For sale signs multiply: Inventory hits 5-year high, price cuts surge

Rhea-AI Summary

Zillow (NYSE:ZG) reports a significant shift in the U.S. housing market, with inventory reaching 1.36 million homes in June 2025, the highest level since November 2019. The market is experiencing a notable rebalancing, with 28 of the 50 largest U.S. metros now favoring buyers or showing neutral conditions.

A record-high 26.6% of listings saw price cuts in June, particularly in Sun Belt and Mountain West markets, with Denver leading at 38% price reductions. While inventory remains 21% below pre-pandemic averages, Zillow forecasts levels to approach pre-pandemic norms by year-end. Home sales are showing a seasonal decline, with newly pending sales dropping 4.9% from May, though slightly above last year's levels.

[ "Housing market balance shifting to neutral in 22 of 50 largest metropolitan areas", "Inventory increased 17.2% year-over-year to 1.36 million listings", "Buyers gaining more negotiating power with homes taking longer to sell (19 days vs. 11 days in 2023)", "Inventory projected to reach pre-pandemic levels by end of 2025" ]

Positive

• None.

Negative

• Record-high 26.6% of listings required price cuts to attract buyers
• Significant price declines in major markets (Tampa -5.7%, Austin -5.8%)
• Housing affordability remains a major challenge, especially for first-time buyers
• New listings decreased 10.9% from May to June

Buyers gain negotiating leverage in newly balanced housing market

• 1.36 million homes were for sale in June, the most since November 2019.
• The market is balanced or in buyers' favor in 28 of the 50 largest US metros. 
• A record-high 26.6% of listings dropped prices in June; cuts are most common in the Sun Belt and Mountain West.

SEATTLE, July 21, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- Slower demand from buyers has more homes for sale now than at any time since 2019, according to the latest market report¹ from Zillow®. With homes lingering on the market and less competition for them, a long-anticipated balance of power between buyers and sellers looks to have finally arrived. 

Sellers held the upper hand through most of the past five years as demand for homes far outweighed the options available. Sellers now returning to the market in greater numbers, along with a surge in new construction, has helped balance the scales — competition among buyers is lower than any June in Zillow records dating back through 2018. But affordability is still a major challenge. 

"The shift to a 'neutral' market is significant, but it shouldn't be mistaken for a universally cool or easy market for buyers," said Kara Ng, Zillow senior economist. "While negotiating power is more balanced, the affordability crisis remains a high barrier to entry, especially for first-time buyers. Until we see a more meaningful improvement in purchasing power, this newfound balance will primarily benefit more well-off buyers."

Inventory is still roughly 21% below pre-pandemic averages for June, but that deficit is expected to continue shrinking. Zillow forecasts inventory to approach pre-pandemic levels by the end of the year. 

Home value growth is at a stand still and mortgage costs have ticked down ever so slightly from a year ago. But high prices and borrowing costs are still putting up high affordability hurdles for buyers, especially first-timers.

What it means for buyers and sellers
Buyers have more options to choose from, more time to decide on a house and more bargaining power than in prior years. Home sellers need to reach the broadest set of shoppers, price realistically and set their listing apart from the crowd. 

Buyers aren't feeling rushed in most markets. Listings that sell do so in 19 days — just one day faster than before the pandemic. That's compared to 15 days in 2024 and 11 in 2023. 

Zillow's market heat index shows the housing market nationwide and in 22 of the 50 largest metropolitan areas are now neutral, where neither buyers nor sellers have the upper hand. That's compared to 15 markets that were neutral in May and just eight at this time a year ago. 

Sellers are still correcting prices at record rates to try and entice buyers. The share of listings with a price cut reached 26.6% in June, the highest share for any June in Zillow records that date back through 2018, and closing in on an all-time high of 27% from September 2022. 

Price cuts are most common among Sun Belt and Mountain West markets that witnessed massive appreciation early in the pandemic. Cuts were most common in Denver (38%), Raleigh (36%), Dallas (36%), Phoenix (35%), and Nashville (35%). 

Inventory reaches five-plus-year high
Zillow data shows 1.36 million listings active on the market in June, rising 2.3% from May and up a hefty 17.2% from a year ago. The last time that many houses were for sale was November 2019. 

