Alaska Air Group reports third quarter 2026 results
Premium revenue grew approximately 25%, but full-year guidance includes $1.8 billion in fuel expense above plan.
Sentiment and the balance of points
Rhea-AI Sentiment reads the wording of the document, how positive or negative its language is on a 1 to 5 scale. The balance of points shown with the takes weighs what the document actually discloses, so the two can disagree, for example when a trial that missed its main goal is described in upbeat language.
Rhea-AI Summary
Alaska Air Group (NYSE: ALK) reported a third-quarter net loss of $147 million as fuel costs weighed on revenue growth. Revenue rose 14% year over year to $4.308 billion, while diluted loss per share was $1.32 versus earnings of $0.62. Adjusted earnings per share excluding certain tax impacts were $0.36; including those impacts, adjusted loss per share was $0.31. Fuel expense rose 60% to $1.214 billion.
The company expects a full-year adjusted loss of $5.50 to $5.00 per share, including $1.8 billion in fuel expense above plan. Fourth-quarter guidance calls for an adjusted loss of $2.50 to $2.00 per share and low-double-digit revenue growth per unit of capacity. Available liquidity was $3.3 billion. Alaska also announced plans to join the Atlantic and Pacific Joint International Businesses and new Seattle service to Athens, Paris, Osaka and Papeete beginning in spring 2027.
How this balance works
Rhea-AI gives every point it takes from this document a weight. Minor counts 1, Moderate 3 and Major 9, so one Major point outweighs several Minor ones. The bar adds up the weights on each side, and when neither side holds more than 65% of the total the balance reads Mixed.
It reads the document as published, with the same rules for every company, and it does not look at what the market expected or at how the stock traded, so a point can be objectively good on a day the stock falls.
Rhea-AI Sentiment measures something else, the tone of the wording.
Hollow bars mark forward-looking points. How the balance works
Positive
- Moderate pointQ3 revenue rose 14% year over year to $4.308 billion.
- Moderate pointQ3 revenue per unit of capacity rose 11.7% year over year.
- Moderate pointPremium revenue grew approximately 25%, representing more than 36% of Q3 total revenue.
- Moderate pointLoyalty cash remuneration grew 21% to $721 million in Q3.
- Moderate pointManaged corporate revenue increased 30% in Q3.
- Moderate pointSeptember yield increased approximately 17% year over year, reflecting higher revenue per passenger mile.
- Moderate point. Forward-looking: it has not happened yet and may not happen.Q4 revenue per unit of capacity is expected to increase low double digits year over year.
14 minor points
- Minor pointQ3 capacity grew 2.4% versus 2025.
- Minor pointQ3 passenger revenue increased 13% year over year to $3.885 billion.
- Minor pointQ3 loyalty program other revenue increased 32% year over year to $263 million.
- Minor pointQ3 cargo and other revenue increased 13% year over year to $160 million.
- Minor pointNine-month revenue increased 10% year over year to $11.673 billion.
- Minor pointOperating cash flow totaled $755 million for the first nine months, including $149 million in Q3.
- Minor pointAvailable liquidity totaled $3.3 billion, including unrestricted cash, marketable securities and undrawn credit facilities.
- Minor pointApproximately $20 billion of unencumbered assets at September 30 included 134 aircraft and loyalty program assets.
- Minor point. Forward-looking: it has not happened yet and may not happen.Q4 capacity growth of 1% to 1.5% is expected versus 2025, concentrated in international flying.
- Minor point. Forward-looking: it has not happened yet and may not happen.Seattle service to Athens, Paris, Osaka and Papeete is planned to begin in spring 2027.
- Minor point. Forward-looking: it has not happened yet and may not happen.Domestic network expansion includes new routes from Portland, San Diego and Paine Field, plus increased Paine Field service.
- Minor pointQ3 special operating charges fell 61% year over year to $25 million.
- Minor pointQ3 variable incentive pay expense fell 4% year over year to $68 million.
- Minor pointQ3 third-party regional carrier expense fell 1% year over year to $71 million.
Negative
- Major point. Forward-looking: it has not happened yet and may not happen.Full-year adjusted loss guidance is $5.50 to $5.00 per share, including $1.8 billion fuel expense above plan.
- Moderate point. Forward-looking: it has not happened yet and may not happen.Q4 adjusted loss guidance is $2.50 to $2.00 per share.
- Moderate pointQ3 GAAP net loss was $147 million, versus net income of $73 million a year earlier.
- Moderate pointQ3 fuel expense rose 60% year over year to $1.214 billion.
- Moderate pointQ3 non-fuel cost per unit of capacity rose 4.4% versus 2025.
- Moderate point. Forward-looking: it has not happened yet and may not happen.Q4 non-fuel cost per unit of capacity is expected to rise mid single digits versus 2025.
- Moderate pointQ3 operating income fell 45% year over year to $82 million.
- Moderate pointLong-term debt and finance leases, excluding current maturities, rose to $5.269 billion from $4.834 billion at year-end.
