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UBS (UBS) warns Swiss capital proposal may add $23B CET1 burden

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6-K

Rhea-AI Filing Summary

UBS Group AG has filed a detailed response opposing proposed Swiss amendments to the Banking Act and Capital Adequacy Ordinance that would require fully deducting foreign subsidiaries from Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) capital. UBS argues the measure is disproportionate, not internationally aligned, and based on an extreme “zero risk” scenario. Using first-quarter 2025 figures, the bank estimates the proposal would force approximately USD 23 billion of additional CET1, bringing total post‑Credit Suisse and regulatory add‑ons to about USD 39 billion, and add roughly USD 1.7 billion in annual capital costs. UBS warns this would weaken its competitiveness, raise borrowing and service costs for Swiss clients, and has already coincided with about 27% share-price underperformance versus European and US banks, equal to roughly CHF 30 billion of lost market value.

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Insights

UBS flags large capital and competitiveness risk from proposed Swiss rules.

UBS describes the Swiss Federal Council’s capital proposal as an extreme change that would fully deduct foreign subsidiaries from CET1. On UBS’s own numbers, that implies about USD 23 billion of extra CET1 on top of existing post–Credit Suisse requirements, lifting total additional capital to roughly USD 39 billion. UBS also cites an estimated incremental annual capital cost of about USD 1.7 billion, which would materially pressure returns if implemented as described.

The response emphasizes that Switzerland already applies one of the toughest capital regimes and that peers in the EU, UK, and US typically use risk-weighting or partial deductions instead of full CET1 deduction. UBS points to commentary from business associations, parliamentary tax and economic committees, and rating agencies highlighting competitiveness concerns and potential negative effects on lending, especially in Switzerland’s export-oriented economy.

For shareholders, UBS links regulatory uncertainty since April 2024 to a 27% relative underperformance versus European and US banks, equating to about CHF 30 billion in lost market value, in addition to roughly USD 14 billion in Credit Suisse integration costs. While the filing does not announce a final rule, it underscores that the ultimate calibration of Swiss capital standards could have a substantial long-term impact on UBS’s profitability, valuation, and strategic flexibility.

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
_________________
FORM 6-K
REPORT OF FOREIGN PRIVATE
 
ISSUER
PURSUANT TO RULE 13a-16 OR 15d-16 UNDER
THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
Date: January 12, 2026
UBS Group AG
(Registrant's Name)
Bahnhofstrasse 45, 8001 Zurich, Switzerland
(Address of principal executive office)
Commission File Number: 1-36764
Indicate by check mark whether the registrants file or will file annual
 
reports under cover of Form
20-F or Form 40-
F.
Form 20-F
 
 
Form 40-F
 
 
 
This Form 6-K consists of the news releases which appear immediately
 
following this page
newsrelease6k20260112p3i0
Investor Relations
Tel. +41-44-234 41 00
Media Relations
Tel. +41-44-234 85 00
UBS Group AG, News Release, 12 January 2026
 
Page 1
12 January 2026
News Release
UBS publishes response to the Federal Council’s consultation on the amendment to the
Banking Act and the Capital Adequacy Ordinance
Zurich, 12 January 2026 – UBS published today
 
its response to the consultation on the amendment to
 
the
Banking Act and the Capital Adequacy Ordinance.
 
UBS’s response and some explanatory slides can
 
be found
here.
UBS Group AG
Investor contact
Switzerland
 
+41 44 234 41 00
Media contact
Switzerland
 
+41 44 234 85 00
UK
 
+44 207 567 47 14
Americas
 
+1 212 882 58 58
APAC
 
+852 297 1 82 00
www.ubs.com/media
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Consultation on amendments to the
Banking Act and the Capital Adequacy
Ordinance
Page 1 of 33
 
Based
 
on
 
a
 
machine
 
translation
 
of
the German original
Amendment to the Banking Act and
Capital Adequacy Ordinance
 
(capital
adequacy requirements
 
for foreign
subsidiaries of the Parent
 
Banks of
systemically important banks)
Statement by UBS dated January 9, 2026
newsrelease6k20260112p19i0
Consultation on amendments to the
Banking Act and the Capital Adequacy
Ordinance
Page 2 of 33
 
Table
 
of contents
Summary
 
...............................................................................................................................................
 
3
1.
Introductory remarks ...................................................................................................................
 
6
2.
Assessment of the package of measures
 
...................................................................................
 
7
2.1.
UBS statement of September 29, 2025, on amendments
 
to the Capital Adequacy Ordinance
 
..... 7
2.2.
Important developments since the Opening
 
of the consultation
 
................................................
 
10
3.
Assessment of capital requirements for foreign subsidiaries
 
................................................
 
13
3.1.
Lessons learned from the Credit Suisse crisis regarding the treatment of
 
foreign subsidiaries ....
 
13
3.2.
Assessment of the Federal Council's proposal and the
 
rejected alternatives
 
...............................
 
15
3.2.1.
Assessment of the full deduction of foreign subsidiaries
 
from Common Equity Tier 1
(CET1)
 
15
3.2.2.
Assessment of the alternatives rejected in the explanatory
 
report ..............................
 
15
3.2.3.
Comparison of the effectiveness of the measures
 
......................................................
 
17
4.
Recovery and resolution is key for financial
 
stability
 
.............................................................
 
19
4.1.
Loss-absorbing capacity (TLAC) covers the
 
entire crisis continuum
 
.............................................
 
19
4.2.
Recovery and effectiveness of AT1
 
.............................................................................................
 
20
4.3.
Resolution
 
..................................................................................................................................
 
21
5.
Economic impact of the proposal .............................................................................................
 
23
5.1.
Impact on Swiss clients
 
..............................................................................................................
 
23
5.2.
Impact on the Swiss financial center and the
 
economy
 
..............................................................
 
25
5.3.
Impact on UBS shareholders ......................................................................................................
 
26
5.4.
Impact on the stability and strategic future of UBS
 
....................................................................
 
27
Appendices
 
.........................................................................................................................................
 
28
Appendix 1: Capital adequacy regulations in peer
 
jurisdictions
 
.............................................................
 
28
Appendix 2: Consultation responses and WAK-S/N statement
 
..............................................................
 
30
Appendix 3: Total cost of capital
 
...........................................................................................................
 
32
List of figures and tables
 
...................................................................................................................
 
33
newsrelease6k20260112p19i0
Consultation on amendments to the
Banking Act and the Capital Adequacy
Ordinance
Page 3 of 33
 
Summary
UBS
 
supports
 
the
 
Federal
 
Council's
 
objective
 
of
 
drawing
 
lessons
 
from
 
the
 
Credit
 
Suisse
 
crisis
 
and
strengthening
 
the
regulatory
 
framework
 
with
 
targeted,
 
proportionate,
 
and
 
internationally
aligned measures
. However,
 
the proposed full
 
deduction of foreign subsidiaries from
 
Common Equity
Tier 1 (CET1) capital
 
extends far beyond the
 
original proposal from 2024 and clearly
 
does not meet these
criteria,
 
which
 
is
 
why
 
we
 
clearly
 
reject
 
the
 
proposal.
 
This
 
measure
 
would
 
put
 
UBS
 
at
 
a
 
significant
disadvantage
 
internationally,
 
as
 
UBS
 
would
 
have
 
at
 
least
 
50%
 
higher
 
capital
 
requirements
 
than
 
its
competitors in Europe and the US.
 
These excessive capital requirements would lead
 
to very high costs for
the bank and weaken the Swiss financial center
 
and the economy
.
Switzerland
 
already
 
has
 
one
 
of
 
the
 
strictest
 
regulatory
 
capital
 
regimes,
with
 
substantial
progressive capital surcharges, and
 
a conservative and
 
early implementation of
 
the final Basel
 
3 rules. The
Federal Council's
 
proposals would
 
significantly increase
 
the requirements and
 
would contrast
 
sharply with
developments in Europe and
 
the US, where
 
de-regulation initiatives have already
 
been announced. This
would further
 
worsen Switzerland's
 
international competitive
 
position following
 
the early
 
implementation
of Basel 3.
Regulatory adjustments
 
should address
 
the
lessons learned
 
from the
 
Credit Suisse
 
crisis
in a
 
consistent
and targeted manner.
 
The Credit Suisse
 
crisis was
 
primarily the result
 
of the bank's
 
unsustainable strategy
and
 
insufficient
 
profitability,
 
inadequate
 
risk
 
management,
 
an
 
inappropriate
 
culture,
 
and
 
weak
governance.
 
For
 
too
 
long,
 
Credit
 
Suisse
 
was
 
not
 
forced
 
to
 
take
 
corrective
 
action
 
because
 
regulatory
concessions tailored
 
to Credit
 
Suisse undermined
 
the regulations
 
that actually
 
applied.
 
This was
 
also noted
by the Parliamentary Investigation Commission
 
(PUK),
 
among others.
In its
statement of
 
September 29, 2025
,
 
on the amendments
 
to the Capital
 
Adequacy Ordinance
,
UBS
 
explained that
 
the proposed
 
regulatory
 
valuation of
 
software,
 
deferred
 
tax assets,
 
and regulatory
valuation adjustments is
 
a combination
 
of the
 
maximum requirements
 
of various jurisdictions
 
and does
not take
 
into account
 
the ultimate
 
impact of
 
the overall
 
package in
 
the respective
 
countries. The
 
proposed
requirements were also deemed excessive and not internationally
 
aligned in the statements issued
 
by the
business community
 
as a whole,
 
employee associations,
 
banks, cantons with
 
strong financial centers,
 
and
business-oriented parties.
 
After consulting
 
with the
 
industry and
 
authorities,
 
the Economic
 
Affairs
 
and
Taxation Committees (WAK) of both chambers of
 
parliament spoke out
 
in favor of
 
internationally aligned
rules.
The Federal
 
Council's proposal
 
on capital
 
requirements for
 
foreign subsidiaries
is based
 
on the
extreme
 
assumption
 
that
 
the
 
parent
 
bank
 
must
 
be
 
able
 
to
 
absorb
 
the
 
total
 
loss
 
of
 
all
 
of
 
its
 
foreign
subsidiaries during
 
ongoing
 
operations without
 
any negative
 
impact on
 
the parent
 
bank's Common
 
Equity
Tier 1
 
(CET1) capital.
 
The proposal
 
extends far
 
beyond the
 
original objective
 
of the
 
Federal Council's
 
report
on banking
 
stability dated
 
April 10,
 
2024. While
 
the report
 
called for
 
100% Tier
 
1 coverage,
 
the new
proposal
 
calls
 
for
 
approximately
 
130%
 
Tier 1
 
coverage.
 
For
 
UBS,
 
this
 
would
 
result
 
in
 
additional CET1
capital requirements
 
of approximately USD 23 billion and
 
thus very high costs, not only for
 
UBS, but for
the entire financial center, households, and companies.
 
The Swiss economy would be weakened.
The proposal
 
to protect
 
Switzerland completely from
 
losses incurred
 
by foreign
 
subsidiaries at
 
all times
totally ignores the fact that the TBTF package includes
further key measures
that significantly increase
resilience and
 
were not
 
yet available
 
at the
 
time of
 
the Credit
 
Suisse crisis,
 
e.g., the
 
senior manager
 
regime,
expanded restructuring and resolution
 
options, the public liquidity
 
backstop, and the expanded
 
"lender
of
 
last
 
resort"
 
function.
 
Furthermore, it
 
does
 
not
 
take
 
into
 
account that
 
Credit
 
Suisse
 
benefited
 
from
substantial regulatory relief,
 
so that Credit
 
Suisse's weaknesses
 
were not sufficiently
 
highlighted in official
publications,
 
and
 
that
 
UBS
 
operates
 
a
 
balanced
 
and
 
conservative
 
business
 
model
 
compared
 
to
 
Credit
Suisse and other G-SIBs.
.
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Consultation on amendments to the
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Ordinance
Page 4 of 33
 
Foreign
 
subsidiaries
 
are
 
an
 
integral
 
part
 
of
the
 
consolidated
 
parent
 
bank's
business
 
model
.
Completely insulating the parent bank from risks arising from foreign business activities that are booked
in subsidiaries contradicts
 
the business model
 
of a global bank
 
or any internationally
 
active company,
 
and
constitutes a
 
significant restriction
 
on economic
 
freedom. Such
 
a regulation
 
would also
 
only materially
affect UBS.
 
Switzerland should
 
not enact
 
laws that
 
are tailored
 
to a
 
single company. The
 
reforms following
the financial crisis required certain banking
 
activities that had previously been carried
 
out in branches to
be outsourced to
 
subsidiaries in Europe
 
and the US.
 
However,
 
a global bank
 
is dependent on
 
extensive
international links in order to provide
 
customer services, including essential support for the Swiss
 
export
industry (e.g., loans and financing, foreign currency hedging,
 
payments).
 
The
 
Federal
 
Council's
 
proposal
would
 
represent
 
a
single-handed
 
approach
,
 
which
 
would
 
isolate
 
Switzerland
 
internationally.
 
Neither
 
the
 
Basel
 
standards
 
nor
 
competing
 
locations
 
have
 
such
 
extreme
requirements.
 
Contrary
 
to
 
the
 
description
 
in
 
the
 
explanatory
 
report,
 
the
 
UK
 
and
 
the
 
EU
 
also
 
have
significantly less stringent regulations compared to the Swiss
 
proposal.
 
The explanatory report identified various
alternatives to a full CET1
 
deduction
and assessed them as
effective. However, the
 
Federal Council
 
has rejected
 
these because
 
they do
 
not meet
 
the extreme
 
objective
of zero risk tolerance.
 
The proposal aims
 
to cover extreme
 
crisis scenarios in
 
ongoing business operations.
However,
 
systemically important
 
banks
 
develop comprehensive
 
recovery
 
and
 
resolution
 
plans
 
for
 
such
scenarios,
 
which are approved
 
by FINMA.
 
In addition, banks must
 
hold substantial incremental Tier
 
1 in
the form of AT1 and convertible debt.
 
