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Couloir Capital is Pleased to Announce That it Has Updated its Research Coverage on Almonty Industries

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Couloir Capital updated research on Almonty Industries (NASDAQ: ALM), raising its long-term APT price assumption to US$800/MTU from US$450/MTU and updating fair value to C$19.30 (from C$7.69).

Sangdong entered active operations in December 2025 with a staged ramp to nameplate by 2027. The report maintains a HOLD rating while noting Panasqueira expansion, Sangdong moly reserve work, and Gentung Browns Lake development toward potential 2H26 readiness.

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Positive

  • APT price assumption increased to US$800/MTU
  • Fair value revised to C$19.30 (from C$7.69)
  • Sangdong entered active operations in Dec 2025
  • Staged ramp toward nameplate capacity by 2027

Negative

  • Analyst rating remains HOLD despite valuation upgrade
  • Revaluation depends on sustained higher tungsten prices

News Market Reaction – ALM

+7.18%
59 alerts
+7.18% Session close to close
+7.3% Peak in 22 hr 52 min
$4.39B Market Cap
0.7x Rel. Volume

In the Feb 24 session, ALM gained 7.18%, reflecting a notable positive market reaction. Argus tracked a peak move of +7.3% during that session. Our momentum scanner triggered 59 alerts that day, indicating high trading interest and price volatility.

Data tracked by StockTitan Argus on the day of publication.

Market Context

The stock moved +7.2% in the session following this news. A strong positive reaction aligns with a b...
Analysis

The stock moved +7.2% in the session following this news. A strong positive reaction aligns with a backdrop of structurally tighter tungsten markets and Almonty’s transition into active operations at Sangdong. Recent history shows multiple news events drawing favorable price responses. Investors may weigh how higher APT price assumptions and a new fair value of C$19.30 per share interact with execution risks around the Sangdong ramp and timelines for Panasqueira expansion and Gentung Browns Lake development.

Key Figures

Benchmark APT price: US$1,000/MTU Long-term APT assumption: US$800/MTU Prior APT assumption: US$450/MTU +4 more
7 metrics
Benchmark APT price US$1,000/MTU APT prices recently moved above this level
Long-term APT assumption US$800/MTU Raised from US$450/MTU in research report
Prior APT assumption US$450/MTU Previous long-term APT price framework
Fair value estimate C$19.30/share Updated research fair value (from C$7.69)
Prior fair value C$7.69/share Previous research fair value estimate
Sangdong ramp target 2027 Staged ramp-up toward nameplate capacity by 2027
Gentung timeline 2H26 Potential production readiness at Gentung Browns Lake in 2H26

Historical Context

5 past events · Latest: Jan 20 (Positive)
Pattern 5 events
Date Event Sentiment 24h Move Catalyst
Jan 20 Shareholder update Positive +8.9% Shareholder letter on Sangdong mining start, financing and tungsten market strength.
Jan 06 Executive appointment Positive +1.4% Appointment of seasoned financial executive as Chief Development Officer.
Jan 05 Ownership change Positive +9.2% Deutsche Rohstoff stake falls below 10% after Almonty public financing.
Dec 16 Mining milestone Positive +9.2% First ore delivered to ROM pad at Sangdong tungsten mine.
Dec 15 Prospectus withdrawal Positive +8.1% Voluntary withdrawal of base shelf and Form F-10 after upsized U.S. offering.

24h Move is the share-price change in the day after each event; other market factors may also have contributed.

Pattern Detected

Recent news tied to Sangdong ramp-up, financings, and strategic moves has consistently coincided with positive price reactions.

Recent Company History

Over the last few months, Almonty has highlighted Sangdong’s transition into active mining, significant U.S. financings, and strategic steps such as a major shareholder’s stake adjustment and withdrawal of a base prospectus after an upsized U.S. offering. Operational milestones at Sangdong and growth plans for Panasqueira and Gentung have repeatedly aligned with strong positive price moves, framing today’s research update within an ongoing re-rating narrative tied to tungsten market tightening and project de‑risking.