New listings stepped down significantly from May to June, dropping 10.9%. Some of that is likely seasonal – new listings peaked in May in 2018, 2019, and 2024. But some potential sellers are also seeing slower sales in many markets and deciding to hold off. 

Sales follow seasonal trend downward
Sales are winding down after a somewhat lackluster home shopping season. Though this June's newly pending sales are slightly above last year's, they declined 4.9% from May. 

Metro Area*	Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI)	ZHVI Year over Year (YoY)	Share of Listings With a Price Cut	Market Favors (Zillow Market Heat Index)	Inventory Change Since Pre- Pandemic	Median Days to Pending	Median Days to Pending since Pre- Pandemic
United States	$367,369	0.2 %	26.6 %	Neutral	-20.6 %	19	-1
New York, NY	$711,937	4.1 %	15.6 %	Strong Seller	-52.3 %	26	-20
Los Angeles, CA	$966,675	-0.4 %	23.7 %	Seller	-10.8 %	22	4
Chicago, IL	$343,826	3.2 %	24.3 %	Seller	-51.3 %	9	-10
Dallas, TX	$372,023	-3.7 %	35.5 %	Neutral	12.1 %	29	5
Houston, TX	$312,121	-1.7 %	31.3 %	Neutral	10.4 %	33	13
Washington, DC	$584,741	1.1 %	27.1 %	Seller	-25.1 %	13	-3
Philadelphia, PA	$384,856	3.3 %	23.7 %	Seller	-47.1 %	10	-17
Miami, FL	$476,750	-3.8 %	22.5 %	Buyer	3.8 %	62	21
Atlanta, GA	$386,545	-2.9 %	31.1 %	Buyer	6.7 %	37	24
Boston, MA	$733,508	1.4 %	22.5 %	Seller	-30.1 %	8	-2
Phoenix, AZ	$453,381	-3.5 %	35.5 %	Neutral	-2.0 %	40	15
San Francisco, CA	$1,139,579	-3.4 %	22.4 %	Seller	14.1 %	21	7
Riverside, CA	$586,520	-1.5 %	25.8 %	Seller	-15.6 %	31	10
Detroit, MI	$267,148	3.0 %	24.1 %	Neutral	-31.7 %	8	-4
Seattle, WA	$759,789	-0.4 %	30.0 %	Neutral	-9.2 %	12	3
Minneapolis, MN	$389,452	1.5 %	24.8 %	Strong Seller	-30.4 %	18	-1
San Diego, CA	$935,349	-2.4 %	29.6 %	Neutral	-16.8 %	22	2
Tampa, FL	$362,150	-5.7 %	35.2 %	Buyer	22.9 %	39	20
Denver, CO	$586,433	-2.7 %	38.3 %	Neutral	22.7 %	24	16
Baltimore, MD	$402,337	1.9 %	27.1 %	Seller	-42.6 %	10	-14
St. Louis, MO	$270,192	2.1 %	23.9 %	Seller	-43.9 %	6	-9
Orlando, FL	$389,488	-3.7 %	30.2 %	Neutral	28.0 %	36	20
Charlotte, NC	$388,810	-1.0 %	28.6 %	Neutral	17.8 %	22	11
San Antonio, TX	$284,786	-3.3 %	31.4 %	Neutral	28.4 %	41	9
Portland, OR	$556,346	-0.7 %	30.2 %	Seller	-10.1 %	15	4
Sacramento, CA	$584,641	-1.8 %	31.8 %	Neutral	-16.3 %	21	9
Pittsburgh, PA	$229,012	0.5 %	26.8 %	Neutral	-39.5 %	11	-10
Cincinnati, OH	$301,925	2.7 %	27.9 %	Seller	-32.8 %	5	-4
Austin, TX	$444,087	-5.8 %	32.8 %	Buyer	56.8 %	50	36
Las Vegas, NV	$437,655	0.9 %	31.3 %	Neutral	-0.1 %	32	13
Kansas City, MO	$320,503	2.0 %	30.0 %	Seller	-39.8 %	6	-7
Columbus, OH	$329,744	1.4 %	31.2 %	Seller	-16.1 %	6	1
Indianapolis, IN	$290,838	1.6 %	33.8 %	Neutral	-9.1 %	11	4
Cleveland, OH	$245,373	4.3 %	23.1 %	Seller	-51.2 %	7	-26
San Jose, CA	$1,612,628	-0.9 %	22.1 %	Neutral	-5.5 %	17	1
Nashville, TN	$457,836	-0.1 %	35.5 %	Neutral	6.8 %	28	10
Virginia Beach, VA	$364,175	1.8 %	23.6 %	Seller	-43.6 %	24	-18
Providence, RI	$508,656	3.2 %	22.4 %	Seller	-54.4 %	11	-12
Jacksonville, FL	$353,671	-3.2 %	32.4 %	Buyer	23.5 %	54	25
Milwaukee, WI	$375,631	3.1 %	13.9 %	Seller	-26.1 %	15	-18
Oklahoma City, OK	$241,682	1.0 %	29.5 %	Neutral	-7.8 %	19	3
Raleigh, NC	$446,622	-2.1 %	36.4 %	Neutral	9.7 %	21	12
Memphis, TN	$244,607	-1.0 %	29.8 %	Neutral	3.1 %	22	5
Richmond, VA	$387,179	1.2 %	25.2 %	Seller	-36.6 %	8	-4
Louisville, KY	$271,837	4.2 %	29.1 %	Neutral	-25.7 %	7	-7
New Orleans, LA	$259,497	-1.1 %	27.2 %	Buyer	40.7 %	41	17
Salt Lake City, UT	$561,243	1.2 %	35.2 %	Neutral	2.6 %	18	8
Hartford, CT	$388,727	4.1 %	16.0 %	Strong Seller	-65.8 %	6	-15
Buffalo, NY	$281,309	3.1 %	18.3 %	Strong Seller	-40.1 %	10	-5
Birmingham, AL	$256,681	-0.1 %	25.0 %	Neutral	-20.0 %	18	3

