XCF Global Evaluating Financing Alternatives to Drive Growth in SAF Platform
Rhea-AI Summary
XCF Global (Nasdaq:SAFX) is evaluating financing alternatives to support construction of its planned New Rise Reno 2 SAF production facility and has engaged Bank of America to assist in structuring potential debt financing that may qualify for export credit agency programs. The project aligns with a recently signed non-binding MOU with BGN to pursue joint distribution, marketing, and offtake frameworks across Europe, the Middle East, and other markets. The company cited a global SAF market projected to exceed $25 billion by 2030 (over 5.5 billion gallons demand) and potentially $250 billion by 2050. The company noted there is no assurance any financing transaction or definitive agreements will be completed.
Positive
- Engaged Bank of America to structure potential debt financing
- Signed a non-binding MOU with BGN for joint distribution and offtake planning
- Plan to construct New Rise Reno 2 to expand SAF production platform
- Cited a large market opportunity: $25B by 2030 and $250B by 2050
Negative
- Financing is only under evaluation; no assurance a transaction will complete
- MOU with BGN is non-binding and subject to definitive agreements
- Potential debt financing may only qualify for export credit programs — not guaranteed
News Market Reaction
On the day this news was published, SAFX declined 12.28%, reflecting a significant negative market reaction. Argus tracked a peak move of +28.3% during that session. Argus tracked a trough of -20.8% from its starting point during tracking. Our momentum scanner triggered 31 alerts that day, indicating elevated trading interest and price volatility. This price movement removed approximately $6M from the company's valuation, bringing the market cap to $41M at that time. Trading volume was exceptionally heavy at 8.2x the daily average, suggesting significant selling pressure.
Data tracked by StockTitan Argus on the day of publication.
Key Figures
Market Reality Check
Peers on Argus
SAFX fell 5.89% while peers were mixed: ELLO -0.79%, NXXT +5.36%, VGAS +3.14%, STEM +1.84%, SUUN -5.63%, suggesting a stock-specific reaction to the financing update.
Historical Context
| Date | Event | Sentiment | Move | Catalyst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30 | Strategic MOU | Positive | -3.4% | Non-binding MOU to pair SMR nuclear power with eSAF and AI data centers. |
| Dec 30 | Strategic MOU | Positive | -3.4% | MOU to evaluate SMR-powered eSAF, hydrogen, and environmental-asset monetization. |
| Dec 16 | Partnership announcement | Positive | +9.0% | Tripartite MOU for unified low‑carbon fuels and SAF supply platform. |
| Dec 12 | Partnership announcement | Positive | -14.3% | Non-binding MOU for multi‑pathway SAF strategy including New Rise Louisiana. |
| Dec 05 | Facility expansion | Positive | -8.2% | Plan to double SAF capacity via New Rise Reno 2 and MOU with BGN. |
Recent history shows frequent negative price reactions to seemingly positive strategic and partnership announcements, with only one clear positive alignment among the last five events.
Over the last few months, SAFX has issued multiple strategic updates, including non-binding MOUs around nuclear-powered eSAF production, integrated low‑carbon fuels platforms, and a plan to double SAF capacity at New Rise Reno with a $300 million expansion targeting ~80 million gallons annually. Despite these growth-oriented releases, four of the last five news events saw negative next‑day moves, indicating the market has often sold into positive narratives and capital-intensive plans. Today’s financing-focused announcement fits that pattern of growth messaging amid cautious price responses.
Market Pulse Summary
The stock dropped -12.3% in the session following this news. A negative reaction despite growth-focused financing plans fits the pattern where four of the last five strategic updates led to declines. The market may be sensitive to further leverage or funding needs around New Rise Reno 2, especially given prior disclosures about substantial capital requirements, equity-line arrangements, and Nasdaq minimum bid-price issues. Continued weakness could reflect concern that expansion depends on securing non-assured financing on acceptable terms.
