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ADP National Employment Report Preliminary Estimate for March 7, 2026

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ADP (ADP) released the NER Pulse preliminary estimate for the four weeks ending March 7, 2026, showing U.S. private employers added an average of 10,000 jobs per week (four-week moving average, seasonally adjusted).

The NER Pulse publishes weekly with a 12-week history; data are seasonally adjusted, have a two-week lag, and are subject to revision. The next release is April 7, 2026.

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Positive

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Negative

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News Market Reaction – ADP

-2.30%
-2.30% Session close to close

In the Mar 24 session, ADP declined 2.30%, reflecting a moderate negative market reaction.

Data tracked by StockTitan Argus on the day of publication.

Market Context

This announcement extends ADP’s NER Pulse series, indicating U.S. private employers added an average...
Analysis

This announcement extends ADP’s NER Pulse series, indicating U.S. private employers added an average of 10,000 jobs per week over the four weeks ending March 7, 2026. It reinforces a data-driven view of labor trends using a four-week moving average and seasonally adjusted, high-frequency payroll data. Investors tracking ADP often watch how these recurring macro releases relate to its broader valuation and technical position below the $271.72 200-day moving average.

Key Figures

Average weekly job gains: 10,000 jobs Average weekly job gains: 9,000 jobs Average weekly job gains: 14,750 jobs +5 more
8 metrics
Average weekly job gains 10,000 jobs Four weeks ending 3/7/2026, NER Pulse
Average weekly job gains 9,000 jobs Four weeks ending 2/28/2026, NER Pulse table
Average weekly job gains 14,750 jobs Four weeks ending 2/21/2026, NER Pulse table
Average weekly job gains 15,500 jobs Four weeks ending 2/14/2026, NER Pulse table
Average weekly job gains 12,000 jobs Four weeks ending 2/7/2026, NER Pulse table
Historical window 12 weeks NER Pulse historical data included with each release
Release time 8:15 a.m. ET Scheduled weekly NER Pulse publication time
Next release date April 7, 2026 Next NER Pulse publication

Historical Context

4 past events · Latest: Mar 17 (Neutral)
Pattern 4 events
Date Event Sentiment 24h Move Catalyst
Mar 17 NER Pulse estimate Neutral +0.3% Preliminary NER Pulse showed four-week average of 9,000 weekly job gains.
Mar 10 NER Pulse estimate Positive -2.5% NER Pulse indicated 15,500 average weekly job gains with steady strengthening.
Mar 04 Monthly jobs report Positive +0.4% February private employment rose 63,000 with 4.5% pay growth for job-stayers.
Feb 24 NER Pulse estimate Positive -0.0% Four-week moving average of 12,750 job gains marked fourth week of strengthening.

24h Move is the share-price change in the day after each event; other market factors may also have contributed.

Pattern Detected

Recent ADP employment-related releases have generally led to modest share-price reactions, with most moves aligning directionally with the tone of the news.

Recent Company History

Over recent months, ADP has repeatedly released NER Pulse estimates and full National Employment Reports, highlighting week-over-week and monthly changes in U.S. private payrolls. Prior updates showed four-week average gains ranging from 9,000 to 15,500 jobs, plus a February gain of 63,000 jobs and 4.5% pay growth for job-stayers. These recurring macro employment updates form a consistent data series that today’s NER Pulse release extends.

Key Terms

four-week moving average, seasonally adjusted, high-frequency data, National Employment Report
4 terms
four-week moving average technical
"The NER Pulse is an estimate of the week-over-week change in employment based on a four-week moving average."
A four-week moving average takes the most recent four weekly values of a data series (like price, sales, or trading volume), averages them, and updates that average each week by dropping the oldest week and adding the newest. It smooths out short-term ups and downs—like looking at a smoothed path instead of every single bump—so investors can more easily see underlying trends, spot momentum changes, and avoid reacting to temporary noise.
seasonally adjusted technical
"The data is seasonally adjusted and have a two-week lag to allow for more complete and accurate estimates"
Seasonally adjusted means that figures have been modified to remove the effects of regular and predictable changes that happen at specific times of the year, such as holidays or weather patterns. This adjustment helps reveal the true underlying trend by making comparisons across different periods more accurate. For investors, it provides a clearer picture of whether economic activity is genuinely improving or declining, without the noise of seasonal fluctuations.
high-frequency data technical
"These estimates are based on ADP's finely tuned, high-frequency data."
High-frequency data are streams of very frequent, time-stamped information about market activity — for example prices, trade sizes, and order flow updated many times per second. Investors use it like a high-speed camera to see short-lived patterns and reactions that slower reports miss, helping with rapid trading decisions, measuring market liquidity, and detecting unusual activity that can affect short-term risk and execution costs.
National Employment Report technical
"a weekly update of the monthly ADP National Employment Report (NER)."
A national employment report is a regular government-issued summary of how many jobs were added or lost, the unemployment rate, average hours worked and typical wages across the country — like a report card for the job market. Investors watch it because job strength influences consumer spending, corporate profits and central bank interest-rate decisions, so the report can quickly move stock, bond and currency prices by changing expectations about economic growth and policy.