*Table ordered by market size

¹ The Zillow market report is a monthly overview of the national and local real estate markets. The report is compiled by Zillow Research. For more information, visit zillow.com/research.

About Zillow Group
Zillow Group, Inc. (Nasdaq: Z and ZG) is reimagining real estate to make home a reality for more and more people. As the most visited real estate app and website in the United States, Zillow and its affiliates help people find and get the home they want by connecting them with digital solutions, dedicated real estate professionals, and easier buying, selling, financing, and renting experiences. 

Zillow Group's affiliates, subsidiaries and brands include Zillow®, Zillow Premier Agent®, Zillow Home Loans℠, Zillow Rentals®, Trulia®, Out East®, StreetEasy®, HotPads®, ShowingTime+℠, Spruce®, and Follow Up Boss®. 

All marks herein are owned by MFTB Holdco, Inc., a Zillow affiliate. Zillow Home Loans, LLC is an Equal Housing Lender, NMLS #10287 (www.nmlsconsumeraccess.org). © 2025 MFTB Holdco, Inc., a Zillow affiliate.

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SOURCE Zillow

FAQ

What is the current housing inventory level according to Zillow's July 2025 report?

According to Zillow, there were 1.36 million homes for sale in June 2025, representing the highest inventory level since November 2019, up 17.2% from the previous year.

Which U.S. cities are seeing the highest percentage of home price cuts in 2025?

The highest percentage of price cuts were observed in Denver (38%), Raleigh (36%), Dallas (36%), Phoenix (35%), and Nashville (35%), particularly affecting Sun Belt and Mountain West markets.

How long are homes taking to sell in the current market according to Zillow?

Homes are currently taking an average of 19 days to sell, compared to 15 days in 2024 and 11 days in 2023, indicating a slower market pace.

What percentage of U.S. housing markets are now considered balanced or buyer-friendly?

According to Zillow's market heat index, 28 of the 50 largest U.S. metropolitan areas are now either balanced or in buyers' favor, with 22 markets classified as neutral.

How much have home values changed in major markets like Austin and Tampa?

Several major markets experienced significant price declines, with Austin showing a -5.8% decrease and Tampa declining -5.7% in home values year-over-year.