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Heartflow Builds Evidence Base Across the Heart Disease Care Continuum, From Precision Risk Stratification to CT-Guided Intervention Planning

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Heartflow (Nasdaq: HTFL) announced new clinical evidence and launched the NAVIGATE-PCI registry to advance AI-guided CAD care. Key findings include a cohort of >15,000 patients with up to 16 years follow-up showing extensive plaque volume confers a 4x higher MACE risk, DECIDE data on ~3,800 patients improving lipid outcomes, and a US payer budget analysis projecting $140 million population savings and cost-effectiveness within two years. The NAVIGATE-PCI Registry has enrolled its first patient toward a planned 5,000-patient evaluation of CT-guided PCI planning.

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Positive

  • Plaque volume linked to a 4x higher MACE risk in a >15,000-patient registry
  • NAVIGATE-PCI first patient enrolled for a planned 5,000-patient CT-guided PCI registry
  • DECIDE registry (~3,800 patients) showed higher initiation of lipid-lowering therapy and LDL 70 mg/dL
  • $140 million projected total population savings and cost-effectiveness within two years (US payer analysis)

Negative

  • None.

News Market Reaction – HTFL

+2.39%
33 alerts
+2.39% Session close to close
+4.6% Peak in 30 hr 33 min
$1.92B Market Cap
0.9x Rel. Volume

In the Mar 16 session, HTFL gained 2.39%, reflecting a moderate positive market reaction. Argus tracked a peak move of +4.6% during that session. Our momentum scanner triggered 33 alerts that day, indicating elevated trading interest and price volatility.

Data tracked by StockTitan Argus on the day of publication.

Market Context

This announcement highlights an expanding evidence base for HTFL, including a CCTA registry of over ...
Analysis

This announcement highlights an expanding evidence base for HTFL, including a CCTA registry of over 15,000 patients with up to 16 years of follow-up, a nearly 3,800-patient DECIDE Registry, and projected $140 million in savings from AI-guided care. The new 5,000-patient NAVIGATE-PCI Registry extends Heartflow into CT-guided intervention planning. Investors may watch how these data translate into payer coverage, clinical guidelines, and procedure volumes, alongside upcoming financial disclosures and further real-world outcomes.

Key Figures

NAVIGATE-PCI size: 5,000 patients CCTA registry size: over 15,000 patients Follow-up duration: up to 16 years +5 more
8 metrics
NAVIGATE-PCI size 5,000 patients Registry assessing Heartflow PCI Navigator impact
CCTA registry size over 15,000 patients Mass General Brigham CCTA Registry
Follow-up duration up to 16 years Mass General Brigham CCTA Registry
Risk increase fourfold higher risk Extensive plaque volume and MACE
DECIDE Registry size nearly 3,800 patients Primary analysis of DECIDE Registry
LDL goal threshold <70 mg/dL Guideline-recommended LDL goals in DECIDE analysis
Projected savings $140 million Total population savings from budget impact analysis
Cost parity timing under two years Time to achieve cost-effectiveness vs usual care

Historical Context

5 past events · Latest: Feb 18 (Neutral)
Pattern 5 events
Date Event Sentiment 24h Move Catalyst
Feb 18 Conference participation Neutral +1.3% Announcement of participation in Morgan Stanley TMT conference with webcast access.
Feb 13 Earnings timing Neutral +7.8% Scheduling of Q4 and full-year 2025 results call and webcast details.
Feb 12 Registry expansion Positive -16.6% Expansion of GAMEFILM AI Plaque Analysis registry to NBA and NHL alumni.
Jan 06 Coverage expansion Positive +2.5% Aetna nationwide coverage and CPT coding/reimbursement for Heartflow Plaque Analysis.
Jan 05 Conference presentation Neutral +2.5% Planned presentation at J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference with webcast for investors.

24h Move is the share-price change in the day after each event; other market factors may also have contributed.

Pattern Detected

News flow has generally aligned with price moves, with one notable divergence on a clearly positive registry expansion that saw a 16.55% drop.

