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Nebius (NBIS) Earnings Show Revenue Up 571% as Its ARR Goal Moves to February

A heavy-haul truck at night carrying a large power transformer on a long trailer toward the floodlit gate of a data center campus on a wet country road

Nebius Group (NBIS) reported third quarter 2026 revenue of $980.8 million, up 571% in a year, including about $325 million it calls non-recurring. It moved its $7 billion sales pace goal from December to February as some rented capacity slipped into 2027, and now expects 2026 revenue at the low end of its $3.0 billion to $3.4 billion range.

The short answer. Nebius, which rents computing power to AI companies, grew revenue 571% in a year, helped by about $325 million it calls non-recurring. It now expects 2026 revenue at the low end of its goal, and a $7 billion yearly sales pace about two months later than planned.

For 2027 it expects revenue of $12 billion to $13 billion and pre-tax breakeven by the year's last quarter. In the second quarter it spent 9.7 times its revenue on equipment and buildings, against 2.5 times at CoreWeave. Its numbers show whether AI demand from customers such as Microsoft and Meta grows fast enough to pay for a build-out funded by prepayments, new shares and debt.

Nebius AI cloud yearly sales pace (ARR) against its earlier December 2026 goal. At the end of September the run rate was $6.4 billion, below $7 billion, which Nebius now expects to pass in February, not December.
Nebius AI cloud yearly sales pace (ARR) against its earlier December 2026 goal At the end of September the run rate was $6.4 billion, below $7 billion, which Nebius now expects to pass in February, not December. Figures from Nebius third quarter 2026 letter to shareholders, as of November 12, 2026; Nebius second quarter 2026 letter to shareholders, as of August 12, 2026.
Show the data
ItemLowHighValue
June 30, 2026$7.0B$9.0B$3.0B
Sept. 30, 2026$7.0B$9.0B$6.4B

Nebius third quarter 2026 at a glance

Q3 2026 revenue
$980.8M
Up 571% from a year earlier, about $325M non-recurring
AI cloud yearly sales pace (ARR), end of September
$6.4B
New goal: above $7B in February
Q3 spending on equipment and data centers
$7.30B
$955.5M a year earlier; about $27B planned for 2026
Revenue grew 571% in a year, about $325 million of it non-recurring, and Nebius moved its $7 billion run rate goal from December to February. Figures from Nebius third quarter 2026 results release, as of November 12, 2026; Nebius third quarter 2026 letter to shareholders, as of November 12, 2026.

Every company reporting the same week, with its date and time, is in StockTitan's Earnings Calendar for the Week of November 9, 2026.

On this page

Nebius earnings for the third quarter of 2026

Nebius took in $980.8 million in the third quarter, 571% more than a year earlier. Almost all of it came from its AI cloud, which rents out computers built on Nvidia chips on contracts from a few months to several years.

Revenue was 68% higher than in the quarter before, according to the company's letter to shareholders, a rise that includes the non-recurring revenue below. Analysts had expected revenue of about $916.8 million, in the consensus compiled by Zacks Investment Research as of November 5, before Nebius reported.

The AI cloud brought in $973.8 million, up 643% in a year. The rest comes from two small businesses, the Avride self-driving and delivery robot unit and the TripleTen coding school.

The letter says part of the jump was non-recurring. Nebius booked about $325 million of non-recurring revenue from the first phase of its asset-light model, in which partners pay for data centers that run Nebius's design and cloud software. Nebius says it expects such revenue to become "a more regular part of our business" as the model grows. Without it, third quarter revenue was about $656 million, about 13% more than in the second quarter.

In the third quarter, helped by that revenue, Nebius covered its running costs and the wear on its equipment, but not the interest on its debt. Income from operations was $50.4 million. Adjusted EBITDA, the company's own measure of earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and share-based pay, was $465.8 million. The AI cloud alone turned 53.2% of its revenue into adjusted EBITDA.

Once $112.5 million of interest and a $49.5 million charge for swapping notes into shares are counted, the picture turns. Nebius posted a net loss from continuing operations of $37.5 million, or $0.13 a share.

