Exxon Earnings: As Diesel Ran Short, Refining Became Its Top Earner for the First Time in at Least Five Years
Making fuel carried ExxonMobil’s third quarter of 2026. The world was making less diesel and heating oil, the U.S. energy agency reported. Refining out-earned oil and gas for the first time in at least five years, $7.2 billion against $7.1 billion under standard accounting. It was $9.1 billion against $7.3 billion on Exxon’s adjusted measure, without one-time and timing effects.
The short answer. Against the second quarter, wider fuel margins, the gap between crude costs and fuel prices, drove the rise in earnings while lower oil prices worked against it. Exxon’s own list of effects, filed before the results, put the margin gain at $4.5 billion, more than oil prices took away. That put refining ahead of oil and gas for the first time in at least five years, by just $81 million under standard accounting. At Chevron, oil and gas still led. The same tight diesel supply reached people who own no Exxon shares, as U.S. diesel hit a record $6.53 a gallon in September.
ExxonMobil third quarter 2026 at a glance
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Exxon earnings report for the third quarter of 2026
Exxon earned $15.4 billion under standard accounting, about double its profit of a year earlier. Its adjusted measure came to $17.5 billion, leaving out one-time items and a trading timing effect.
Adjusted earnings per share, the figure Exxon leads with, were $4.23 in its results release. The table below gives the standard figures beside the adjusted ones.
Exxon restated its 2025 adjusted figures when it began leaving out timing effects. On that basis the year-earlier quarter earned $7.9 billion, according to the supplement to its second-quarter results.
One-time items, mostly a gain on asset sales, came to plus $0.4 billion this quarter. The rest of the gap between the standard and adjusted figures is a timing effect. Exxon hedges cargoes with financial contracts valued at quarter-end prices, while the oil and fuel they cover count only when sold. Exxon says that gap reverses in later quarters, and it came to minus $2.5 billion.
| Measure | Q3 2026 | Q2 2026 | Q3 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings, standard accounting | $15.4B | $14.5B | $7.5B |
| Earnings per share | $3.72 | $3.48 | $1.76 |
| Adjusted earnings | $17.5B | $14.7B | $7.9B, restated |
| Adjusted earnings per share | $4.23 | $3.52 | $1.84, restated |
| Cash flow from operations | $25.7B | $23.6B | $14.8B |
| Free cash flow | $19.1B | $17.2B | $6.3B |
Source: ExxonMobil results releases for the third quarter of 2026, the second quarter of 2026 and the third quarter of 2025; restated 2025 adjusted figures from the second-quarter 2026 supplement (Exhibit 99.2).
The release also carried news beyond the quarter’s profit. Guyana and Kearl, an oil sands mine in Alberta, Canada, have each produced 1 billion barrels since output began. The PNG LNG gas export project in Papua New Guinea has produced 100 million tons. Exxon took over as operator of the Papua LNG project there. It agreed to raise its working interest, its ownership share, in LNG projects at Papua to 34% and at Rovuma in Mozambique to 50%, where it is already the operator. It also reported the startup of carbon capture and storage at a project with Nucor, and approval for its Rose carbon storage project. Carbon capture and storage traps carbon dioxide and stores it underground.
Exxon’s two smaller businesses moved apart. Chemicals earned less as margins declined, Exxon said, while specialty products earned more on higher margins for basestocks, the base oils that lubricants are made from.
| Segment | Q3 2026, standard accounting | Q3 2026, adjusted | Q2 2026, adjusted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Upstream, oil and gas production | $7.1B | $7.3B | $9.2B |
| Energy Products, refining and fuels | $7.2B | $9.1B | $4.1B |
| Chemical Products | $0.7B | $0.7B | $1.2B |
| Specialty Products, such as lubricants | $1.3B | $1.3B | $1.0B |
| Corporate and Financing | -$0.9B | -$0.9B | -$0.8B |
| Total | $15.4B | $17.5B | $14.7B |
Source: ExxonMobil third-quarter 2026 results release, earnings and volume summary by segment.
Did Exxon earn more from refining or from oil and gas?
From refining, on both of Exxon’s measures. Refining and fuels made about 52% of Exxon’s adjusted earnings, against about 22% a year earlier, though under standard accounting it led only narrowly.
Exxon’s Energy Products segment, its refineries and fuel sales, earned $9.1 billion on the adjusted measure in the third quarter. Its Upstream segment, the oil and gas fields from Texas to Guyana, earned $7.3 billion. In each of the six quarters before on that measure, starting with the first quarter of 2025, the order was the other way round.
