Omdia: Mainland China’s Smartphone Market Declined 3% in 3Q25 as Vivo Regained Top Position Amid Intensifying Competition

Mainland
“Although the market has contracted for two consecutive quarters, the narrowing decline indicates that the shipment fluctuations triggered by the government subsidy program at the beginning of the year are coming to an end, with the market gradually returning to normal,” said Lucas Zhong, Analyst at Omdia. “A more cautious shipment pace has allowed vendors to maintain healthier inventory levels, paving the way for an active Q4 driven by flagship launches, the Double 11 shopping season, and a potential new round of subsidies. At the same time, vendors are also making longer-term strategic moves. Since the launch of the Pura X earlier this year, Huawei has preinstalled HarmonyOS 5.0 across its major new models. While this transition poses short-term challenges in software optimization and user experience, consistent execution will likely strengthen Huawei’s ecosystem moat, particularly in an increasingly saturated market.”
“Major vendors refreshed their entry-level and mid-range product lines in Q3. Amid rising component prices, these upgrades have become more targeted and pragmatic,” he added. “The HONOR X70, Redmi Note 15 Pro, vivo
“Despite recent corrections, Omdia forecasts that mainland China’s smartphone shipments will achieve modest growth in 2025, supported by ongoing subsidy programs,” said Hayden Hou, Principal Analyst at Omdia. “Local vendors are pursuing differentiation through design, battery capacity, and camera performance, while expanding AI-driven features and use cases to enhance user experience. Chinese consumers remain among the most receptive globally to AI-capable smartphones. The innovation and technological progress seen in mainland China’s market will continue to serve as a valuable reference for domestic brands as they strengthen their product capabilities and AI competitiveness overseas.”
Mainland China’s smartphone shipment and annual growth
|
|||||
Vendor |
3Q25 |
3Q25 |
3Q24 |
3Q24 |
Annual |
shipments |
market |
shipments |
market |
growth |
|
(million) |
share |
(million) |
share |
||
|
|
||||
vivo |
11.8 |
|
13.0 |
|
- |
Huawei |
10.5 |
|
10.8 |
|
- |
Apple |
10.1 |
|
10.0 |
|
+ |
Xiaomi |
10.0 |
|
10.2 |
|
- |
OPPO |
9.9 |
|
9.9 |
|
+ |
Others |
14.9 |
|
15.1 |
|
- |
Total |
67.2 |
|
69.1 |
|
- |
|
|
|
|||
Note: Huawei excludes HONOR since 1Q21. OPPO includes OnePlus. vivo includes iQOO.
Percentages may not add up to Source: Omdia Smartphone Horizon Service (sell-in shipments), October 2025 |
|
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View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20251015586924/en/
Fasiha Khan – fasiha.khan@omdia.com
Source: Omdia