STOCK TITAN

ADP National Employment Report Preliminary Estimate November 29, 2025

Rhea-AI Impact
(Neutral)
Rhea-AI Sentiment
(Positive)
Tags

ADP (ADP) preliminary NER Pulse for the four weeks ending Nov 29, 2025 shows U.S. private employers added an average of 16,250 jobs per week (four-week moving average, seasonally adjusted).

The print signals a hiring rebound in late November after four weeks of job losses; prior weekly four-week averages ranged from -12,000 to 11,500. The NER Pulse is preliminary, uses a two-week data lag, and may change as new data are added. The next NER Pulse will publish Jan 12, 2026.

Loading...
Loading translation...

Positive

  • 16,250 average weekly jobs added (four-week moving average) for week ending 11/29/25
  • Late-November rebound after four weeks of negative four-week averages

Negative

  • Multiple prior four-week averages were negative, including -12,000 (week ending 11/8/25)
  • Estimates are preliminary and subject to revision as new data are added

News Market Reaction

-1.05%
1 alert
-1.05% News Effect

On the day this news was published, ADP declined 1.05%, reflecting a mild negative market reaction.

Data tracked by StockTitan Argus on the day of publication.

Key Figures

Avg weekly jobs gain: 16,250 jobs Week ending 11/22/25: 2,750 jobs Week ending 11/15/25: -9,250 jobs +5 more
8 metrics
Avg weekly jobs gain 16,250 jobs Four weeks ending November 29, 2025
Week ending 11/22/25 2,750 jobs Four-week moving average change
Week ending 11/15/25 -9,250 jobs Four-week moving average change
Week ending 11/8/25 -12,000 jobs Four-week moving average change
Week ending 11/1/25 -7,250 jobs Four-week moving average change
Historical window 12 weeks NER Pulse history included per release
Release time 8:15 a.m. ET Scheduled NER Pulse publication time
Next NER Pulse date January 12, 2026 Next scheduled weekly employment estimate

Market Reality Check

Price: $212.11 Vol: Volume 2,545,349 is sligh...
normal vol
$212.11 Last Close
Volume Volume 2,545,349 is slightly above the 20-day average of 2,302,464 ahead of this macro jobs update. normal
Technical Shares at 264.95 are trading below the 200-day moving average of 294.03, and about 19.69% under the 52-week high of 329.9295.

Peers on Argus

ADP was down 0.43% while key software/data peers also traded lower (e.g., ADBE -...

ADP was down 0.43% while key software/data peers also traded lower (e.g., ADBE -0.41%, CDNS -1.74%, MSTR -7.91%, INTU -2.31%, NOW -4.11%). No peers appeared in momentum scanners, suggesting stock-specific trading around this macro employment release rather than a coordinated sector move.

Historical Context

5 past events · Latest: Dec 11 (Positive)
Pattern 5 events
Date Event Sentiment Move Catalyst
Dec 11 Product integration Positive +2.1% Embedded Thatch ICHRA integration into RUN for 900,000+ small businesses.
Dec 10 Product launch Positive +0.4% Launched Save4Retirement pooled employer 401(k) plan with named providers.
Dec 09 Awards announcement Neutral -0.2% Named finalists for 2026 HCM Distinction Awards across several categories.
Dec 09 NER Pulse update Positive -0.2% Preliminary NER Pulse showed 4,750 average weekly job gains over four weeks.
Dec 03 Jobs report Negative +1.2% Reported 32,000 private jobs lost in November with pay growth still solid.
Pattern Detected

Recent ADP macro/employment releases and product updates often saw modest price moves, with a mix of aligned and divergent reactions to the apparent news tone.

Recent Company History

Over the last few weeks, ADP news has focused on both product development and labor-market reporting. On Dec 3, it reported a 32,000 private jobs loss with pay up 4.4%, followed by multiple NER Pulse updates including 4,750 average weekly job gains for four weeks ending Nov 22. Separately, ADP launched a new pooled 401(k) plan and deepened integration with Thatch for ICHRA access across 900,000+ small businesses. Today’s NER Pulse preliminary estimate extends this stream of high-frequency employment insights.

Market Pulse Summary

This announcement highlights a preliminary rebound in hiring, with U.S. private employers adding an ...
Analysis

This announcement highlights a preliminary rebound in hiring, with U.S. private employers adding an average of 16,250 jobs per week over the four weeks ending November 29, 2025, based on ADP’s seasonally adjusted four-week moving average. It extends a series of NER Pulse updates providing 12 weeks of high-frequency labor data. Investors may track how subsequent revisions, the next release on January 12, 2026, and broader ADP employment reports interact with the stock’s position below its 200-day moving average.