Key Terms
sustainable aviation fuel medical
memorandum of understanding regulatory
offtake financial
export credit agency financial
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
XCF is advancing its long-term growth strategy with the development of its SAF production platform, beginning with the planned construction of New Rise Reno 2.
Bank of America has been engaged to assist XCF in structuring potential debt financing for the project.
XCF is positioned for growth in a rapidly expanding SAF market projected to exceed
$25 billion by 2030 and$250 billion by 2050.
HOUSTON, TEXAS / ACCESS Newswire / January 12, 2026 / XCF Global, Inc. ("XCF") (Nasdaq:SAFX), a leading innovator in decarbonizing the aviation industry through Sustainable Aviation Fuel ("SAF"), announced today that it is evaluating financing options to support the next phase of its long-term growth strategy: the construction of its New Rise Reno 2 facility ("New Rise 2").
If constructed, New Rise 2 is expected to enable XCF to expand its SAF and renewable fuel platform and aligns with its recently signed non-binding Memorandum of Understanding ("MOU") with global energy and commodities group BGN INT US LLC ("BGN"). As contemplated by the MOU, subject to the negotiation of a definitive agreement, XCF and BGN intend to jointly develop global distribution, marketing, and offtake frameworks across Europe, the Middle East, and other strategic markets.
XCF has engaged Bank of America, N.A. ("Bank of America") to assist in structuring potential debt financing, which may qualify for certain export credit agency programs. There can be no assurance that any financing transaction will be completed or on what terms.
The global SAF market is projected to exceed
Chris Cooper, Chief Executive Officer of XCF Global, commented:
"We look forward to working with Bank of America as we evaluate a range of financing options to support the next phase of our SAF production expansion at New Rise Reno 2 and advance our broader mission to decarbonize the aviation industry. With governments and airlines worldwide raising their sustainability commitments, expanding SAF production has never been more critical. Meeting the decarbonization targets of tomorrow requires making thoughtful, strategic investments today."
About XCF Global, Inc.
XCF Global, Inc. ("XCF") is an emerging sustainable aviation fuel company dedicated to accelerating the aviation industry's transition to net-zero emissions. Our flagship facility, New Rise Reno, has a permitted nameplate production capacity of 38 million gallons per year, positioning XCF as an early mover among large-scale SAF producers in North America. XCF is working to advance a pipeline of potential expansion opportunities in Nevada, North Carolina, and Florida, and to build partnerships across the energy and transportation sectors to scale SAF globally. XCF is listed on the Nasdaq Capital Market and trades under the ticker, SAFX.
To learn more, visit www.xcf.global.
Contacts
XCF Global:
C/O Camarco
XCFGlobal@camarco.co.uk
Media:
Camarco
Andrew Archer | Rosie Driscoll | Violet Wilson
XCFGlobal@camarco.co.uk
Forward-Looking Statements
This Press Release includes "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the "safe harbor" provisions of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. In some cases, you can identify forward-looking statements by terminology such as "may", "should", "expect", "intend", "will", "estimate", "anticipate", "believe", "predict", "potential" or "continue", or the negatives of these terms or variations of them or similar terminology. These forward-looking statements, including, without limitation, statements regarding XCF Global's expectations with respect to its SAF production platform, including the planned construction of New Rise Reno 2 and the financing related thereto, estimates and forecasts of other financial and performance metrics, and projections of market opportunity and market share, are subject to risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are based upon estimates and assumptions that, while considered reasonable by XCF Global and its management, are inherently uncertain and subject to material change. These forward-looking statements are provided for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to serve as and must not be relied on by any investor as, a guarantee, an assurance, a prediction or a definitive statement of fact or probability. New risks and uncertainties may emerge from time to time, and it is not possible to predict all risks and uncertainties. Factors that may cause actual results to differ materially from current expectations include, but are not limited to: (1) changes in domestic and foreign business, market, financial, political, and legal conditions; (2) unexpected increases in XCF Global's expenses, including manufacturing and operating expenses and interest expenses, as a result of potential inflationary