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Stonegate Capital Partners Updates Coverage On Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) 1Q26

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Surf Air Mobility (NYSE: SRFM) reported 1Q26 revenue of $25.6M, at the high end of guidance and up 9% year over year. Adjusted EBITDA loss was $12.3M, better than guidance for a $15.5M–$13.5M loss.

Surf On Demand revenue rose 77% y/y to $10.1M, with revenue per flight up 38% and gross margin expanding about 340 bps. Management maintained FY26 revenue guidance of $128M–$138M and improved FY26 adjusted EBITDA loss guidance by about 40%. Stonegate notes traction in SurfOS and a FY27 EV/revenue multiple of 1.3x versus peer average 2.4x.

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AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Positive

  • 1Q26 revenue $25.6M, at high end of guidance and +9% y/y
  • 1Q26 adjusted EBITDA loss $12.3M, better than guided $15.5M–$13.5M loss
  • Surf On Demand revenue $10.1M, up 77% year over year
  • On Demand revenue per flight +38% and gross margin up ~340 bps
  • FY26 revenue guidance maintained at $128M–$138M
  • FY26 adjusted EBITDA loss guidance improved by approximately 40%
  • FY27 EV/Revenue multiple 1.3x versus peer group at 2.4x

Negative

  • Company still reported an adjusted EBITDA loss of $12.3M in 1Q26

News Market Reaction – SRFM

-0.80%
2 alerts
-0.80% News Effect
-9.2% Trough Tracked
-$1M Valuation Impact
$124.37M Market Cap
0.2x Rel. Volume

On the day this news was published, SRFM declined 0.80%, reflecting a mild negative market reaction. Argus tracked a trough of -9.2% from its starting point during tracking. Our momentum scanner triggered 2 alerts that day, indicating moderate trading interest and price volatility. This price movement removed approximately $1M from the company's valuation, bringing the market cap to $124.37M at that time.

Data tracked by StockTitan Argus on the day of publication.

Key Figures

Q1 2026 revenue: $25.6M Q1 2026 adj. EBITDA loss: $12.3M Surf On Demand revenue: $10.1M +5 more
8 metrics
Q1 2026 revenue $25.6M High end of company guidance, up 9% y/y
Q1 2026 adj. EBITDA loss $12.3M Better than guided loss of $15.5M to $13.5M
Surf On Demand revenue $10.1M Increased 77% year over year in Q1 2026
Revenue per flight 38% increase Year-over-year change in Surf On Demand segment
Gross margin expansion ≈340 bps Year-over-year improvement in Surf On Demand
FY26 revenue guidance $128M–$138M Maintained full-year 2026 revenue outlook
FY26 adj. EBITDA guidance ≈40% improvement Improved full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA loss guidance
FY27 EV/Revenue multiple 1.3x vs comps 2.4x Valuation comparison cited in the coverage update

Market Reality Check

Price: $1.1800 Vol: Volume 6,352,133 is close...
normal vol
$1.1800 Last Close
Volume Volume 6,352,133 is close to the 20-day average of 6,481,653 (relative volume 0.98). normal
Technical Shares at $1.25 trade well below the $2.82 200-day MA and far under the $9.91 52-week high, hovering closer to the $1.01 52-week low.

Peers on Argus

SRFM fell 7.41% while peers were mixed: MESA up 1.45%, FLYX down 6.49%, SNCY dow...

SRFM fell 7.41% while peers were mixed: MESA up 1.45%, FLYX down 6.49%, SNCY down 0.98%, ULCC down 4.45%, VLRS down 2.4%. Moves do not show a unified sector direction.

Historical Context

5 past events · Latest: May 11 (Positive)
Pattern 5 events
Date Event Sentiment Move Catalyst
May 11 Q1 2026 earnings Positive -7.4% Revenue at high end of guidance and Adjusted EBITDA loss beat outlook.
May 06 SurfOS launch plan Positive +24.6% Outlined SurfOS commercial launch targeting large charter and MRO market.
Apr 28 Earnings date notice Neutral -4.5% Announced timing and webcast details for Q1 2026 results release.
Apr 27 SurfOS modules launch Positive -1.8% Introduced new SurfOS modules for fuel and crew reserve optimization.
Apr 22 Insider participation raise Positive +15.9% Insiders participated in capital raise tied to 2026 plan and SurfOS.
Pattern Detected

Stock reactions to recent positive operational and earnings updates have been mixed, with several instances of negative or muted moves after seemingly constructive news.

Recent Company History

Over the last month, SRFM has focused on its 2026 plan and SurfOS strategy. On Apr 22, insiders and directors participated in a $30M capital raise, with the stock rising 15.91%. Subsequent SurfOS feature launches on Apr 27 and the earnings-date announcement on Apr 28 drew small declines. A detailed SurfOS commercial launch update on May 6 saw a 24.55% gain, but the strong Q1 2026 earnings on May 11 coincided with a 7.41% drop, showing inconsistent reactions to execution milestones.

Regulatory & Risk Context

Active S-3 Shelf
Shelf Active
Active S-3 Shelf Registration 2026-03-13

An effective S-3 shelf filed on 2026-03-13 registers the resale of up to 6,131,995 already-outstanding shares by selling stockholders. The company receives no proceeds from these resales, which may occur through various public or private transaction types.

Market Pulse Summary

This announcement reinforces earlier Q1 2026 results, highlighting $25.6M in revenue at the high end...
Analysis

This announcement reinforces earlier Q1 2026 results, highlighting $25.6M in revenue at the high end of guidance and an adjusted EBITDA loss of $12.3M, better than forecast. Strong Surf On Demand growth, margin improvement, and maintained FY26 revenue guidance of $128M–$138M underscore the transformation plan. Investors may monitor execution on SurfOS commercialization, ongoing cost controls, capital-raising activity, and how the stock’s discount to cited EV/Revenue peers evolves over time.

