UBS (UBS) warns Swiss capital proposal may add $23B CET1 burden
UBS Group AG has filed a detailed response opposing proposed Swiss amendments to the Banking Act and Capital Adequacy Ordinance that would require fully deducting foreign subsidiaries from Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) capital. UBS argues the measure is disproportionate, not internationally aligned, and based on an extreme “zero risk” scenario. Using first-quarter 2025 figures, the bank estimates the proposal would force approximately USD 23 billion of additional CET1, bringing total post‑Credit Suisse and regulatory add‑ons to about USD 39 billion, and add roughly USD 1.7 billion in annual capital costs. UBS warns this would weaken its competitiveness, raise borrowing and service costs for Swiss clients, and has already coincided with about 27% share-price underperformance versus European and US banks, equal to roughly CHF 30 billion of lost market value.
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Insights
UBS flags large capital and competitiveness risk from proposed Swiss rules.
UBS describes the Swiss Federal Council’s capital proposal as an extreme change that would fully deduct foreign subsidiaries from CET1. On UBS’s own numbers, that implies about
The response emphasizes that Switzerland already applies one of the toughest capital regimes and that peers in the EU, UK, and US typically use risk-weighting or partial deductions instead of full CET1 deduction. UBS points to commentary from business associations, parliamentary tax and economic committees, and rating agencies highlighting competitiveness concerns and potential negative effects on lending, especially in Switzerland’s export-oriented economy.
For shareholders, UBS links regulatory uncertainty since
FAQ
What is UBS (UBS) responding to in this document?
UBS is responding to a Swiss Federal Council consultation on amendments to the Banking Act and Capital Adequacy Ordinance, focusing on new capital requirements for foreign subsidiaries of systemically important banks.
What capital impact does UBS (UBS) estimate from the Swiss proposal?
Using first-quarter 2025 figures, UBS estimates the proposal for full CET1 deduction of foreign subsidiaries would require approximately USD 23 billion of additional CET1 capital, bringing total additional capital linked to the Credit Suisse acquisition and tighter rules to about USD 39 billion.
Why does UBS (UBS) oppose full CET1 deduction of foreign subsidiaries?
UBS argues that a full deduction is disproportionate, not internationally aligned, and based on an unrealistic scenario in which all foreign subsidiaries lose their entire value while normal operations continue. The bank says this would unduly penalize international activities and conflict with the business model of a global group.
How does UBS (UBS) say the proposal would affect its costs and profitability?
UBS estimates that holding the extra CET1 implied by the proposal would increase net annual capital costs by around USD 1.7 billion. The bank contends this would weaken its profitability and force higher prices for loans and services, including in Switzerland.
What does UBS (UBS) say about the impact on shareholders?
UBS states that since the Federal Council’s April 2024 report, uncertainty over potentially excessive capital requirements has contributed to its shares underperforming European and US banks by about 27%, equivalent to roughly CHF 30 billion in lost market value, in addition to approximately USD 14 billion of Credit Suisse integration costs.
How does UBS (UBS) compare Swiss capital rules with other jurisdictions?
UBS notes that Switzerland already has one of the strictest capital regimes, with progressive surcharges and early Basel 3 implementation. It contrasts the proposed full CET1 deduction with EU and UK approaches, which generally apply a 250% risk weight up to 10% of CET1 and make wider use of exemptions.
What alternatives to full CET1 deduction does UBS (UBS) discuss?
UBS outlines alternatives such as symmetric CET1 and AT1 deductions, partial Tier 1 deductions, higher risk-weightings for subsidiaries, greater use of bail-in bonds, and conservative net book value valuation, and calls for a cost–benefit comparison of these options against the Federal Council’s proposal.