XCF Comments on Global SAF Initiatives as Policymakers Accelerate the Decarbonization of the Aviation Industry

Rhea-AI Summary

XCF Global (Nasdaq:SAFX) commented on accelerating global policy support for Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) and outlined market scale and challenges for decarbonizing aviation.

Key figures: IATA estimates ~165 billion gallons of SAF needed by 2050; 2024 production was ~330 million gallons (~0.3% of jet fuel). Analysts project the SAF market could top ~$25 billion by 2030 and ~$270 billion by 2050. Policy targets include the U.S. SAF Grand Challenge (3 billion gallons by 2030; 35 billion by 2050) and ReFuelEU mandates rising to 6% by 2030 and 70% by 2050.

XCF emphasized its early-mover, modular approach and a partnership with New Rise Australia to develop three SAF sites, and flagged reliability, carbon accounting, and cross-border logistics as priorities.

Positive

• Analysts project SAF market ≈$25B by 2030
• Analysts project SAF market ≈$270B by 2050
• U.S. SAF target: 3B gallons by 2030
• XCF partnership to develop 3 SAF sites in Australia

Negative

• 2024 SAF production ≈330M gallons (~0.3% of jet fuel)
• Estimated need: 165B gallons SAF annually by 2050
• Required production growth: ~27% CAGR
• Scale gap: 5,000–7,000 new facilities needed

Insights

Energy and Policy Analyst

Policy mandates and incentives materially raise SAF demand; XCF highlights partnerships and modular capacity to address a large production gap.

XCF links explicit policy targets and market size to a clear demand gap: global SAF output in 2024 was ~330 million gallons versus an estimated need of 165 billion gallons annually by 2050. The release cites specific programs that create enforceable demand pathways, including the U.S. SAF Grand Challenge (target 3 billion gallons by 2030 and 35 billion gallons by 2050) and Europe’s ReFuelEU mandates rising from 2% in 2025 to 70% in 2050. These are concrete policy levers that translate into market volumes and rollout schedules.

Key dependencies and risks are explicit in the text: meeting projected volumes requires a sustained 27% compound annual growth rate in capacity and construction of 5,000–7,000 new facilities. The company points to three execution-critical areas: diverse policy toolkits, the evolving mix of SAF pathways (HEFA near-term dominance), and system reliability for volume, carbon accounting and cross-border logistics. These are operational and regulatory dependencies stated plainly in the release.

The most monitorable items are clear and time-bound: the U.S. goal of 3 billion gallons by 2030, Europe’s ReFuelEU milestones (2% by 2025, 6% by 2030), and XCF’s announced partnership to develop three SAF sites in Australia. Watch progress on announced site development, regulatory implementation of the cited mandates, and published capacity additions against the required 27% CAGR; these metrics will indicate whether the demand assumptions can be met within the stated horizons.

HOUSTON, TEXAS / ACCESS Newswire / October 30, 2025 / XCF Global, Inc. ("XCF") (Nasdaq:SAFX), a key player in decarbonizing the aviation industry through Sustainable Aviation Fuel ("SAF"), today shared its perspective on the rapidly evolving global policy landscape shaping the adoption of sustainable aviation fuel.

The scale of the challenge - and opportunity - is immense. According to the International Air Transport Association ("IATA"), airlines will need approximately 165 billion gallons of SAF annually by 2050 to achieve net-zero emissions. In 2024, global SAF production totalled only ~330 million gallons - about 0.3% of total jet-fuel demand. Meeting 2050 decarbonization targets will require an estimated 27% compound annual growth rate in production capacity and the construction of 5,000 - 7,000 new facilities worldwide. This gap represents one of the most compelling growth opportunities in the global energy transition, with analysts projecting the SAF market could exceed ~$25 billion by 2030 and reach ~$270 billion by 2050.

Governments are responding. Across major markets, policymakers are using mandates and incentive schemes to accelerate SAF adoption. Today, more than 2 billion people globally live in countries with SAF blending mandates or strong incentives, such as tax credits - by 2030, this number is expected to grow to more than 4 billion people.

• In the U.S., the SAF Grand Challenge aims to expand domestic consumption of SAF to 3 billion gallons per year by 2030 and 35 billion gallons per year by 2050.

