ADP National Employment Report Preliminary Estimate for March 7, 2026
Rhea-AI Summary
ADP (ADP) released the NER Pulse preliminary estimate for the four weeks ending March 7, 2026, showing U.S. private employers added an average of 10,000 jobs per week (four-week moving average, seasonally adjusted).
The NER Pulse publishes weekly with a 12-week history; data are seasonally adjusted, have a two-week lag, and are subject to revision. The next release is April 7, 2026.
Positive
- None.
Negative
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News Market Reaction – ADP
In the Mar 24 session, ADP declined 2.30%, reflecting a moderate negative market reaction.
Data tracked by StockTitan Argus on the day of publication.
Key Figures
Historical Context
| Date | Event | Sentiment | 24h Move | Catalyst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17 | NER Pulse estimate | Neutral | +0.3% | Preliminary NER Pulse showed four-week average of 9,000 weekly job gains. |
| Mar 10 | NER Pulse estimate | Positive | -2.5% | NER Pulse indicated 15,500 average weekly job gains with steady strengthening. |
| Mar 04 | Monthly jobs report | Positive | +0.4% | February private employment rose 63,000 with 4.5% pay growth for job-stayers. |
| Feb 24 | NER Pulse estimate | Positive | -0.0% | Four-week moving average of 12,750 job gains marked fourth week of strengthening. |
24h Move is the share-price change in the day after each event; other market factors may also have contributed.
Recent ADP employment-related releases have generally led to modest share-price reactions, with most moves aligning directionally with the tone of the news.
Over recent months, ADP has repeatedly released NER Pulse estimates and full National Employment Reports, highlighting week-over-week and monthly changes in U.S. private payrolls. Prior updates showed four-week average gains ranging from 9,000 to 15,500 jobs, plus a February gain of 63,000 jobs and 4.5% pay growth for job-stayers. These recurring macro employment updates form a consistent data series that today’s NER Pulse release extends.
Key Terms
four-week moving average technical
seasonally adjusted technical
high-frequency data technical
National Employment Report technical
AI-generated analysis. How Rhea-AI works. Not financial advice.
Employment gains for the first week in March were little changed from the previous week. These numbers are preliminary and could change as new data is added.
Week ending | Change (Four-week moving |
3/7/2026 | 10,000 |
2/28/2026 | 9,000 |
2/21/2026 | 14,750 |
2/14/2026 | 15,500 |
2/7/2026 | 12,000 |
1/31/2026 | 11,500 |
1/24/2026 | 7,250 |
1/17/2026 | 5,500 |
1/10/2026 | 4,250 |
1/3/2026 | 8,000 |
12/27/2025 | 4,250 |
12/20/2025 | 8,000 |
The NER Pulse is an estimate of the week-over-week change in employment based on a four-week moving average. These estimates are based on ADP's finely tuned, high-frequency data. The data is seasonally adjusted and have a two-week lag to allow for more complete and accurate estimates of real-time employment trends.
The NER Pulse, including 12 weeks of historical data, publishes every Tuesday at 8:15 a.m. ET, except weeks when ADP Research publishes the monthly National Employment Report which is built on a reference week that includes the 12th day of the month. The press release is available Tuesdays at 8:15 a.m. ET in the ADP Media Center. The NER Pulse is also available shortly after 8:15 a.m. ET on release days at ADP Research and in Main Street Macro.
The next NER Pulse will be released April 7, 2026. For upcoming release dates please refer to the calendar on the NER website.
The ADP National Employment Report and the NER Pulse are produced by ADP Research in collaboration with the Stanford Digital Economy Lab.
About ADP Research
The mission of ADP Research is to make the future of work more productive through data-driven discovery. Companies, workers, and policy makers rely on our finely tuned data and unique perspective to make informed decisions that impact workplaces around the world.
To subscribe to monthly email alerts or obtain additional information about ADP Research, including employment and pay data, methodology, and a calendar of release dates, please visit https://www.adpresearch.com.
About ADP (NASDAQ: ADP)
ADP has been shaping the world of work with innovation and expertise for more than 75 years. As a global leader in HR and payroll solutions, ADP continuously works to solve business challenges for our clients and their workers, from simple, easy-to-use tools for small businesses to fully integrated platforms for global enterprises – and everything in between. Always Designing for People means we're focused on just that – people. We use our unmatched AI-driven insights and proven expertise to design innovative solutions that help people achieve greater success at work. More than 1.1 million clients across 140+ countries rely on ADP's exceptional service to support their people and drive their business forward. HR, Talent, Time Management, Benefits, Compliance, and Payroll. Learn more at ADP.com.
ADP, the ADP logo, and Always Designing for People, ADP National Employment Report, and ADP Research are registered trademarks of ADP, Inc. All other marks are the property of their respective owners.
Copyright © 2026 ADP, Inc. All rights reserved.
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SOURCE ADP, Inc.
