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Olin to Take a Fourth Quarter 2025 Charge Following Verdict in Shintech v. Olin Litigation

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(Very Negative)
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Olin (NYSE: OLN) reported a jury verdict in favor of Shintech on Feb 10, 2026, related to a VCM supply dispute, and recorded a one-time, pre-tax charge of $75 million in Q4 2025. The company expects to pay approximately $185 million in the first half of 2026 and will exclude the non-recurring charge from adjusted EBITDA.

Olin says it is assessing legal options and maintains its actions prioritized employee and community safety.

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Positive

  • One-time charge of $75 million recorded to resolve contingency
  • Adjusted EBITDA will exclude the non-recurring $75 million charge

Negative

  • Jury verdict against Olin in Shintech litigation (Feb 10, 2026)
  • Expected cash outflow of approximately $185 million in H1 2026
  • Legal uncertainty as company is assessing rights and potential appeals

Key Figures

Litigation charge: $75 million Expected payment: $185 million Litigation duration: Three years +5 more
8 metrics
Litigation charge $75 million One-time pre-tax charge recorded in Q4 2025 related to Shintech verdict
Expected payment $185 million Total expected payment in H1 2026 including previously accrued reserves
Litigation duration Three years Approximate duration of active litigation before February 10, 2026 verdict
Current price $26.32 Share price before publication of the verdict-related charge update
52-week high $28.77 Upper end of 52-week trading range prior to this news
52-week low $17.66 Lower end of 52-week trading range prior to this news
Market cap $2,951,328,000 Equity value based on pre-news share price
Q4 2025 adj. EBITDA $67.7 million Adjusted EBITDA referenced in recent Q4 2025 earnings context

Market Reality Check

Price: $25.68 Vol: Volume 3,832,866 shares v...
normal vol
$25.68 Last Close
Volume Volume 3,832,866 shares vs 20-day average 3,744,476 shares ahead of this update. normal
Technical Price $26.32 is trading above the 200-day MA at $21.82 before the verdict-related charge news.

Peers on Argus

OLN was up 1.31% pre-news while peers were mixed: MEOH down 0.69%, but CE, HUN, ...

OLN was up 1.31% pre-news while peers were mixed: MEOH down 0.69%, but CE, HUN, BAK and TROX up between 3.12% and 6.59%, suggesting stock-specific factors rather than a uniform sector move.

Historical Context

5 past events · Latest: Jan 29 (Negative)
Pattern 5 events
Date Event Sentiment Move Catalyst
Jan 29 Q4 2025 earnings Negative -1.8% Reported Q4 2025 net loss and modest adjusted EBITDA, highlighting weak results.
Jan 08 Outlook cut Negative +5.3% Reduced Q4 2025 adjusted EBITDA outlook to about $67M from prior higher range.
Jan 06 Earnings call notice Neutral -4.0% Announced timing and access details for upcoming Q4 2025 earnings call.
Nov 11 Strategic partnership Positive +1.3% Entered long-term EDC supply agreement with Braskem to support vinyls strategy.
Oct 27 Q3 2025 earnings Positive -0.2% Returned to profitability in Q3 2025 with higher sales and adjusted EBITDA.
Pattern Detected

Recent news shows mixed market reactions: negative items sometimes sold off, but guidance cuts and positive strategic moves have not produced consistent price direction.

Recent Company History

Over the past few months, Olin has reported volatile fundamentals and several key updates. Q3 2025 marked a return to profitability with $42.8M net income and stronger Chlor Alkali performance, but Q4 2025 results showed a $85.7M net loss and lower adjusted EBITDA of $67.7M. Management cut its Q4 adjusted EBITDA outlook to about $67M in early January. Strategically, Olin entered a long-term EDC supply agreement with Braskem to support vinyls growth. Today’s verdict-driven charge adds a sizable, non-recurring legal cost on top of this already choppy earnings backdrop.

Market Pulse Summary

This announcement highlights a jury verdict in the Shintech litigation that led Olin to record a one...
Analysis

This announcement highlights a jury verdict in the Shintech litigation that led Olin to record a one-time pre-tax charge of $75 million in Q4 2025 and anticipate about $185 million of related payments in the first half of 2026. These amounts come on top of a recent period marked by a Q4 net loss and reduced EBITDA guidance. Investors may watch upcoming filings and earnings updates for clarity on how this legal outcome affects cash flow, leverage metrics, and management’s broader cost-reduction and vinyls strategy.