The lessons learned from the Credit Suisse
 
crisis have shown that, on the one
 
hand,
 
existing regulations
must be
 
consistently implemented
 
and, on
 
the other
 
hand,
subsidiaries
 
must be
 
valued
conservatively
and
 
without
 
a
 
regulatory
 
filter.
 
This
 
would
 
have
 
made
 
Credit
 
Suisse's
 
parent
 
bank
 
substantially more
resilient.
 
There are significant differences in
 
the
cost estimates
. The study authored
 
by Prof. Zimmermann
 
in April
2025 shows
 
unrealistically low
 
cost implications.
 
The market
 
estimates the
 
costs to
 
be several
 
times higher
than the study. It is our investors and counterparties who determine the cost of capital for UBS and, as a
result,
 
for our clients,
 
and these differ considerably
 
from academic findings.
 
The large difference is mainly
due to the fact that, in the opinion
 
of the relevant market participants, more equity
 
capital does not lead
to lower borrowing costs. We
 
also see that the
 
major rating agencies consider the proposed
 
rules to be
potentially positive for
 
creditworthiness, but express
 
concerns about
 
their impact on
 
UBS's cost of
 
capital,
competitiveness, and
 
business model.
 
These considerations
 
are consistent with
 
those of
 
financial analysts.
Since
 
the
 
publication
 
of
 
the
 
Federal
 
Council
 
report
 
in
 
April
 
2024,
 
uncertainty
 
surrounding
 
potentially
excessive capital
 
requirements has
 
caused UBS's
market valuation
 
to underperform
 
banks in
 
Europe and
the US by
 
27% (approximately CHF
 
30 billion) through
 
the end of
 
December 2025.
 
For UBS shareholders,
this
 
represents
 
a
 
significant
 
destruction
 
of
 
value
 
in
 
addition
 
to
 
the
 
costs
 
of
 
integrating
 
Credit
 
Suisse
(approx. USD
 
14 billion).
 
The partial
 
recovery of
 
the share
 
price in recent
 
weeks due to
 
early December
speculation about
 
a possible
 
compromise confirms
 
the relevance
 
of regulation
 
for valuation.
 
However,
market
 
participants
 
remain
 
concerned
 
that,
 
although
 
UBS
 
would
 
report
 
very
 
high
 
capital
 
under
 
the
proposed
 
regulation, it
 
would not
 
be able
 
to use
 
that capital
 
productively and
 
would therefore
 
lose a
great deal of competitiveness.
The material additional costs resulting from the proposal would also place
 
a heavy burden on the
Swiss
economy
, as
 
UBS would
 
have to
 
partially offset
 
the additional
 
costs by
 
increasing prices
 
for loans
 
and
services in Switzerland. The
 
Federal Council's argument that
 
UBS would only
 
raise prices abroad
 
fails to
take into account that the requirements would be imposed in Switzerland
 
and that UBS would therefore
also have to hold the excess capital in its parent bank domiciled in Switzerland. This would happen in an
increasingly difficult credit
 
environment with higher refinancing
 
costs. Global economic challenges have
also led both the US and the UK to recognize that banking regulation
 
has gone too far and to announce
significant capital relief measures in order to provide the economy with additional
 
credit.
 
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Consultation on amendments to the
Banking Act and the Capital Adequacy
Ordinance
Page 5 of 33
 
The SNB confirms that
banks' refinancing costs in the financial market
 
have risen and are having an
impact on lending. It mentions
 
that the costs on the
 
Swiss financing market may reflect an
 
adjustment in
UBS's risk
 
assessment of loans
 
to former Credit
 
Suisse clients, which
 
is confirmed by
 
UBS analyses. The
SNB
 
also
 
points
 
out
 
that
 
stricter
 
regulation
 
is
 
already
 
contributing
 
to
 
higher
 
refinancing
 
costs
 
in
 
the
domestic market. Global
 
banks with
 
access to
 
international capital markets,
 
such as
 
UBS, can
 
use their
more diversified
 
refinancing sources
 
in such
 
a market
 
environment to
 
help avoid
 
a credit
 
crunch in
 
the
Swiss market, even in a difficult economic environment.
The economic
 
impact should
 
be assessed
 
through a
 
thorough
regulatory impact
 
assessment
before
far-reaching
 
decisions are made.
 
According to
 
the authors’
 
assessment, the BSS
 
study published by
 
the
Federal
 
Council
 
does
 
not
 
meet
 
this
 
requirement.
 
The
 
responses
 
to
 
the
 
consultation
 
on
 
the
 
Capital
Adequacy Ordinance show that fears of negative effects across the
 
entire economy are widely shared.
Conclusion
: UBS
 
rejects the
 
full deduction
 
of foreign
 
subsidiaries from
 
CET1 capital,
 
as this
 
would be
disproportionate, not
 
internationally aligned,
 
and not
 
targeted. Furthermore,
 
the lessons
 
learned from
 
the
Credit Suisse crisis
 
would not be
 
adequately taken into account.
 
The proposal would
 
lead to significant
additional
 
costs
 
and
 
jeopardize
 
the
 
continuation
 
of
 
the
 
successful
 
UBS
 
business
 
model.
 
The
 
existing
regime,
 
if
 
applied consistently,
 
would
 
have
 
forced
 
Credit
 
Suisse
 
to
 
make
 
structural adjustments
 
much
earlier in order to ensure the company's survival.
newsrelease6k20260112p19i0
 
Consultation on amendments to the
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Ordinance
Page 6 of 33
 
1
2
1.
 
Introductory remarks
 
On April 6, 2024, the Federal Council presented measures to learn from the Credit Suisse crisis. On June
6, 2025, it presented
 
key parameters for
 
changes to laws
 
and ordinances and made
 
specific proposals for
changes to the ordinance relating to software, deferred tax assets, and regulatory valuation adjustments
(PVA),
 
as well
 
as AT1
 
instruments. These
 
were published
 
together with
 
an assessment
 
of the
 
potential
costs
 
and
 
benefits
 
by
Alvarez
 
&
 
Marsal
and
 
a
 
brief
 
expert
 
opinion
 
on
 
capital
 
cost
 
effects
 
by
Prof.
Zimmermann
.
Around
 
70
 
consultation
 
participants,
 
including
 
business
 
associations,
 
political
 
parties,
 
and
 
cantons,
submitted comments on the key parameters and specific
 
proposals for regulatory changes by September
29,
 
2025.
 
A
 
majority
 
of
 
the
 
comments
 
(around
 
60%,
 
see
 
Appendix
 
2)
 
emphasize
 
the
need
 
for
 
a
balanced
 
regulatory
 
package
and
 
do
 
not
 
consider
 
the
 
proposals
 
presented
 
to
 
be
 
sufficient
 
in
 
this
regard.
 
On September
 
26, 2025,
 
the Federal
 
Council published its
 
specific proposal
 
for the
 
amendment to
 
the
law on
 
the capital underpinning
 
of foreign
 
subsidiaries and opened
 
the consultation period
 
which runs
until January
 
9, 2026.
 
The Federal
 
Council also
 
published a
 
report,
 
which was
 
prepared by
 
the
consulting
firm BSS.
This
does not
 
adequately address
 
the Federal
 
Council's proposals
 
and does
 
not provide
 
any
tangible benefits.
 
The report
 
contains only
 
qualitative and sometimes
 
contradictory impact assessments
of selected measures and does not provide useful input for
 
a regulatory impact assessment.
This
 
consultation
 
response
 
covers
 
UBS's
 
position
 
on
 
the
 
Federal
 
Council's
 
capital-related
 
proposals
 
in
general and
 
the specific
 
proposal on
 
capital requirements
 
for foreign
 
subsidiaries in
 
particular.
 
For our
comments
 
on
 
the
 
regulatory
 
amendments
 
(software,
 
deferred
 
tax
 
assets,
 
and
 
prudential
 
valuation
adjustments), please refer to our
consultation response dated September 29, 2025
 
. A summary of
the key
 
points can
 
be
 
found in
section 2.1
 
of this
 
response. UBS
 
will
 
comment in
 
detail
 
on
 
the other
elements of the package of measures in future consultation
 
procedures.
1
 
Consultation responses on the amendment to the Capital Adequacy Ordinance
 
2
 
UBS consultation response on the amendment to the Capital Adequacy Ordinance
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Ordinance
Page 7 of 33
 
2.
Assessment of the package of measures
UBS
 
is
 
committed
 
to
 
strong
 
and
 
consistently
 
implemented
 
regulation
 
based
 
on
 
a
 
balanced,
internationally aligned package of
 
measures.
UBS
 
rejects
 
the
 
proposed
 
extreme
 
capital
 
measures,
 
as
 
they
 
are
 
neither
 
proportionate
 
nor
internationally aligned,
 
nor are they targeted,
 
because they do not adequately take into account the
lessons learned from the Credit Suisse crisis.
Alternatives that
 
have an equivalent
 
effect at lower
 
cost have not
 
been given adequate
 
consideration.
There
 
is
 
still
 
no
 
comprehensive
 
package,
 
and
 
there
 
is
 
no
 
sound
 
regulatory
 
impact
 
assessment;
moreover,
 
the capital costs are significantly underestimated.
The full deduction from
 
CET1 capital when capital
 
underpinning foreign subsidiaries at parent
 
bank
level
 
is
 
unnecessary
 
and
 
disproportionate;
 
it
 
would
 
lead
 
to
 
significant
 
additional
 
costs
 
and
 
would
jeopardize the continuation
 
of the successful UBS
 
business model. Furthermore,
 
the overall economic
impact has not been analyzed and quantified.
2.1.
UBS
 
statement
 
of
 
September
 
29,
 
2025,
 
on
 
amendments
 
to
 
the
 
Capital
 
Adequacy
Ordinance
 
Switzerland
 
already
 
has
 
one
 
of
 
the
 
strictest regulatory
 
capital
 
regimes
 
in
 
the
 
world
 
and
 
sanctions the
growth of
 
systemically important banks
 
with disproportionate capital
 
surcharges.
 
The Federal
 
Council's
proposals represent
 
an additional
package of "worst of"
 
regulations
, taken in
 
isolation from foreign
regulations, which overall result in a
 
significant deviation from the
 
Basel standards and the regulations of
competing locations (e.g., the EU, UK, and
 
US).
 
In
 
two
 
key
 
areas,
 
namely
 
the
 
treatment
 
of
 
foreign
 
subsidiaries
 
and
 
deferred
 
tax
 
assets
 
from
 
timing
differences (TD
 
DTA), Swiss
 
regulations even
 
exceed the
 
strictest regulations
 
of these
 
locations. In
 
addition,
Switzerland has already implemented the final Basel 3
 
standards earlier and more comprehensively
 
than
the EU, UK, and
 
US. Due to
 
the more extensive application
 
of the final Basel
 
3 standards, UBS
 
already has
to
 
hold
 
around
 
10%
 
more
 
capital
 
than
 
its
 
international
 
competitors
 
for
 
the
 
same
 
risks.
 
Despite
 
the
supposedly strict
 
UK regulations in
 
certain areas, a
 
comparable UK
 
G-SIB in Switzerland
 
would today have
substantially higher capital requirements applying the current Swiss regulations.
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Consultation on amendments to the
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Ordinance
Page 8 of 33
 
Figure 1: Proposed TBTF regime exceeds the strictest
 
international regulations
3
Highest
requirements
Deferred tax assets
due to temporary differences
Prudential valuation
adjustments
(PVA)
Foreign
participations
RWA
calculation /
implementation of
Basel III final
Capitalized
Software
Leverage ratio
requirements
Switzerland
proposed TBTF regime
EU
UK
US
Basel 3 Standard
Switzerland –current
 
TBTF regime
International
minimum
standards
Source: Own representation. Reading
 
example: The current
 
regulatory treatment of foreign
 
subsidiaries
in
 
Switzerland
 
(red
 
dotted
 
line)
 
is
 
slightly
 
less
 
strict
 
than
 
that
 
in
 
the
 
UK,
 
but
 
stricter
 
than
 
in
 
other
jurisdictions and
 
the Basel 3 standards. Under
 
the proposed TBTF regime (red
 
solid line), the regulatory
treatment
 
of
 
foreign
 
subsidiaries
 
in
 
Switzerland
 
would
 
be
 
the
 
strictest.
 
Note:
 
The
 
US
 
has
 
not
 
yet
implemented the final Basel III standards
 
but is already subject to significant
 
restrictions in the calculation
of RWA
 
(see Collins
 
Amendment). At
 
the same
 
time, the
 
US is
 
undergoing a
 
comprehensive review
 
to
simplify and reduce regulatory
 
requirements.
Given
 
the current
 
size of
 
UBS,
 
the proposed
 
measures would
 
mean that
 
the UBS
 
Group's
CET1
ratio
would not only be
 
significantly higher than that of
 
its competitors
 
but would also be
 
reported at
around 3.5
 
percentage points
 
too low
 
compared with
 
its competitors
, regardless
 
of how
 
efficiently
UBS manages
 
the parent bank.
 
This contradicts
 
the Basel Committee's
 
basic idea
 
that banks'
 
capital ratios
should be internationally comparable.
3
2% due to the amendments to the ordinance as proposed by the Federal
 
Council, approx. 1.5% due to B3f.
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Consultation on amendments to the
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Ordinance
Page 9 of 33
 
Figure 2: Comparison of capital requirements for
 
G-SIBs
4
5
6
~21%
~14%
~17%
~5%
Current
UBS
de-facto
minimum
Full
deduction
of foreign
subs
Future UBS
de-facto
mimimum
basedon
proposals
~19%
13.5%
12.5%
12.5%
12.3%
11.8%
11.8%
11.6%
11.6%11.6%
11.5%
11.5%11.5%
11.0%
10.9%
10.0%
8.5%
UBS
Peers
Peer average
11.5%
CAO proposals would merely create the
appearance of a lower CET1 capital ratio
Without Basel III finalization
 
impact
Source: Own representation,
 
data from peers based on available financial reports
The
 
costs
 
of
 
these
 
far-reaching
 
measures
 
would
 
severely
 
weaken
 
UBS's
competitiveness
both
domestically
 
and
 
internationally
 
and
 
impose
 
significant
 
additional
 
costs
 
on
 
the
 
Swiss
 
economy
 
in
 
an
already difficult environment. This
 
concern is also
 
shared by external
 
analysts and in
 
comments by experts
(e.g., Alvarez & Marsal
)
.
 
