ended March 31,
|
||||||||
|
2026
|
2025
|
|||||||
|
Revenues:
|
||||||||
|
Crude oil sales
|
$
|
67,838
|
$
|
10,788
|
||||
|
Natural gas sales
|
8,956
|
1,223
|
||||||
|
NGL sales
|
6,623
|
1,579
|
||||||
|
Total revenues
|
83,417
|
13,590
|
||||||
|
Operating expenses:
|
||||||||
|
Lease operating expenses
|
14,841
|
2,012
|
||||||
|
Transportation and processing expenses
|
2,496
|
907
|
||||||
|
Ad valorem and production taxes
|
6,792
|
957
|
||||||
|
Depreciation, depletion, and amortization
|
15,844
|
2,123
|
||||||
|
Exploration expenses
|
298
|
287
|
||||||
|
Abandonment and impairment of unproved properties
|
412
|
—
|
||||||
|
General and administrative expenses
|
16,886
|
5,551
|
||||||
|
Total operating expenses
|
57,569
|
11,837
|
||||||
|
Other (expenses) income:
|
||||||||
|
Interest expense
|
(8,197
|
)
|
(1,378
|
)
|
||||
|
Loss on derivatives, net
|
(177,060
|
)
|
(898
|
)
|
||||
|
Loss on adjustment to fair value – embedded derivatives, debt, and warrants
|
(31,851
|
)
|
(2,164
|
)
|
||||
|
Interest income and other
|
193
|
70
|
||||||
|
Total other expenses
|
(216,915
|
)
|
(4,370
|
)
|
||||
|
Loss from operations before income taxes
|
(191,067
|
)
|
(2,617
|
)
|
||||
|
Income tax benefit
|
38,394
|
|
—
|
|||||
|
Net loss attributable to Prairie Operating Co.
|
(152,673
|
)
|
(2,617
|
)
|
||||
|
Series F preferred stock declared dividends
|
(3,670
|
)
|
—
|
|
||||
|
Series F preferred stock undeclared dividends
|
(966
|
)
|
(245
|
) |
||||
|
Remeasurement of Series F preferred stock
|
(17,088
|
)
|
(90,612
|
)
|
||||
|
Net loss attributable to Prairie Operating Co. common stockholders
|
$
|
(174,397
|
)
|
$
|
(93,474
|
)
|
||
|
Loss per common share:
|
||||||||
|
Loss per share, basic and diluted
|
$
|
(2,16
|
)
|
$
|
(3.49
|
)
|
||
|
Weighted average common shares outstanding, basic and diluted
|
80,585,148
|
26,796,704
|
||||||
|
Three Months Ended March 31,
|
||||||||
|
2026
|
2025
|
|||||||
|
Cash flows from operating activities:
|
||||||||
|
Net loss attributable to Prairie Operating Co.
|
$
|
(152,673
|
)
|
$
|
(2,617
|
)
|
||
|
Adjustments to reconcile net loss to net cash provided by operating activities:
|
||||||||
|
Depreciation, depletion, and amortization
|
15,844
|
2,123
|
||||||
|
Abandonment and impairment of unproved properties
|
412
|
—
|
||||||
|
Stock–based compensation
|
5,733
|
1,324
|
||||||
|
Unrealized loss on derivatives
|
162,883
|
898
|
||||||
|
Loss on adjustment to fair value – embedded derivatives, debt, and warrants
|
31,851
|
2,164
|
||||||
|
Deferred income taxes
|
(38,394
|
) |
—
|
|||||
|
Amortization of deferred financing costs
|
963
|
270
|
||||||
|
Changes in operating assets and liabilities:
|
||||||||
|
Oil, natural gas, and NGL accrued revenue
|
(4,368
|
)
|
(6,528
|
)
|
||||
|
Joint interest and other receivables
|
(3,576
|
)
|
1,914
|
|||||
|
Inventory, prepaid expenses, and other current assets
|
1,062
|
(1,471
|
)
|
|||||
|
Accounts payable, accrued expenses, and other current liabilities
|
13,901
|
20,756
|
||||||
|
Revenue, ad valorem, and production taxes payable
|
8,630
|
(1,901
|
)
|
|||||
|
Net cash provided by operating activities
|
42,268
|
16,932
|
||||||
|
Cash flows from investing activities:
|