- Moderate pointShareholders' equity fell to $3.530 billion from $4.118 billion at December 31, 2025.
- Moderate pointInternational joint-business participation remains an intent, rather than a completed entry into the Atlantic and Pacific arrangements.
18 minor points
- Minor pointQ3 diluted loss was $1.32 per share, versus earnings of $0.62 a year earlier.
- Minor pointQ3 adjusted net loss was $35 million, or $0.31 per share, including certain tax impacts.
- Minor pointTax catch-up adjustment reduced Q3 adjusted earnings by $0.67 per share following a revised annual tax estimate.
- Minor pointQ3 economic fuel cost was $3.94 per gallon, above the prior $3.75 expectation.
- Minor point. Forward-looking: it has not happened yet and may not happen.Q4 economic fuel cost is expected at $4.65 to $4.85 per gallon, $650 million above initial plan.
- Minor pointNine-month net loss reached $416 million, versus net income of $79 million a year earlier.
- Minor pointNine-month operating loss was $365 million, versus operating income of $228 million a year earlier.
- Minor pointQ3 interest expense increased 39% year over year to $97 million.
- Minor pointQ3 wages and benefits rose 5% year over year to $1.287 billion.
- Minor pointQ3 aircraft maintenance expense rose 8% year over year to $257 million.
- Minor pointQ3 landing fees and other rentals rose 9% year over year to $333 million.
- Minor pointQ3 contracted services expense rose 8% year over year to $163 million.
- Minor pointQ3 depreciation and amortization rose 6% year over year to $216 million.
- Minor pointQ3 selling expense rose 10% year over year to $118 million.
- Minor pointQ3 food and beverage service expense rose 10% year over year to $110 million.
- Minor pointQ3 aircraft rent increased 3% year over year to $66 million.
- Minor pointQ3 other operating expense rose 16% year over year to $298 million.
- Minor pointCurrent debt and finance lease obligations rose to $890 million from $721 million at year-end.
Key Figures
- GAAP net loss
- ($147) million
- Third quarter 2026
- GAAP loss per share
- ($1.32)
- Third quarter 2026
- Adjusted EPS, excluding certain tax impacts
- $0.36
- Third quarter 2026
- Tax adjustment to adjusted EPS
- ($0.67) per share
- Third quarter 2026; cumulative catch-up adjustment
- Operating revenue
- $4.3 billion, up 14%
- Third quarter 2026 year over year
- Fuel expense above plan
- $1.8 billion
- Full-year 2026
- Adjusted loss per share guidance
- ($5.50) to ($5.00)
- Full-year 2026
- Adjusted loss per share guidance
- ($2.50) to ($2.00)
- Fourth quarter 2026
Previous Earnings Reports
-
Reported a $76 million GAAP net loss and a $102 million adjusted net loss.
-
Reported a $193 million GAAP net loss and a 9.6% negative pretax margin.
24h Move is the share-price change in the day after each event; other market factors may also have contributed.
Key Terms
gaap financial
rasm technical
aetr financial
AI-generated analysis. How Rhea-AI works. Not financial advice.
Reported loss per share of (
Announced intent to join the Atlantic and Pacific Joint International Businesses with oneworld and global partners
New service to
"At Investor Day, we laid out a clear strategy for building a stronger, more diversified business, and we're executing it: growing premium, international, cargo and Atmos Rewards, and investing in the guest experience," said Alaska Air Group CEO Ben Minicucci. "Those are the things that earn guest loyalty, diversify our revenue and ultimately drive stronger earnings. While we're not satisfied with this quarter's result or the
Quarter in Review:
Air Group reported third quarter Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP) pretax margin of
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Q3 2026 Results |
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Prior Expectation |
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Actual Results |
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Capacity (ASMs) % change versus 2025 |
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Up |
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Up |
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RASM % change versus 2025 |
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Up low double digits |
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Up |
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CASMex % change versus 2025 |
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Up low to mid single digits |
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Up |
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Economic fuel cost per gallon |
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Adjusted earnings per share, excluding certain tax impacts(a) |
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(a) These results reflect a Q3 adjusted effective tax rate of |
Third quarter results were driven by strong underlying commercial momentum despite a significant fuel headwind. Revenue increased
Air Group's diversified revenue, which represents operating revenue outside the main cabin, has grown to
During the third quarter, the Company reduced its estimated annual effective tax rate (AETR) following a change in its full-year outlook from pretax income to a pretax loss, driven primarily by elevated fuel prices. As a result, the Company recorded a cumulative catch-up adjustment related to tax benefits recognized on first-half losses, which reduced third quarter adjusted earnings per share by (
Fourth Quarter Forecast Information:
Looking ahead, demand remains healthy, with commercial momentum continuing into the fourth quarter. Air Group expects capacity to grow approximately
Elevated fuel costs are expected to remain a significant headwind to near-term profitability, with our guidance assuming a fourth quarter economic fuel cost of
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Q4 2026 Expectation |
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Capacity (ASMs) % change versus 2025 |
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Up |
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RASM % change versus 2025 |
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Up low double-digits |
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CASMex % change versus 2025 |
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Up mid single-digits |
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Economic fuel cost per gallon |
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Adjusted loss per share(a) |
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( |
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(a) Q4 loss per share guidance assumes non-operating expense of approximately |
Commercial Updates:
- Announced intent to join the Atlantic and Pacific Joint International Businesses with oneworld and global partners, broadening international connectivity for guests and increasing access to premium worldwide travel opportunities.