Under
 
the
 
applicable
 
regulations,
UBS
 
is
already
required
 
to
hold
around
 
USD
 
15
 
billion
 
more
capital
as part of the
emergency takeover of Credit Suisse
. This includes the progressive TBTF capital
surcharge of
 
around USD
 
6 billion,
 
which takes
 
into account
 
the larger
 
balance sheet
 
total and
 
higher
domestic market
 
share of
 
the combined
 
bank, as
 
well as
 
the elimination
 
of USD
 
9 billion
 
in regulatory
concessions
 
granted
 
to
 
Credit
 
Suisse.
 
However,
 
the
 
Federal
 
Council's
 
proposals
 
would
 
increase
 
the
additional capital requirements by a further
 
USD 24 billion, meaning that UBS would
 
have to hold a total
of around USD 39 billion in additional capital.
4
 
Pro-forma figures based on 1Q25 and assume proposed
 
measures are fully applied; assumes a static
countercyclical buffer and Pillar 2 add-ons; progressive
 
add-ons are based on expected levels of LRD (Leverage
Ratio Denominator) and market shares (phased in until 2030); LRD categories are
 
as proposed in the Federal
Council’s letter dated June 6, 2025. Given expected UBS AG capital ratio of 12.5-13.0% and UBS Group
 
AG
equity double leverage of ~100%,
 
and current UBS Group de facto minimum of 14%.
5
Based on available financial reports as of 9 January 2026, for publicly listed North American
 
and European G-SIBs
(Global Systemically Important Banks), excluding custodial banks; U.S. G-SIBs are assessed on a standardized
basis;
EU peers reflect Pillar 2 add-ons of 1.3%, based on the average value from the aggregated
 
results of the
EU Supervisory Review and Evaluation Process (SREP) 2024, published by the European
 
Central Bank, and is also
used as a proxy for UK competitors
6
 
Alvarez & Marsal (2025): Analysis of the costs and benefits from proposed changes
 
to the regulatory capital
treatment of participations in foreign subsidiaries of Swiss-based SIBs.
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Consultation on amendments to the
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Ordinance
Page 10 of 33
 
Figure 3: USD 39 billion additional capital requirement
 
due to Credit Suisse acquisition and tighter
regulations
7
8
Compensation for
regulatory
concessions, e.g.,
elimination of the
regulatory filter
Progressive
TBTF component
Required additional
capital due to
existing regulations
Required additional
capital based on
capital
proposals
Total additional
capital required
~24
~15
~39
~6
~9
Acquisition of Credit Suisse
Regulatory
proposal
Total
Source: Own representation
2.2.
Important developments since the Opening
 
of the consultation
The
 
comments
 
published by
 
the
 
Federal
 
Department of
 
Finance
 
(FDF)
 
on
 
October
 
15,
 
2025,
on
 
the
proposed amendments
 
to the
 
Capital Adequacy
 
Ordinance
show that
 
UBS is
 
not alone
 
in having
serious
 
concerns
 
about
 
the
 
disproportionate
 
nature
 
of
 
the
 
proposed
 
requirements.
 
All
 
business
associations, the
 
financial sector, cantons with
 
strong financial centers,
 
and all business-orientated
 
parties
reject the Federal Council's proposals for the full deduction of software and deferred tax
 
assets, either in
full or at least in the
 
majority.
 
Approximately 75% of the parties participating in the
 
consultation clearly
indicated that the proposals should be reviewed. The
 
costs of the proposed regulation should not have a
disproportionate
 
negative
 
impact
 
on
 
Switzerland
 
as
 
a
 
banking
 
center
 
and
 
the
 
economy
 
as
 
a
 
whole.
Furthermore, many comments criticize the lack of an overall view and international
 
alignment, as well as
the lack of differentiation
 
between capital underpinning in ongoing
 
business operations (going concern
principle) and the funds necessary for resolution (gone
 
concern).
On November 4 and 13,
 
the
Economic Affairs and Taxation Committees of the Federal
 
Parliament
(WAK-N and
 
WAK-S)
wrote two separate
 
letters
 
to the
 
Federal Council in
 
which they acknowledged
the need for measures to be
 
taken, but at the same time
 
demanded that the entire package
 
of measures
should
 
not
 
go
 
beyond
 
international
 
standards.
 
Both
 
committees
 
recommend
 
that
 
the
 
treatment
 
of
deferred tax
 
assets arising
 
from timing
 
differences and
 
software be
 
aligned with
 
the relevant
 
EU directives.
7
 
The reduction in the progressive TBTF component from
 
approximately CHF 9 billion to approximately CHF 6 billion
due to new information from FINMA at the end of September leads to a reduction
 
in the additional total capital
requirement to approximately CHF 39 billion compared
 
to the original estimate of approximately CHF 42 billion.
8
Letters from the WAK-N and WAK
 
-S
 
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Consultation on amendments to the
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Ordinance
Page 11 of 33
 
9
10
Figure 4: Expected impact of adjustments to
 
capital requirements in peer jurisdictions
11
(19bn)
+6bn
+24bn
(138bn)
USD
USD
EUR
USD
While Switzerland
 
intends to
 
significantly tighten capital
 
regulations, its
 
main competitors
 
are currently
simplifying or relaxing
 
their regulations.
Alvarez & Marsal
 
(A&M)
, which prepared
 
an expert opinion
 
for
the Federal
 
Council in
 
June 2025,
 
points out
 
in its
 
report
 
dated October
 
13, 2025,
 
that Switzerland's
proposals to
 
tighten capital
 
requirements stand in
 
sharp contrast
 
to developments
 
in competing
 
locations.
They point out
 
that deregulation
 
in the US
 
will release USD
 
138 billion of
 
CET1 capital
 
(14% of total
 
CET1
capital of
 
all banks).
 
This is
 
expected to
 
create additional
 
lending capacity
 
for the
 
economy and
 
capital
market activities estimated
 
at USD 2.6 trillion.
 
The UK regulatory authorities
 
are following the US
 
and will
reduce
 
the
 
Tier
 
1
 
minimum
 
capital
 
requirements
 
from
 
14%
 
to
 
13%
 
from
 
2027
 
in
 
order
 
to
 
create
additional
 
lending
 
capacity
 
for
 
the
 
economy
 
and
 
support
 
growth.
 
The
 
Bank
 
of
 
England
 
made
 
a
corresponding announcement
 
on December 2,
 
2025.
 
In the EU,
 
the focus has
 
so far been
 
on simplifying
regulatory requirements. Switzerland's plans for a stricter
 
TBTF capital regime are moving in the opposite
direction, with negative consequences for the Swiss
 
economy,
 
the international competitiveness
 
of Swiss
banks, and the Swiss financial center. These aspects must also be taken into account in a comprehensive
cost-benefit analysis.
Source: Own representation, Alvarez & Marsal
In June and
 
October 2025,
Standard &
 
Poor's (S&P)
expressed concerns about UBS's
 
competitiveness
and capital costs as a result of the
 
implementation of the current proposals: "
On a pro forma basis, and
absent mitigation,
 
the proposed
 
amendments could
 
lead the
 
UBS Group
 
to pile
 
up additional
 
CET1 capital
of up to
 
$24 billion (according
 
to the bank's
 
estimate). This might
increase UBS's cost
 
of capital
and
potentially
 
place it
 
at
 
a
significant competitive
 
disadvantage
both
 
globally and
 
domestically
."
and
"
Stronger capitalization is usually supportive of credit ratings, but only
 
if banks can concurrently operate
a
sustainable business model
."
 
9
 
Alvarez & Marsal (2025): "Bank deregulation primer; US-led bank deregulation
 
wave begins under Trump
administration," October 2025
10
 
Bank of England (2025)
 
11
 
Standard & Poors (A. Lozmann, B. Heinrich), "Debate To
 
Enhance Regulation After Credit Suisse Enters The Next
Phase, Leaving Most Questions Open For Now," October 2025
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Consultation on amendments to the
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Ordinance
Page 12 of 33
 
12
13
14
15
On September 26, 2025,
 
the Federal Council published a
study by the consulting
 
firm BSS
 
, which
was
 
intended
 
to
 
contribute
 
to
 
the
 
regulatory
 
impact
 
assessment.
 
The
 
study
 
deals
 
with
 
the
 
Federal
Council's proposals
 
inadequately and
 
provides no
 
tangible benefits.
 
Neither is
 
the effectiveness
 
of the
measures assessed in a well-founded
 
manner,
 
nor are the costs of the
 
Federal Council's proposal and
 
the
alternatives analyzed appropriately.
 
The study selectively summarizes existing literature and the
 
opinions
of
 
only
 
eight
 
experts,
 
several
 
of
 
whom
 
are
 
well-known
 
advocates
 
of
 
stricter
 
banking
 
regulation.
Accordingly, it provides one-sided arguments in support of the proposal for the full deduction of foreign
subsidiaries. In
 
order to
 
underline the
 
importance of
 
the proposed
 
measure, the
 
effectiveness of
 
other
major measures such as strengthening AT1 capital,
 
recovery and resolution planning (RRP)
 
and corporate
governance was dismissed. The BSS
 
study contains only qualitative and
 
sometimes contradictory impact
assessments of selected measures with regard to the objectives of financial market
 
stability, ensuring the
maintenance
 
of
 
systemically
 
important
 
functions
 
in
 
a
 
crisis,
 
and
 
avoiding
 
state
 
aid.
 
Other
 
regulatory
objectives such as proportionality or the impact on the Swiss financial center are not taken into account.
In an
 
article published
 
on November
 
28, 2025
 
Professor Martin
 
Janssen also
 
criticized the
 
study, accusing
it of lacking objectivity and providing insufficient analysis.
The
 
mandatory
regulatory
 
impact
 
assessment
 
(RIA)
for
 
the
 
proposed
 
banking
 
regulation
 
is
 
not
available. The RIA
 
is an instrument for
 
ex-ante analysis and
 
presentation of the
 
economic impact of
 
the
federal government's legislative proposals. It is intended to create transparency about the
 
effects of new
regulations and
 
to identify possible
 
alternatives. In this
 
way,
 
it provides
 
political decision-makers with
 
a
fact-based
 
basis
 
for
 
decision-making.
 
According
 
to
 
the
 
Federal
 
Council's
 
guidelines,
 
RIA
 
work
 
should
begin early in the legislative process and the findings should contribute to
 
the optimization of regulation
during the drafting
 
of the legislation
. An RIA
 
focuses on
five
points: (
i
) the necessity
 
and possibility of
government action; (ii)
 
alternative courses of
 
action; (iii) impact on individual
 
social groups; (iv) impact on
the economy as a whole; and (v) appropriateness of implementation.
 
To
 
our knowledge,
 
only work on
 
the assessment point
 
"impact on the
 
economy as a
 
whole" has been
published separately
to date
(study
by
BSS
). In
 
addition, as
 
explained above,
 
this BSS
 
study is
insufficient
in terms
 
of both
 
content and
 
methodology
to serve
 
as a
 
basis for
 
assessing the
 
potentially far-reaching
effects on the economy
 
as a whole. In
 
order to provide
 
a more meaningful basis
 
for decision-making, a
more thorough examination of alternatives is needed. The existing documents do not coherently explain
why
 
other
 
options
 
 
even
 
though
 
less
 
intrusive
 
measures
 
would
 
have
 
been
 
possible
 
to
 
achieve
 
the
objectives –
 
were not
 
pursued at
 
the beginning of
 
the legislative process.
 
An analysis
 
of the
 
impact on
individual social groups (including UBS) and an appropriate basis for assessing the economic implications
of the proposed measures are also required.
12
 
Study by consulting firm BSS
13
 
Finews guest article by Prof. Martin Janssen
14
 
Page 4, Regulatory Impact Assessment (RIA) Manual of
 
the Federal Department of Economic Affairs,
Education and Research. Version
 
2.0. (April 1, 2024).
 
15
 
BSS Economic Consulting. Contribution to a regulatory
 
impact assessment: Effects of TBTF regulation.
September 11, 2025.
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Page 13 of 33
 
16
17
18
3.
Assessment of capital requirements for foreign subsidiaries
UBS supports a strong and credible
 
capital regime for Switzerland. The proposal for a
 
full deduction
from Common
 
Equity Tier
 
1 (CET1)
 
capital is
 
neither proportionate
 
nor internationally
 
aligned and
does not adequately take into account the
 
lessons learned from the Credit Suisse crisis.
Between 2020 and
 
2022, Credit Suisse's
 
parent bank had
 
to take heavy
 
losses due to
 
extensive write-
downs
 
on
 
foreign
 
subsidiaries.
 
These
 
were
 
the
 
result
 
of
 
an
 
unsustainable
 
strategy,
 
aggressive
valuation
 
of
 
foreign
 
subsidiaries,
 
and
 
the
 
regulatory
 
filter.
 
In
 
addition,
 
unlike
 
UBS,
 
Credit
 
Suisse's
parent bank had
 
built up
 
the capital
 
underpinning of
 
its subsidiaries
 
under the
 
regulations at
 
the time,
making full use of the 10-year transition period
 
(full implementation in 2028).
 
The
 
proposal
 
for
 
full
 
deduction
 
does
 
not
 
take
 
into
 
account
 
the
 
difference
 
between
 
capital
underpinning in ongoing
 
business operations,
 
an extreme crisis,
 
and possible recapitalization
 
through
the conversion
 
of debt.
 