Recent Company History

Over recent months, HTFL’s news has centered on visibility and adoption of its AI-based CAD tools. Coverage wins like nationwide Aetna reimbursement and conference appearances on Jan 5 and Feb 18 saw modest positive reactions. The GAMEFILM registry expansion on Feb 12 was clinically strategic but coincided with a 16.55% decline, contrasting with prior positive reactions. Today’s ACC clinical evidence and NAVIGATE-PCI launch further extend that theme of building real-world data and registry infrastructure for Plaque Analysis and CT-guided PCI planning.

Key Terms

mace, ccta, percutaneous coronary intervention, ldl, +2 more
6 terms
mace medical
"technology predicts MACE, drives superior lipid outcomes"
MACE stands for Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events — a composite medical endpoint that counts serious heart-related outcomes such as heart attack, stroke and cardiovascular death. Investors use MACE as a single safety and efficacy yardstick for drugs or devices aimed at the heart or blood vessels; like a vehicle crash-test score, a lower MACE rate signals fewer serious harms and can strongly influence regulatory approval, market adoption and commercial value.
ccta medical
"Mass General Brigham CCTA Registry (Poster 1082-09, March 29"
CCTA stands for coronary computed tomography angiography, an advanced, noninvasive CT scan that produces detailed pictures of the heart’s blood vessels to detect blockages or narrowing. For investors, CCTA matters because wider use or new approvals can change demand for imaging equipment, influence hospitals’ testing mix, affect clinical pathways for heart disease treatments, and alter revenue prospects for device makers and diagnostic-service providers.
percutaneous coronary intervention medical
"effort to evaluate the real-world impact of CT-guided percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI)"
A minimally invasive heart procedure that opens narrowed or blocked coronary arteries by threading a thin tube from a wrist or groin to the heart and using a balloon and usually a small metal scaffold (stent) to restore blood flow. Investors care because the procedure drives sales and regulatory exposure for device makers, hospitals and suppliers, and influences healthcare costs and insurance payments—think of it like a plumbing repair that requires parts, skilled labor and follow-up maintenance.
ldl medical
"achieved guideline-recommended LDL goals (<70 mg/dL)"
Low-density lipoprotein (LDL) is the main carrier of cholesterol in the blood, often called “bad” cholesterol because too much can stick to artery walls and increase heart disease risk. Investors monitor LDL-related tests, drugs and therapies because shifts in how LDL is managed affect demand for medical products, insurance and healthcare spending—think of LDL like traffic; more congestion drives up costs and risk across the health sector.
cta medical
"CT-guided percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) planning on clinical strategy"
A CTA (Commodity Trading Advisor) is a professional or firm that manages and advises clients on trading futures, options and other derivatives, similar to a coach who designs and runs strategies using these instruments. It matters to investors because CTAs make decisions that can affect portfolio risk and returns, and they operate under regulatory oversight, so knowing a CTA’s strategy, performance and compliance helps assess potential reward and risk.
cath lab medical
"bolster physician confidence in the cath lab."
A cath lab is a specialized hospital room with imaging equipment and tools used to thread thin tubes and devices into the heart and blood vessels to diagnose and treat cardiac problems without open surgery. For investors, the number and use of cath labs signal demand for heart procedures and related devices, influence hospital revenue and equipment makers’ sales, and reflect capital spending and reimbursement trends—like a high-tech repair bay that drives both service income and device orders.

AI-generated analysis. How Rhea-AI works. Not financial advice.

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Three presentations at ACC reinforce Heartflow’s AI-powered technology predicts MACE, drives superior lipid outcomes and results in cost-effective care
 
First patient enrolled in pioneering NAVIGATE-PCI Registry assessing impact of Heartflow PCI Navigator on clinical strategy, efficiency and physician confidence across 5,000 patients
 

MOUNTAIN VIEW, Calif., March 16, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Heartflow, Inc. (Heartflow) (Nasdaq: HTFL), the leader in AI technology for coronary artery disease (CAD), today announced new clinical evidence and a landmark registry launch that together advance the company's vision of transforming CAD management across every stage of the patient journey. At the American College of Cardiology (ACC) Annual Scientific Session, Heartflow is presenting new clinical evidence that further establishes AI-powered Heartflow Plaque Analysis as the leading tool for identifying high-risk patients earlier and guiding more effective medical management.