- Unveiled Aurora and Leihōkū by
Alaska and Hawaiian, new premium guest experiences designed to elevate travel, featuring spacious lie flat suites, access to exclusive check-in and concierge services, and elevated dining options. Aurora will be featured onAlaska's Boeing 787 fleet and select transcontinental routes operated by new 737-10 MAX aircraft, while Leihōkū will be featured on Hawaiian's A330 fleet. - Introduced Premium Reserve, a new premium economy product set to debut in 2028 on
Alaska's 787-9, 787-10 and select 737-10 MAX aircraft and on Hawaiian's A330 fleet, offering guests enhanced comfort, space, and choice on longer flights.
Loyalty Updates:
- Loyalty program cash remuneration grew
21% to in the third quarter.$721 million - Beginning in October, Atmos Rewards members can choose how they earn points and status points - by distance traveled, price paid, or segments flown - on flights departing on or after January 1, 2027.
- Announced enhancements to Atmos Rewards, including expanded card offerings with the launch of an Atmos debit card in early 2027, four new Atmos communities, and additional program partnerships.
- Launched new and improved benefits for Huakaʻi by Hawaiian members, including two free checked bags for Neighbor Island travel and additional ways to earn Atmos Rewards points.
Network Updates:
- Announced new nonstop service from
Seattle toAthens ,Paris ,Osaka , and Papeete beginning in spring 2027, further strengthening our position asSeattle's largest international carrier. - Announced domestic route expansions, including new routes from
Portland to Steamboat Springs,San Diego toLoreto, Mexico and Paine Field toSan Jose , alongside increased service from Paine Field toPortland ,San Diego andLos Angeles .
Liquidity Updates:
- Generated
of operating cash flow during the first nine months of 2026.$755 million - Held
in available liquidity, including unrestricted cash, marketable securities, and undrawn credit facilities.$3.3 billion - Had approximately
$20 billion of unencumbered assets at September 30, 2026, including 134 aircraft and the unencumbered portion of our loyalty program assets.
Other Highlights:
- Amaresh Siva named
Alaska's Chief Information Technology Officer, joining the company from CVS Health. Siva will serve on the company's Executive Committee. - Alaska Airlines and Hawaiian Airlines were recognized with the 2026 APEX Five Star Major Airline Award.
- Alaska Airlines recognized by the Skytrax World Airline Awards as the #1 Cleanest Airline in
North America and the #2 Best Regional Airline inNorth America . - SVP of Merchandising and Innovation Charu Jain was recognized as one of Time's 2026 Tech and Data Executives of the Year.
A conference call regarding the third quarter results will be streamed online at 11:30 a.m. EDT/ 8:30 a.m. PDT on October 21, 2026. It can be accessed at www.alaskaair.com/investors. For those unable to listen to the live broadcast, a replay will be available after the conclusion of the call.
References in this update to "Air Group," "Company," "we," "us," and "our" refer to Alaska Air Group, Inc. and its subsidiaries, unless otherwise specified.
This news release may contain forward-looking statements subject to the safe harbor protection provided by Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, and the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements relate to future events and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that may cause actual outcomes to be materially different from those indicated by our forward-looking statements, assumptions or beliefs. For a discussion of risks and uncertainties that may cause our forward-looking statements to differ materially, see Item 1A of the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025. Some of these risks include competition, labor costs, relations and availability, general economic conditions, increases in operating costs including fuel, uncertainties regarding the ability to successfully integrate operations following the acquisition of Hawaiian Holdings, Inc. and the ability to realize anticipated cost savings, synergies, or growth from the acquisition, inability to meet cost reduction and other strategic goals, seasonal fluctuations in demand and financial results, supply chain risks, events that negatively impact aviation safety and security, cybersecurity risks, and changes in laws and regulations that impact our business. All of the forward-looking statements are qualified in their entirety by reference to the risk factors discussed in our most recent Form 10-K and in our subsequent SEC filings. We operate in a continually changing business environment, and new risk factors emerge from time to time. Management cannot predict such new risk factors, nor can it assess the impact, if any, of such new risk factors on our business or events described in any forward-looking statements. We expressly disclaim any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements made today to conform them to actual results. Over time, our actual results, performance or achievements may differ from the anticipated results, performance or achievements that are expressed or implied by our forward-looking statements, assumptions or beliefs and such differences might be significant and materially adverse.