Furthermore, a
 
full write-off
 
of all
 
foreign subsidiaries
 
in ongoing
 
business
operations is an unrealistic scenario.
The
 
explanatory
 
report
 
lists
 
various
 
effective
 
alternatives.
 
However,
 
the
 
bar
 
for
 
assessing
 
the
alternatives
 
was
 
set
 
so
 
unrealistically
 
high
 
that
 
only
 
a
 
full
 
deduction
 
 
as
 
an
 
extreme
 
variant
 
represents a viable option, without due consideration of the associated
 
costs.
 
The complete insulation of the
 
parent bank's Common
 
Equity Tier 1 (CET1) capital
 
from changes in
the
 
value
 
of
 
foreign
 
subsidiaries
 
also
 
contradicts
 
the
 
business
 
model
 
of
 
an
 
internationally
 
active
company.
 
A
 
group
 
as
 
a
 
whole
 
benefits
 
from
 
the
 
earnings of
 
its
 
international business
 
units.
 
This
diversification also increases the resilience of the entire group.
As part of its
 
recovery and resolution
 
planning,
 
UBS must also
 
maintain significant
 
buffers in the form
of debt convertible into equity
 
(approx. USD 100 billion in bail-in
 
bonds), which is available
 
to absorb
extreme losses.
3.1.
Lessons
 
learned
 
from
 
the
 
Credit
 
Suisse
 
crisis
 
regarding
 
the
 
treatment
 
of
 
foreign
subsidiaries
The capital underpinning
 
of foreign subsidiaries
 
should take appropriate
 
account of the lessons
 
learned
from the
 
Credit Suisse crisis.
 
The significant
 
write-downs on
 
foreign subsidiaries
 
in the
 
years 2020
 
to 2022
resulted from
aggressive valuation
based on overly
 
optimistic discounted cash flows
 
despite negative
trends in the business and financials.
 
This was confirmed both by the PUK
 
based on the expert opinion
of Prof. Birchler
 
and by FINMA
 
. In addition, Credit Suisse's
 
parent bank had insufficient capital
 
due to
regulatory
 
concessions.
 
The
regulatory
 
filter
 
led
 
to
 
an
 
artificial
 
increase
 
in
the
 
parent
 
bank's
Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1)
 
capital,
and the 10-year transition
 
period for the capital
 
requirements,
which masked the urgency of the situation, resulted
 
in an insufficient capital underpinning.
16
PUK report
 
(2024, p.
 
8): "The
 
audit firm
 
commissioned by
 
FINMA to
 
verify the
 
market value
 
calculations of
 
the
Parent Bank's subsidiaries identified a substantial overestimation
 
of market values (fair value) by CS AG at the end
of 2019 and in mid-2021."
17
Birchler
 
expert
 
report
 
(2024,
 
16):
 
"When
 
it
 
introduced
 
the
 
filter,
 
FINMA
 
made
 
its
 
application
 
contingent
 
on
obtaining a second opinion on the value of
 
the investments. It therefore commissioned
 
the auditing firm BDO AG
twice –
 
at the
 
end of
 
2019 and
 
in mid-2021
 
– to
 
review
 
CS's valuation
 
of the
 
subsidiaries. In
 
both cases,
 
BDO
found that CS had substantially overestimated the fair values."
18
 
FINMA report, Lessons
 
Learned from the CS
 
Crisis (2023, p. 60):
 
"Changes in earnings prospects,
 
for example as
a result of adjustments to business activities or restructuring, had a significant impact on market values and thus –
in the case of value adjustments – directly on the parent bank's equity."
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Consultation on amendments to the
Banking Act and the Capital Adequacy
Ordinance
Page 14 of 33
 
Figure 5: Effect of aggressive valuation and regulatory
 
concessions
Figure 6: Credit Suisse AG's foreign subsidiaries
 
(CHF billion)
Credit Suisse AG
Aggressive Valuation
(DCF)
Phase-in of
requirements
Regulatory filter
15
6
Dec ‘19
Dec ‘22
Write-down:
-45
(-63%)
72
27
Overvaluation due to
regulatory filter
Overvaluation
due to
regulatory filter
Source: Own representation
Aggressive valuation and
 
regulatory concessions
 
meant that
 
Credit Suisse AG (parent
 
bank) had to
 
record
a
loss in value of CHF 45 billion
(-63%) on its foreign subsidiaries between 2020
 
and 2022.
Source: CS regulatory disclosures.
Early
 
implementation
 
of
 
the
 
current
 
regime
 
and
 
conservative
 
valuation
 
of
 
subsidiaries
 
would
 
have
significantly increased Credit Suisse's resilience
and also enabled timely restructuring.
newsrelease6k20260112p19i0
Consultation on amendments to the
Banking Act and the Capital Adequacy
Ordinance
Page 15 of 33
 
3.2.
Assessment of the Federal Council's
 
proposal and the rejected alternatives
3.2.1.
Assessment of the full deduction of foreign subsidiaries
 
from Common Equity Tier 1
(CET1)
The Federal Council proposes full deduction of
 
investments in foreign subsidiaries from Common Equity
Tier 1 (CET1)
 
capital in order to
 
strengthen the parent bank in
 
Switzerland and protect
 
it completely from
possible write-downs of its international
 
subsidiaries.
 
UBS rejects this proposal for the following reasons:
A
 
full
 
CET1
 
deduction
 
is
not
 
targeted
,
 
as
 
it
 
would
 
indiscriminately
 
disadvantage
 
international
activities. The goal
 
of ensuring that
 
any losses in
 
the book values
 
of foreign subsidiaries
 
do not affect
the parent
 
bank's CET1
 
capital in
 
any scenario,
 
no matter
 
how unlikely, is extreme
 
because it
 
assumes
not
 
only
 
zero
 
risk
 
tolerance
 
but
 
also
 
a
 
completely
 
unrealistic
 
scenario.
 
The
 
insulation
 
of
 
foreign
subsidiaries also
 
contradicts the
 
business model
 
of an internationally
 
active company, where business
and
 
geographical diversification
 
reduces
 
the risk
 
of a
 
simultaneous and
 
complete loss
 
of value
 
of
foreign operations.
Based on the UBS financial
 
figures for the first quarter of
 
2025, which were also used
 
by the Federal
Council, the proposal would lead to additional capital
 
requirements of approximately USD 23 billion
(approximately 1/3 additional
 
Common Equity Tier
 
1 capital,
 
CET1). We estimate the
 
net annual cost
of
 
this
 
additional
 
capital
 
at
 
approximately
 
USD
 
1.7
 
billion,
 
which
 
is
 
why
 
the
 
proposal
 
is
 
also
disproportionate
. A sufficient cost/ benefit analysis has not been carried
 
out.
A full CET1 deduction would also
not be internationally aligned
and would therefore be a Swiss
solo effort.
 
There are
 
no relevant
 
competing financial
 
centers that
 
apply a
 
full CET1
 
deduction to
foreign subsidiaries.
 
In the
 
EU and the
 
UK – contrary
 
to the
 
explanations in
 
the Federal
 
Council report
– CET1
 
investments in subsidiaries
 
are underpinned with
 
a risk
 
weighting of 250%
 
up to 10%
 
of
the
 
parent
 
bank's
 
Common
 
Equity
 
Tier 1
 
(CET1)
 
capital and
 
do
 
not
 
have
 
to
 
be
 
deducted
 
in
 
full.
Furthermore, no
 
global standard
 
and no
 
major jurisdiction
 
require a
 
full deduction
 
of AT1 investments
in foreign subsidiaries from
 
the parent bank's CET1.
 
In addition, both the authorities in
 
the EU and
the UK grant
 
their banks extensive exemptions
 
(e.g., the EU
 
does not generally require
 
compliance
with
 
this
 
requirement)
 
or
 
relief
 
(e.g.,
 
the
 
UK
 
has
 
significantly
 
lower
 
capital
 
requirements
 
on
 
an
unweighted basis, i.e., leverage ratio).
3.2.2.
Assessment of the alternatives rejected
 
in the explanatory report
The explanatory report rejects
 
all of the alternatives
 
listed as insufficiently effective
 
because they do not
completely insulate the parent bank's Common Equity
 
Tier 1 (CET1) capital.
 
The assessment did not take
into account the costs associated with
 
the
extreme requirement
, the impact on the bank's competitive
position and profitability, or the instruments of recovery and resolution planning (RRP).
The Federal Council's proposal
 
attempts to address
 
the lessons learned by
 
moving
from one extreme,
with very far-reaching regulatory concessions in the case of Credit
 
Suisse,
 
to another extreme
,
proposing to eliminate all
 
risks regardless of cost.
 
The current capital regime
 
for foreign subsidiaries has
a balanced cost/benefit ratio. In principle,
 
therefore, no adjustments to the system are necessary.
 
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Consultation on amendments to the
Banking Act and the Capital Adequacy
Ordinance
Page 16 of 33
 
Figure 7: Capital underpinning of foreign subsidiaries
 
– cost/ benefit perspective
19
Capitalization of foreign subsidiaries
based on cost / benefit
Credit Suisse
with concessions:
Regulatory filter,
aggressive valuations
and long phase-in
periods
Federal Council proposal
Full CET1 deduction
Current
regime
(UBS)
Conservative
valuations
(appliedto
 
current
400% risk weightings)
Symmetric
deduction
Tier 1
deduction
80 % Tier 1
deduction
Negative cost / benefitBalanced
 
cost / benefit
Source: Own representation
The explanatory report lists the following alternatives:
The
symmetrical deduction of CET1 and AT1
provides for a deduction of subsidiaries in the form
in which the subsidiaries receive the capital.
 
This proposal represents a very far-reaching
 
regulation.
Although the UK and EU have similar rules, these are not
 
applied in practice in the EU due to legally
regulated exceptions.
 
In the
 
UK, they
 
are more
 
than offset
 
by very
 
far-reaching
 
concessions in
 
the
unweighted capital requirements.
 
A
(partial)
 
deduction
 
from
 
Tier
 
1
provides
 
for
 
the
 
capital
 
underpinning
 
of
 
foreign
 
subsidiaries
based
 
on
 
the
 
applicable
 
Swiss
 
capital
 
regime.
 
With
 
a
 
full
 
deduction,
 
these
 
would
 
be
 
backed
 
by
approximately three-quarters
 
of Common
 
Equity Tier
 
1 (CET1)
 
capital and
 
one-quarter of
 
AT1 capital.
With a partial deduction of 80%, 58% of foreign subsidiaries would be backed by
 
Common Equity
Tier 1 (CET1) capital and 22% by AT1
 
Tier 1. Building up this additional CET1 capital would involve
significant costs.
The
partial use of bail-in bonds
to cover risks from investments in foreign subsidiaries recognizes
the potential of convertible debt to recapitalize the group in a resolution, which would facilitate the
restructuring and repositioning of the group.
 
This is also recognized by FINMA.
Increasing
 
the
 
risk-weighting
of
 
foreign
 
subsidiaries
 
would
 
also
 
be
 
an
 
effective
 
measure
 
to
strengthen the
 
parent bank's
 
capital. The
 
authorities' concerns that
 
risk weighting
 
would result
 
in
the
 
reporting
 
of
 
the
 
parent
 
bank's
 
Tier
 
1
 
at
 
a
 
level
 
which
 
is
 
too
 
high,
 
thereby
 
undermining
 
the
effectiveness of
 
the leverage
 
ratio as
 
a risk
 
management instrument,
 
could be
 
addressed
 
through
various measures.
19
 
See consultation response/
 
blog by Orbit36 dated December 11, 2025
newsrelease6k20260112p19i0
Consultation on amendments to the
Banking Act and the Capital Adequacy
Ordinance
Page 17 of 33
 
The use
of different capital requirements for wealth management and investment banking
units
is intended to reflect the different risks associated with
 
these business activities.
 
However,
 
this
alternative does not take into account the fact that diversification across different business activities
is important for a stable
 
business model. Capital requirements
 
should therefore be based not
 
(solely)
on the allocation to a business unit, but on
 
the objective risk profile.
 
An
alternative valuation
 
approach for subsidiaries based
 
on net book value
(i.e., net value of
assets and
 
liabilities, without
 
taking into
 
account any
 
goodwill) would
 
consistently provide
 
a very
conservative
 
valuation.
 
This
 
would
 
ensure
 
that
 
only
 
actual
 
gains
 
and
 
losses
 
are
 
included
 
in
 
the
valuation instead of
 
profit forecasts. As explained
 
in the explanatory
 
report, this not
 
only reduces the
risk of
 
a very
 
high valuation
 
loss in
 
a crisis
 
but also
 
means that
 
the net
 
book value
 
roughly corresponds
to
 
the
 
subsidiary's
 
equity.
 
This
 
in
 
turn
 
means
 
that
 
losses
 
in
 
a
 
subsidiary
 
would
 
have
 
a
 
consistent
impact
 
on
 
the
 
parent
 
bank
 
and
 
group.
 
This
 
would
 
also
 
greatly
 
reduce
 
significant
 
valuation
fluctuations and write-downs.
3.2.3.
Comparison of the effectiveness of the measures
 
The alternatives
 
should be
 
subject to an
 
appropriate cost-benefit
 
analysis. In
 
the table below, we
 
compare
the
capital coverage and effectiveness
of selected alternatives.
 
Table 1 shows that no adjustments
 
are necessary in principle.
 
However, the Credit Suisse crisis has
 
shown
that a
conservative valuation
 
of
 
subsidiaries
contributes significantly
 
to stability
 
and reduces
 
large
valuation fluctuations and write-downs.
 
The table also shows
 
that the
alternatives
chosen by the Federal
 
Council lie between
 
the current regime
and a full CET1 deduction in terms of capital
 
adequacy and additional capital accumulation.
As the table
 
shows,
the Federal Council's
 
proposal for a
 
full CET1 deduction
 
clearly does not
 
meet
the criteria
and would
 
lead to
 
estimated additional
 
annual costs
 
of USD
 
1.7 billion
 
as a
 
result
 
of the
significant capital accumulation of USD 23
 
billion.
 
