ADP National Employment Report Preliminary Estimate for February 28, 2026
ADP (NASDAQ:ADP) released the NER Pulse preliminary estimate for the four weeks ending February 28, 2026, showing U.S. private employers added an average of 9,000 jobs per week.
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Rhea-AI Summary
ADP (NASDAQ:ADP) released the NER Pulse preliminary estimate for the four weeks ending February 28, 2026, showing U.S. private employers added an average of 9,000 jobs per week.
Hiring weakened versus prior weeks (four-week moving averages: 14,750 on 2/21 and 15,500 on 2/14). The NER Pulse is seasonally adjusted, uses a two-week data lag, and will next publish on March 24, 2026.
Positive
- Payrolls positive: average 9,000 jobs/week added (4‑week average)
- High-frequency data: weekly NER Pulse provides timely employment trends
Negative
- Hiring slowed 39% from 14,750 (2/21) to 9,000 (2/28)
- Four-week average fell from 15,500 (2/14) to 9,000 (2/28)
Details
News Market Reaction – ADP
On Mar 17, the day this news came out, ADP closed 0.30% above the previous close.
Data tracked by StockTitan Argus for the Mar 17 session.
Key Figures
- Average weekly jobs
- 9,000 jobs
- Four weeks ending Feb 28, 2026
- Weekly jobs
- 14,750 jobs
- Four-week moving average, week ending Feb 21, 2026
- Weekly jobs
- 15,500 jobs
- Four-week moving average, week ending Feb 14, 2026
- Weekly jobs
- 12,000 jobs
- Four-week moving average, week ending Feb 7, 2026
- Weekly jobs
- 11,500 jobs
- Four-week moving average, week ending Jan 31, 2026
- Historical window
- 12 weeks
- NER Pulse historical data in each release
- Release time
- 8:15 a.m. ET
- Weekly NER Pulse publication time
- Next release date
- March 24, 2026
- Next NER Pulse publication
Historical Context
-
Preliminary NER Pulse showed 15,500 average weekly job gains staying steady.
-
February report showed 63,000 private jobs added and 4.5% pay growth.
-
Launch of AI agents in ADP Marketplace to automate HR and payroll tasks.
-
NER Pulse showed 12,750 average weekly job gains and fourth week of strengthening.
-
NER Pulse indicated 10,250 average weekly job gains and third straight improvement.
24h Move is the share-price change in the day after each event; other market factors may also have contributed.
Key Terms
four-week moving average technical
seasonally adjusted technical
high-frequency data technical
AI-generated analysis. How Rhea-AI works. Not financial advice.
After several weeks of strengthening, hiring took a step back at the end of February. These numbers are preliminary and could change as new data is added.
Week ending | Change (Four-week moving |
2/28/2026 | 9,000 |
2/21/2026 | 14,750 |
2/14/2026 | 15,500 |
2/7/2026 | 12,000 |
1/31/2026 | 11,500 |
1/24/2026 | 7,250 |
1/17/2026 | 5,500 |
1/10/2026 | 4,250 |
1/3/2026 | 8,000 |
12/27/2025 | 4,250 |
12/20/2025 | 8,000 |
12/13/2025 | 9,500 |
The NER Pulse is an estimate of the week-over-week change in employment based on a four-week moving average. These estimates are based on ADP's finely tuned, high-frequency data. The data is seasonally adjusted and have a two-week lag to allow for more complete and accurate estimates of real-time employment trends.
The NER Pulse, including 12 weeks of historical data, publishes every Tuesday at 8:15 a.m. ET, except weeks when ADP Research publishes the monthly National Employment Report which is built on a reference week that includes the 12th day of the month. The press release is available Tuesdays at 8:15 a.m. ET in the ADP Media Center. The NER Pulse is also available shortly after 8:15 a.m. ET on release days at ADP Research and in Main Street Macro.
The next NER Pulse will be released March 24, 2026. For upcoming release dates please refer to the calendar on the NER website.
The ADP National Employment Report and the NER Pulse are produced by ADP Research in collaboration with the Stanford Digital Economy Lab.
About ADP Research
The mission of ADP Research is to make the future of work more productive through data-driven discovery. Companies, workers, and policy makers rely on our finely tuned data and unique perspective to make informed decisions that impact workplaces around the world.
To subscribe to monthly email alerts or obtain additional information about ADP Research, including employment and pay data, methodology, and a calendar of release dates, please visit https://www.adpresearch.com.
About ADP (NASDAQ: ADP)
ADP has been shaping the world of work with innovation and expertise for more than 75 years. As a global leader in HR and payroll solutions, ADP continuously works to solve business challenges for our clients and their workers, from simple, easy-to-use tools for small businesses to fully integrated platforms for global enterprises – and everything in between. Always Designing for People means we're focused on just that – people. We use our unmatched AI-driven insights and proven expertise to design innovative solutions that help people achieve greater success at work. More than 1.1 million clients across 140+ countries rely on ADP's exceptional service to support their people and drive their business forward. HR, Talent, Time Management, Benefits, Compliance, and Payroll. Learn more at ADP.com.
ADP, the ADP logo, and Always Designing for People, ADP National Employment Report, and ADP Research are registered trademarks of ADP, Inc. All other marks are the property of their respective owners.
Copyright © 2026 ADP, Inc. All rights reserved.
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SOURCE ADP, Inc.
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