Alaska Airlines, Hawaiian Airlines and Horizon Air are subsidiaries of Alaska Air Group, and McGee Air Services is a subsidiary of Alaska Airlines. We are a global airline with hubs in Seattle, Honolulu, Portland, Anchorage, Los Angeles, San Diego and San Francisco. We deliver remarkable care as we fly our guests to more than 140 destinations throughout North America, Latin America, Asia, the Pacific and Europe. Guests can book travel at alaskaair.com and hawaiianairlines.com. Alaska and Hawaiian are members of the oneworld alliance. Members of our Atmos Rewards loyalty program can earn and redeem points with oneworld airlines and our additional global partners that serve over 1,100 worldwide destinations. Learn more about what's happening at Alaska and Hawaiian at news.alaskaair.com. Alaska Air Group is traded on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) as "ALK."
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CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS (unaudited) |
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Three Months Ended September 30, |
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Nine Months Ended September 30, |
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|
(in millions, except per share amounts) |
2026 |
|
2025 |
|
Change |
|
2026 |
|
2025 |
|
Change |
|
Operating Revenue |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Passenger revenue |
$ 3,885 |
|
$ 3,424 |
|
13 % |
|
$ 10,449 |
|
$ 9,587 |
|
9 % |
|
Loyalty program other revenue |
263 |
|
200 |
|
32 % |
|
748 |
|
617 |
|
21 % |
|
Cargo and other revenue |
160 |
|
142 |
|
13 % |
|
476 |
|
403 |
|
18 % |
|
Total Operating Revenue |
4,308 |
|
3,766 |
|
14 % |
|
11,673 |
|
10,607 |
|
10 % |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Operating Expenses |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Wages and benefits |
1,287 |
|
1,226 |
|
5 % |
|
3,768 |
|
3,518 |
|
7 % |
|
Variable incentive pay |
68 |
|
71 |
|
(4 %) |
|
163 |
|
194 |
|
(16 %) |
|
Aircraft fuel |
1,214 |
|
761 |
|
60 % |
|
3,315 |
|
2,142 |
|
55 % |
|
Aircraft maintenance |
257 |
|
238 |
|
8 % |
|
729 |
|
698 |
|
4 % |
|
Aircraft rent |
66 |
|
64 |
|
3 % |
|
191 |
|
190 |
|
1 % |
|
Landing fees and other rentals |
333 |
|
305 |
|
9 % |
|
929 |
|
825 |
|
13 % |
|
Contracted services |
163 |
|
151 |
|
8 % |
|
472 |
|
442 |
|
7 % |
|
Selling expenses |
118 |
|
107 |
|
10 % |
|
332 |
|
312 |
|
6 % |
|
Depreciation and amortization |
216 |
|
203 |
|
6 % |
|
627 |
|
596 |
|
5 % |
|
Food and beverage service |
110 |
|
100 |
|
10 % |
|
312 |
|
282 |
|
11 % |
|
Third-party regional carrier expense |
71 |
|
72 |
|
(1 %) |
|
195 |
|
205 |
|
(5 %) |
|
Other |
298 |
|
256 |
|
16 % |
|
903 |
|
764 |
|
18 % |
|
Special items - operating |
25 |
|
64 |
|
(61 %) |
|
102 |
|
211 |
|
(52 %) |
|
Total Operating Expenses |
4,226 |
|
3,618 |
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17 % |
|
12,038 |
|
10,379 |
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16 % |
|
Operating Income (Loss) |
82 |
|
148 |
|
(45 %) |
|
(365) |
|
228 |
|
NM |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Non-operating Income (Expense) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Interest income |
22 |
|
23 |
|
(4 %) |
|
62 |
|
71 |
|
(13 %) |
|
Interest expense |
(97) |
|
(70) |
|
39 % |
|
(259) |
|
(202) |
|
28 % |
|
Interest capitalized |
14 |
|
8 |
|
75 % |
|
37 |
|
29 |
|
28 % |
|
Other - net |
(3) |
|
2 |
|
NM |
|
12 |
|
(10) |
|
NM |
|
Total Non-operating Expense |
(64) |
|
(37) |
|
73 % |
|
(148) |
|
(112) |
|
32 % |
|
Income (Loss) Before Income Tax |
18 |
|
111 |
|
|
|
(513) |
|
116 |
|
|
|
Income tax expense (benefit) |
165 |
|
38 |
|
|
|
(97) |
|
37 |
|
|
|
Net Income (Loss) |
$ (147) |
|
$ 73 |
|
|
|
$ (416) |
|
$ 79 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Basic Earnings (Loss) Per Share |
$ (1.32) |
|
$ 0.63 |
|
|
|
$ (3.70) |
|
$ 0.66 |
|
|
|
Diluted Earnings (Loss) Per Share |
$ (1.32) |
|
$ 0.62 |
|
|
|
$ (3.70) |
|
$ 0.65 |
|
|
|
Weighted Average Shares Outstanding used for |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Basic |
111.611 |
|
115.287 |
|
|
|
112.334 |
|
119.061 |
|
|
|
Diluted |
111.611 |
|
117.500 |
|
|
|
112.334 |
|
121.193 |
|
|
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CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS (unaudited) |
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|
(in millions, except share amounts) |
September |
|
December |
|
ASSETS |
|
|
|
|
Cash and cash equivalents |
$ 835 |
|
$ 627 |
|
Restricted cash |
34 |
|
28 |
|
Marketable securities |
1,396 |
|
1,496 |
|
Receivables - net |
656 |
|
565 |
|
Inventories and supplies - net |