The shares closed at $129.49 on November 6, according to StockTitan price data, half their $259.20 close on August 12, the day of the second quarter report. Nebius has given no reason for the fall. The period included a selloff in AI data center stocks on November 4 and 5.

USD millionsQ3 2026Q3 2025
Revenue980.8146.1
Adjusted EBITDA465.8(5.2)
Net income (loss) from continuing operations(37.5)(119.6)
Net cash from operating activities(273.0)(80.6)
Purchases of property, equipment and intangible assets(7,300.4)(955.5)

Source: Nebius third quarter 2026 results release. Adjusted EBITDA is the company's own measure, outside standard accounting rules, and the release reconciles it.

How Nebius changed its 2026 ARR and revenue targets

Nebius had wanted its AI cloud to sell at a pace of $7 billion to $9 billion a year by December. It now expects to pass $7 billion in February. At the end of September the pace was $6.4 billion.

ARR, or annualized run-rate revenue, is the AI cloud's revenue in the last month of a quarter times 12. It measures speed at one moment, so while sales grow it runs ahead of what the company books over a full year. The new goal is for February, which is not the last month of a quarter, so it rests on February's revenue alone.

In its third quarter letter, Nebius said it now expects 2026 revenue at the low end of its $3.0 billion to $3.4 billion range. It expects ARR to pass $7 billion for the month of February, "a shift of about two months." The reason it gives is that "some third-party capacity we expected to come online this year is now scheduled for the first half of 2027." It kept its goal of an adjusted EBITDA margin of about 40%.

Its May letter had set out the original goals: revenue of $3.0 billion to $3.4 billion for the year, and ARR of $7 billion to $9 billion at the end of December. The ARR goal was already in its February letter.

The ARR goal is easier to picture in months. Reaching it means about $583 million of AI cloud revenue in February alone, about what the AI cloud took in over all three months of the second quarter. The run rate more than doubled in the third quarter, to $6.4 billion at the end of September. The letter does not say how much of the non-recurring revenue sits in that month. It warns that revenue from new partnerships "can add choppiness to ARR," meaning such deals can make the monthly pace jump around.

The revenue goal can be read the same way. To reach $3.0 billion for the year, the fourth quarter needs about $1.04 billion, a little more than the third quarter's total. That is about 58% more than the third quarter brought in without its non-recurring revenue.

Nebius revenue by quarter, Q3 2025 to Q2 2026. Quarterly revenue rose almost fourfold from Q3 2025 to Q2 2026, from $146.1 million to $582.3 million.
Nebius revenue by quarter, Q3 2025 to Q2 2026 Quarterly revenue rose almost fourfold from Q3 2025 to Q2 2026, from $146.1 million to $582.3 million. Figures from Nebius third quarter 2025 results release, as of November 11, 2025; Nebius fourth quarter and full year 2025 results release, as of February 12, 2026; Nebius first quarter 2026 results release, as of May 13, 2026; Nebius second quarter 2026 results release, as of August 12, 2026.
Show the data
CategoryValue
Q3 2025$146.1M
Q4 2025$227.7M
Q1 2026$399.0M
Q2 2026$582.3M

What Nebius expects for 2027

Nebius expects revenue of $12 billion to $13 billion in 2027, which it calls about four times this year's. It expects to break even before tax in the last quarter of that year.

It plans to spend $40 billion to $45 billion in 2027, sized for more than 1 gigawatt of new capacity. The letter says it expects prepayments and borrowing against contracts with investment-grade customers, those with strong credit ratings, to cover 75% to 85% of that spending.

The breakeven goal counts financing costs, the letter says, and assumes servers wear out over five years. Nebius moved its servers to that five-year life at the start of 2026, from four years, which lowers the yearly charge for wear.

Nebius also says it no longer sees ARR as the right measure, since it rests on one month. From 2027 it will give goals for revenue, pre-tax earnings and capacity instead.

How much data center capacity is Nebius adding?