pressures, changes in interest rates and other factors; (3) the occurrence of any event, change or other circumstances that could give rise to the termination of negotiations and any agreements with regard to XCF Global's offtake arrangements; (4) the outcome of any legal proceedings that may be instituted against XCF Global or others; (5) XCF Global's ability to regain compliance with Nasdaq's continued listing standards and thereafter continue to meet Nasdaq's continued listing standards; (6) XCF Global's ability to integrate the operations of New Rise and implement its business plan on its anticipated timeline; (7) XCF Global's ability to raise financing to fund its operations and business plan, including New Rise Reno 2, and the terms of any such financing; (8) the New Rise Reno production facility's ability to produce the anticipated quantities of SAF without interruption or material changes to the SAF production process; (9)the New Rise Reno production facility's ability to produce renewable diesel in commercial quantities without interruption during the ongoing SAF ramp-up process; (10) XCF Global's ability to resolve current disputes between its New Rise subsidiary and its landlord with respect to the ground lease for the New Rise Reno facility; (11) XCF Global's ability to resolve current disputes between its New Rise subsidiary and its primary lender with respect to loans outstanding that were used in the development of the New Rise Reno facility; (12) payment of fees, expenses and other costs related to the completion of the business combination with Focus Impact BH3 Acquisition Company (the "Business Combination") and the New Rise acquisitions; (13) the risk of disruption to the current plans and operations of XCF Global as a result of the consummation of the Business Combination; (14) XCF Global's ability to recognize the anticipated benefits of the Business Combination and the New Rise acquisitions, which may be affected by, among other things, competition, the ability of XCF Global to grow and manage growth profitably, maintain relationships with customers and suppliers and retain its management and key employees; (15) changes in applicable laws or regulations; (16) risks related to extensive regulation, compliance obligations and rigorous enforcement by federal, state, and non-U.S. governmental authorities; (17) the possibility that XCF Global may be adversely affected by other economic, business, and/or competitive factors; (18) the availability of tax credits and other federal, state or local government support; (19) risks relating to XCF Global's and New Rise's key intellectual property rights, including the possible infringement of their intellectual property rights by third parties; (20) the risk that XCF Global's reporting and compliance obligations as a publicly-traded company divert management resources from business operations; (21) LOIs and MOUs may not advance to definitive agreements or commercial deployment; (22) the effects of increased costs associated with operating as a public company; and (23) various factors beyond management's control, including general economic conditions and other risks, uncertainties and factors set forth in XCF Global's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC"), including the final proxy statement/prospectus relating to the Business Combination filed with the SEC on February 6, 2025, this Press Release and other filings XCF Global made or will make with the SEC in the future. If any of the risks actually occur, either alone or in combination with other events or circumstances, or XCF Global's assumptions prove incorrect, actual results could differ materially from the results implied by these forward-looking statements. There may be additional risks that XCF Global does not presently know or that it currently believes are not material that could also cause actual results to differ from those contained in the forward-looking statements. In addition, forward-looking statements reflect XCF Global's expectations, plans or forecasts of future events and views as of the date of this Press Release. These forward-looking statements should not be relied upon as representing XCF Global's assessments as of any date subsequent to the date of this Press Release. Accordingly, undue reliance should not be placed upon the forward-looking statements. While XCF Global may elect to update these forward-looking statements at some point in the future, XCF Global specifically disclaims any obligation to do so.
SOURCE: XCF Global, Inc.
View the original press release on ACCESS Newswire
FAQ
What financing steps did XCF (SAFX) announce on January 12, 2026?
What does the New Rise Reno 2 project mean for XCF (SAFX)?
How firm is XCF's agreement with BGN mentioned in the SAFX release?
What market size did XCF (SAFX) cite for SAF demand through 2030 and 2050?
Will XCF's potential financing for New Rise Reno 2 use export credit agency programs?