249 |
|
203 |
|
Prepaid expenses |
234 |
|
278 |
|
Other current assets |
37 |
|
69 |
|
Total Current Assets |
3,441 |
|
3,266 |
|
Property and equipment - net of accumulated depreciation and amortization of |
12,280 |
|
11,857 |
|
Operating lease assets |
1,325 |
|
1,268 |
|
Goodwill |
2,723 |
|
2,723 |
|
Intangible assets - net of accumulated amortization of |
773 |
|
815 |
|
Other noncurrent assets |
487 |
|
432 |
|
Total Noncurrent Assets |
17,588 |
|
17,095 |
|
Total Assets |
$ 21,029 |
|
$ 20,361 |
|
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY |
|
|
|
|
Accounts payable |
$ 443 |
|
$ 324 |
|
Accrued wages, vacation and payroll taxes |
853 |
|
881 |
|
Air traffic liability |
2,129 |
|
1,689 |
|
Other accrued liabilities |
1,154 |
|
1,055 |
|
Deferred revenue |
1,854 |
|
1,722 |
|
Current portion of long-term debt and finance leases |
890 |
|
721 |
|
Current portion of operating lease liabilities |
222 |
|
197 |
|
Total Current Liabilities |
7,545 |
|
6,589 |
|
Long-term debt and finance leases, net of current portion |
5,269 |
|
4,834 |
|
Operating lease liabilities, net of current portion |
1,138 |
|
1,141 |
|
Deferred income taxes |
909 |
|
1,004 |
|
Deferred revenue |
1,690 |
|
1,711 |
|
Obligation for pension and post-retirement medical benefits |
324 |
|
369 |
|
Other liabilities |
624 |
|
595 |
|
Total Noncurrent Liabilities |
9,954 |
|
9,654 |
|
Shareholders' Equity |
|
|
|
|
Preferred stock, |
— |
|
— |
|
Common stock, |
1 |
|
1 |
|
Capital in excess of par value |
1,053 |
|
961 |
|
Treasury stock (common), at cost: 2026 - 35,520,902 shares; 2025 - 29,584,770 shares |
(1,951) |
|
(1,701) |
|
Accumulated other comprehensive loss |
(187) |
|
(173) |
|
Retained earnings |
4,614 |
|
5,030 |
|
Total Shareholders' Equity |
3,530 |
|
4,118 |
|
Total Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity |
$ 21,029 |
|
$ 20,361 |
|
SUMMARY CASH FLOW (unaudited) |
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|
|
|
|
|
Alaska Air Group, Inc. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(in millions) |
Nine Months |
|
Six Months Ended |
|
Three Months |
|
Cash Flows from Operating Activities: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net Loss |
$ (416) |
|
$ (269) |
|
$ (147) |
|
Adjustments to reconcile net loss to net cash provided by |
691 |
|
453 |
|
238 |
|
Changes in working capital |
480 |
|
422 |
|
58 |
|
Net cash provided by operating activities |
755 |
|
606 |
|
149 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cash Flows from Investing Activities: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Property and equipment additions |
(965) |
|
(523) |
|
(442) |
|
Other investing activities |
73 |
|
(112) |
|
185 |
|
Net cash used in investing activities |
(892) |
|
(635) |
|
(257) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cash Flows from Financing Activities: |
367 |
|
472 |
|
(105) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents |
230 |
|
443 |
|
(213) |
|
Cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash at beginning of |
684 |
|
684 |
|
1,127 |
|
Cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash at end of the |
$ 914 |
|
$ 1,127 |
|
$ 914 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reconciliation of cash, cash equivalents, and restricted |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cash and cash equivalents |
$ 835 |
|
$ 1,064 |
|
|
|
Restricted cash |
34 |
|
33 |
|
|
|
Restricted cash included in Other noncurrent assets |
45 |
|
30 |
|
|
|
Total cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash at end of |
$ 914 |
|
$ 1,127 |
|
|
|
|
|
(a) As reported in Form 10-Q for the second quarter of 2026. |
|
(b) Cash flows for the three months ended September 30, 2026 can be calculated by subtracting cash flows from the six months ended June 30, 2026 from the nine months ended September 30, 2026. |
|
OPERATING STATISTICS (unaudited) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
|
A manual recalculation of certain figures using rounded amounts may not agree directly to the actual figures presented in the |
|||||||||||
|
|
Three Months Ended September 30, |
|
Nine Months Ended September 30, |
||||||||
|
|
2026 |
|
2025 |
|
Change |
|
2026 |
|
2025 |
|
Change |
|
Consolidated Operating Statistics:(a) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Revenue passengers (000) |
15,706 |
|
15,879 |
|
(1.1) % |
|
44,095 |
|
44,272 |
|
(0.4) % |
|
RPMs (000,000) "traffic" |
20,733 |
|
20,739 |
|
— % |
|
58,045 |
|
58,174 |
|
(0.2) % |
|
ASMs (000,000) "capacity" |
25,031 |
|
24,447 |
|
2.4 % |
|
70,907 |
|
69,724 |
|
1.7 % |
|
Load factor |
82.8 % |
|
84.8 % |
|
(2.0) pts |
|