The
 
alternatives
 
identified
 
by
 
the
 
Federal
 
Council
(see
 
3.2.2.)
 
should
 
be
 
evaluated
 
in
 
terms
 
of
impact/benefit and
 
costs. In
 
doing so, the
 
degree of effectiveness
 
to be achieved
 
should be
 
clearly defined
and the
principle of necessity
applied (i.e., no
 
unjustified zero risk
 
tolerance). The
 
identified alternatives
should
 
be
 
assessed
 
on
 
this
 
basis
 
and
 
their
 
degree
 
of
 
effectiveness
 
evaluated.
 
The
 
alternatives
 
that
ultimately
 
achieve the
 
necessary degree
 
of
 
effectiveness should
 
then
 
be
 
subjected to
 
a
 
thorough
 
cost
review.
 
newsrelease6k20260112p19i0
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
newsrelease6k20260112p35i0
Consultation on amendments to the
Banking Act and the Capital Adequacy
Ordinance
Page 18 of 33
 
Table 1: Effectiveness of alternatives (1Q25
20
 
)
 
21
22
23
Additional capital
requirement
 
(USD billion)
-
-
17%
67%
Tier 1
deduction
+
Symmetric
deduction
-
-
 
We would also like to draw attention
 
to the
macroeconomic impact
of excessive capital requirements.
While
 
insufficient
 
capital
 
requirements
 
lead
 
to
 
high
 
macroeconomic
 
costs
 
caused
 
by
 
banking
 
crises,
excessive requirements also result in high costs
 
in net terms:
 
the economy as a whole must
 
expect higher
financing costs throughout
 
the economic cycle
 
if capital requirements
 
lead to
 
a credit
 
crunch or higher
borrowing costs. Reduced
 
profitability in
 
the banking sector
 
due to
 
excessive requirements
 
weakens its
resilience. Excessive requirements also make it impossible for banks to continue supporting the economy
in
 
times
 
of
 
negative
 
economic
 
conditions,
 
which
 
can
 
exacerbate
 
economic
 
downturns.
 
A
 
solid
 
and
comprehensive cost-benefit
 
analysis at
 
the level
 
of the
 
banking sector
 
and the
 
economy as
 
a whole
 
is
therefore essential.
20
 
Pro
 
forma figures
 
are
 
based
 
on the
 
first quarter
 
of 2025
 
and assume
 
that the
 
proposed
 
measures
 
will be
 
fully
implemented. The additional net CET1 requirement was calculated without the
 
surplus above the lower end of the
guidance range of
 
12.5–13% for the first
 
quarter and adjusted
 
for expected repayments
 
of approximately USD
 
5
billion, resulting in a reduction in risk-weighted
 
assets of around USD 20 billion,
 
which would release around USD
2.5 billion in CET1
 
capital, which is
 
then expected to be
 
transferred to UBS Group
 
AG (see UBS media
 
release dated
June 6, 2025). AT1 assumes that the total regulatory AT1 capacity of 4.3% of risk-weighted assets will be utilized.
 
21
 
The additional capital build-up will result in additional annual capital costs.
22
 
The Tier 1
 
deduction distributes the deduction of
 
foreign subsidiaries proportionally between CET1 capital and
 
AT1
instruments, based on an assumption of max. AT1
 
based on the existing capital adequacy regulations.
23
 
The
 
symmetrical
 
deduction
 
follows
 
the
 
strict
 
UK
 
approach
 
(without
 
exemptions):
 
AT1
 
instruments
 
invested
 
in
foreign
 
subsidiaries
 
are
 
deducted from
 
the parent
 
bank's
 
AT1,
 
while
 
the remainder
 
of the
 
value
 
of the
 
foreign
subsidiaries is deducted
 
from CET1
 
capital. The UK
 
approach also allows
 
subsidiaries of up
 
to 10% of
 
the parent
bank's CET1 to be risk-weighted at 250%.
newsrelease6k20260112p19i0
 
 
Consultation on amendments to the
Banking Act and the Capital Adequacy
Ordinance
Page 19 of 33
 
24
25
4.
Recovery and resolution is key for financial
 
stability
The TBTF regime
 
includes instruments
 
across the entire
 
crisis continuum
 
to provide optimal
 
protection
for
 
taxpayers.
 
The
 
capital
 
regime
 
must
 
take
 
into
 
account
 
the
 
crisis
 
continuum
 
with
 
recovery
 
and
resolution planning
.
In September 2025, FINMA confirmed that
 
the preferred resolution strategy for UBS is credible.
 
The recovery plan
 
offers management
 
a range of
 
capital and
 
liquidity measures
 
to restore the
 
Group's
solid financial footing in a crisis.
AT1
 
instruments are
 
central in
 
the recovery
 
phase.
 
UBS agrees
 
with the
 
Federal Council
 
that these
instruments should
 
be further
 
strengthened, in
 
particular by
 
aligning them
 
with the
 
practices followed
in the EU and the UK.
In a resolution, new
 
capital is created to
 
stabilize the entire group
 
by converting approximately USD
100 billion of convertible debt and, if not already used in the recovery phase,
 
approximately USD 20
billion of AT1 instruments.
4.1.
Loss-absorbing capacity (TLAC) covers
 
the entire crisis continuum
 
Central to
 
the parent
 
bank's resilience
 
is a
sustainable
,
 
profitable business
 
model
that allows
 
it to
absorb losses
 
during ongoing
 
operations and
 
raise additional
 
funds on
 
the capital
 
market if
 
necessary.
Extreme losses are
 
managed through
recovery and resolution
 
measures
, for which
 
additional financial
resources are available.
A
 
100%
 
loss
 
of
 
all
 
foreign
 
subsidiaries
 
while
 
continuing
 
business
 
operations
 
is
 
unrealistic
.
Nevertheless,
 
this
 
scenario appears
 
to
 
underlie
 
the
 
proposal
 
in
 
the
 
explanatory report,
 
which
 
requires
foreign subsidiaries
 
to be
 
fully deducted
 
from Common
 
Equity Tier
 
1 (CET1)
 
capital.
 
The group
 
would
have to be able
 
to absorb extreme losses
 
from foreign subsidiaries as
 
part of its recovery plan
 
with capital
measures, if necessary also with
 
the use of AT1
 
capital.
 
In all alternatives,
 
the group's CET1 ratio
 
would
fall below
 
the level
 
of the
 
parent bank
 
at the
 
latest when
 
foreign subsidiary
 
valuation losses
 
reached 50%.
In the case
 
of a full
 
CET1 deduction,
 
this would already
 
occur after a
 
loss of 20%.
 
Once the Group's
 
CET1
ratio is lower than
 
that of the parent
 
bank no additional risk protection
 
is required for
 
the parent bank,
as the Group's
 
CET1 ratio
 
determines when
 
capital measures
 
are necessary, including the
 
implementation
of the recovery plan.
In an extreme
 
crisis scenario,
 
the
Swiss resolution
 
regime
comes into
 
play. Systemically important
 
banks
must
 
support
 
FINMA in
 
developing credible
 
recapitalization
 
and
 
restructuring
 
plans.
 
This
 
also
 
includes
building up
 
substantial debt
 
capital
 
that can
 
be
 
converted into
 
equity if
 
necessary (bail-in
 
bonds).
 
The
amount of Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) capital is set at a level that can absorb losses
 
under high stress,
but not
 
extreme losses.
 
The AT1
 
component and
 
bail-in bonds
 
mentioned above
 
are
 
intended for
 
this
purpose.
24
 
The
 
Law
 
and
 
Ordinance
 
use
 
the
 
terms
 
"Recovery"
 
and
 
"resolution"
 
to
 
describe
 
the
 
internationally
 
used
 
term
"resolution." In
 
its "key points"
 
of June 6,
 
2025, the Federal
 
Council proposes
 
replacing the term
 
"Recovery" in
the Banking Act with
 
"resolution" in order to distinguish it
 
from Recovery under private law. In
 
this sense, the term
"resolution" is used here to refer to resolution.
25
 
The calculations are based on an assessment of the subsidiaries on the basis of their net book value.
 
This means
that losses in subsidiaries have a similar impact on UBS AG and UBS Group. For more
 
information on the
mechanics,
 
see also the statement by Orbit36, page 35, Fig. 4.
newsrelease6k20260112p19i0
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Consultation on amendments to the
Banking Act and the Capital Adequacy
Ordinance
Page 20 of 33
 
Figure 8: Model for recovery and
 
resolution
26
CET1
75bn
AT1
20bn
Bail-in
Bonds
104bn
~200 bn
3Q25
Going and gone concern
 
capital overviewUBS –Total
 
Loss
Absorbing Capacity
in USD
Business as usual
Resolution
Recovery
Leading Swiss
capital requirements
enable high loss
absorption in
ongoing business
operations
Triggering measures
in relation to AT1
instruments enable
stabilization in an
extreme crisis
FINMA deems the
bank to no longer
be viable,
recapitalization is
carried out by
converting debt
capital (bail-in
bonds) and
subsequent
 
restructuring
Going Concern
Gone Concern
FINMA concluded
that UBS remains
resolvable under
existing preferred
resolution strategy
Source: Own representation
Figure 8 shows
 
the Group's available capital
 
in ongoing operations (going
 
concern,
 
CET1 and AT1)
 
and
in liquidation (gone concern,
 
bail-in bonds). If the stabilization measures are insufficient, i.e., if
 
the bank
is unable to stabilize itself and is deemed by FINMA to
 
be no longer viable,
bail-in bonds
provide access
to extensive debt capital that can be converted
 
into equity capital.
FINMA's preferred
 
resolution strategy
 
for UBS
 
is based
 
on a
single point
 
of entry
 
bail-in,
which provides
new capital to stabilize the entire group.
 
4.2.
Recovery and effectiveness of AT1
The
recovery plan
offers management
 
a range
 
of capital
 
and liquidity
 
measures to
 
stabilize the
 
bank
financially in a
 
crisis. AT1
 
instruments are central to
 
this. UBS agrees
 
with the Federal Council
 
that their
effectiveness can be further enhanced
.
The
 
Expert
 
Group
 
on
 
Banking
 
Stability
 
recommended
aligning
 
AT1
 
regulation
 
with
 
international
practice.
 
The regulations
 
in the
 
EU and
 
the UK
 
provide
 
for the
 
suspension of
 
interest
 
payments if
 
a
certain capital ratio is not met. Unlike
 
the cumulative loss test for four quarters
 
proposed by the Federal
Council,
 
this predefined capital
 
ratio (e.g.,
 
falling below
 
the minimum
 
requirements) provides an
 
objective
benchmark that is consistently based on the bank's
 
capital strength.
 
26
 
See Expert Group on Banking Stability (2023, p. 75): "The FDF,
 
together with FINMA and the industry,
 
should
examine how the Swiss market for AT1 instruments
 
can be rehabilitated. The focus here is on a clear and
internationally understandable design of the instruments."
newsrelease6k20260112p19i0
 
 
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newsrelease6k20260112p38i2 newsrelease6k20260112p38i3
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
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Consultation on amendments to the
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Ordinance
Page 21 of 33
 
27
Figure 9: Restructuring is central to resolution
Bank prior
to crisis
Restructured
bank
Assets
Assets
Resolution
Stabilization through conversion
of
~
100bn TLAC debt
and
~
20bn AT1
into equity and
restructuring the bank
Swiss Bank
Wealth
Manager
Global
integrated
bank
Illustrative only
Such a solution is acceptable
 
to AT1 investors because they already have
 
to expect interest payments
 
and
bond
 
repayments
 
to
 
be
 
suspended
 
if
 
certain
 
capital
 
requirements
 
are
 
not
 
met.
 
At
 
present,
 
they
 
are
dependent
 
on
 
the
 
assessment
 
and
 
judgment
 
of
 
the
 
bank's
 
management/board
 
of
 
directors
 
and
 
the
supervisory authorities as
 
to when which measures
 
will be triggered. A
 
predefined capital ratio eliminates
discretionary leeway
and thus also largely
 
reduces the potential stigma
 
effects of suspending interest
payments. Such a regulation would align the Swiss
 
regime with international standards.
4.3.
Resolution
The
 
resolution
 
of
 
banks
 
is
 
basically
comparable
 
to
 
restructuring
 
in
 
other
 
industries
.
 
Systemically
important
 
banks
 
must
 
also
 
prepare
 
and
 
test
 
comprehensive
 
recovery
 
and
 
resolution
 
plans
 
so
 
that
recapitalization and restructuring can be implemented
 
quickly and the bank can continue to operate.
The preferred resolution strategy focuses on the parent company, in the case of UBS, on UBS Group AG,
through which
 
recapitalization would
 
be carried
 
out by
 
converting debt
 
capital earmarked
 
for this
 
purpose
into
 
equity
 
capital.
 
This
 
would
 
provide
 
new
 
capital
 
to
 
stabilize
 
the
 
entire
 
group
through
 
the
conversion of approximately USD
 
20 billion in
 
AT1
 
instruments (if not already
 
used in a
 
recovery phase)
and approximately USD
 
100 billion in
 
bail-in bonds. The
 
recapitalized bank would
 
have a very
 
high capital
ratio
 
and
 
could
 
thus
 
absorb
 
extraordinary
 
losses.
 
The
 
Public
 
Liquidity
 
Backstop
 
(PLB)
 
would
 
ensure
sufficient liquidity during the restructuring
 
phase if the bank were
 
temporarily unable to obtain liquidity
directly from the market.
 
Due to the
 
very high capitalization
 
and the restructuring
 
plan to be approved
 
by
FINMA in such a scenario, taxpayers would be
 
largely protected from default risks.
FINMA
reconfirmed the
 
credibility of
 
the preferred
 
resolution strategy
 
in September
 
2025
.
 
The following
figure shows
 
the key
 
components of
 
this strategy,
 
including recapitalization
 
through the
 
conversion of
designated debt (bail-in bonds) and the subsequent
 
restructuring of the bank.
 