Show the data
| Category | Oil and gas production | Refining and fuels |
|---|---|---|
| 1Q25 | $6.6B | $0.9B |
| 2Q25 | $5.3B | $1.4B |
| 3Q25 | $5.6B | $1.7B |
| 4Q25 | $4.4B | $2.6B |
| 1Q26 | $6.3B | $2.8B |
| 2Q26 | $9.2B | $4.1B |
| 3Q26 | $7.3B | $9.1B |
Under standard accounting, refining also came out ahead, by just $81 million. On that basis oil and gas had out-earned refining in every quarter from mid-2021 to mid-2026. That held even at the height of the 2022 fuel crunch, when the fields made $12.4 billion in a quarter against $5.8 billion.
Show the data
| Category | Oil and gas production | Refining and fuels | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3Q21 | $4.0B | $0.5B | |
| 4Q21 | $6.1B | $0.9B | |
| 1Q22 | $4.5B | -$0.2B | |
| 2Q22 | $11.4B | $5.3B | |
| 3Q22 | $12.4B | $5.8B | 2022 peak in refining earnings |
| 4Q22 | $8.2B | $4.1B | |
| 1Q23 | $6.5B | $4.2B | |
| 2Q23 | $4.6B | $2.3B | |
| 3Q23 | $6.1B | $2.4B | |
| 4Q23 | $4.1B | $3.2B | |
| 1Q24 | $5.7B | $1.4B | |
| 2Q24 | $7.1B | $0.9B | |
| 3Q24 | $6.2B | $1.3B | |
| 4Q24 | $6.5B | $0.4B | |
| 1Q25 | $6.8B | $0.8B | |
| 2Q25 | $5.4B | $1.4B | |
| 3Q25 | $5.7B | $1.8B | |
| 4Q25 | $3.5B | $3.4B | |
| 1Q26 | $5.7B | -$1.3B | |
| 2Q26 | $7.9B | $5.5B | |
| 3Q26 | $7.1B | $7.2B | Third quarter 2026 |
Why did Exxon’s refining earnings jump?
Fuel sold for much more than the crude it is made from. Exxon’s own list of market effects, filed two weeks before the results, put the gain from wider fuel margins at about $4.5 billion against the second quarter.
In its list of market and planned effects filed on October 16, Exxon put the margin gain at $4.5 billion for Energy Products. Its own refining margin benchmark averaged $50.3 a barrel in the quarter, against $29.0 in the second quarter and $17.5 a year earlier. The benchmark tracks the gap between crude costs and fuel prices per barrel.
Exxon’s plants also ran hard. Its results release says its U.S. Gulf Coast refineries used 100% of their crude processing capacity in the quarter. Leaving out Middle East disruptions, its fuels plants worldwide ran at their highest rate for the first nine months of a year in internal records going back to 2014.
Show the data
| Category | Value |
|---|---|
| 3Q25 | $17.5 |
| 4Q25 | $18.3 |
| 1Q26 | $16.3 |
| 2Q26 | $29.0 |
| 3Q26 | $50.3 |
Global output of distillate fuels, the family that includes diesel and heating oil, fell as refining slowed around the world, the U.S. Energy Information Administration wrote on October 7. Lower output raised international prices, and U.S. distillate stocks were low heading into winter, the agency said. The U.S. retail diesel price reached $6.53 a gallon in the week of September 21, the highest weekly reading since the Energy Information Administration’s series began in 1994. Independent refiners had the same quarter, as our article on Valero’s results shows. At Chevron, which reported the same morning, the downstream business, its refining and fuels arm, earned $4.9 billion under standard accounting. That was still behind $5.7 billion from oil and gas, as our article on Chevron’s results shows.
Added together, the effects on Exxon’s October list came to $2.4 billion more than its second-quarter adjusted earnings, and the actual result came in $0.4 billion above that sum. The chart below shows each step. Exxon said the list was not complete, was not an estimate of earnings and left out its operating performance. So the remainder holds whatever the list did not cover, including the gap between its early estimates and the final figures.
Show the data
| Step | Value |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $14.7B |
| Prices | -$1.0B |
| Fuel margins | +$4.5B |
| Other margins | -$0.1B |
| Other listed | -$1.0B |
| Not listed | +$0.4B |
| Q3 2026 | $17.5B |
Exxon’s chief executive, Darren Woods, made the case in the release that more than prices was at work. On the U.S. Gulf Coast, he said, investments such as the Beaumont refinery expansion had helped raise its output of distillates by about 40% since 2019. He said its investments, technology and cost savings had brought “lasting improvements” that went beyond favorable prices and margins.
Why Exxon’s oil and gas earnings changed
Exxon’s oil and gas fields earned $7.3 billion on the adjusted measure, against $9.2 billion in the second quarter, as crude prices fell.
