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Robust credit market liquidity powers increasingly competitive transactions market

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JLL (NYSE:JLL) reports that robust credit market liquidity is reviving global commercial real estate transactions, with its Global Bid Intensity Index now well above year-ago levels. June saw the sharpest monthly improvement in bidding in a year, and July delivered the second-highest count of unique bidders on record.

According to JLL, its Credit Intensity Index remains materially above prior 2021 highs, even after some moderation in loan-to-value ratios and lender volumes. The gap between strong lender competition and asset bidding is narrowing, suggesting a healthier, more predictable transaction environment despite headwinds from higher bond yields and borrowing costs.

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Market Context

News_id 1089483, JLL's Q2 2026 earnings event, recorded a 6.39% 24-hour reaction. That benchmark fra...
Analysis

News_id 1089483, JLL's Q2 2026 earnings event, recorded a 6.39% 24-hour reaction. That benchmark frames this liquidity update against a stronger prior catalyst; recent insider activity was net selling, while elevated bond yields remain the stated risk.

Key Figures

Credit Intensity Index: 112 Prior record benchmark: 2021 Liquidity foundation: two years +3 more
6 metrics
Credit Intensity Index 112 July
Prior record benchmark 2021 Credit Intensity Index comparison
Liquidity foundation two years Credit liquidity build-up
Annual revenue $26.1 billion JLL company information
Global operations over 80 countries JLL company information
Global workforce more than 112,000 As of June 30, 2026

Historical Context

5 past events · Latest: Aug 24 (Positive)
Pattern 5 events
Date Event Sentiment 24h Move Catalyst
Aug 24 Office property sale Positive +0.0% $435 million Boston office tower sale to Oxford Properties
Jul 30 Second-quarter earnings Positive +6.4% Record Q2 results and higher full-year adjusted EPS growth target
Jul 21 AI real estate research Positive -0.5% AI-exposed markets showed resilience despite technology employment declines
Jul 20 Real estate financing Positive -1.4% $617 million arranged for Grubb Properties-managed real estate vehicles
Jul 14 Workforce technology study Positive -2.4% Survey found leaders expected workforce growth and AI-enhanced roles

24h Move is the share-price change in the day after each event; other market factors may also have contributed.

Pattern Detected

The prior record showed the strongest positive reaction to earnings, while several recent research and transaction announcements were followed by negative or minimal price changes.

Key Terms

global bid intensity index, loan-to-value, bid-ask spreads
3 terms
global bid intensity index financial
"JLL's latest Global Bid Intensity Index (BII), which is now sitting well above levels"
A global bid intensity index measures the overall strength and frequency of buy orders across multiple markets or exchanges, summarizing how aggressively investors are trying to purchase assets worldwide. It matters to investors because rising bid intensity often signals growing demand that can lift prices and tighten liquidity, while falling intensity suggests weakening demand and potential price pressure—think of it as a heat gauge for global buying interest.
loan-to-value financial
"average winning loan-to-value (LTV) rates"
Loan-to-value is the percentage that shows how large a loan is compared with the appraised value of the asset backing it, for example a house or other property. Investors care because a higher percentage means more of the asset’s value is borrowed — like buying a car with almost no down payment — which increases the chance of loss for lenders and can lead to higher interest rates, stricter terms, or greater risk for holders of related securities.
bid-ask spreads financial
"continues to weigh on bid-ask spreads"
The bid-ask spread is the gap between the highest price someone is willing to pay for a security (the bid) and the lowest price someone will accept to sell it (the ask). Like the difference between what buyers at a garage sale will offer and what sellers want, a wider spread raises the effective cost and difficulty of trading and signals lower demand or higher uncertainty, while a narrow spread means cheaper, easier trades for investors.

AI-generated analysis. How Rhea-AI works. Not financial advice.

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JLL's Global Bid Intensity Index and Credit Intensity Index reveal rising investor demand and large-deal conviction as liquidity continues to build

Key Takeaways

  • Bidding activity accelerates: Buyer interest is growing, with bidding activity achieving its strongest monthly improvement in a year, and July recording the second-highest count of unique bidders in index history.
  • Lenders remain aggressive: Competition among credit providers remains well above previous (2021) record highs.
  • Debt and equity markets realign: The spread between lender competition and property bidding, which reached a peak divergence in May, is narrowing—signaling healthier transaction environments globally.

CHICAGO, Aug. 25, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- A powerful surge in credit market liquidity is reviving global commercial real estate transactions. Investor bidding is rising, even amid macro uncertainty, drawn by the strong relative value proposition of commercial real estate—with conviction increasingly evident in larger transaction sizes.

This momentum is highlighted by JLL's latest Global Bid Intensity Index (BII), which is now sitting well above levels from one year ago. June marked the sharpest monthly index improvement in a year, while July recorded the second-highest number of unique bidders since index inception, demonstrating expanding buyer pools.

At the same time, credit market appetite remains exceptionally strong and is one of the factors propelling the transactions market. Though average winning loan-to-value (LTV) rates and distinct lender volumes have moderated since April, the Credit Intensity Index (CII) remains materially above previous 2021 record highs, signaling that lenders are still competing harder than buyers. The gap between bid and credit intensity peaked in May and is now compressing, pointing to healthier functioning across the commercial real estate capital markets globally.