Source: Own representation
27
 
FINMA resolution reporting UBS
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Under
 
the
 
guidance
 
of
 
FINMA,
 
UBS
 
is
 
developing
alternative resolution
 
strategies
that
 
reflect
 
the
lessons learned
 
from the Credit
 
Suisse crisis.
 
In contrast
 
to the preferred
 
resolution strategy, the aim is
 
not
to continue operating the bank, but to achieve an orderly exit from the market by selling all parts of the
company and liquidating those parts that cannot
 
be sold. The group remains solvent at all times and can
therefore be wound down in a controlled manner.
The bank's
recovery and resolution planning
and the additional capital buffers (AT1)
 
and convertible
debt
 
(bail-in
 
bonds)
 
to
 
be
 
held
 
for
 
this
 
purpose
 
must
 
be
 
taken
 
into
 
account
 
when
 
determining
 
the
additional measures for the capital underpinning of
 
foreign subsidiaries.
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5.
Economic impact of the proposal
UBS's
 
strategy
 
is
 
based
 
on
 
two
 
pillars:
 
the
 
Swiss
 
domestic
 
market
 
and
 
the
 
international
 
wealth
management
 
business
 
with
 
private
 
and
 
institutional
 
clients,
 
in
 
which
 
Switzerland
 
still
 
occupies
 
a
leading position
 
internationally. Our focused investment
 
bank helps us
 
to offer services
 
tailored to the
needs of our Wealth Management clients worldwide
 
and corporate clients in Switzerland.
Contrary to the description
 
in the explanatory report,
 
capital costs also have
 
a significant impact on
UBS's Swiss activities,
 
as UBS – like any cross-border
 
company – manages its balance sheet, income,
and costs globally, and the new requirements apply in Switzerland.
 
Additional
 
capital
 
costs
 
would
 
lead
 
to
 
higher
 
borrowing
 
and
 
service
 
costs
 
for
 
all
 
clients
 
 
private
clients, corporate clients, banks – including in
 
Switzerland, and to an overall reduction
 
in the supply
of credit.
According to the Swiss National Bank (SNB),
 
refinancing costs for Swiss banks have
 
risen significantly
in recent months,
 
leading to more expensive credit for households
 
and businesses. In addition, this
 
is
likely to
 
result not
 
only in
 
higher prices,
 
but also
 
in a
 
shortage of
 
supply, given the
 
ongoing refinancing
gap at numerous local banks.
The
 
proposed
 
regulation
 
would
 
also
 
further
 
distort
 
competition
 
in
 
Switzerland in
 
favor
 
of
 
foreign
banks.
 
EU
 
banks
 
in
 
particular
 
can
 
offer
 
loans
 
through
 
Swiss
 
branches
 
of
 
their
 
Parent
 
banks
 
at
conditions based on the significantly lower EU capital
 
requirements.
 
Swiss banks, on the other hand,
cannot offer lending business through branches in the EU.
Since
 
the
 
publication
 
of
 
the
 
Federal
 
Council
 
report
 
in
 
April
 
2024,
 
uncertainty
 
due
 
to
 
potentially
excessive capital requirements has led to a
 
significantly worse market valuation of UBS compared
 
to
banks in Europe
 
and the US,
 
resulting in significant
 
value destruction
 
for UBS shareholders
 
in addition
to the costs of integrating Credit Suisse.
5.1.
Impact on Swiss clients
The
 
explanatory report
 
argues that
 
additional capital
 
costs
 
would
 
only affect
 
foreign
 
subsidiaries. This
assumption is
 
incorrect; additional
 
costs resulting
 
from substantially
 
higher capital
 
requirements would
also
 
impact
Swiss
 
activities
,
 
as
 
the
 
capital
 
adequacy
 
requirements
 
must
 
be
 
met
 
by
 
the
 
parent
 
bank
domiciled in
 
Switzerland. The
 
additional costs
 
must be
 
borne by
 
the entire
 
UBS Group
 
,
 
including UBS
Switzerland AG.
Additional capital costs would lead to
higher credit and service costs
for all clients, including those in
Switzerland, and
 
to an
 
overall shortage
 
of credit.
 
UBS's total
 
lending volume
 
to Swiss
 
households and
companies currently amounts
 
to around CHF 350
 
billion.
 
This amount underscores
 
UBS's role in
 
financing
the economic cycle
 
in Switzerland. In
 
addition,
 
many essential services
 
for Swiss clients
 
are provided
 
by
international subsidiaries
 
and branches. This
 
includes access to
 
international capital
 
markets and payment
transactions,
 
products
 
to
 
hedge
 
payment
 
and
 
currency
 
risks,
 
and
support
 
for
 
around
 
8,000
 
Swiss
corporate
 
clients
 
in
 
their
 
international
 
business
,
 
e.g.,
 
the
 
export
 
of
 
goods.
 
UBS
 
offers
 
its
 
Swiss
corporate clients
 
local services
 
and loans
 
at its
 
international locations
 
in
 
the US,
 
Europe,
 
and Asia.
 
An
increase in costs
 
would reduce
 
UBS's competitiveness
 
vis-à-vis local
 
banks abroad.
 
SME clients
 
would then
have to establish
 
new relationships with local
 
banks. This is
 
often difficult for
 
SMEs that are
 
not known
internationally.
 
Alternatively,
 
these
 
companies
 
would have
 
to
 
accept
 
higher
 
credit
 
costs,
 
which
 
would
make international expansion even more difficult for
 
these clients.
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Figure 10: Development of credit volume and
 
increasing funding in the capital market
28
In
interbank business
, most of
 
the 230 domestic
 
Swiss banks
 
use UBS to
 
access foreign
 
markets, as
 
they
do
 
not
 
have
 
their
 
own
 
international
 
network.
 
The
 
Swiss
 
economy
 
has
 
an
 
export
 
share
 
of
 
70%,
 
and
according to
 
Swissmem, this
 
figure is
 
as high
 
as 80%
 
for SMEs.
 
Domestic banks
 
therefore also need
 
access
to
 
international financial
 
markets
 
for
 
their
 
SME business.
 
In
 
interbank
 
business, they
 
use
 
UBS's
 
global
network to access international payment
 
systems, foreign exchange markets, securities transactions,
 
and
custody
 
and
 
depository
 
services.
 
Due
 
to
 
its
 
size
 
and
 
financial
 
strength,
 
UBS
 
makes
 
a
 
substantial
contribution to the
 
Swiss financial market
 
infrastructure and generates
 
around one-third of
 
the volume
that runs through the platform of the stock exchange
 
operator SIX. In addition, following the acquisition
of
 
Credit
 
Suisse, UBS
 
is
 
the only
 
remaining
 
Swiss
 
bank
 
licensed
 
by
 
the US
 
authorities to
 
process
 
USD
transactions and can
 
therefore offer
 
a key service
 
to other Swiss
 
banks. UBS is
 
also the global
 
leader in
Swiss franc clearing, with
 
a market share of 75%.
 
Domestic banks prefer a Swiss
 
bank that is both
 
locally
anchored and globally active as a reliable partner for their foreign and
 
interbank business.
 
Source: SNB
In its
 
report "
Bank funding
 
costs
"
 
(November 13,
 
2025), the
SNB
confirms that
 
banks' refinancing
costs on
 
the financial
 
market have
 
risen and
 
are having
 
an impact
 
on lending.
 
Since the
 
end of
 
2021,
credit growth has exceeded
 
deposit growth by a
 
factor of four, and refinancing costs
 
on the Swiss capital
market have
 
also risen
 
fourfold. This
 
structural increase
 
in costs
 
is already being
 
passed on
 
to Swiss
 
clients.
The SNB also mentions
 
that the
costs on the Swiss financing
 
market may reflect an
 
adjustment by UBS in
its risk assessment
 
of loans to
 
former Credit Suisse
 
clients. This is
 
confirmed by UBS
 
analyses in mid-2024,
which showed that
 
over a 12-month period,
 
there was a 6x higher
 
credit loss expense per
 
billion in credit
volume
 
on
 
a
 
portfolio
 
of
 
former
 
CS
 
loans
 
to
 
Swiss
 
clients.
 
In
 
addition,
 
the
 
SNB
 
points
 
out
 
that
 
more
stringent
 
regulation
 
is
 
already
 
leading
 
to
 
higher
 
liquidity
 
holdings,
 
which
 
is
 
contributing
 
to
 
higher
refinancing costs in the domestic market. Global
 
banks with access to international
 
capital markets, such
as UBS, can use their more diversified refinancing sources in
 
such a market environment to help prevent
a credit crunch in the Swiss market, even in a difficult
 
economic environment.
28
 
Bank funding costs
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29
30
Even following the acquisition of
 
Credit Suisse by
 
UBS, the Competition Commission (WEKO)
 
continues
to
 
see
effective
 
competition
.
 
This
 
is
 
also
 
reflected
 
in
 
the
 
low
 
net
 
interest
 
margins
 
of
 
Swiss
 
banks
compared with
 
their European
 
counterparts. In
 
addition to
 
the existing
 
credit supply
 
shortage and
 
the
implementation of the final Basel 3 standards for lending, a
 
further tightening of capital requirements is
therefore
 
likely
 
to make
 
loans even
 
more
 
expensive and
 
further restrict
 
supply.
 
Against this
 
backdrop,
measures
 
such
 
as
 
the
 
additional
 
capital
 
costs
 
proposed
 
by
 
the
 
Federal
 
Council
 
must
 
be
 
analyzed
comprehensively in terms
 
of their cost implications
 
for all clients in
 
order to avoid unnecessary
 
damage to
the efficient Swiss financial center.
 
Furthermore,
 
the
 
business
 
community
 
has
 
repeatedly
 
and
 
clearly
 
stated
 
its
 
position
 
on
 
the
 
negative
economic consequences
 
for the
Swiss economy
 
and for
 
SMEs
in
 
particular.
 
In
 
its
 
statement on
 
the
Capital Adequacy Ordinance
 
of September 29, 2025,
 
Economiesuisse stated:
 
"Regulation must therefore
not be assessed in isolation in the
 
financial sector,
 
but must always take into account the impact
 
on the
economy
 
as
 
a
 
whole:
 
restricted
 
credit
 
supply,
 
higher
 
financing
 
costs,
 
and
 
a
 
weakening
 
of
 
investment
activity directly affect the real economy – especially SMEs and industrial
 
investment projects."
5.2.
Impact on the Swiss financial center and
 
the economy
The
 
financial
 
sector
 
is
 
a
cornerstone of
 
Switzerland's
 
economy
 
and
 
its
 
position
 
as
 
a
 
center
 
of
manufacturing
.
 
The
 
report
 
"Bedeutungsstudie
 
2025"
 
(Significance
 
Study
 
2025)
 
published
 
in
December 2025
 
by
 
BAK Economics
 
on
 
behalf of
 
the Swiss
 
Bankers Association
 
(SBA) underscores
 
the
importance of the financial sector.
 
For example, 5.5% of all employees (approx.
 
250,000 jobs) generate
8.8%
 
of
 
Switzerland's
 
gross
 
value
 
added
 
and
 
9.2%
 
of
 
tax
 
revenue
 
(CHF
 
9.9
 
billion).
 
The
 
study
 
also
explains the importance of
 
the financial sector
 
as a driver
 
for other industries and
 
states that the
 
sector
indirectly
 
employs
 
approximately
 
280,000
 
people.
 
In
 
addition,
 
the
 
financial
 
sector makes
 
a
 
significant
contribution to Swiss exports and generates
 
a net service surplus of CHF 18.7 billion.
 
With more than 30,000 employees in
 
Switzerland, UBS is a
pillar of the financial sector
. Over the past
ten years,
 
UBS, Credit
 
Suisse, and
 
their employees
 
in Switzerland
 
have paid
 
around CHF
 
25 billion
 
in taxes.
In addition, UBS purchases services and goods
 
worth approximately CHF 4 billion annually in
 
Switzerland
and pays hundreds of millions of Swiss francs each year to sponsor important projects and institutions in
the fields
 
of education,
 
culture, society, and sports.
 
The latest
 
edition of
 
the "UBS
 
Worry Barometer" from
December 2025
 
also shows
 
that the
 
biggest concerns
 
for Swiss
 
people are
 
the ongoing
 
rise in
 
health
insurance premiums
 
(45%),
 
environmental protection
 
(31%) and
 
retirement
 
provision
 
(30%);
 
financial
stability is cited as a concern by
 
only 4% of respondents.
 
The Swiss economy benefits from
reliable domestic banking service providers.
Foreign competitors,
on the
 
other hand, often
 
focus selectively on
 
specific business areas
 
and do
 
not demonstrate the
 
same
reliability as domestic providers. Experience
 
during the global financial
 
crisis and the COVID-19
 
pandemic
has shown that foreign
 
banks reduce their lending abroad
 
in times of crisis or
 
even cease their activities
altogether. Excessive dependence on foreign players could therefore exacerbate a credit crunch precisely
when
 
the
 
economy
 
needs
 
support.
 
The
 
Federal
 
Council
 
has
 
also
 
highlighted
 
the
 
advantage
 
of
internationally
 
active
 
Swiss
 
banks
 
for
 
secure
 
access
 
to
 
essential
 
financial
 
services.
 
In
 
the
 
current
environment
 
of
 
a
 
significantly
 
more
 
uncertain
 
world,
 
in
 
which
 
many
 
countries
 
are
 
seeking
 
greater
autonomy and independence, due consideration
 
should therefore be given to the possibility of increased
dependence on foreign providers for domestic lending and access
 
to international financial markets.
 
29
 
Significance Study 2025
30
 
Federal Council Report on Banking Stability (2024, p. 18): "Large, globally oriented
 
banks [...] also strengthen the
supply
 
of
 
financial
 
resources
 
to
 
the
 
real
 
economy.
 