Nebius expects 5 gigawatts of power under contract by the end of 2026. It continues to expect to bring more than 1 gigawatt a year online, with owned sites supplying most of it from 2027.

Nebius counts its power in three steps, set out in its first quarter letter. Contracted power is land and electricity it has signed for. Connected power is wired into data centers that are built and equipped. Active power is drawn by servers that are running and can be billed. For its cloud services, only the last step earns money.

The contracted goal has kept rising. It was more than 1 gigawatt in August 2025 and reached 5 gigawatts for the end of 2026 in the second quarter letter. The third quarter letter says Nebius still expects 5 gigawatts by the end of the year, from more than 4 gigawatts today.

Its February and May letters set a goal of 800 megawatts to 1 gigawatt of connected power by the end of 2026. The third quarter letter gives no connected or active figure.

Where Nebius rents space in other companies' data centers, delivery has slipped. The third quarter letter says delivery dates at several of these sites moved into the first half of 2027, while its own sites are on time or ahead of schedule.

Nebius expects its own sites to supply most of what it adds from 2027. The letter names four that start delivering in 2027: Missouri, Lappeenranta, a second site at Mäntsälä, Finland, and Alabama. At full scale they hold more than 3 gigawatts, which Nebius expects to deliver over three to three and a half years.

In Missouri, Nebius now has 1.1 gigawatts under contract after a 300 megawatt expansion, the letter says. Its May letter had called the Independence site a 1.2 gigawatt AI factory.

How Nebius pays for its data centers

Nebius spent $7.30 billion on chips and data centers in the third quarter, and it now plans to spend about $27 billion in 2026. Customers who pay in advance, new shares and borrowed money cover it.

The spending has climbed fast. Nebius spent $8.13 billion in the first half of 2026, twice the $4.07 billion it spent in all of 2025. In the third quarter, spending was about 7.4 times the quarter's revenue.

The letter now puts 2026 spending at about $27 billion, above its $20 billion to $25 billion range, as Nebius builds capacity for 2027 at its own sites.

Customers pay part of their contracts up front. Prepayments on deals signed in the third quarter covered more than 100% of the related equipment and building cost, up from 50% to 60% in the second quarter, the letter says.

Nebius expects $10 billion of committed customer prepayments in 2026, rising to $17 billion to $20 billion in 2027. Its cash flow statement shows $7.83 billion more in deferred revenue, money paid in advance, in the first nine months.

Since June, Nebius has arranged about $10 billion in loans, convertible notes and a credit facility. It took a loan backed by servers already running, and sold convertible notes, which are bonds that can turn into shares. It also signed a Citi facility that comes due within a year. The table below lists each one.

It also sells new shares on the market. That brought in about $1.0 billion after fees in the third quarter, the letter says. Its share count rose about 8% in the quarter, to about 292.9 million at September 30.

At September 30, debt due within a year was $187.5 million and debt due later $14.00 billion, against cash of $7.43 billion. Nebius pays no dividend, and its annual report says it does not expect to pay one in the foreseeable future. It has announced no share buyback. StockTitan's earlier look at what CoreWeave and Nebius owe covers the notes in detail.

Nebius spending on equipment and data centers, Q3 2025 to Q2 2026. Spending more than doubled from the first to the second quarter of 2026, to $5.66 billion.
Nebius spending on equipment and data centers, Q3 2025 to Q2 2026 Spending more than doubled from the first to the second quarter of 2026, to $5.66 billion. Figures from Nebius third quarter 2025 results release, as of November 11, 2025; Nebius fourth quarter and full year 2025 results release, as of February 12, 2026; Nebius second quarter 2026 results release, as of August 12, 2026.
Show the data
CategoryValue
Q3 2025$0.96B
Q4 2025$2.06B
Q1 2026$2.47B
Q2 2026$5.66B
Financing since June 30, 2026AmountTerms
Secured loan, Form 6-K of July 17, 2026$775 millionSOFR + 2.50% (SOFR is a benchmark lending rate), due October 31, 2030
Convertible notes due 2030, closed August 24, 2026$3.45 billion0.50% interest
Convertible notes due 2034, closed August 24, 2026$2.3 billion4.50% interest
Citi secured credit facility, announced October 22, 2026$3.5 billion364 days, Term SOFR + 2.75% at first, up to 3.50%

Source: Nebius Form 6-K of July 17, 2026 and Nebius releases of August 24 and October 22, 2026. In the August deal, Nebius also swapped $800 million of older notes for about 15.8 million shares.

