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ScottsMiracle-Gro Announces Financial Targets and Capital Allocation Strategy During Investor Day 2026 at NYSE

(Moderate)
(Very Positive)
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ScottsMiracle-Gro (NYSE: SMG) outlined mid-range financial targets and a capital allocation strategy for fiscal 2027–2029 ahead of Investor Day 2026 at the NYSE. Management tied these goals to its SMG 2.0 strategy, focused on portfolio optimization, omnichannel expansion, category growth and technology-driven efficiencies.

The Company’s mid-range algorithm targets average annual net sales growth of 2–4%, adjusted gross margin rate improvement of 50–100 bps, adjusted EPS growth of 5–8%, and free cash flow above $275 million, with a leverage ratio goal of 3–3.5x in 2027–2029 and below 3x longer term. Capital allocation plans include SG&A reinvestment, capex of 2.5–3.5% of net sales, ongoing dividends, anti-dilutive and opportunistic buybacks, and low-risk tuck-in acquisitions.

ScottsMiracle-Gro also reiterated key elements of its fiscal 2026 outlook, including non-GAAP adjusted EPS of $4.30–$4.45, U.S. Consumer net sales growth in the low single digits, an adjusted gross margin rate of at least 32%, mid single-digit adjusted EBITDA growth, and $275 million in free cash flow, expected to reduce leverage to the high 3s.

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Positive

  • 2027–2029 net sales targeted to grow 2–4% annually
  • Adjusted EPS mid-range growth target of 5–8% per year
  • Adjusted gross margin improvement of 50–100 bps targeted annually
  • Free cash flow goal above $275 million per year in 2027–2029
  • Fiscal 2026 EPS outlook raised to $4.30–$4.45 non-GAAP adjusted
  • Fiscal 2026 free cash flow guided to $275 million, aiding leverage reduction

Negative

  • Leverage ratio still targeted at 3–3.5x through fiscal 2029
  • Top-line growth algorithm assumes modest 2–4% annual net sales increase

Market Context

SMG recorded a -1.11% 24-hour reaction after its July 21 responsibility-strategy release, adding his...
Analysis

SMG recorded a -1.11% 24-hour reaction after its July 21 responsibility-strategy release, adding historical context to this financial-targets announcement. Recent director net selling and moderate short positioning are additional platform-record risks to monitor.

Key Figures

Net sales growth target: 2 to 4% Gross margin improvement: 50 to 100 basis points Adjusted EPS growth: 5 to 8% +5 more
8 metrics
Net sales growth target 2 to 4% Average annual fiscal 2027 through fiscal 2029
Gross margin improvement 50 to 100 basis points Adjusted gross margin rate, fiscal 2027 through fiscal 2029
Adjusted EPS growth 5 to 8% Fiscal 2027 through fiscal 2029
Free cash flow Greater than $275 million Fiscal 2027 through fiscal 2029
Leverage ratio target 3 to 3.5x Mid-range goal for fiscal 2027 through fiscal 2029
Longer-range leverage target Below 3x Longer-range goal
Capital expenditure target 2.5 to 3.5% of net sales Annual capital allocation strategy
Adjusted diluted EPS outlook $4.30 to $4.45 Full-year fiscal 2026 outlook

Historical Context

5 past events · Latest: Jul 21 (Neutral)
Pattern 5 events
Date Event Sentiment 24h Move Catalyst
Jul 21 Responsibility strategy Neutral -1.1% Released corporate responsibility report and introduced GroForward 2030 sustainability goals.
Jul 20 Results scheduling notice Neutral -1.1% Announced timing and webcast details for third-quarter 2026 financial results.
Jul 09 Product showcase Positive +0.1% Showcased organic gardening products and innovation at Cultivate 2026.
Jul 07 Community initiative Positive -0.4% Launched youth soccer initiative covering registration fees for up to 400 girls.
Jun 29 Leadership succession Neutral -3.2% Named Nate Baxter president and CEO while reaffirming fiscal 2026 guidance.

24h Move is the share-price change in the day after each event; other market factors may also have contributed.

Pattern Detected

Recent news reactions were predominantly negative, with four of five events showing declines despite some positive or informative announcements.