Simultaneously, Heartflow has enrolled the first patient in the NAVIGATE-PCI Registry, the first large-scale effort to evaluate the real-world impact of CT-guided percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) planning on clinical strategy, procedural efficiency and physician confidence. The registry is evaluating how often treatment plans change when physicians use the AI-driven insights provided by Heartflow PCI Navigator compared to angiography alone.

“These milestones reflect tremendous progress toward Heartflow's goal of transforming coronary artery disease from the world’s leading cause of death into a condition that can be detected early, diagnosed accurately, and managed for life,” said Campbell Rogers, M.D., F.A.C.C., Chief Medical Officer at Heartflow. “The Heartflow Plaque Analysis data presented at ACC and the launch of the NAVIGATE-PCI Registry represent important steps in building the rigorous real-world evidence needed to support AI-driven decision-making across the full continuum of cardiovascular care. From identifying high-risk patients earlier and improving how they are managed to generating the evidence needed to guide more precise interventions when required, Heartflow is giving physicians deeper insights and greater confidence so they can deliver better outcomes for patients.”

Heartflow Plaque Analysis: New Clinical Evidence for Earlier Risk Stratification and Management

Heartflow Plaque Analysis will be featured in three ACC 2026 presentations, covering long-term validation of risk stratification, real-world comparative effectiveness in lipid management, and economic sustainability. Collectively, these data reinforce Plaque Analysis as a personalized, clinically actionable and cost-effective solution for CAD management.

AI-Based Coronary Plaque Analysis and Adverse Cardiovascular Events: The Mass General Brigham CCTA Registry (Poster 1082-09, March 29, 10:06 a.m. CDT)
This cohort, based on a large-scale registry tracking over 15,000 patients, with up to 16 years of follow-up, demonstrated that Plaque Analysis is a powerful predictor of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), even after accounting for traditional risk factors and the severity of coronary stenosis. The findings reveal that patients with extensive plaque volume face a fourfold higher risk of such events. This robust, real-world data solidifies Heartflow Plaque Staging as the most powerful CTA-based independent predictor for personalized risk stratification, enabling clinicians to identify high-risk individuals beyond conventional metrics.

“Stenosis has long been our primary lens for evaluating coronary risk, but it tells an incomplete story, as this registry demonstrates. With over 15,000 patients and 16 years of follow-up, we now have compelling real-world evidence that total plaque volume independently drives adverse events, regardless of risk factors or the presence of anatomical stenosis,” said Ron Blankstein, M.D., Director of Cardiac Computed Tomography at Brigham and Women's Hospital, and Professor of Medicine and Radiology at Harvard Medical School. “These findings catalyze a meaningful shift in how we approach risk stratification by more accurately identifying patients who might otherwise have been characterized as having lower risk based on conventional assessment and optimizing management based on their actual disease burden.”

Comparative Effectiveness of Coronary Computed Tomographic Angiography With or Without AI-Plaque Analysis and Stress Testing on Lipid Lowering After One Year: A Primary Analysis of the DECIDE Registry (Poster 1469-058, March 29, 12:30 p.m. CDT)
This analysis, involving nearly 3,800 patients, compared patient management guided by CCTA with Plaque Analysis versus traditional stress-test-guided care over a one-year follow-up. A significantly higher portion of patients whose care was informed by Plaque Analysis initiated lipid-lowering therapy and achieved guideline-recommended LDL goals (<70 mg/dL). These findings demonstrate that Heartflow's AI-powered insights optimize medical management, pushing beyond conventional diagnostic pathways for more precise and effective treatment outcomes, regardless of traditional risk factors.

The primary endpoint data from the landmark DECIDE Registry, the largest prospective registry evaluating the clinical impact of Heartflow Plaque Analysis on medical management decisions, were recently published in JACC Cardiovascular Imaging.