Key Terms

four-week moving average, seasonally adjusted, high-frequency data, reference week
4 terms
four-week moving average technical
"an estimate of the week-over-week change in employment based on a four-week moving average"
A four-week moving average takes the most recent four weekly values of a data series (like price, sales, or trading volume), averages them, and updates that average each week by dropping the oldest week and adding the newest. It smooths out short-term ups and downs—like looking at a smoothed path instead of every single bump—so investors can more easily see underlying trends, spot momentum changes, and avoid reacting to temporary noise.
seasonally adjusted technical
"four-week moving average, seasonally adjusted"
Seasonally adjusted means that figures have been modified to remove the effects of regular and predictable changes that happen at specific times of the year, such as holidays or weather patterns. This adjustment helps reveal the true underlying trend by making comparisons across different periods more accurate. For investors, it provides a clearer picture of whether economic activity is genuinely improving or declining, without the noise of seasonal fluctuations.
high-frequency data technical
"These estimates are based on ADP's finely tuned, high-frequency data."
High-frequency data are streams of very frequent, time-stamped information about market activity — for example prices, trade sizes, and order flow updated many times per second. Investors use it like a high-speed camera to see short-lived patterns and reactions that slower reports miss, helping with rapid trading decisions, measuring market liquidity, and detecting unusual activity that can affect short-term risk and execution costs.
reference week technical
"built on a reference week that includes the 12th day of the month"
A reference week is the specific seven-day period that serves as the baseline for collecting or reporting time-sensitive data, such as employment figures, sales, or clinical measurements. It matters to investors because the choice of that week determines what activity is counted and how results compare to other periods—like picking the single frame in a video that represents the whole scene—so timing can affect perceived trends, seasonality and short-term performance.

AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

ROSELAND, N.J., Dec. 16, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- For the four weeks ending November 29, 2025, U.S. private employers added an average of 16,250 jobs per week, according to the NER Pulse, a weekly update of the monthly ADP National Employment Report (NER). 

This continued strengthening during the second half of November signals a potential rebound in hiring after four weeks of job losses. These numbers are preliminary and could change as new data is added.

Week ending     

Change 
(Four-week moving 
average, seasonally 
adjusted)

11/29/25

16,250

11/22/25

2,750

11/15/25

-9,250

11/8/25

-12,000

11/1/25

-7,250

10/25/25

-4,750

10/18/25

11,500

10/11/25

10,250

10/4/25

4,250

9/27/25

11,750

9/20/25

-7,750

9/13/25

-9,500

The NER Pulse is an estimate of the week-over-week change in employment based on a four-week moving average. These estimates are based on ADP's finely tuned, high-frequency data. The data are seasonally adjusted and have a two-week lag to allow for more complete and accurate estimates of real-time employment trends.

The NER Pulse, including 12 weeks of historical data, publishes every Tuesday at 8:15 a.m. ET, except weeks when ADP Research publishes the monthly National Employment Report which is built on a reference week that includes the 12th day of the month. The press release is available Tuesdays at 8:15 a.m. ET in the ADP Media Center. The NER Pulse is also available shortly after 8:15 a.m. ET on release days at ADP Research and in Main Street Macro.

The NER Pulse will not publish December 30, 2025 because the week ending December 13, 2025 corresponds to the reference week of the monthly National Employment Report.

The next NER Pulse will be released January 12, 2026.

The ADP National Employment Report and the NER Pulse are produced by ADP Research in collaboration with the Stanford Digital Economy Lab.

About ADP Research 
The mission of ADP Research is to make the future of work more productive through data-driven discovery. Companies, workers, and policy makers rely on our finely tuned data and unique perspective to make informed decisions that impact workplaces around the world.

To subscribe to monthly email alerts or obtain additional information about ADP Research, including employment and pay data, methodology, and a calendar of release dates, please visit https://www.adpresearch.com.

About ADP (NASDAQ: ADP)
ADP has been shaping the world of work with innovation and expertise for more than 75 years. As a global leader in HR and payroll solutions, ADP continuously works to solve business challenges for our clients and their workers, from simple, easy-to-use tools for small businesses to fully integrated platforms for global enterprises – and everything in between. Always Designing for People means we're focused on just that – people. We use our unmatched AI-driven insights and proven expertise to design innovative solutions that help people achieve greater success at work. More than 1.1 million clients across 140+ countries rely on ADP's exceptional service to support their people and drive their business forward. HR, Talent, Time Management, Benefits, Compliance, and Payroll. Learn more at ADP.com.

ADP, the ADP logo, and Always Designing for People, ADP National Employment Report, and ADP Research are registered trademarks of ADP, Inc. All other marks are the property of their respective owners.

Copyright © 2025 ADP, Inc. All rights reserved.

(PRNewsfoto/ADP, LLC)

Cision View original content to download multimedia:https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/adp-national-employment-report-preliminary-estimate-november-29-2025-302642779.html

SOURCE ADP, Inc.

FAQ

What did ADP report for the NER Pulse week ending Nov 29, 2025 (ADP)?

ADP's NER Pulse showed a four-week moving average of +16,250 jobs per week for the week ending 11/29/25.

Does the Nov 29, 2025 NER Pulse mean sustained hiring growth for ADP (ADP)?

The Nov 29 print signals a rebound but is preliminary; ADP notes the figure could change as new data are added.

How should investors interpret ADP's two-week lag in the NER Pulse (ADP)?

The NER Pulse uses a two-week data lag to improve completeness and accuracy of real-time employment trend estimates.

When will ADP publish the next NER Pulse after Nov 29, 2025?

The next NER Pulse is scheduled for release on Jan 12, 2026.

What were notable negative four-week averages before Nov 29, 2025 in ADP's series?

Notable negative four-week averages include -12,000 (week ending 11/8/25) and -9,250 (week ending 11/15/25).
Automatic Data Processing Inc

NASDAQ:ADP

ADP Rankings

ADP Latest News

ADP Latest SEC Filings

ADP Stock Data

85.40B
402.00M
0.14%
85.32%
1.57%
Software - Application
Services-computer Processing & Data Preparation
Link
United States
ROSELAND