AI-generated analysis. How Rhea-AI works. Not financial advice.

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ROSELAND, N.J., March 24, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- For the four weeks ending March 7, 2026, U.S. private employers added an average of 10,000 jobs per week, according to the NER Pulse, a weekly update of the monthly ADP National Employment Report (NER). 

Employment gains for the first week in March were little changed from the previous week. These numbers are preliminary and could change as new data is added.

Week ending

Change

(Four-week moving
average, seasonally
adjusted)

3/7/2026

10,000

2/28/2026

9,000

2/21/2026

14,750

2/14/2026

15,500

2/7/2026

12,000

1/31/2026

11,500

1/24/2026

7,250

1/17/2026

5,500

1/10/2026

4,250

1/3/2026

8,000

12/27/2025

4,250

12/20/2025

8,000

The NER Pulse is an estimate of the week-over-week change in employment based on a four-week moving average. These estimates are based on ADP's finely tuned, high-frequency data. The data is seasonally adjusted and have a two-week lag to allow for more complete and accurate estimates of real-time employment trends.

The NER Pulse, including 12 weeks of historical data, publishes every Tuesday at 8:15 a.m. ET, except weeks when ADP Research publishes the monthly National Employment Report which is built on a reference week that includes the 12th day of the month. The press release is available Tuesdays at 8:15 a.m. ET in the ADP Media Center. The NER Pulse is also available shortly after 8:15 a.m. ET on release days at ADP Research and in Main Street Macro.

The next NER Pulse will be released April 7, 2026. For upcoming release dates please refer to the calendar on the NER website.

The ADP National Employment Report and the NER Pulse are produced by ADP Research in collaboration with the Stanford Digital Economy Lab.

About ADP Research 
The mission of ADP Research is to make the future of work more productive through data-driven discovery. Companies, workers, and policy makers rely on our finely tuned data and unique perspective to make informed decisions that impact workplaces around the world.

To subscribe to monthly email alerts or obtain additional information about ADP Research, including employment and pay data, methodology, and a calendar of release dates, please visit https://www.adpresearch.com.

About ADP (NASDAQ: ADP)
ADP has been shaping the world of work with innovation and expertise for more than 75 years. As a global leader in HR and payroll solutions, ADP continuously works to solve business challenges for our clients and their workers, from simple, easy-to-use tools for small businesses to fully integrated platforms for global enterprises – and everything in between. Always Designing for People means we're focused on just that – people. We use our unmatched AI-driven insights and proven expertise to design innovative solutions that help people achieve greater success at work. More than 1.1 million clients across 140+ countries rely on ADP's exceptional service to support their people and drive their business forward. HR, Talent, Time Management, Benefits, Compliance, and Payroll. Learn more at ADP.com.

ADP, the ADP logo, and Always Designing for People, ADP National Employment Report, and ADP Research are registered trademarks of ADP, Inc. All other marks are the property of their respective owners.

Copyright © 2026 ADP, Inc. All rights reserved.

(PRNewsfoto/ADP, LLC)

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SOURCE ADP, Inc.

FAQ

What did ADP (ADP) report for the four weeks ending March 7, 2026?

ADP reported an average gain of 10,000 private-sector jobs per week for the four-week period. According to ADP, this is a seasonally adjusted, four-week moving average and is preliminary and subject to revision as new data arrive.

How does the March 7, 2026 NER Pulse figure compare to prior weeks for ADP (ADP)?

The March 7 figure of 10,000 is slightly above the prior week at 9,000 and below mid-February peaks near 15,500. According to ADP, the NER Pulse tracks a 12-week historical series using a four-week moving average.

When and how often does ADP (ADP) publish the NER Pulse and when is the next release?

ADP publishes the NER Pulse every Tuesday at 8:15 a.m. ET, except during the monthly NER release weeks. According to ADP, the next NER Pulse will be released on April 7, 2026.

What methodology does ADP (ADP) use for the NER Pulse estimate for March 7, 2026?

The NER Pulse uses a four-week moving average of high-frequency, seasonally adjusted payroll data with a two-week lag. According to ADP, this approach aims to provide more complete and timely estimates of weekly employment change.

Where can investors find the ADP (ADP) NER Pulse release and historical data?

The NER Pulse is available at ADP Research and Main Street Macro shortly after 8:15 a.m. ET on release days. According to ADP, the NER Pulse includes 12 weeks of historical data and is posted on the NER website.