Unlocking Federal Land Offers Limited Relief in Nation's Housing Shortage, Realtor.com® Finds
Rhea-AI Summary
Realtor.com (NASDAQ:NWSA) released a comprehensive analysis of how federal land could impact America's housing shortage. The study reveals that while 10 million acres of land would be needed to build 4 million homes, the solution faces significant geographical limitations.
The research highlights that while federal land comprises 640 million acres (nearly 25% of U.S. landmass), it's predominantly located in Alaska and Western U.S., far from the Northeast where housing shortages are most severe. The Northeast alone faces an 830,000-home deficit as of 2024, yet contains minimal Bureau of Land Management (BLM) land.
Development density significantly impacts potential housing yield, ranging from 61 units per acre in Manhattan to 1 unit per 5 acres in Las Vegas' Clark County. Realtor.com emphasizes that solving the housing crisis requires comprehensive reforms, including zoning changes and infrastructure investment.
Positive
- None.
Negative
- Federal land solution offers limited relief due to geographical mismatch with housing demand
- Northeast region faces 830,000-home deficit with negligible federal land available
- Would require massive land development (4-31 million acres) to address housing shortage
- New analysis shows most federal land is concentrated in the West, while the most acute housing shortages persist in the Northeast
- According to a Realtor.com® analysis, it would take 10 million acres of land to build 4 million homes
"The
Federally Owned Land Could Alleviate Housing Shortages in the West
Roughly 640 million acres of land are federally owned—nearly one-quarter of the
By contrast, densely populated metros in the Northeast—where the housing shortage is most acute—have little or no federal land available. For instance, the region alone faces an 830,000-home deficit as of 2024, according to Realtor.com® estimates, yet contains negligible BLM-managed land. Affordable housing in lower-cost regions could have the potential for long-term population shifts, but such migration would require major transformations in the labor market, especially increased support for remote work and new economic hubs.
Density Matters and So Does Location
If BLM land were made available, the number of homes that could be built would vary dramatically depending on development density. For example, at the density of
To build 3.8 million homes at densities representing where the middle half of the population lives, the
Potential Housing Units by Density
County | Density Percentile | Cumulative Pop | Units per Acre | Units per 1000 Acres | Acres to Close 3.8 mil Home Gap |
100th | 0.5 % | 61.4 | 61,416 | 62,000 | |
99th | 5.8 % | 3.7 | 3,693 | 1,029,000 | |
99th | 12.4 % | 1.8 | 1,768 | 2,150,000 | |
97th | 24.8 % | 1.1 | 1,071 | 3,547,000 | |
92nd | 50.0 % | 0.4 | 400 | 9,463,000 | |
85th | 68.2 % | 0.2 | 231 | 19,912,000 | |
80th | 75.1 % | 0.1 | 122 | 31,051,000 |
Solving America's Housing Shortage Will Take Multiple Approaches
While selling small, well-located federal parcels—as seen in recent BLM auctions in Las Vegas—is a step in the right direction and may help individual markets, broader progress requires a more comprehensive toolkit.
"While freeing up federal lands for housing is one of many solutions on the table, addressing the housing crisis at scale requires aligning supply with where demand actually is," added Hale. "That means advancing local reforms, such as easing zoning restrictions, encouraging missing-middle housing, and investing in infrastructure and transit, to unlock land that's already close to jobs, schools and amenities."
Realtor.com® believes solving the housing crisis requires a comprehensive approach, and that's the driving force behind its Let America Build Campaign. The initiative advocates for bold, pro-housing policies that cut through red tape, eliminate restrictive zoning, and modernize outdated regulations that stall or prevent new home construction. With the campaign, Realtor.com® is calling on lawmakers at all levels to prioritize smart, forward-looking solutions to help unlock supply and improve affordability for millions of Americans.
Methodology
Census county population, housing unit and land area data used to calculate county housing density and population percentiles. Data from
About Realtor.com®
Realtor.com® pioneered online real estate and has been at the forefront for over 25 years, connecting buyers, sellers, and renters with trusted insights, professional guidance and powerful tools to help them find their perfect home. Recognized as the No. 1 site trusted by real estate professionals, Realtor.com® is a valued partner, delivering consumer connections and a robust suite of marketing tools to support business growth. Realtor.com® is operated by News Corp [Nasdaq: NWS, NWSA] [ASX: NWS, NWSLV] subsidiary Move, Inc.
Media contact: Mallory Micetich, press@realtor.com
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SOURCE Realtor.com