Exxon’s October filing put the effect of lower oil and liquids prices at minus $1.3 billion, with natural gas prices adding $0.3 billion. The supplement to its results shows Exxon got less for its U.S. crude than in the second quarter, as the table below shows. Against a year earlier, oil and gas earnings were still higher, up from $5.6 billion on the restated adjusted measure. Brent, the global crude benchmark, was also well above its level of a year earlier.
Production averaged 4.50 million barrels of oil equivalent a day, a measure that counts gas by its energy content, against about 4.8 million a year earlier. Exxon put the drop in oil and gas earnings from the second quarter down to lower prices and what it called an accelerated Guyana entitlement impact. That means a smaller share of Guyana’s output assigned to Exxon under its contract there. The volume table of its results supplement shows entitlement changes tied to prices, spending and other factors took away more output than growth added.
| Measure | Q3 2026 | Q2 2026 | Q3 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Exxon U.S. crude, $ a barrel | 84.82 | 97.58 | 63.56 |
| Brent, the global crude benchmark, $ a barrel | 97.01 | 104.52 | 69.07 |
| Production, thousand barrels of oil equivalent a day | 4,496 | 4,514 | about 4,800 |
| Upstream adjusted earnings | $7.3B | $9.2B | $5.6B, restated |
Source: ExxonMobil results releases and supplements (Exhibit 99.2) for the third quarter of 2026 and the second quarter of 2026; third-quarter 2025 release for that year’s production; Form 8-K of October 16, 2026, Exhibit 99.1.
Show the production change
| Production, second to third quarter of 2026 | Thousand barrels of oil equivalent a day |
|---|---|
| Second quarter 2026 | 4,514 |
| Entitlements tied to prices, spending and other | -87 |
| Divestments | -5 |
| Growth and other | +74 |
| Third quarter 2026 | 4,496 |
Source: ExxonMobil third-quarter 2026 results supplement (Exhibit 99.2), upstream volume driver analysis.
Exxon dividend, buybacks and debt
Exxon paid shareholders $9.4 billion in the quarter, about half of the cash it had left after investing in its business, and set $20 billion of share buybacks for 2027.
Exxon raised its quarterly dividend to $1.07 a share from $1.03, and said that makes 44 consecutive years of increases in its annual dividend per share. It raised the dividend with its third-quarter results in 2024 and 2025 as well, as its dividend history shows.
| Exxon dividend and payouts | Figure |
|---|---|
| New quarterly dividend | $1.07 a share, up from $1.03 |
| Payable on | December 10, 2026 |
| To shareholders of record on | November 16, 2026 |
| Dividends paid, Q3 2026 | $4.3B |
| Share buybacks, Q3 2026 | $5.1B |
| Free cash flow, Q3 2026 | $19.1B |
| Paid out, first nine months of 2026 | $28.0B, against $39.0B of free cash flow |
Source: ExxonMobil results releases for the first, second and third quarters of 2026.
Over the first nine months of 2026, Exxon paid out about 72% of its free cash flow. That is more than in the third quarter alone, because the first quarter brought in only $2.7 billion.
The buybacks keep shrinking the share count. Exxon had 4,079 million shares outstanding at the end of the quarter, 3.3% fewer than the 4,217 million a year earlier. With these results it announced $20 billion of repurchases for 2027, assuming reasonable market conditions, the same as its plan for 2026.
Total debt stood at $34.3 billion against $12.2 billion of cash at the end of the quarter, according to the balance sheet in the results supplement. Exxon said it had cut its net debt by nearly $11 billion so far in 2026.
Show the data
| Category | Dividends | Share repurchases |
|---|---|---|
| 3Q25 | $4.2B | $5.1B |
| 4Q25 | $4.4B | $5.1B |
| 1Q26 | $4.3B | $4.9B |
| 2Q26 | $4.3B | $5.1B |
| 3Q26 | $4.3B | $5.1B |
Exxon’s longer record of earnings and payouts is on its financials page, and StockTitan’s dividend calculator models dividend income from a yield you enter.
Did Exxon change its spending plans?
Not in this release. It did not change Exxon’s 2026 capital spending range of $27 billion to $29 billion.
Exxon set that range in its full-year 2025 results, along with a plan to repurchase $20 billion of its shares through 2026. Cash capital spending was $7.0 billion in the third quarter and $20.0 billion in the first nine months.
The longer plan Exxon laid out in December 2025 aims for 5.5 million barrels of oil equivalent a day by 2030. It names new LNG project startups in Papua New Guinea and Mozambique, where Exxon is raising its stakes, among its sources of growth. The Permian, Guyana and liquefied natural gas would make up about 65% of that output.