81.9 % |
|
83.4 % |
|
(1.5) pts |
|
Yield |
18.73¢ |
|
16.51¢ |
|
13.4 % |
|
18.00¢ |
|
16.48¢ |
|
9.2 % |
|
PRASM |
15.52¢ |
|
14.00¢ |
|
10.9 % |
|
14.74¢ |
|
13.75¢ |
|
7.2 % |
|
RASM |
17.21¢ |
|
15.41¢ |
|
11.7 % |
|
16.46¢ |
|
15.21¢ |
|
8.2 % |
|
CASMex(b) |
11.46¢ |
|
10.98¢ |
|
4.4 % |
|
11.71¢ |
|
11.08¢ |
|
5.7 % |
|
Fuel cost per gallon(c) |
|
|
|
|
57.0 % |
|
|
|
|
|
52.4 % |
|
Fuel gallons (000,000)(c) |
308 |
|
303 |
|
1.7 % |
|
870 |
|
859 |
|
1.3 % |
|
ASMs per gallon |
81.3 |
|
80.6 |
|
0.9 % |
|
81.5 |
|
81.1 |
|
0.5 % |
|
Departures (000) |
146.0 |
|
144.0 |
|
1.4 % |
|
410.6 |
|
407.4 |
|
0.8 % |
|
Average full-time equivalent employees |
32,171 |
|
32,590 |
|
(1.3) % |
|
31,787 |
|
31,221 |
|
1.8 % |
|
Operating fleet(d) |
424 |
|
406 |
|
18 a/c |
|
424 |
|
406 |
|
18 a/c |
|
|
|
(a) Except for FTEs, data includes activity under a capacity purchase agreement with a third-party regional carrier. |
|
(b) See a reconciliation of this non-GAAP measure and Note A for a discussion of the importance of this measure to investors in the accompanying pages. |
|
(c) Excludes operations under the Air Transportation Services Agreement (ATSA) with Amazon. |
|
(d) Includes owned and leased aircraft as well as aircraft operated under a capacity purchase agreement with a third-party regional carrier. |
GAAP TO NON-GAAP RECONCILIATIONS (unaudited)
Alaska Air Group, Inc.
We are providing reconciliations of reported non-GAAP financial measures to their most directly comparable financial measures reported on a GAAP basis. Amounts in the tables below are rounded to the nearest million. As a result, a manual recalculation of certain figures using these rounded amounts may not agree directly to the amounts presented. These reconciliations include adjustments intended to improve comparability and provide a clearer view of the Company's core operating performance.
Losses (gains) on foreign debt and other primarily reflect unrealized and realized gains or losses resulting from changes in foreign currency exchange rates on certain debt. In 2025, these expenses also included mark-to-market fuel hedge adjustments.
Special items - operating primarily relate to costs associated with the integration of Hawaiian Airlines, including employee-related costs, technology costs, and other merger-related expenses. It also includes certain litigation costs. In 2025, these expenses also included costs related to changes in
During the third quarter of 2026, the Company revised its full-year outlook from a pretax income to a pretax loss primarily due to elevated fuel prices. This reduced the Company's estimated AETR. Because the Company incurred pretax losses in the first half of 2026, the lower tax rate reduced the expected tax benefit associated with those losses by
The
|
Pretax Income (Loss), Net Income (Loss), and Earnings (Loss) per Share, |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||
|
|
Three Months Ended September 30, |
||||||||||||||
|
|
2026 |
|
2025 |
||||||||||||
|
(in millions, except per share amounts) |
Income |
|
Income |
|
Net |
|
Per |
|
Income |
|
Income |
|
Net |
|
Per |
|
GAAP |
$ 18 |
|
$ 165 |
|
$ (147) |
|
$ (1.32) |
|
|
|
$ 38 |
|
$ 73 |
|
$ 0.62 |
|
Adjusted for: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Losses (gains) on foreign debt and |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(2) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Special items - operating |
25 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
64 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total adjustments |
31 |
|
(81) |
|
112 |
|
1.01 |
|
62 |
|
12 |
|
50 |
|
0.43 |
|
Adjusted |
$ 49 |
|
$ 84 |
|
$ (35) |
|
$ (0.31) |
|
|
|
$ 50 |
|
$ 123 |
|
$ 1.05 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Impact of cumulative catch-up |
— |
|
75 |
|
(75) |
|
(0.67) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Adjusted, excluding certain tax impacts |
$ 49 |
|
$ 9 |
|
$ 40 |
|
$ 0.36 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
GAAP pretax margin |
0.4 % |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2.9 % |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Adjusted pretax margin |
1.1 % |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4.6 % |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||
|
|
Nine Months Ended September 30, |
||||||||||||||
|
|
2026 |
|
2025 |
||||||||||||
|
(in millions, except per share amounts) |
Loss |
|
Income |
|
Net |
|
Per |
|
Income |
|
Income |
|
Net |
|
Per |
|
GAAP |
$ (513) |
|
$ (97) |
|
$ (416) |
|
$ (3.70) |
|
|
|
$ 37 |
|
$ 79 |
|
$ 0.65 |
|
Adjusted for: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Losses (gains) on foreign debt and |