AI-generated analysis. How Rhea-AI works. Not financial advice.

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Vancouver, British Columbia--(Newsfile Corp. - February 24, 2026) - Couloir Capital is pleased to announce that it has updated its research coverage on Almonty Industries Inc. (TSX: AII) (NASDAQ: ALM) (ASX: AII) (FSE: ALI1) (or "Company"). Couloir Capital's Research Team crafted a report titled "Higher Tungsten Prices Trigger Revaluation; Sangdong Ramp on Track; Maintain Hold."

Report excerpt: "Tungsten market fundamentals have strengthened materially, supported by higher benchmark APT prices that have recently moved above US$1,000/MTU amid robust defence-driven demand and a tightening supply environment. China's export controls implemented in 2025 have reinforced structural supply constraints and accelerated Western efforts to diversify sourcing. Against this backdrop, we adopt a higher long-term price framework, increasing our APT assumption to US$800/MTU from US$450/MTU previously.

Operationally, Almonty has transitioned into its next growth phase with the Sangdong Tungsten Mine entering active operations in December 2025 and commencing a staged ramp-up toward nameplate capacity by 2027. Beyond Sangdong, the company is advancing multiple levers for medium-term growth, including capacity expansion at Panasqueira, reserve definition at the Sangdong Molybdenum project, and development progress at Gentung Browns Lake toward potential production readiness in 2H26. Reflecting improved pricing assumptions and clearer production visibility, we update our fair value estimate to C$19.30 per share (from C$7.69 previously) and maintain a HOLD rating."

The report can be accessed through Couloir Capital's portal: https://www.couloircapital.com/research-portal.

About Couloir Capital Ltd.

Couloir Capital Ltd. is an investment research firm with a team of experienced investment professionals providing institutional-quality research coverage for small-cap equities. Our research reports are distributed via Bloomberg, FactSet, Capital IQ, LSEG, Research Tree and other platforms, as well as via social media and extensive email distribution lists. To subscribe, visit: https://www.couloircapital.com/research-portal

For further information, please contact:

Rob Stitt, Managing Director, Couloir Capital Ltd.
Email: rstitt@couloircapital.com
www.couloircapital.com

DISCLAIMER:

  1. Analyst Disclosure:

Investors are encouraged to read the complete list of disclosures contained in the report.

To view the source version of this press release, please visit https://www.newsfilecorp.com/release/285015

FAQ

What did Couloir Capital say about Almonty Industries (ALM) fair value on February 24, 2026?

Couloir Capital set a new fair value of C$19.30 per share, an increase from C$7.69. According to Couloir Capital, improved pricing assumptions and clearer production visibility drove the revision in their updated research coverage.

How did Couloir Capital change its tungsten price assumption for ALM on Feb 24, 2026?

Couloir Capital raised its long-term APT assumption to US$800/MTU from US$450/MTU. According to Couloir Capital, stronger defence demand and 2025 export controls supported a higher long-term price framework for tungsten.

What operational progress did Couloir Capital report for Almonty's Sangdong mine (ALM)?

Sangdong entered active operations in December 2025 and is ramping toward nameplate by 2027. According to Couloir Capital, the staged ramp provides clearer production visibility that contributed to the updated valuation.

Does Couloir Capital recommend buying ALM after the Feb 24, 2026 update?

Couloir Capital maintained a HOLD rating on Almonty despite the valuation upgrade. According to Couloir Capital, the higher fair value reflects pricing and operational clarity but does not translate into a buy recommendation.

What near-term development milestones did Couloir Capital note for Almonty (ALM)?

The report highlights Panasqueira capacity expansion and reserve work at Sangdong moly, plus Gentung Browns Lake development toward potential production readiness in 2H26. According to Couloir Capital, these levers support medium-term growth prospects.