Refining’s lead, then, came from fuel. The quarter shows that refining can make up for weaker oil and gas earnings, while Exxon’s plan to 2030 still rests on producing more oil and gas.
What to watch
- Why production fell from a year earlier, and how much of the oil and gas change came from volumes: Exxon’s quarterly report to the SEC, due by November 9, 2026.
- Whether the $2.5 billion timing loss reverses in later quarters, as Exxon says such effects do: its fourth-quarter 2026 results release.
- Whether repurchases keep to the $20 billion Exxon announced for 2027: its quarterly results releases in 2027.
Our numbers
These figures are our calculations from the sources linked in this article.
- Refining ahead of oil and gas for the first time since at least the start of 2025 on the adjusted measure: Exxon’s restated figures show Upstream ahead in all six quarters from the first quarter of 2025 to the second quarter of 2026.
- $81 million: Energy Products earnings of $7,169 million minus Upstream earnings of $7,088 million under standard accounting in the third quarter of 2026.
- About double: third-quarter 2026 earnings of $15.4 billion against $7.5 billion a year earlier.
- First quarter in at least five years in which refining out-earned oil and gas under standard accounting: Upstream ahead of Energy Products in every quarter from the third quarter of 2021 to the second quarter of 2026 in Exxon’s filings.
- $0.4 billion above Exxon’s own list: third-quarter minus second-quarter adjusted earnings, minus the $2.4 billion sum of the effects in Exxon’s October 16 filing.
- About half of free cash flow paid out: $9.4 billion of distributions divided by $19.1 billion of free cash flow.
- About 72% of free cash flow paid out in the first nine months of 2026: distributions of $9.2 billion, $9.4 billion and $9.4 billion in the first three quarters, $28.0 billion in all, divided by $39.0 billion of free cash flow for the nine months.
- About 52% of adjusted earnings from refining and fuels: Energy Products adjusted earnings of $9,053 million out of $17,505 million in the third quarter of 2026, against $1,732 million out of $7,902 million, about 22%, a year earlier on the restated measure.
- 3.3% fewer shares: 4,079 million at the end of the third quarter of 2026 against 4,217 million a year earlier.
Frequently asked questions
How much did Exxon make in profits in the third quarter of 2026?
Exxon earned $15.4 billion, or $3.72 a share, under standard accounting. It earned $17.5 billion, or $4.23 a share, on its adjusted measure, which leaves out one-time items and hedge timing effects.
Did Exxon raise its dividend?
Yes. Exxon raised its quarterly dividend to $1.07 a share from $1.03, payable on December 10, 2026. It had also raised the dividend with its third-quarter results in 2024 and 2025.
How much cash did Exxon return to shareholders?
Exxon returned $9.4 billion in the third quarter of 2026, $4.3 billion as dividends and $5.1 billion through share buybacks, against $19.1 billion of free cash flow.
How much did fuel margins add to Exxon’s earnings?
Exxon’s October 16 list of market effects put the margin gain at about $4.5 billion for Energy Products against the second quarter. The U.S. Energy Information Administration said world output of diesel and other distillate fuels had dropped, raising international prices.
How much of Exxon’s profit comes from refining?
Usually less than from oil and gas production. In the third quarter of 2026 refining and fuels made about 52% of Exxon’s adjusted earnings, $9.1 billion of $17.5 billion, against about 22% a year earlier.
Sources
- ExxonMobil third-quarter 2026 results release, StockTitan
- ExxonMobil second-quarter 2026 results release, StockTitan
- ExxonMobil first-quarter 2026 results release, StockTitan
- ExxonMobil third-quarter 2026 results supplement, Exhibit 99.2
- ExxonMobil third-quarter 2025 results release, StockTitan
- ExxonMobil 2025 results release, StockTitan
- ExxonMobil 2030 plan release, StockTitan
- Valero Energy third-quarter 2026 results release, StockTitan
- ExxonMobil stock overview, StockTitan
- ExxonMobil financials, StockTitan
- ExxonMobil Form 8-K Exhibit 99.1, 3Q26 market and planned impacts to earnings, October 16, 2026
- ExxonMobil second-quarter 2026 results supplement, Exhibit 99.2
- ExxonMobil third-quarter 2022 supplement, Exhibit 99.2
- U.S. Energy Information Administration, weekly U.S. retail diesel prices
- ExxonMobil dividend history
- U.S. Energy Information Administration, winter fuels outlook and distillate supply, October 7, 2026
- Imperial Oil 2025 annual report on Form 10-K (Kearl)
The information provided in this article is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or an endorsement of any particular investment strategy. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investors should conduct their own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.