(1) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Special items - operating |
102 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
211 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total adjustments |
101 |
|
14 |
|
87 |
|
0.77 |
|
212 |
|
48 |
|
164 |
|
1.36 |
|
Adjusted |
$ (412) |
|
$ (83) |
|
$ (329) |
|
$ (2.93) |
|
|
|
$ 85 |
|
$ 243 |
|
$ 2.01 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
GAAP pretax margin |
(4.4) % |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.1 % |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Adjusted pretax margin |
(3.5) % |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.1 % |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
CASMex Reconciliation |
|||||||
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
Nine Months Ended September |
||||
|
(in millions, except unit metrics) |
2026 |
|
2025 |
|
2026 |
|
2025 |
|
Total operating expenses |
$ 4,226 |
|
$ 3,618 |
|
$ 12,038 |
|
$ 10,379 |
|
Less the following components: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Aircraft fuel |
1,214 |
|
761 |
|
3,315 |
|
2,142 |
|
Freighter costs |
53 |
|
47 |
|
157 |
|
136 |
|
Performance-based pay |
66 |
|
62 |
|
158 |
|
163 |
|
Special items - operating |
25 |
|
64 |
|
102 |
|
211 |
|
Adjusted operating expenses |
$ 2,868 |
|
$ 2,684 |
|
$ 8,306 |
|
$ 7,727 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
ASMs |
25,031 |
|
24,447 |
|
70,907 |
|
69,724 |
|
CASMex |
11.46¢ |
|
10.98¢ |
|
11.71¢ |
|
11.08¢ |
|
Adjusted Capital Expenditures Reconciliation |
|||
|
|
Nine Months Ended September 30, |
||
|
(in millions) |
2026 |
|
2025 |
|
Aircraft, aircraft purchase deposits, and other flight equipment |
$ 790 |
|
$ 744 |
|
Other property and equipment |
175 |
|
219 |
|
Capital expenditures |
965 |
|
963 |
|
Adjusted for: |
|
|
|
|
Property and equipment acquired through the issuance of debt |
72 |
|
69 |
|
Proceeds from sales of aircraft and other equipment |
(10) |
|
(162) |
|
Adjusted capital expenditures |
$ 1,027 |
|
$ 870 |
|
Debt-to-capitalization, including leases |
|||
|
(in millions) |
September 30, 2026 |
|
December 31, 2025 |
|
Long-term debt and finance leases, net of current portion |
$ 5,269 |
|
$ 4,834 |
|
Operating lease liabilities, net of current portion |
1,138 |
|
1,141 |
|
Short-term EETC debt maturing in 2027 |
512 |
|
— |
|
Adjusted debt, net of current portion(a) |
6,919 |
|
5,975 |
|
Shareholders' equity |
3,530 |
|
4,118 |
|
Total Invested Capital |
$ 10,449 |
|
$ 10,093 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Debt-to-capitalization ratio, including leases |
66 % |
|
59 % |
|
|
|
(a) For September 30, 2026, the Company is presenting its short-term EETC debt, maturing in the third quarter of 2027, within its debt-to-capitalization ratio. At December 31, 2025, this debt was included within Long-term debt and finance leases, net of current portion. |
|
Adjusted net debt to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, amortization, fixed portion of operating lease expense, |
|||
|
(in millions) |
September 30, 2026 |
|
December 31, 2025 |
|
Long-term debt and finance leases |
$ 6,159 |
|
$ 5,555 |
|
Operating lease liabilities |
1,360 |
|
1,338 |
|
Adjusted debt |
7,519 |
|
6,893 |
|
Less: Total unrestricted cash and marketable securities |
2,231 |
|
2,123 |
|
Adjusted net debt |
$ 5,288 |
|
$ 4,770 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(in millions) |
Twelve Months Ended |
|
Twelve Months Ended |
|
Operating Income (Loss)(a) |
$ (290) |
|
$ 303 |
|
Adjusted for: |
|
|
|
|
Special items - operating |
141 |
|
250 |
|
Gains on foreign debt and other |
(5) |
|
(3) |
|
Depreciation and amortization |
826 |
|
795 |
|
Fixed portion of operating lease expense |
283 |
|
279 |
|
EBITDAR |
$ 955 |
|
$ 1,624 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Adjusted net debt to EBITDAR |
5.5x |
|
2.9x |
|
|
|
(a) Operating income (loss) can be reconciled using the trailing twelve month operating income as filed quarterly with the SEC. |
Note A: Pursuant to Regulation G, we provide reconciliations of reported non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures. We believe these non-GAAP measures provide meaningful supplemental information to investors for the following reasons:
- Pretax income (loss), net income (loss), and earnings (loss) per share are presented on an adjusted basis. Adjustments are made for special charges that are unusual or nonrecurring in nature, as well as for gains and losses on foreign debt, as these adjustments enhance comparability of our core operations to prior periods and to the rest of the airline industry.