||||||||
|
Cash paid for Bayswater asset purchase, net of cash received
|
—
|
(474,581
|
)
|
|||||
|
Deposit on other oil and natural gas properties
|
—
|
(15,000
|
)
|
|||||
|
Development of oil and natural gas properties
|
(34,074
|
)
|
(38,999
|
)
|
||||
|
Other asset and leasehold purchases
|
(2,263
|
)
|
—
|
|||||
|
Cash received from payment on note receivable
|
—
|
149
|
||||||
|
Net cash used in investing activities
|
(36,337
|
)
|
(528,431
|
)
|
||||
|
Cash flows from financing activities:
|
||||||||
|
Borrowings on the Credit Facility
|
56,000
|
349,000
|
||||||
|
Repayment on the Credit Facility
|
(60,500
|
)
|
—
|
|||||
|
Debt issuance costs associated with the Credit Facility
|
—
|
(12,511
|
)
|
|||||
|
Proceeds from the issuance of Common Stock
|
—
|
43,817
|
||||||
|
Financing costs associated with issuance of Common Stock
|
—
|
(3,077
|
)
|
|||||
|
Proceeds from the issuance of Series F Preferred Stock
|
—
|
148,250
|
||||||
|
Financing costs associated with the issuance of Series F Preferred Stock
|
—
|
(1,233
|
)
|
|||||
|
Payments of the Subordinated Note – related party
|
—
|
(3,214
|
)
|
|||||
|
Proceeds from option exercise
|
—
|
583
|
||||||
|
Treasury stock repurchased
|
(1,188
|
)
|
(336
|
)
|
||||
|
Net cash (used in) provided by financing activities
|
(5,688
|
)
|
521,279
|
|||||
|
Net increase in cash and cash equivalents
|
243
|
9,780
|
||||||
|
Cash and cash equivalents, beginning of the period
|
20
|
5,192
|
||||||
|
Cash and cash equivalents, end of the period
|
$
|
263
|
$
|
14,972
|
||||
|
Three Months Ended March 31,
|
||||||||
|
2026
|
2025
|
|||||||
|
(In thousands)
|
||||||||
|
Non–cash investing activities:
|
||||||||
|
Increase in capital expenditure accruals and accounts payable
|
$
|
24,183
|
$
|
25,939
|
||||
|
Non–cash financing activities:
|
||||||||
|
Common Stock issued upon conversion of Series F Preferred Stock
|
$
|
36,186
|
$
|
1,351
|
||||
|
Common Stock issued for Series F Preferred Stock dividends (1)
|
$
|
3,487 |
$
|
—
|
||||
|
Common Stock issued to Bayswater as part of Bayswater Acquisition purchase price (2)
|
$
|
—
|
$
|
16,000
|
||||
|
Common Stock issuance costs included in accrued liabilities
|
$
|
—
|
$
|
3,078
|
||||
|
Series F Preferred Stock agreement amendment fees and issuance costs included in accrued liabilities and accounts payable
|
$
|
3,327
|
$
|
6,778
|
||||
|
Common Stock issued upon conversion of Senior Convertible Note (3)
|
$
|
—
|
$
|
18,164
|
||||
|
Common Stock issued upon conversion of Series D Preferred Stock
|
$
|
—
|
$
|
8,475
|
||||
|
(1)
|
The Company elected to issue shares of Common Stock for the Series F Preferred Stock dividends payable on March 1, 2026.
|
|
(2)
|
The Company issued approximately 3.7 million shares of the Company’s common stock, par value $0.01 per share (“Common Stock”) to Bayswater (as defined herein) as part of the Bayswater Purchase Price (as
defined herein).
|
|
(3)
|
During the three months ended March 31, 2025, YA II PN, LTD., a Cayman Islands exempt limited company (“Yorkville”), converted the remaining $11.3 million of the initial $15.0 million convertible promissory
note (the “Senior Convertible Note”) in exchange for 2.1 million shares of Common Stock.
|