JLL Research, 2026

"Liquidity is back—and building," said Richard Bloxam, CEO, Capital Markets, JLL. "The exceptional strength we have seen in credit markets over the past year is now directly propelling transaction activity. As lender confidence spreads into the equity market, buyers are stepping up with clear intent, particularly on larger deals. Looking ahead, the compressing gap between credit intensity and asset bidding marks a pivotal transition toward a more normalized transaction environment through the second half of the year."

While capital depth is expanding and the weight of active bidders continues to rise notably, macro headwinds persist. A recent run-up in bond yields, particularly in the U.S., continues to weigh on bid-ask spreads. In the months ahead, investors will be watching whether the depth of capital outweighs ongoing borrowing cost pressures, especially in tightly priced sectors such as multi-housing.

"Credit liquidity has built a remarkably strong foundation for commercial real estate over the past two years, with continued robust lender appetite and improving investment sales activity," said Trey Morsbach, Head of US Debt Advisory, Capital Markets, JLL. "While elevated bond yields keep borrowing costs top of mind, the expanding pool of active lenders is offering optionality. That competitive credit environment, combined with growing bidder depth, is helping the market align on pricing."

FAQs

1) Question: What do the JLL Global Credit Intensity Index (CII) and Global Bid Intensity Index (BII) measure?

Answer: The Global Credit Intensity Index measures debt market intensity through the number of unique lenders quoting on loan opportunities and the average winning loan-to-value (LTV) ratio. The Global Bid Intensity Index measures investment sales competitiveness through the number of unique bidders on a transaction and the spread between winning bids and asking prices. Together, these indices create a comprehensive liquidity monitoring system and provide unmatched early signals ahead of the rest of the market.

2) Question: What is driving the recent surge in global commercial real estate asset bidding?

Answer: Investor demand is rising due to commercial real estate's attractive relative value and strong support from debt markets. June logged the largest monthly bidding gain in a year, followed by July recording near-record buyer participation.

3) Question: How are commercial real estate credit markets performing?

Answer: Credit markets remain highly active, with JLL's Credit Intensity Index registering at 112 in July. Although lender competition eased slightly from April, lenders continue to compete harder for transactions than asset buyers.

4) Question: Why does a closing gap between credit and bidding activity matter?

Answer: The shrinking gap between credit intensity and bidding intensity signals that available loans are successfully turning into sales. This alignment points to a healthier and more predictable transaction environment.

5) Question: What key factors could influence real estate asset transactions in the months ahead?

Answer: Elevated bond yields, particularly in the U.S., are pushing borrowing costs higher and pressing bid-ask spreads. Investors are watching whether deep buyer interest will outweigh borrowing cost pressures in tightly priced sectors.

For more news, videos and research resources on JLL, please visit JLL's newsroom.

About JLL
JLL (NYSE:JLL) is a leading global commercial real estate services and investment management company with annual revenue of $26.1 billion, operations in over 80 countries and a global workforce of more than 112,000 as of June 30, 2026. For over 200 years, clients have trusted JLL, a Fortune 500® company, to help them confidently buy, build, occupy, manage and invest across a variety of industries and property types, including office, industrial, hotel, multi-family, retail and data center properties. Driven by our purpose to shape the future of real estate for a better world, we help our clients, people and communities SEE A BRIGHTER WAY. Powered by rich global datasets and leading technology capabilities, we provide coordinated, end-to-end delivery of real estate services for a broad range of global clients who represent a wide variety of industries. Through LaSalle Investment Management, we invest for clients on a global basis in both private assets and publicly traded real estate securities. For further information, visit jll.com.

Contact: Jesse Tron
Phone: +1 212 376 1216
Email: Jesse.Tron@jll.com 

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SOURCE JLL

FAQ

What do JLL's Global Credit Intensity Index (CII) and Bid Intensity Index (BII) measure in 2026?

The CII measures debt market intensity, tracking unique lenders quoting loans and average winning loan-to-value ratios. The BII measures investment sales competitiveness via unique bidders and bid-to-ask spreads. According to JLL, together they provide an early-warning system for global commercial real estate liquidity conditions.

How strong are global commercial real estate credit markets according to JLL (NYSE:JLL) in July 2026?

JLL reports its Credit Intensity Index at 112 in July 2026, indicating highly active credit markets. Lender competition has eased slightly from April but, according to JLL, lenders are still competing more aggressively for deals than asset buyers, sustaining strong credit liquidity.

What is driving the surge in global commercial real estate bidding activity reported by JLL in 2026?

JLL links rising bidding activity to commercial real estate’s attractive relative value and robust support from debt markets. June showed the largest monthly bidding gain in a year, and July recorded near-record buyer participation, signaling broadening investor demand and expanding buyer pools across larger transactions.

Why does a closing gap between credit intensity and bidding intensity matter for JLL's real estate outlook?

A shrinking gap indicates that available credit is effectively converting into completed asset sales. According to JLL, this alignment between lender competition and buyer activity points to a healthier, more normalized and predictable transaction environment in global commercial real estate capital markets during the second half of 2026.

What risks and headwinds could affect commercial real estate transactions despite JLL's strong liquidity indices?

JLL highlights elevated bond yields, especially in the U.S., which push borrowing costs higher and pressure bid-ask spreads. According to JLL, investors are watching whether deep buyer interest and expanding lender pools can offset these borrowing cost challenges, particularly in tightly priced sectors like multi-housing.