Key Terms

vinyl chloride monomer (VCM), force majeure, litigation loss contingency, adjusted EBITDA
4 terms
vinyl chloride monomer (VCM) medical
"The litigation involved a pricing dispute... a vinyl chloride monomer (VCM) plant..."
Vinyl chloride monomer (VCM) is a colorless gas that serves as the basic raw ingredient for making PVC, a widely used plastic. Think of VCM as the flour in a bakery—if supply, price or safety rules change, it directly affects companies that make or use PVC, their costs and production levels. Investors watch VCM because production cuts, regulatory risks or accidents can quickly shift margins, revenues and share prices in the chemical and manufacturing sectors.
force majeure regulatory
"a 2023 maintenance turnaround... and a disputed force majeure event."
Force majeure is a legal concept that refers to unexpected events beyond anyone’s control, such as natural disasters, war, or severe disruptions, that prevent a party from fulfilling their obligations. It matters to investors because it can delay or cancel agreements, affecting the timing and certainty of financial transactions and obligations. Essentially, it acts as a shield for parties facing unforeseen, uncontrollable problems.
litigation loss contingency regulatory
"the Company obtained new information related to this litigation loss contingency..."
A litigation loss contingency is a potential financial obligation a company might owe if an ongoing or threatened lawsuit ends against it. Companies assess how likely a loss is and how much it could cost; if a loss is likely and can be reasonably estimated, it is recorded on the balance sheet or described in filings. For investors, these contingencies matter because they can reduce profits, require cash payments, and change a company's financial health—think of it like a possible repair bill after an accident that could affect your monthly budget.
adjusted EBITDA financial
"Fourth quarter 2025 adjusted EBITDA will exclude this non-recurring charge."
Adjusted EBITDA is a way companies measure how much money they make from their core operations, like running a business, by removing certain costs or income that aren’t part of regular business activities. It helps investors see how well a company is doing without distractions from unusual expenses or gains, making it easier to compare companies or track performance over time.

AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

CLAYTON, Mo., Feb. 12, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Olin Corporation (NYSE: OLN), a leading global manufacturer and distributor of chemical products, today issued an update following a recent verdict in a litigation matter filed by Shintech Incorporated ("Shintech") against Olin Corporation and its wholly owned subsidiary, Blue Cube Operations LLC (collectively, "Olin").

In April 2023, Shintech filed a lawsuit seeking damages against Olin. The litigation involved a pricing dispute between Shintech and Olin, a 2023 maintenance turnaround of a vinyl chloride monomer (VCM) plant and a disputed force majeure event. Olin supplies VCM to Shintech under a long-term supply contract. Following three years of active litigation, the jury returned a verdict in favor of Shintech on February 10, 2026.

Olin was disappointed by the verdict and is currently assessing its legal rights and options. The Company firmly believes that its actions at the time were appropriate and aligned with best industry practices to prioritize the safety of its employees and the community.

As a result of this verdict, the Company obtained new information related to this litigation loss contingency and recorded a one-time, pre-tax charge of $75 million in the fourth quarter 2025, which will be reflected in the December 31, 2025 consolidated financial statements included in the Company's 2025 Form 10-K. Fourth quarter 2025 adjusted EBITDA will exclude this non-recurring charge. We expect to pay approximately $185 million, including previously accrued reserves, during the first half of 2026 related to this matter.

COMPANY DESCRIPTION

Olin Corporation is a leading vertically integrated global manufacturer and distributor of chemical products and a leading U.S. manufacturer of ammunition. The chemical products produced include chlorine and caustic soda, vinyls, epoxies, chlorinated organics, bleach, hydrogen, and hydrochloric acid. Winchester's principal manufacturing facilities produce and distribute sporting ammunition, law enforcement ammunition, reloading components, small caliber military ammunition and components, industrial cartridges, and clay targets.

Visit www.olin.com for more information on Olin Corporation.

FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS

This communication includes forward-looking statements. These statements relate to analyses and other information that are based on management's beliefs, certain assumptions made by management, forecasts of future results, and current expectations, estimates and projections about the markets and economy in which we and our various segments operate. The statements contained in this communication that are not statements of historical fact may include forward-looking statements that involve a number of risks and uncertainties.

We have used the words "anticipate," "intend," "may," "expect," "believe," "should," "plan," "outlook," "project," "estimate," "forecast," "optimistic," "target," and variations of such words and similar expressions in this communication to identify such forward-looking statements. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve certain risks, uncertainties, and assumptions, which are difficult to predict and many of which are beyond our control. Therefore, actual outcomes and results may differ materially from those matters expressed or implied in such forward-looking statements. We undertake no obligation to update publicly any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of future events, new information or otherwise. The payment of cash dividends is subject to the discretion of our Board of Directors and will be determined in light of then-current conditions, including our earnings, our operations, our financial conditions, our capital requirements and other factors deemed relevant by our Board of Directors. In the future, our Board of Directors may change our dividend policy, including the frequency or amount of any dividend, in light of then-existing conditions.

