Redfin Reports U.S. Pending Home Sales Sink to a New Low
The median monthly mortgage payment increased 10.4% year over year as pending sales fell across the largest metro areas.
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Rhea-AI Summary
Redfin, the brokerage powered by Rocket (RKT), reported U.S. pending home sales reached their lowest level in records dating to 2021. For the four weeks ending Oct. 18, 2026, pending sales totaled 281,749, down 14.4% year over year and 1.9% week over week. Pending sales declined across all 50 most populous U.S. metro areas for the second consecutive week.
The median monthly mortgage payment was $2,796 at a 7.4% mortgage rate, the second-highest payment in Redfin's records. The median sale price rose 0.2% year over year to $390,614. New listings fell 1.4% week over week, while active listings increased 0.1%. Months of supply reached 4.4, up from 4 a year earlier.
News Explained
Redfin reports hundreds of thousands more home sellers than buyers nationwide, which it says gives buyers their strongest negotiating position in more than a decade.
Details
Market Reaction – RKT
On Oct 22, the day this news came out, the latest delayed price for RKT is 5.00% above the previous close. Our momentum scanner has recorded 39 alerts for this stock so far that day. The latest delayed price is $11.66.
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Key Figures
- Pending sales
- 281,749; -14.4% year over year; -1.9% week over week
- Four weeks ending Oct. 18, 2026; lowest level in Redfin's records
- Weekly average mortgage rate
- 7.4%
- Four weeks ending Oct. 18, 2026
- Median monthly mortgage payment
- $2,796; up 10.4% year over year
- Seasonally adjusted; at a 7.4% mortgage rate; second-highest level in Redfin's records
- Median sale price
- $390,614; up 0.2% year over year
- Four weeks ending Oct. 18, 2026
- New listings
- 354,412; -2.7% year over year; -1.4% week over week
- Four weeks ending Oct. 18, 2026; lowest level since July
Historical Context
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Four-week pending sales fell 12.7% year over year and remained near record lows.
24h Move is the share-price change in the day after each event; other market factors may also have contributed.
Key Terms
seasonally adjusted technical
months of supply technical
sale-to-list price ratio technical
AI-generated analysis. How Rhea-AI works. Not financial advice.
Would-be homebuyers are pulling back as mortgage rates remain in the mid
- Pending sales fell everywhere. For the second week in a row, pending sales declined in all 50 of the most populous
U.S . metro areas. The decline comes as weekly average mortgage rates stay elevated at7.4% . - The typical monthly payment hit the second-highest level on record. The median housing payment for a homebuyer is
as mortgage rates stay high. But the median home-sale price rose just$2,796 0.2% year over year, following two weeks of0.1% increases, a sign that prices are losing steam. - Fresh supply is falling. New listings declined
1.4% from a week earlier to the lowest level since July as homeowners take note of slow homebuying demand. - Total inventory is still growing—but barely. The total number of homes for sale inched up
0.1% week over week; even though new listings are falling, the total number of homes for sale is holding up because buyers aren't depleting the pool very quickly. There are hundreds of thousands more home sellers than buyers throughout the country, giving buyers the most negotiating power they've had in over a decade.
For Redfin economists' takes on the housing market, please visit Redfin's "From Our Economists" page.
Key Housing Market Data
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Redfin's national metrics include data from 900+ |
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Four weeks ending Oct. |
Year-over-year change |
Week-over-week change |
Notes |
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Median sale price |
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0.2 % |
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Median asking price |
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0.9 % |
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Median monthly |
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10.4 % |
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Second-highest level in |
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Pending sales |
281,749 |
-14.4 % |
-1.9 % |
Lowest level in Redfin's |
|
New listings |
354,412 |
-2.7 % |
-1.4 % |
Biggest weekly decline in |
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Active listings |
1,507,161 |
2.1 % |
0.1 % |
|
|
Months of supply |
4.4 |
Up from 4 |
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4 to 5 months of supply is |
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Share of homes off |
28.3 % |
Down from |
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Median days on |
50 |
1 |
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Share of home listings |
21.7 % |
Up from |
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Share of homes sold |
23.3 % |
Up from |
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|
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Average sale-to-list |
98.4 % |
Up from |
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Metro-level highlights: Four weeks ending Oct. 18, 2026 Redfin's metro-level rankings data includes the 50 most populous |
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Metros with biggest year- |
Metros with biggest year-over- |
Notes |
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Median sale price |
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Pending sales |
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Declined in every metro Redfin |
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New listings |
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For more national and metro-level housing-market stats, please visit Redfin's data center.
To view the full report, please visit: https://www.redfin.com/news/housing-market-update-pending-home-sales-sink-high-rates
About Redfin
Redfin is a technology-driven real estate company with the country's most-visited real estate brokerage website. As part of Rocket Companies (NYSE: RKT), Redfin is creating an integrated homeownership platform from search to close to make the dream of homeownership more affordable and accessible for everyone. Redfin's clients can see homes first with on-demand tours, easily apply for a home loan with Rocket Mortgage, and save thousands in fees while working with a top local agent.
You can find more information about Redfin and get the latest housing market data and research at https://www.redfin.com/news. For more information about Rocket Companies, visit https://www.rocketcompanies.com.
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SOURCE Redfin
FAQ
AI-generated questions and answers. How Rhea-AI works. Not financial advice.
How much did pending home sales fall in Redfin's October 2026 housing report?
U.S. pending home sales fell 14.4% year over year and 1.9% week over week to 281,749 for the four weeks ending Oct. 18, 2026. The seasonally adjusted total was the lowest in Redfin's records, which date to 2021.
Which cities had the biggest pending home sales declines in Redfin's October 2026 report?
Seattle had the largest year-over-year decline at 28.8% among the metros in Redfin's rankings for the four weeks ending Oct. 18, 2026. San Diego followed with a 25.4% decline, Atlanta with 23.8%, Denver with 21%, and Las Vegas with 20.6%.