- CASMex is a key measure used by management and the Air Group Board of Directors to evaluate cost performance. It is also commonly used by industry analysts to compare airlines. Because
U.S . carriers are generally similarly affected by changes in jet fuel prices over the long run, aircraft fuel costs are excluded to focus on more controllable, company-specific cost drivers. Costs related to freighter aircraft operations, including those incurred under the ATSA with Amazon, are excluded to enhance comparability with carriers that do not operate freighter aircraft. Performance‑Based Pay (PBP) expense is excluded as it is dependent on the Company's achievement of annually established financial and operational goals. Certain special charges are excluded as they are unusual or nonrecurring in nature. - Adjusted capital expenditures includes certain amounts that are not classified as investing cash outflows within our consolidated statements of cash flows, but are viewed by management and other stakeholders as significant long-term investments in the business. Management believes these adjustments provide a more complete view of capital expenditures during the year.
- Liquidity and leverage measures, including debt-to-capitalization and adjusted net debt to EBITDAR, are presented to provide insight into the Company's financial position and flexibility. In 2026, we made adjustments to the calculation of these metrics to enhance comparability with our peers. The debt-to-capitalization ratio now excludes the current portion of operating and finance lease liabilities, with prior periods recast for consistency. Additionally, EBITDAR was adjusted to reflect the fixed portion of operating leases rather than total aircraft rent to better reflect performance, with prior periods recast accordingly.
GLOSSARY OF TERMS
Adjusted debt - long-term debt, plus operating and finance lease liabilities
Adjusted net debt - long-term debt, plus operating and finance lease liabilities, less unrestricted cash and marketable securities
Adjusted net debt to EBITDAR - represents adjusted net debt divided by EBITDAR (trailing twelve months earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, amortization, fixed portion of operating leases, and special items)
ASMs - available seat miles, or "capacity"; represents total seats available across the fleet multiplied by the number of miles flown
CASMex - operating costs excluding fuel, freighter costs, Performance-Based Pay (PBP), and special items per ASM, or "unit cost"
Debt-to-capitalization ratio - represents adjusted debt, net of current portion, divided by total equity plus adjusted debt, net of current portion
Diluted Earnings per Share - represents earnings per share (EPS) using fully diluted shares outstanding
Diluted Shares - represents the total number of shares that would be outstanding if all possible sources of conversion, such as stock options, were exercised
Freighter Costs - operating expenses directly attributable to the operation of B737 freighter aircraft and A330-300 freighter aircraft exclusively performing cargo missions
Load Factor - RPMs as a percentage of ASMs; represents the number of available seats that were filled with revenue passengers
PRASM - passenger revenue per ASM, or "passenger unit revenue"
RASM - operating revenue per ASMs, or "unit revenue"; operating revenue includes all passenger revenue, freight & mail, loyalty program revenue, and other ancillary revenue; represents the average total revenue for flying one seat one mile
RPMs - revenue passenger miles, or "traffic"; represents the number of seats that were filled with revenue passengers; one passenger traveling one mile is one RPM
Yield - passenger revenue per RPM; represents the average passenger revenue for flying one passenger one mile
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SOURCE Alaska Air Group
FAQ
AI-generated questions and answers. How Rhea-AI works. Not financial advice.
What were Alaska Air Group's third-quarter 2026 earnings?
Alaska Air Group reported a GAAP net loss of $147 million, or $1.32 per share. Adjusted net loss was $35 million, or $0.31 per share. Excluding certain tax impacts, adjusted net income was $49 million, or $0.36 per share.
What is Alaska Air Group's fourth-quarter and full-year 2026 guidance?
Alaska expects an adjusted loss of $2.50 to $2.00 per share in Q4 and $5.50 to $5.00 per share for the full year. Full-year guidance includes $1.8 billion in fuel expense above plan. Q4 economic fuel cost is expected to be $4.65 to $4.85 per gallon.
Why did Alaska Air Group record a third-quarter 2026 tax adjustment?
Alaska reduced its estimated annual effective tax rate after its full-year outlook shifted from pretax income to a pretax loss, primarily because of elevated fuel prices.
The resulting catch-up adjustment related to tax benefits recognized on first-half losses reduced Q3 adjusted earnings by $0.67 per share.
What assumptions underpin Alaska Air Group's fourth-quarter 2026 loss guidance?
Alaska's Q4 guidance assumes approximately $70 million in non-operating expense, a tax rate of approximately 20%, and approximately 112.5 million shares outstanding.