Budget Impact Analysis of AI-Guided Coronary Plaque Analysis vs. Usual Care from a US Payer Perspective (Poster 1468-019, March 29, 12:30 p.m. CDT)
This study demonstrated that Plaque Analysis is not only clinically impactful, but also economically sustainable. The analysis revealed that cost-effectiveness and parity with usual care are achieved in under two years with total population savings of $140 million, as incremental testing costs to prevent a single MACE fall significantly below the actual cost of treating a MACE. This research reinforces prevention as a critical value-based care strategy, highlighting how Heartflow's technology delivers substantial long-term savings and improved patient outcomes for both payers and healthcare systems.

Heartflow also invites ACC.26 meeting attendees to join its other programs, including an educational dinner, innovation session, snack-n-learn sessions, and more. See the full schedule at heartflow.com/ACC26.

Heartflow PCI Navigator: NAVIGATE-PCI Registry to Advance CT-Guided Intervention Planning
Powered by Heartflow PCI Navigator, the company's AI-driven pre-procedural planning platform, the NAVIGATE-PCI Registry is underway to investigate how integrating patient-specific insights into coronary anatomy, physiology and plaque can shape clinical strategy, enhance procedural efficiency and bolster physician confidence in the cath lab. This comes as interventional cardiologists increasingly seek advanced tools to optimize PCI procedures.

“AI-powered technology is rapidly evolving, now offering interventional cardiologists the opportunity to start planning percutaneous coronary interventions before we enter the cath lab, from any computer, anywhere,” said Ziad Ali, M.D., D.Phil., Director of the DeMatteis Cardiovascular Institute at St. Francis Hospital & Heart Center, and Co-Principal Investigator of the NAVIGATE-PCI Study. “CT-guided PCI planning allows us to anticipate lesion complexity, select devices more intelligently, and enter the cath lab with a clear procedural strategy.”

NAVIGATE-PCI represents the first large-scale effort to evaluate the clinical implications of CT-guided PCI planning. The study will examine how comprehensive pre-procedural insights can enhance PCI procedures to improve cath lab efficiency and outcomes for patients.

“NAVIGATE-PCI will generate evidence on how pre-procedural insights influence concrete decisions across procedural planning, lesion preparation strategy and expected stent placement,” added Todd Villines, M.D., F.A.C.C., Professor of Medicine, Division of Cardiology, University of Virginia, and Co-Principal Investigator of the NAVIGATE-PCI Study. “This level of clinical clarity is what physicians and health systems need to confidently integrate this innovative capability into everyday practice.”

About Heartflow Plaque Analysis with Plaque Staging
Heartflow Plaque Analysis is the only FDA-cleared, AI-powered plaque analysis tool with a reported 95% agreement with the gold standard, intravascular ultrasound (IVUS), in a prospective, international trial using blinded core lab adjudication.1 Heartflow Plaque Staging guides patient risk stratification based on total plaque volume, informing actionable treatment plans, simplifying decision-making and personalizing preventive treatment based on patient risk.2,3

About Heartflow PCI Navigator
Heartflow is expanding the Heartflow One platform with the addition of Heartflow PCI Navigator to support diagnosing, managing and guiding treatment for patients throughout the spectrum of CAD care. PCI Navigator is the only integrated, AI-driven percutaneous coronary interventions (PCI) planning tool that gives interventional cardiologists a patient-specific 3D model detailing anatomy, plaque composition, and lesion-specific physiology, all aligned to optimize potential stent placement. Heartflow introduced PCI Navigator to close the critical information gaps interventional cardiologists face before entering the cardiac catheterization lab. Commercial availability of PCI Navigator is expected in the second quarter of 2026.