They
 
offer
 
access
 
to
 
global
 
payment
 
transactions,
 
currency
hedging,
 
capital
 
market
 
services,
 
export
 
financing,
 
and
 
support
 
for
 
start-ups,
 
IPOs,
 
and
 
mergers.
 
Large
internationally active banks also provide essential services
 
for other banks in Switzerland, such
 
as securities custody
and
 
international currency
 
settlement.
 
Internationally active
 
Swiss banks
 
that offer
 
these
 
services
 
make
 
the real
economy less
 
dependent on decisions
 
made in other
 
jurisdictions, thereby
 
protecting companies'
 
access to these
services."
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With regard
 
to the
 
competitive environment in
 
Switzerland,
EU banks
in particular
 
can offer
 
favorable
loans
through
 
their branches
 
in Switzerland
, e.g.,
 
in the
 
form of
 
guarantees for
 
traditional export
financing.
 
Since the demise of
 
Credit Suisse, branches of
 
foreign banks have
 
been increasingly entering
the Swiss banking market,
 
focusing on the most attractive market segments (e.g., large SMEs and larger
transactions in
 
trade and
 
export financing). They
 
enjoy significantly easier
 
market access
 
in Switzerland
than Swiss banks are granted
 
in the EU, for example.
 
Due to their size
 
and lower attractiveness,
 
SMEs are
generally unable to benefit from
 
the growing range of
 
services offered by
 
foreign banks. An increase
 
in
the costs of international banking transactions would
 
particularly affect the broad mass of SMEs, as they
structurally lack direct access to
 
foreign banks. Against this
 
background, the existing, obvious
 
distortion
of competition,
 
particularly in favor
 
of EU banks,
 
would be significantly
 
increased by the
 
Federal Council's
proposal. Nor would the economy as a whole benefit
 
from the proposal.
The report
commissioned by
 
the Federal
 
Council and
 
prepared
by Alvarez
 
& Marsal
also concludes
 
that
increased
 
capital
 
requirements
 
could
 
have
 
negative
 
effects
 
in
 
Switzerland,
 
such
 
as
 
a
 
reduction
 
in
 
the
supply of credit,
 
lower deposit interest
 
rates, and job
 
cuts, and that
 
these could have
 
an impact on
 
the
Swiss economy as a whole.
 
In particular, however,
 
there are fears of harmful
 
effects on economic activity
and consumer sentiment in
 
Zurich, Geneva, and
 
Basel, where most
 
of the bank's
 
employees are based.
UBS
 
also
 
represents
 
the
 
interests
 
of
 
around
 
30,000
 
employees
 
in
 
Switzerland
 
and
 
their
 
families.
 
The
substantial
 
contributions
 
made
 
by
 
the
 
entire
 
UBS
 
Group
 
to
 
the
 
Swiss
 
economy
 
and
 
tax
 
revenues,
 
as
mentioned at the outset,
 
are not sufficiently
 
taken into account in
 
the assessment of the
 
consequences
of tighter
 
regulation. In
 
the context
 
of the
 
Swiss financial
 
center, it is
 
also important
 
to consider
 
that
value
created abroad
flows back into Switzerland in the form of dividends and other benefits.
 
This materially
benefits the economy as a whole. Finally,
 
UBS contributes significantly to the appeal of the international
financial center, which benefits other
 
banks and Swiss
 
companies in general,
 
and thus the
 
entire country.
The listed
 
effects on
 
Swiss clients,
 
the financial
 
center, and the
 
economy illustrate
 
how important
 
balanced
and internationally aligned banking regulation is. The Federal
 
Council should
take
the
concerns of the
economy
 
seriously
and
 
ensure
 
the
 
basis
 
for
 
a
 
long-term
 
successful
 
and
 
competitive
 
Swiss
 
business
location with a balanced package of measures.
5.3.
Impact on UBS shareholders
Since
 
the
 
publication
 
of
 
the
 
Federal
 
Council
 
report
 
in
 
April
 
2024,
 
uncertainty
 
surrounding
 
potentially
excessive capital
 
requirements has
 
caused UBS's
market valuation
 
to underperform
 
banks in
 
Europe and
the US by 27%
 
(approx. CHF 30 billion) through
 
the end of December 2025. For
 
UBS shareholders, this
represents a
 
significant destruction
 
of value
 
in addition
 
to the
 
costs of
 
integrating Credit
 
Suisse. The
 
partial
recovery in the share price due
 
to speculation about a possible compromise in December 2025 confirms
the relevance
 
of regulation
 
to valuation.
 
Market participants
 
are
 
concerned that,
 
although UBS
 
would
report very
 
high capital
 
under the
 
proposed regulation,
 
it would
 
not be
 
able to
 
use it
 
productively and
would therefore lose a great deal of competitiveness.
 
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Figure
 
11:
 
Development
 
of
 
the
 
UBS
 
share
 
price
 
compared
 
with
 
Dow
 
Jones
 
Banks
 
Titans,
 
April 2024 - December 2025 (indexed)
31
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
170
1
-
Apr
-
24
1
-
Jul
-
24
1
-
Oct
-
24
1
-
Jan
-
25
1
-
Apr
-
25
1
-
Jul
-
25
1
-
Oct
-
25
1
-
Jan
-
26
UBS (SIX/CHF)+33%
Dow Jones
Banks Titans+60%
+27%
+40%
Source: Factset Research Systems
 
5.4.
Impact on the stability and strategic future of UBS
The expert report by
Alvarez & Marsal
 
commissioned by the Federal Council in June 2025 points
 
out
that "The significant delta of capital requirements for UBS might drive
 
an unlevelled playing field relative
to peers, potentially necessitating change in its strategy to safeguard the viability of its business model."
(page 49).
 
With
 
the
 
measures
 
proposed
 
by
 
the
 
Federal
 
Council,
 
every
 
franc
 
of
 
income
 
for
 
UBS
 
will
 
become
significantly more expensive
 
compared to its
 
competitors. This
 
will have a
 
negative impact
 
on profitability.
The disproportionately high capital requirements proposed by
 
the Federal Council are already leading to
a
loss of confidence among investors.
 
As shown above, despite very good business performance and
rapid progress
 
in the
 
integration of
 
Credit Suisse,
 
UBS's share
 
price has
 
performed significantly
 
worse than
its
 
European
 
and
 
US
 
competitors.
 
A
 
prolonged
 
period
 
of
 
uncertainty
 
regarding
 
potentially
 
extreme
regulatory changes is testing investors' patience,
 
weakening the reputation of the
 
financial center, and is
not in the interests of financial stability. Lower profitability and less diversification also weaken the
 
ability
to raise capital in a crisis and thus the
resilience of the bank
.
31
 
Alvarez & Marsal expert report
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32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
Appendices
Appendix 1: Capital adequacy regulations in
 
peer jurisdictions
In an
 
international comparison, the
 
explanatory report concludes
 
that there
 
is no
‘Swiss finish’
within
the meaning
 
of Article
 
4 of the
 
Corporate Relief
 
Act of
 
September 29,
 
2023 (UEG).
 
The following
 
explains
why we believe this conclusion falls short.
The
 
report
 
evaluates
 
the
Basel
 
minimum
 
standards
and
 
the
 
supervisory
 
standards
 
of
 
the
 
Financial
Stability Board (FSB). Although none
 
of the regulations formally
 
take into account
 
the capital coverage of
subsidiaries,
 
according
 
to
 
the
 
report,
 
a
 
capital
 
deduction
 
from
 
subsidiaries
 
can
 
be
 
derived.
 
The
 
Basel
minimum standards allow
 
equity securities (CET1,
 
AT1, or bail-in capital) made
 
available to subsidiaries
 
to
be deducted
 
from the
 
corresponding capital
 
component of
 
the parent
 
company.
 
Equity investments
 
in
subsidiaries in the EU and UK are risk-weighted at 250% up to a threshold of 10% of the parent bank's
Common Equity
 
Tier 1
 
capital (CET1).
 
The
 
FSB standards
 
aim
 
to avoid
 
double counting
 
of capital
 
and
therefore require the deduction of internal TLAC (
 
) instruments.
The report points
 
out that
 
there are no
 
legal entity
 
structures comparable
 
to those
 
of
 
the
 
large
US banks
.
This does not correspond with
 
our analysis:
 
JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A.
 
has a similar role to UBS
 
AG and
holds subsidiaries in significant
 
subsidiaries in the UK
 
(J.P.
 
Morgan Securities plc) and
 
the EU (J.P. Morgan
SE).
 
The
 
total
 
capital
 
of
 
these
 
two
 
subsidiaries alone
 
amounts
 
to
 
around
 
one
 
third
 
of
 
the
 
capital
 
of
JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A.
 
The report also
 
fails to mention that
 
capital requirements in
 
the US do
 
not
apply on a standalone parent bank basis.
 
For the
EU
, the
 
explanatory report contains
 
assumptions about the
 
exercise of supervisory
 
discretion to
require the deduction of intra-group subsidiaries
 
for the purpose of structural
 
separation (Art. 49(2)
 
CRR)
by the EU authorities. It states that there is no evidence
 
which is incorrect:
 
The
 
ECB's
 
regulatory
 
disclosures
 
show
 
that
 
in
 
2024,
 
19
 
out
 
of
 
109
 
banks
 
will
 
benefit
 
from
exemptions for
 
parent
 
companies under
 
Article 7(3)
 
of the
 
CRR, including
 
Deutsche Bank
 
and
Crédit Agricole
 
. Banks with exemptions for parent banks do
 
not have capital requirements on
a standalone basis, so a deduction is irrelevant.
The ECB's
 
supervisory policy
 
refers to
 
the deduction
 
being necessary
 
in "certain
 
cases"
 
. The
ECB
 
does
 
not
 
require
 
such
 
a
 
deduction
 
in
 
the
 
most
 
obvious
 
cases,
 
i.e.
 
for
 
global
 
banks
 
that
conduct
 
extensive
 
business
 
outside
 
the
 
EU
 
as
 
part
 
of
 
so-called
 
multiple-point-of-
entry/decentralized settlement strategies (BBVA
 
and Banco Santander
 
).
For the
UK
, the
 
explanatory report states
 
that there
 
are no
 
legal structures
 
comparable to those
 
of the
major British banks. Barclays
 
Bank plc holds the most
 
important foreign subsidiaries
 
and is an active bank
in
 
the
 
UK.
 
We
 
do
 
not
 
see
 
any
 
significant
 
difference
 
to
 
the
 
role
 
of
 
UBS
 
AG
 
within
 
the
 
UBS
 
Group.
Furthermore, the report indicates that
 
there is no evidence that
 
the authorities have granted
 
any waivers.
However, all waivers granted by the PRA are publicly available in the Financial Service Register.
 
32
 
Total
 
Loss-Absorbing Capacity
33
 
JPMorganChase, Resolute Annual Report 2024, page 107
 
34
 
European Central Bank Banking Supervision, Data on credit risk (year
 
2024)
35
 
according to their reports on Pillar 3
36
 
European Central Bank Banking Supervision, ECB Guide on options and discretions
 
available in Union law
37
 
BBVA Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. 2024, Financial Statement,
 
Management Report and Audit Report,
page 120
38
 
A significant reduction in holdings in group companies would be inconceivable
 
given the relative size of these
subsidiaries (97.7 billion) compared to the parent bank's equity (79.9 billion)
 
.
 
Source:
 
Banco Santander,
 
S.A.,
Auditor's report, Annual accounts and director's report for
 
the year ended December 31, 2024
39
 
The Financial Services Register
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Consultation on amendments to the
Banking Act and the Capital Adequacy
Ordinance
Page 29 of 33
 
40
41
42
For Barclays Bank plc, the parent bank, the following waivers
 
can be accessed, for example
 
:
Waiver
 
of the
 
leverage ratio
 
for the
 
individual situation
 
of Barclays
 
Bank plc.
 
Any deduction
 
of
shares in subsidiaries is therefore irrelevant for the leverage ratio.
Waiver of
 
individual consolidation for
 
large Barclays
 
special purpose entities
 
in order
 
to avoid
 
a
potential deduction of shares in subsidiaries.
Core UK Group Waiver,
 
whereby companies within the Core UK are assigned
 
a risk weighting of
0% (excluding capital instruments) and risk positions
 
are excluded from the leverage ratio
The Federal Council's explanatory report does not mention that in the
EU and UK
,
CET1 investments in
subsidiaries
up to 10%
 
of the parent
 
company's CET1 are
 
not deducted
but must be underpinned
with a risk weighting of 250%
 
. This exemption also applies to
 
capital investments that are deductible
on the basis of supervisory discretion in accordance with
 
Art. 49 para. 2 of the UK CRR.
 
Finally,
 
it is important
 
to note that
 
Switzerland would be acting
 
unilaterally on a global
 
scale with a
 
full
deduction from Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) capital. There are no
global standards
or major financial
centers that require AT1 investments in subsidiaries to be deducted from the parent bank's CET1
 
capital.
If a deduction is required, it
 
follows a corresponding deduction approach, whereby AT1
 
investments are
deducted from the parent bank's AT1 capital.
 
In the EU, AT1 investments are risk-weighted unless they
have to be deducted from AT1 capital due to a specific supervisory decision.
40
 
The Financial Services Register,
 
Barclays Bank UK PLC
41
 
BSBS: CAP 30.32; UK: Art. 48(1)(b) of the UK CRR; EU: Art. 48(1)(b) of the CRR
42
 
BCBS: CAP 30.30; UK: Article 56(d) of the UK
CRR
; EU: Art. 56(d) CRR
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Ordinance
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43
Appendix 2: Consultation responses
 
and WAK-S/N statement
All business associations,
 
the financial sector, the cantons with
 
strong financial centers, and
 
the business-
orientated
 
parties
reject
the
 
Federal
 
Council's
 
proposals
 
for
the
full
deduction
 
of
 
software
 
and
deferred tax
 
assets
,
 
either in
 
full or
 
at
 
least by
 
the majority
. This
 
is in
 
line with
 
the view
 
of the
Economic Affairs
 
and Taxation
 
Committee of
 
the National
 
Council (WAK
 
-N) and
 
the Council
 
of States
(WAK-S),
 
which
 
criticize
 
above
 
all
 
the
 
lack
 
of
 
international
 
coordination
 
and
 
the
 
resulting
 
negative
consequences for competition.
 
