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Couloir Capital is Pleased to Announce That it Has Updated its Research Coverage on Almonty Industries

Couloir Capital updated research on Almonty Industries (NASDAQ: ALM), raising its long-term APT price assumption to US$800/MTU from US$450/MTU and updating fair value to C$19.30 (from C$7.69).

(Moderate)

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Rhea-AI Summary

Couloir Capital updated research on Almonty Industries (NASDAQ: ALM), raising its long-term APT price assumption to US$800/MTU from US$450/MTU and updating fair value to C$19.30 (from C$7.69).

Sangdong entered active operations in December 2025 with a staged ramp to nameplate by 2027. The report maintains a HOLD rating while noting Panasqueira expansion, Sangdong moly reserve work, and Gentung Browns Lake development toward potential 2H26 readiness.

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Positive

  • APT price assumption increased to US$800/MTU
  • Fair value revised to C$19.30 (from C$7.69)
  • Sangdong entered active operations in Dec 2025
  • Staged ramp toward nameplate capacity by 2027

Negative

  • Analyst rating remains HOLD despite valuation upgrade
  • Revaluation depends on sustained higher tungsten prices
Argus Feb 24 session
+7.18% close to close Open Argus
Details

News Market Reaction – ALM

On Feb 24, the day this news came out, ALM closed 7.18% above the previous close.

Data tracked by StockTitan Argus for the Feb 24 session.

Key Figures

Benchmark APT price: US$1,000/MTU Long-term APT assumption: US$800/MTU Prior APT assumption: US$450/MTU +4 more
Benchmark APT price
US$1,000/MTU
APT prices recently moved above this level
Long-term APT assumption
US$800/MTU
Raised from US$450/MTU in research report
Prior APT assumption
US$450/MTU
Previous long-term APT price framework
Fair value estimate
C$19.30/share
Updated research fair value (from C$7.69)
Prior fair value
C$7.69/share
Previous research fair value estimate
Sangdong ramp target
2027
Staged ramp-up toward nameplate capacity by 2027
Gentung timeline
2H26
Potential production readiness at Gentung Browns Lake in 2H26

Historical Context

5 past events · Latest: Jan 20
5 events
  1. Jan 20

    Shareholder update

    24h Move
    +8.9%

    Shareholder letter on Sangdong mining start, financing and tungsten market strength.

  2. Jan 06

    Executive appointment

    24h Move
    +1.4%

    Appointment of seasoned financial executive as Chief Development Officer.

  3. Jan 05

    Ownership change

    24h Move
    +9.2%

    Deutsche Rohstoff stake falls below 10% after Almonty public financing.

  4. Dec 16

    Mining milestone

    24h Move
    +9.2%

    First ore delivered to ROM pad at Sangdong tungsten mine.

  5. Dec 15

    Prospectus withdrawal

    24h Move
    +8.1%

    Voluntary withdrawal of base shelf and Form F-10 after upsized U.S. offering.

24h Move is the share-price change in the day after each event; other market factors may also have contributed.

AI-generated analysis. How Rhea-AI works. Not financial advice.

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Vancouver, British Columbia--(Newsfile Corp. - February 24, 2026) - Couloir Capital is pleased to announce that it has updated its research coverage on Almonty Industries Inc. (TSX: AII) (NASDAQ: ALM) (ASX: AII) (FSE: ALI1) (or "Company"). Couloir Capital's Research Team crafted a report titled "Higher Tungsten Prices Trigger Revaluation; Sangdong Ramp on Track; Maintain Hold."

Report excerpt: "Tungsten market fundamentals have strengthened materially, supported by higher benchmark APT prices that have recently moved above US$1,000/MTU amid robust defence-driven demand and a tightening supply environment. China's export controls implemented in 2025 have reinforced structural supply constraints and accelerated Western efforts to diversify sourcing. Against this backdrop, we adopt a higher long-term price framework, increasing our APT assumption to US$800/MTU from US$450/MTU previously.

Operationally, Almonty has transitioned into its next growth phase with the Sangdong Tungsten Mine entering active operations in December 2025 and commencing a staged ramp-up toward nameplate capacity by 2027. Beyond Sangdong, the company is advancing multiple levers for medium-term growth, including capacity expansion at Panasqueira, reserve definition at the Sangdong Molybdenum project, and development progress at Gentung Browns Lake toward potential production readiness in 2H26. Reflecting improved pricing assumptions and clearer production visibility, we update our fair value estimate to C$19.30 per share (from C$7.69 previously) and maintain a HOLD rating."

The report can be accessed through Couloir Capital's portal: https://www.couloircapital.com/research-portal.

About Couloir Capital Ltd.

Couloir Capital Ltd. is an investment research firm with a team of experienced investment professionals providing institutional-quality research coverage for small-cap equities. Our research reports are distributed via Bloomberg, FactSet, Capital IQ, LSEG, Research Tree and other platforms, as well as via social media and extensive email distribution lists. To subscribe, visit: https://www.couloircapital.com/research-portal

For further information, please contact:

Rob Stitt, Managing Director, Couloir Capital Ltd.
Email: rstitt@couloircapital.com
www.couloircapital.com

DISCLAIMER:

  1. Analyst Disclosure:

Investors are encouraged to read the complete list of disclosures contained in the report.

To view the source version of this press release, please visit https://www.newsfilecorp.com/release/285015

FAQ

AI-generated questions and answers. How Rhea-AI works. Not financial advice.

What did Couloir Capital say about Almonty Industries (ALM) fair value on February 24, 2026?

Couloir Capital set a new fair value of C$19.30 per share, an increase from C$7.69. According to Couloir Capital, improved pricing assumptions and clearer production visibility drove the revision in their updated research coverage.

How did Couloir Capital change its tungsten price assumption for ALM on Feb 24, 2026?

Couloir Capital raised its long-term APT assumption to US$800/MTU from US$450/MTU. According to Couloir Capital, stronger defence demand and 2025 export controls supported a higher long-term price framework for tungsten.

What operational progress did Couloir Capital report for Almonty's Sangdong mine (ALM)?

Sangdong entered active operations in December 2025 and is ramping toward nameplate by 2027. According to Couloir Capital, the staged ramp provides clearer production visibility that contributed to the updated valuation.

Does Couloir Capital recommend buying ALM after the Feb 24, 2026 update?

Couloir Capital maintained a HOLD rating on Almonty despite the valuation upgrade. According to Couloir Capital, the higher fair value reflects pricing and operational clarity but does not translate into a buy recommendation.

What near-term development milestones did Couloir Capital note for Almonty (ALM)?

The report highlights Panasqueira capacity expansion and reserve work at Sangdong moly, plus Gentung Browns Lake development toward potential production readiness in 2H26. According to Couloir Capital, these levers support medium-term growth prospects.

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