About Heartflow’s Technology and Research
Heartflow’s technology is redefining precision cardiovascular care through clinically proven AI and the world’s largest coronary imaging dataset. Heartflow has been adopted by more than 1,400 institutions globally and continues to strengthen its commercial presence to make this cutting-edge solution more widely available to an increasingly diverse patient population. Backed by ACC/AHA guidelines and supported by more than 600 peer-reviewed publications, Heartflow has redefined how clinicians manage care for over 500,000 patients worldwide.4 Key benefits include:

  • Proprietary data pipeline: Built from more than 160 million annotated CTA images, Heartflow’s data foundation powers advanced AI models that deliver highly accurate, reproducible insights across diverse patient populations.
  • Extensive clinical and real-world validation: Heartflow’s AI-driven solutions have been validated through clinical evidence in over 200 studies assessing over 365,000 patients. Proven in real-world practice with reproducibility and accuracy, Heartflow’s coronary CTA image acceptance rates exceed 97%.
  • Seamless clinical integration via upgraded workflow: Heartflow delivers final quality-reviewed analyses instantly upon order, enabling clinicians to move from diagnosis to decision without delay.
  • Quality system, global security and patient-data integrity compliance: Heartflow meets or exceeds leading international standards, including HITRUST, SOC 2 Type 2, ISO 13485, and ISO 27001.

About Heartflow, Inc.
Heartflow is transforming coronary artery disease from the world’s leading cause of death into a condition that can be detected early, diagnosed accurately, and managed for life. The Heartflow One platform uses AI to turn coronary CTA images into personalized 3D models of the heart, providing clinically meaningful, actionable insights into plaque location, volume, and composition and its effect on blood flow — all without invasive procedures. Discover how we’re shaping the future of cardiovascular care at heartflow.com.

Media Contact
Elliot Levy
elevy@heartflow.com

Investor Contact
Nick Laudico
nlaudico@heartflow.com

                            

1 Ihdayhid A, et al. Radiol Cardiothorac Imaging. 2024. doi: 10.1148/ryct.230312 and internal bridging study with ICC correlation between first generation and second generation Plaque Analysis algorithm.
2 Rinehart, et al. JACC Imaging. 2025.
3 Fairbairn, et al. Presented at AHA 2025.
4 Gulati, et al. 2021 AHA/ACC/ASE/CHEST/SAEM/SCCT/SCMR Guideline for the Evaluation & Diagnosis of Chest Pain. J Am Coll Cardiol.

A video accompanying this announcement is available at https://www.globenewswire.com/NewsRoom/AttachmentNg/2c5f4a13-0d27-4d98-9886-5face77035d6


FAQ

What did Heartflow (HTFL) present at ACC 2026 about plaque volume and MACE risk?

Plaque volume was associated with a fourfold higher risk of major adverse cardiovascular events. According to Heartflow, a >15,000-patient registry with up to 16 years follow-up showed total plaque volume independently predicted MACE beyond stenosis and traditional risk factors.

How large is the NAVIGATE-PCI registry and has Heartflow enrolled patients for HTFL's PCI Navigator study?

NAVIGATE-PCI is designed as a 5,000-patient registry and has enrolled its first patient. According to Heartflow, the study will evaluate how CT-guided PCI planning changes procedural strategy, efficiency and physician confidence versus angiography alone.

What clinical impact did the DECIDE registry show for Heartflow Plaque Analysis (HTFL)?

DECIDE (~3,800 patients) found more patients initiated lipid-lowering therapy and met LDL <70 mg/dL when guided by Plaque Analysis. According to Heartflow, this demonstrates AI-driven plaque insights improve medical management versus stress-test-guided care over one year.

What are the economic findings Heartflow reported for AI-guided plaque analysis (HTFL)?

A US payer budget analysis projected $140 million population savings and cost-effectiveness within two years. According to Heartflow, incremental testing costs to prevent one MACE fall well below the cost of treating a MACE, supporting long-term savings.

What will the NAVIGATE-PCI registry evaluate for HTFL's PCI Navigator platform?

NAVIGATE-PCI will assess how pre-procedural CT insights affect clinical decisions, lesion prep and stent planning in PCI. According to Heartflow, the registry aims to measure impacts on procedural efficiency, strategy changes and physician confidence in the cath lab.