• In Europe,the ReFuelEU Aviation regulation mandates that SAF make up 2% of all jet fuel by 2025, rising to 6% in 2030, 20% by 2035, and 70% by 2050, creating one of the largest mandated clean-fuel markets globally.

• The UK has coupled mandates starting from 2% in 2025 and increasing to 10% in 2030 and 22% in 2040 with revenue-certainty mechanisms that help cover the price premium between SAF and conventional jet fuel.

• Across Asia-Pacific, countries including Australia, China, India, Japan, Korea, and Singapore are developing frameworks that combine blending targets, tax incentives, and infrastructure funding to stimulate both production and demand.

"Global demand for SAF is shifting from 'if' to 'how fast,'" said Mihir Dange, CEO of XCF. "Mandates, incentives, and procurement are converging to drive volume. These dynamics underscore the value of XCF's early-mover advantage and modular design, which we're now extending globally through partnerships such as with New Rise Australia, a venture that is expected to develop three SAF sites across the continent to meet Australia's growing demand for sustainable aviation fuel and renewable diesel."

XCF highlighted three dynamics that will shape the next phase of growth:

• Diverse toolkits, common direction. Regions may use different policy levers - mandates, subsidies, tax credits, or procurement - but they all point toward accelerating adoption.

• Technology mix evolution. HEFA remains the dominant pathway in the near-term, while policy frameworks are creating headroom for emerging pathways to scale toward 2050 targets.

• System reliability. Airlines and fuel suppliers need dependable volumes, transparent carbon accounting, and logistics that work across borders. Producers with operational capacity and credible expansion plans will lead.

"As SAF adoption transitions from pilot programs to long-term supply, reliability and verifiability become the new currency of trust," Dange added. "XCF is building the backbone of that transition by advancing the infrastructure and partnerships needed to make SAF the new standard across global aviation."

About XCF Global, Inc.

XCF Global, Inc. is a pioneering sustainable aviation fuel company dedicated to accelerating the aviation industry's transition to net-zero emissions. XCF is developing and operating state-of-the-art clean fuel SAF production facilities engineered to the highest levels of compliance, reliability, and quality. The company is actively building partnerships across the energy and transportation sectors to accelerate the adoption of SAF on a global scale. XCF is listed on the Nasdaq Capital Market and trades under the ticker, SAFX. Current outstanding shares: ~159.2 million; <20% free float (as of October 30, 2025).

To learn more, visit www.xcf.global.

Contacts

XCF Global:
C/O Camarco
XCFGlobal@camarco.co.uk

Media:

Camarco
Andrew Archer | Rosie Driscoll | Violet Wilson
XCFGlobal@camarco.co.uk

Forward-Looking Statements

This Press Release includes "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the "safe harbor" provisions of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. In some cases, you can identify forward-looking statements by terminology such as "may", "should", "expect", "intend", "will", "estimate", "anticipate", "believe", "predict", "potential" or "continue", or the negatives of these terms or variations of them or similar terminology. These forward-looking statements, including, without limitation, statements regarding XCF Global's expectations with respect to future performance and anticipated financial impacts of the recently completed business combination with Focus Impact BH3 Acquisition Company (the "Business Combination"), estimates and forecasts of other financial and performance metrics, and projections of market opportunity and market share, are subject to risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are based upon estimates and assumptions that, while considered reasonable by XCF Global and its management, are inherently uncertain and subject to material change. These forward-looking statements are provided for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to serve as and must not be relied on by any investor as, a guarantee, an assurance, a prediction or a definitive statement of fact or probability. New risks and uncertainties may emerge from time to time, and it is not possible to predict all risks and uncertainties. Factors that may cause actual results to differ materially from current expectations include, but are not limited to: (1) changes in domestic and foreign business, market, financial, political, and legal conditions; (2) unexpected increases in XCF Global's expenses, including manufacturing and operating expenses and interest expenses, as a result of potential inflationary pressures, changes in interest rates and other factors; (3) the occurrence of any event, change or other circumstances that could give rise to the termination of negotiations and any agreements with regard to XCF Global's offtake arrangements; (4) the outcome of any legal proceedings that may be instituted against the parties to the Business Combination or others; (5) XCF Global's ability to regain compliance with Nasdaq's continued listing standards and thereafter continue to meet Nasdaq's continued listing standards; (6) XCF Global's ability to integrate the operations of New Rise and implement its business plan on its anticipated timeline; (7) XCF Global's ability to raise financing to fund its operations and business plan and the terms of any such financing; (8) the New Rise Reno production facility's ability to produce the anticipated quantities of SAF without interruption or material changes to the SAF production process; (9) the New Rise Reno production facility's ability to produce renewable diesel in commercial quantities without interruption during the ongoing SAF ramp-up process; (10) XCF Global's ability to resolve current disputes between its New Rise subsidiary and its landlord with respect to the ground lease for the New Rise Reno facility; (11) XCF Global's ability to resolve current disputes between its New Rise subsidiary and its primary lender with respect to loans outstanding that were used in the development of the New Rise Reno facility; (12) payment of fees, expenses and other costs related to the completion of the Business Combination and the New Rise acquisitions; (13) the risk of disruption to the current plans and operations of XCF Global as a result of the consummation of the Business Combination; (14) XCF Global's ability to recognize the anticipated benefits of the Business Combination and the New Rise acquisitions, which may be affected by, among other things, competition, the ability of XCF Global to grow and manage growth profitably, maintain relationships with customers and suppliers and retain its management and key employees; (15) changes in applicable laws or regulations; (16) risks related to extensive regulation, compliance obligations and rigorous enforcement by federal, state, and non-U.S. governmental authorities; (17) the possibility that XCF Global may be adversely affected by other economic, business, and/or competitive factors; (18) the availability of tax credits and other federal, state or local government support; (19) risks relating to XCF Global's and New Rise's key intellectual property rights, including the possible infringement of their intellectual property rights by third parties; (20) the risk that XCF Global's reporting and compliance obligations as a publicly-traded company divert management resources from business operations; (21) the effects of increased costs associated with operating as a public company; and (22) various factors beyond management's control, including general economic conditions and other risks, uncertainties and factors set forth in XCF Global's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC"), including the final proxy statement/prospectus relating to the Business Combination filed with the SEC on February 6, 2025, this Press Release and other filings XCF Global made or will make with the SEC in the future. If any of the risks actually occur, either alone or in combination with other events or circumstances, or XCF Global's assumptions prove incorrect, actual results could differ materially from the results implied by these forward-looking statements. There may be additional risks that XCF Global does not presently know or that it currently believes are not material that could also cause actual results to differ from those contained in the forward-looking statements. In addition, forward-looking statements reflect XCF Global's expectations, plans or forecasts of future events and views as of the date of this Press Release. These forward-looking statements should not be relied upon as representing XCF Global's assessments as of any date subsequent to the date of this Press Release. Accordingly, undue reliance should not be placed upon the forward-looking statements. While XCF Global may elect to update these forward-looking statements at some point in the future, XCF Global specifically disclaims any obligation to do so.

SOURCE: XCF Global, Inc.

View the original press release on ACCESS Newswire

FAQ

What did XCF (SAFX) announce about global SAF policy on October 30, 2025?

XCF outlined accelerating mandates and incentives worldwide, highlighted market projections, and noted a partnership to develop three SAF sites in Australia.

How much SAF does IATA say is needed by 2050 and how does that compare to 2024 production?

IATA estimates about 165 billion gallons by 2050 versus ~330 million gallons produced in 2024 (~0.3% of demand).

What are the U.S. SAF Grand Challenge targets cited by XCF (SAFX)?

The U.S. targets 3 billion gallons of SAF per year by 2030 and 35 billion gallons by 2050.

What ReFuelEU Aviation mandates did XCF reference for Europe?

ReFuelEU requires SAF at 2% in 2025, 6% in 2030, 20% in 2035, and 70% in 2050.

How does XCF say it’s positioned to benefit from SAF policy acceleration?

XCF cited an early-mover, modular design and global partnerships, including a venture to build three SAF sites in Australia.

What major supply-side challenges did XCF highlight for SAF scaling?

XCF noted the need for dependable volumes, transparent carbon accounting, cross-border logistics, and a large build-out of new facilities.