Key Terms

adjusted EBITDA, gross margin, ev/revenue
3 terms
adjusted EBITDA financial
"while adjusted EBITDA loss of $12.3M outperformed guidance for a loss of $15.5M to $13.5M."
Adjusted EBITDA is a way companies measure how much money they make from their core operations, like running a business, by removing certain costs or income that aren’t part of regular business activities. It helps investors see how well a company is doing without distractions from unusual expenses or gains, making it easier to compare companies or track performance over time.
gross margin financial
"with revenue per flight up 38% and gross margin up ~340 bps"
Gross margin is the difference between how much money a company makes from selling its products and how much it costs to produce them, expressed as a percentage of sales. It shows how efficiently a company is turning sales into profit before other expenses like marketing or salaries. Higher gross margin means the company keeps more money from each sale, which is a good sign of financial health.
ev/revenue financial
"while SRFM trades at 1.3x FY27 EV/Revenue versus comps at 2.4x"
EV/Revenue is a valuation ratio that compares a company’s total market value (including debt and cash) to its annual sales. Investors use it to judge how much they are paying for each dollar of revenue, which is helpful when profits vary or are negative — like comparing how much you’d pay for different shops based on their yearly receipts rather than their recent profit. Lower values often suggest cheaper relative valuation, higher values imply pricier expectations.

AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Dallas, Texas--(Newsfile Corp. - May 13, 2026) - Surf Air Mobility Inc. (NYSE: SRFM): Stonegate Capital Partners Updates Coverage on Surf Air Mobility Inc. (NYSE: SRFM). SRFM's 1Q26 results showed continued execution under the transformation plan, with revenue of $25.6M at the high end of guidance and up 9% y/y, while adjusted EBITDA loss of $12.3M outperformed guidance for a loss of $15.5M to $13.5M. Results were supported by improved On Demand private charter margins, cost controls across airline operations, and faster, more cost-efficient SurfOS development and deployment.

To view the full announcement, including downloadable images, bios, and more, click here.

Key Takeaways:

  • Transformation plan is beginning to show operating leverage. 1Q26 revenue of $25.6M came in at the high end of guidance, while adjusted EBITDA loss of $(12.3)M beat guidance, supported by route rationalization, On Demand margin expansion, and tighter cost controls.
  • On Demand and SurfOS are becoming the core growth/margin drivers. Surf On Demand revenue increased 77% y/y to $10.1M, with revenue per flight up 38% and gross margin up ~340 bps, while BrokerOS and OperatorOS traction suggest SurfOS is moving toward a commercial software platform.
  • FY26 setup improved as guidance de-risked and valuation remains discounted. Management maintained FY26 revenue guidance of $128M-$138M and improved adjusted EBITDA loss guidance by ~40%, while SRFM trades at 1.3x FY27 EV/Revenue versus comps at 2.4x, supporting potential multiple re-rating if execution continues.

Cannot view this image? Visit: https://images.newsfilecorp.com/files/7294/297315_figure1_550.jpg

Click image above to view full announcement.


About Stonegate

Stonegate Capital Partners is a leading capital markets advisory firm providing investor relations, equity research, and institutional investor outreach services for public companies. Our affiliate, Stonegate Capital Markets (member FINRA) provides a full spectrum of investment banking, equity research and capital raising for public and private companies.

Contacts:

Stonegate Capital Partners
(214) 987-4121
info@stonegateinc.com

Source: Stonegate, Inc.

To view the source version of this press release, please visit https://www.newsfilecorp.com/release/297315

FAQ

How did Surf Air Mobility (SRFM) perform in 1Q26?

Surf Air Mobility reported 1Q26 revenue of $25.6M and an adjusted EBITDA loss of $12.3M. According to Stonegate, revenue grew 9% year over year and came in at the high end of guidance, while EBITDA loss was better than forecast.

What were the 1Q26 results for Surf Air Mobility’s On Demand business (SRFM)?

Surf On Demand revenue reached $10.1M in 1Q26, up 77% year over year. According to Stonegate, revenue per flight increased 38% and gross margin expanded by about 340 basis points, highlighting improved unit economics in the On Demand segment.

What FY26 guidance did Surf Air Mobility (SRFM) provide after 1Q26?

Management maintained FY26 revenue guidance of $128M to $138M and improved adjusted EBITDA loss guidance by about 40%. According to Stonegate, this suggests a de-risked outlook while the company continues executing its transformation and cost-control initiatives.

How is SurfOS contributing to Surf Air Mobility’s (SRFM) growth outlook?

Stonegate views SurfOS, including BrokerOS and OperatorOS, as an emerging commercial software platform. According to the firm, traction in SurfOS, alongside On Demand, is becoming a key driver for growth and potential margin improvement in future periods.

What valuation multiple does Surf Air Mobility (SRFM) trade at versus peers?

According to Stonegate, Surf Air Mobility trades at about 1.3x FY27 EV/Revenue compared with peer companies at roughly 2.4x. The firm notes this valuation discount in the context of the company’s ongoing transformation and updated FY26 guidance.

What factors supported Surf Air Mobility’s 1Q26 results (SRFM)?

The 1Q26 results were supported by improved On Demand private charter margins and tighter airline cost controls. According to Stonegate, faster and more cost-efficient SurfOS development and deployment also contributed to better-than-guided adjusted EBITDA performance.