What the Microsoft and Meta contracts are worth to Nebius

Nebius's Form 6-K puts Microsoft's contract at about $17.4 billion through 2031, subject to delivering the capacity. Meta's newest deal is worth up to about $27 billion, and its fixed part is scheduled to start in early 2027.

The Microsoft contract, signed in September 2025, is served from Nebius's data center in Vineland, New Jersey. The filing says that if a block of capacity misses its agreed delivery date after a grace period and Nebius cannot offer other capacity, Microsoft may end that block. By August, Nebius said it had delivered every block of capacity due under it so far. The third quarter letter says it now expects to deliver more than half of the capacity contracted with Microsoft by the end of 2026, with the remaining blocks scheduled for the second quarter of 2027. The letter says the schedule changed when DataOne, which built the site for Nebius, began retiring some temporary generators ahead of the move to permanent power.

Meta has two deals. One, about $3 billion over five years, was announced in November 2025 and is already being served. The newer one, from March 2026, has two parts. Meta takes $12 billion of dedicated capacity over five years, which Nebius's first quarter letter says is scheduled to begin in early 2027. Meta also committed to up to $15 billion more, which Nebius plans to offer to its own cloud customers first.

Nebius also signs large deals with AI companies. In the second quarter it closed four deals averaging more than $1 billion each, with customers such as Reflection and Cohere. The third quarter letter says it has signed $12 billion of total contract value since the quarter began.

  • Microsoft, September 2025 $17.4B Through 2031 from Vineland, New Jersey, subject to delivering the capacity, per the Form 6-K; up to $19.4B if Microsoft buys more.
  • Meta, November 2025 $3B Five years; delivered and now being served.
  • Meta, March 2026 Up to $27B $12B of dedicated capacity scheduled from early 2027, plus up to $15B more.
  • Four AI cloud deals, second quarter 2026 Over $1B on average Average contract value, with customers such as Reflection and Cohere.
Nebius's largest customer contracts Microsoft's contract runs through 2031, and Nebius says the fixed $12 billion part of Meta's newest deal is scheduled to start in early 2027. Figures from Nebius Form 6-K on the Microsoft agreement, as of September 8, 2025; Nebius third quarter 2025 results release, as of November 11, 2025; Nebius fourth quarter 2025 letter to shareholders, as of February 12, 2026; Nebius agreement with Meta, as of March 16, 2026; Nebius second quarter 2026 letter to shareholders, as of August 12, 2026.

Nebius vs CoreWeave earnings

In the second quarter, CoreWeave's revenue was more than four times Nebius's, but it grew more slowly. Nebius spent almost as much as CoreWeave on new equipment and buildings.

CoreWeave rents out AI computing too and is much larger. CoreWeave reported third quarter revenue of $3.66 billion on November 10, up 168% from a year earlier. The spending comparison below is for the second quarter.

In the second quarter, Nebius's revenue grew 454% from a year earlier, against 112% at CoreWeave. Nebius spent $5.66 billion on equipment and buildings, against $6.42 billion at CoreWeave, with less than a quarter of CoreWeave's revenue.

That makes Nebius the one building further ahead of its sales. Its second quarter spending was 9.7 times its revenue, against 2.5 times at CoreWeave, each measured by the company's own cash flow line for buying equipment and facilities. The two companies also count their future sales differently. CoreWeave reported a revenue backlog, the contracted sales it has yet to deliver, of about $104 billion at June 30, while Nebius reports remaining performance obligations, a differently defined measure of contracted sales not yet delivered, of $38.7 billion at September 30, up from $37.5 billion at June 30.