The risks, uncertainties and assumptions involved in our forward-looking statements, many of which are discussed in more detail in our filings with the SEC, including without limitation the "Risk Factors" section of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2024, and our Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q and other reports furnished or filed with the SEC, include, but are not limited to, the following:

Business, Industry and Operational Risks

  • sensitivity to economic, business and market conditions in the United States and overseas, including economic instability or a downturn in the sectors served by us;
  • declines in average selling prices for our products and the supply/demand balance for our products, including the impact of excess industry capacity or an imbalance in demand for our chlor alkali products;
  • unsuccessful execution of our operating model, which prioritizes Electrochemical Unit (ECU) margins over sales volumes;
  • failure to control costs and inflation impacts or failure to achieve targeted cost reductions;
  • our reliance on a limited number of suppliers for specified feedstock and services and our reliance on third-party transportation;
  • availability of and/or higher-than-expected costs of raw material, energy, transportation, and/or logistics;
  • the occurrence of unexpected manufacturing interruptions and outages, including those occurring as a result of labor disruptions and production hazards;
  • exposure to physical risks associated with climate-related events or increased severity and frequency of severe weather events;
  • the failure or an interruption, including cyber-attacks, of our information technology systems;
  • risks associated with our international sales and operations, including economic, political or regulatory changes;
  • failure to identify, attract, develop, retain and motivate qualified employees throughout the organization and ability to manage executive officer and other key senior management transitions;
  • our inability to complete future acquisitions or joint venture transactions or successfully integrate them into our business;
  • adverse conditions in the credit and capital markets, limiting or preventing our ability to borrow or raise capital;
  • weak industry conditions affecting our ability to comply with the financial maintenance covenants in our senior credit facility;
  • our indebtedness and debt service obligations;
  • the effects of any declines in global equity markets on asset values and any declines in interest rates or other significant assumptions used to value the liabilities in, and funding of, our pension plans;
  • our long-range plan assumptions not being realized, causing a non-cash impairment charge of long-lived assets;

Legal, Environmental and Regulatory Risks

  • changes in, or failure to comply with, legislation or government regulations or policies, including changes regarding our ability to manufacture or use certain products and changes within the international markets in which we operate;
  • new regulations or public policy changes regarding the transportation of hazardous chemicals and the security of chemical manufacturing facilities;
  • unexpected outcomes from legal or regulatory claims and proceedings;
  • costs and other expenditures in excess of those projected for environmental investigation and remediation or other legal proceedings;
  • various risks associated with our Lake City U.S. Army Ammunition Plant contract and performance under other governmental contracts; and
  • failure to effectively manage environmental, social and governance issues and related regulations, including climate change and sustainability.

All of our forward-looking statements should be considered in light of these factors. In addition, other risks and uncertainties not presently known to us or that we consider immaterial could affect the accuracy of our forward-looking statements.

2026-04

Cision View original content to download multimedia:https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/olin-to-take-a-fourth-quarter-2025-charge-following-verdict-in-shintech-v-olin-litigation-302686849.html

SOURCE Olin Corporation

FAQ

What litigation verdict did Olin (OLN) report on February 10, 2026?

A jury returned a verdict in favor of Shintech on February 10, 2026. According to the company, the verdict stems from a VCM supply pricing dispute, a 2023 plant turnaround, and a disputed force majeure event.

How much is Olin (OLN) charging in Q4 2025 after the Shintech verdict?

Olin recorded a one-time, pre-tax charge of $75 million in Q4 2025. According to the company, this new information related to the litigation loss contingency triggered the charge and it will be excluded from adjusted EBITDA.

When does Olin (OLN) expect to pay amounts related to the Shintech verdict?

Olin expects to pay approximately $185 million during the first half of 2026. According to the company, that total includes previously accrued reserves tied to the litigation matter.

Will the $75 million charge affect Olin's adjusted EBITDA for 2025?

The $75 million pre-tax charge is excluded from fourth quarter 2025 adjusted EBITDA. According to the company, adjusted EBITDA will treat this as a non-recurring item when presenting results in the 2025 Form 10-K.

What was the underlying dispute between Olin (OLN) and Shintech?

The dispute involved pricing under a long-term VCM supply contract, a 2023 VCM plant maintenance turnaround, and a contested force majeure event. According to the company, these issues were central to the three-year litigation.

What steps is Olin (OLN) taking after the Shintech verdict?

Olin is assessing its legal rights and options following the verdict. According to the company, it continues to believe its prior actions were appropriate and focused on employee and community safety.
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Chemicals
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CLAYTON