The evaluation below refers
 
to 68 of
 
the 73 consultation
 
responses that
we included in the analysis.
Rejection of the deduction of software
 
from Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1)
 
capital
by
 
75%
or
24 of the 32 responses that commented on
 
the issue. A significant proportion of respondents reject
the full deduction
 
of software from
 
CET
 
1 capital, as
 
this is considered
 
to be hostile
 
to innovation,
not
 
internationally aligned,
 
and
 
detrimental
 
to
 
competitiveness.
The
 
WAK-N/ -S
also
 
calls
 
for
 
the
valuation of capitalized IT investments to be based
 
on international standards and cites the example
of the EU, which prescribes depreciation over three years. A full deduction would significantly
 
impair
competitiveness.
Rejection of the deduction of deferred tax assets from Common Equity
 
Tier 1 (CET1) capital
by
 
76%
or 22 of 29 of the 32
 
comments that addressed this issue.
 
Many comments oppose the full
deduction of
 
deferred
 
tax assets,
 
as
 
this
 
exceeds international
 
standards and
 
does
 
not
 
adequately
reflect the economic value of these items.
The WAK-N/-S
 
also conclude that the planned regulation
clearly exceeds
 
Basel III
 
standards and
 
the practice
 
of competing
 
financial centers,
 
and warn
 
that a
lack
 
of
 
differentiation
 
not
 
only
 
weakens
 
the
 
stability
 
of
 
supervised
 
institutions,
 
but
 
also
 
their
competitiveness.
In addition, a
 
large number of
 
comments express
 
concern about the
 
negative impact on
 
the
economy
and Switzerland
as a
 
business location
. Furthermore,
 
many comments
 
criticize the
 
lack of
 
an overall
view and international orientation, as
 
well as the
 
shift from the
 
going concern principle to a
 
liquidation
perspective.
Negative economic effects
are highlighted by
 
60%
or 41 comments.
 
The majority of respondents
fear
 
higher
 
financing
 
costs,
 
restricted
 
lending,
 
and
 
a
 
weakening
 
of
 
competitiveness.
 
WAK-N
 
and
WAK-S
 
demand that
 
the competitiveness
 
of Switzerland
 
as a
 
financial
 
and
 
banking center
 
not
 
be
weakened by the measures.
A lack
 
of overall
 
perspective
is criticized
 
by
 
60%
or 41
 
comments.
 
The majority
 
of respondents
criticize the
 
lack of
 
a comprehensive
 
overview of
 
all planned
 
regulations and
 
a well-founded
 
cost-
benefit
 
analysis
 
to
 
adequately
 
assess
 
the
 
impact
 
on
 
the
 
financial
 
center
 
and
 
the
 
economy.
 
WAK-N/-S
warn
 
that
 
tightening
 
should
 
not
 
go
 
beyond
 
the
 
regulation
 
of
 
international
 
financial
centers
 
in
 
order
 
to
 
ensure
 
a
 
relationship
 
between
 
the
 
costs
 
and
 
benefits
 
which
 
preserves
competitiveness
 
The lack
 
of international
 
alignment
is criticized
 
by
 
60%
or 41
 
comments.
 
Many comments
 
criticize
the fact
 
that the
 
proposed amendments
 
are not
 
sufficiently aligned
 
internationally and represent
 
a
‘Swiss finish’
. This would lead
 
to competitive disadvantages
 
for Swiss banks.
 
WAK-N agrees with
this demand
 
and calls
 
for measures
 
not to
 
exceed international standards
 
and common
 
practice in
competing financial centers,
 
both individually and as
 
a whole.
WAK-S
calls for "maximum use
 
of the
national
 
leeway
 
offered
 
by
 
Basel
 
III,
 
in
 
line
 
with
 
the
 
EU
 
and
 
the
 
UK,
 
in
 
order
 
to
 
maintain
 
the
competitiveness of Switzerland as a financial
 
and banking center."
43
 
Consultation responses
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Ordinance
Page 31 of 33
 
Negative effects on the attractiveness
of Switzerland
 
as a business location
are highlighted by
66%
of respondents, or
 
45 comments.
 
A majority of
 
respondents fear that
 
the measures
 
proposed
will
 
weaken
 
the
 
attractiveness
 
of
 
Switzerland
 
as
 
a
 
financial
 
center
 
and
 
economic
 
hub,
 
as
 
well
 
as
Switzerland as a business location
 
overall. In particular, they point to the risk of job
 
losses, migration,
and a
 
deterioration in the
 
overall business
 
environment.
The WAK-N/-S
specifically recommend
 
to
the Federal Council that the planned
 
tightening of regulations should not go
 
beyond the regulation
of international
 
financial centers
 
in order
 
to ensure
 
the attractiveness
 
of Switzerland
 
as a
 
business
location.
Criticism
 
of
 
the
 
shift
 
to
 
a
 
liquidation
 
perspective
is
 
expressed
 
in
 
22%
and
 
15
 
responses,
respectively.
 
Some
 
responses
 
criticize
 
the
 
creeping
 
shift
 
from
 
the
 
going
 
concern
 
principle
 
to
 
a
liquidation perspective
 
triggered by
 
the new
 
deductions. They
 
see this
 
as a
 
departure from
 
proven
international valuation principles.
 
newsrelease6k20260112p19i0
 
Consultation on amendments to the
Banking Act and the Capital Adequacy
Ordinance
Page 32 of 33
 
44
45
46
Appendix 3: Total cost of capital
The TBTF proposals
 
mean that UBS
 
must hold more
 
CET1 for its
 
existing business. This
 
additional CET1
would replace a certain amount of debt financing,
 
i.e., the volume of debt held by UBS would decrease.
 
Based on
 
practical experience, UBS
 
assumes that higher
 
capital will
 
lead to
 
an
increase in the
 
cost of
total capital
. Despite
 
a doubling
 
of the
 
unweighted leverage
 
ratio over
 
the last
 
15 years,
 
the cost
 
of
capital has remained constant at around 10%. In terms of debt costs, UBS is already at the lower end of
credit
 
risk
 
premiums,
 
leaving
 
little
 
room
 
for
 
material
 
improvement.
 
UBS
 
therefore
 
estimates
 
that
 
an
increase in capital requirements of USD 10 billion will
 
increase the net cost of capital (CoC) by up
 
to USD
800 million.
There are various
 
theories/calculations regarding the resulting total
 
cost of capital (CoC), which
 
is made
up
 
of
 
the
 
cost
 
of
 
equity
 
(CoE)
 
and
 
the
 
cost
 
of
 
debt
 
(CoD).
 
In
 
theory,
 
higher
 
equity
 
reduces
 
both
components of
 
the total
 
cost of
 
capital (the
 
so-called Modigliani-Miller
 
effect). The
 
calculations of
 
this
effect are based on a
 
number of assumptions
 
that do not
 
prevail in market reality
 
(e.g., tax effect, perfect
market efficiency, and simplifications of the capital structure).
The
differing
 
estimates
 
of
 
the
 
total
 
cost
 
of
 
capital
are
 
due
 
to
 
the
 
different
 
assumptions
 
and
methodologies used in the
 
underlying studies. The assumptions
 
regarding the cost of equity are
 
relatively
similar in
 
all studies
 
(i.e., Böni
 
& Zimmermann
, Alvarez
 
& Marsal
) and
 
are in
 
line with
 
the UBS
 
consensus
estimates made by independent
 
analysts of around 10%. However, there are methodological differences
in the determination of debt financing costs, such as the double counting
 
of AT1 costs in the calculation
of the bank's
 
average financing
 
costs. However, the main difference
 
in capital cost
 
estimates is due
 
to the
net effect
 
assumptions of
 
Modigliani-Miller
 
(MM). Böni
 
and Zimmermann
 
assume a
 
large influence
 
(almost
complete MM offset, 96%), while UBS, Alvarez & Marsal, and the market do not consider the net effect
to be relevant.
 
Professor Zimmermann
, the
 
expert commissioned by
 
the Federal
 
Council, presented
 
two studies
 
in a
short period whose estimated
 
capital costs as a result
 
of an increase in equity capital
 
differ tenfold. In the
first study from April
 
2025
, published together
 
with the Federal
 
Council's proposals on
 
banking stability
in June 2025,
 
an additional CHF
 
10 billion in
 
equity capital leads
 
to estimated additional
 
costs of CHF
 
320
million.
 
In
 
the
 
second
 
study
 
from
 
August,
 
the
 
figure
 
is
 
only
 
CHF
 
32
 
million.
 
UBS
 
considers
 
it
 
highly
problematic
 
that
 
such
 
studies
 
are
 
used
 
by
 
the
 
authorities
 
as
 
a
 
decisive
 
basis
 
for
 
estimating
 
the
 
cost
implications without
 
pointing out
 
the
 
high degree
 
of
 
dependence on
 
assumptions and
 
the associated
significant distortions.
 
Instead,
 
costs
 
should
 
be
 
assessed
 
on
 
the
 
basis
 
of
 
transparent,
market-observable,
 
and
 
verifiable
indicators
(e.g., analysts' estimates
 
of expected equity
 
costs, credit default swap spreads,
 
ratings agency
assessments, and empirical correlations between equity
 
and equity costs).
44
 
Böni & Zimmermann (2025): The effective cost of capital buffers for UBS: A Reappraisal
 
based on empirical
research.
45
 
Alvarez & Marsal (2025): Analysis of the costs and benefits from proposed changes
 
to the regulatory capital
treatment of participations in foreign subsidiaries of Swiss-based SIBs.
46
 
Zimmermann (2025): Brief report on the capital cost effects of higher capital adequacy
 
requirements for a
systemically important bank (UBS).
newsrelease6k20260112p19i0
Consultation on amendments to the
Banking Act and the Capital Adequacy
Ordinance
Page 33 of 33
 
List of figures and tables
Figures
Figure 1: Proposed TBTF regime exceeds the strictest
 
international regulations
 
.......................................
 
8
Figure 2: Comparison of capital requirements for
 
G-SIBs ........................................................................
 
9
Figure 3: USD 39 billion additional capital requirement
 
due to Credit Suisse acquisition and tighter
regulations
 
............................................................................................................................................
 
10
Figure 4: Expected impact of adjustments to
 
capital requirements in peer jurisdictions
 
.........................
 
11
Figure 5: Effect of aggressive valuation and regulatory
 
concessions
 
......................................................
 
14
Figure 6: Credit Suisse AG's foreign subsidiaries
 
(CHF billion)
 
................................................................
 
14
Figure 7: Capital underpinning of foreign subsidiaries
 
– cost/ benefit perspective
 
.................................
 
16
Figure 8: Model for recovery and
 
resolution
 
..........................................................................................
 
20
Figure 9: Restructuring is central to resolution
 
......................................................................................
 
21
Figure 10: Development of credit volume and
 
increasing funding in the capital market
 
........................
 
24
Figure 11: Development of the UBS share
 
price compared with Dow Jones Banks Titans,
 
April 2024 -
December 2025 (indexed)
 
.....................................................................................................................
 
27
Tables
Table 1: Effectiveness of alternatives (1Q25 )
 
........................................................................................
 
18
 
 
 
 
SIGNATURES
Pursuant to the requirements of
 
the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrants
 
have duly caused this
report to be signed on their behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.
UBS Group AG
 
By: _/s/ David Kelly______________
Name:
 
David Kelly
Title:
 
Managing Director
By: _/s/ Ella Copetti-Campi_________
Name:
 
Ella Copetti-Campi
Title:
 
Executive Director
 
Date: January 12, 2026

FAQ

What is UBS (UBS) responding to in this document?

UBS is responding to a Swiss Federal Council consultation on amendments to the Banking Act and Capital Adequacy Ordinance, focusing on new capital requirements for foreign subsidiaries of systemically important banks.

What capital impact does UBS (UBS) estimate from the Swiss proposal?

Using first-quarter 2025 figures, UBS estimates the proposal for full CET1 deduction of foreign subsidiaries would require approximately USD 23 billion of additional CET1 capital, bringing total additional capital linked to the Credit Suisse acquisition and tighter rules to about USD 39 billion.

Why does UBS (UBS) oppose full CET1 deduction of foreign subsidiaries?

UBS argues that a full deduction is disproportionate, not internationally aligned, and based on an unrealistic scenario in which all foreign subsidiaries lose their entire value while normal operations continue. The bank says this would unduly penalize international activities and conflict with the business model of a global group.

How does UBS (UBS) say the proposal would affect its costs and profitability?

UBS estimates that holding the extra CET1 implied by the proposal would increase net annual capital costs by around USD 1.7 billion. The bank contends this would weaken its profitability and force higher prices for loans and services, including in Switzerland.

What does UBS (UBS) say about the impact on shareholders?

UBS states that since the Federal Council’s April 2024 report, uncertainty over potentially excessive capital requirements has contributed to its shares underperforming European and US banks by about 27%, equivalent to roughly CHF 30 billion in lost market value, in addition to approximately USD 14 billion of Credit Suisse integration costs.

How does UBS (UBS) compare Swiss capital rules with other jurisdictions?

UBS notes that Switzerland already has one of the strictest capital regimes, with progressive surcharges and early Basel 3 implementation. It contrasts the proposed full CET1 deduction with EU and UK approaches, which generally apply a 250% risk weight up to 10% of CET1 and make wider use of exemptions.

What alternatives to full CET1 deduction does UBS (UBS) discuss?

UBS outlines alternatives such as symmetric CET1 and AT1 deductions, partial Tier 1 deductions, higher risk-weightings for subsidiaries, greater use of bail-in bonds, and conservative net book value valuation, and calls for a cost–benefit comparison of these options against the Federal Council’s proposal.

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