NebiusCoreWeave
Revenue$582.3M$2,575M
Revenue growth from a year earlier454%112%
Spending on equipment and buildings (own cash flow line)$5,657.4M$6,422M
Spending as a multiple of revenue9.7x2.5x
Cash and cash equivalents, June 30$8,042.1M$5,524M
Nebius and CoreWeave in the second quarter of 2026 Nebius spent 9.7 times its quarterly revenue on equipment and buildings, against 2.5 times at CoreWeave. Figures from Nebius second quarter 2026 results release, as of August 12, 2026; CoreWeave second quarter 2026 results release, as of August 11, 2026.

What to watch

  • Whether 2026 revenue reaches $3.0 billion, the low end Nebius now expects: its fourth quarter results.
  • Whether the AI cloud reaches a $7 billion yearly pace in February, as Nebius now expects: its first quarter 2027 results, if it still reports ARR.
  • Whether the remaining New Jersey capacity for Microsoft arrives in the second quarter of 2027: Nebius's quarterly letters.
  • Whether Meta's $12 billion of dedicated capacity starts in early 2027 as planned: Nebius's quarterly letters, which have reported each delivery so far.
  • Whether Nebius repays or replaces the $3.5 billion Citi facility, a 364-day facility announced on October 22, 2026, so due around October 2027: its releases and Form 6-K filings.

Our numbers

The letter does not split the non-recurring revenue by month or by business, so each figure without it takes out the full $325 million.

  • About $583 million in February: the $7 billion ARR goal divided by 12, against $574.9 million of AI cloud revenue in the second quarter.
  • About $1.04 billion needed in the fourth quarter: the $3.0 billion low end minus $1,962.1 million of revenue in the first nine months.
  • About $656 million without the one-off: $980.8 million of third quarter revenue minus about $325 million of non-recurring revenue, about 13% above $582.3 million in the second quarter. The fourth quarter's need is about 58% above it.
  • About 7.4 times: third quarter purchases of property, equipment and intangible assets of $7,300.4 million divided by $980.8 million of revenue.
  • About 8% more shares: about 292.9 million at September 30 against 271.9 million at June 30.
  • Twice as much in six months: $8.13 billion of first half 2026 spending against $4.07 billion in all of 2025.
  • 9.7 times and 2.5 times: each company's second quarter purchases of equipment and facilities divided by its revenue.
  • More than four times: CoreWeave's $2.58 billion of second quarter revenue divided by Nebius's $582.3 million.
  • About $10 billion in loans, notes and a credit facility: $775 million plus $5.75 billion plus $3.5 billion, the gross amounts of the three financings announced since June 30, whatever part has been drawn.

Frequently asked questions

Nebius released its third quarter 2026 results on Thursday, November 12, 2026, before the US market opened, and held its call at 8:00 a.m. ET. It announced the date on October 30.

No. Nebius pays no dividend, and its 2025 annual report says it does not expect to pay dividends on its Class A shares in the foreseeable future. It is putting its cash into data centers.

Not after all costs. In the third quarter its adjusted EBITDA was $465.8 million. Its net loss from continuing operations was $37.5 million, after the wear on its servers and the interest on its debt. Nebius expects to reach pre-tax breakeven in the fourth quarter of 2027.

The shares closed at $129.49 on November 6, according to StockTitan price data, about half their $259.20 close on August 12, the day of the second quarter report. Nebius has given no reason for the fall. The period included a selloff in AI data center stocks on November 4 and 5, which StockTitan's live market coverage of November 5 reported.

Nebius takes the AI cloud's revenue in the last month of a quarter and multiplies it by 12. ARR was $6.4 billion at the end of September. Nebius now expects it to pass $7 billion for February, about two months after its earlier goal of $7 billion to $9 billion by December, and from 2027 it will give revenue and earnings goals instead.

CoreWeave reported its third quarter results on November 10, 2026, after the market closed, two days before Nebius. Both companies rent out AI computing power built on Nvidia chips.

Sources

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