Key Terms

adjusted eps, basis points, free cash flow, leverage ratio
4 terms
adjusted eps financial
"Adjusted EPS growth of 5 to 8%."
Adjusted earnings per share (adjusted eps) is a measure of a company's profit per share that has been modified to exclude certain one-time or unusual items, such as costs from restructuring or asset sales. It provides a clearer picture of the company’s core performance by removing events that may distort the usual earnings. Investors use adjusted eps to better understand a company's ongoing profitability and compare it more accurately over time.
basis points financial
"Adjusted gross margin rate improvement of 50 to 100 basis points."
Basis points are a way to measure small changes in interest rates or percentages, where one basis point equals 0.01%. For example, if a loan's interest rate increases by 50 basis points, it's gone up by 0.50%. They help people understand tiny differences in rates that can add up over time, making financial comparisons clearer.
free cash flow financial
"Free cash flow greater than $275 million."
Free cash flow is the amount of money a company has left over after paying all its expenses and investing in its business, like buying equipment or updating facilities. It shows how much cash is available to reward shareholders, pay down debt, or save for future growth. This helps investors understand if a company is financially healthy and able to grow.
View in glossary
leverage ratio financial
"updated its leverage ratio targets to reflect a mid-range goal"
Leverage ratio measures how much a company relies on borrowed money compared with its own funds or assets, typically expressed as debt relative to equity or total assets. Like a homeowner with a mortgage, higher leverage can amplify returns when business is strong but also raises the chance of big losses or default if revenue falls, so investors use it to judge financial risk and resilience.
View in glossary

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NEW YORK, Aug. 04, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (NYSE: SMG), the leading marketer of branded consumer lawn and garden products in North America, today announced its mid-range financial targets and capital allocation strategy for fiscal 2027 through fiscal 2029.

The Company is providing the update in advance of its Investor Day 2026 event at the New York Stock Exchange, starting at 9 a.m. today and featuring President and CEO Nate Baxter, Chief Financial Officer and Chief Accounting Officer Mark Scheiwer and other Company leaders discussing the SMG 2.0 growth strategy and its resulting mid-term targets that include dependable net sales growth, consistent profitability expansion and a disciplined approach to capital allocation.

“We continue to make significant and meaningful progress on the core elements of SMG 2.0, putting us on a clear path to meet or exceed the financial commitments we established for fiscal 2026,” Baxter said. “Looking ahead, we will build upon this foundation and accelerate the core elements of SMG 2.0. By tenaciously focusing and executing upon its tactical building blocks, we will drive sustainable mid- and long-term value for our Company and shareholders.”

SMG 2.0 Building Blocks

During today’s event, the Company will review SMG 2.0 in detail, including priority areas of focus for fiscal 2027 through fiscal 2029. The building blocks of SMG 2.0 include:

  • Portfolio optimization and innovation through revitalization of core product lineups to drive premium growth.
  • Omnichannel and retail expansion to engage broader consumer groups through digital scale and retailer partnerships.
  • Category growth and market expansion through greater household penetration to grow the Company’s addressable market.
  • Technology-driven operational excellence with a focus on expanding margins via targeted AI, automation and supply chain efficiencies.

Mid-Range Growth Algorithm

The Company’s mid-range growth algorithm for fiscal 2027 through fiscal 2029 is grounded in consistent progress with SMG 2.0 and includes average annual:

  • Total Company net sales growth of 2 to 4%.
  • Adjusted gross margin rate improvement of 50 to 100 basis points.
  • Adjusted EPS growth of 5 to 8%.
  • Free cash flow greater than $275 million.

The Company also updated its leverage ratio targets to reflect a mid-range goal of 3 to 3.5x from fiscal 2027 through fiscal 2029 and a longer-range goal of leverage below 3x.

“We are committed to a disciplined and balanced capital allocation strategy that will enable us to properly invest in the SMG 2.0 growth drivers while further driving down our debt balances and taking consistent shareholder friendly actions,” Scheiwer said.

Disciplined Capital Allocation

Key elements of the Company’s capital allocation strategy include:

  • Incremental SG&A reinvestment in technology, advertising and R&D.
  • Annual capital expenditure target of 2.5 to 3.5% of net sales.
  • Ongoing high-quality, quarterly shareholder dividends.
  • Anti-dilutive and opportunistic shareholder repurchases.
  • Strong balance sheet management through achievement of mid-term financial targets.
  • Strategic low-risk, tuck-in acquisitions and partnerships accretive to topline sales and neutral to positive on leverage.

Full-Year Fiscal 2026 Outlook

The Company last month raised its outlook for non-GAAP adjusted diluted net income per share from continuing operations to $4.30 to $4.45 and reaffirmed the following elements of its original fiscal 2026 guidance:

  • U.S. Consumer net sales low single-digit growth
  • Non-GAAP adjusted gross margin rate of at least 32%
  • Non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA mid single-digit growth
  • Free cash flow of $275 million, driving leverage ratio down to the high 3s

Investor Day 2026 Details

For those interested in viewing Investor Day 2026 online, the Company’s live webcast can be accessed beginning at 9 a.m. through Vimeo. For those unable to participate during the live webcast, a replay will be available on the Investor Relations website.

About ScottsMiracle-Gro
With approximately $3.3 billion in sales, the Company is the leading marketer of branded consumer lawn and garden products in North America. The Company’s brands are among the most recognized in the industry. The Company’s Scotts®, Miracle-Gro®, Ortho® and Tomcat® brands are market-leading in their categories. For additional information, visit us at www.scottsmiraclegro.com

For investor inquiries:
Brad Chelton
Vice President
Treasury, Tax and Investor Relations
brad.chelton@scotts.com
(937) 309-2503

For media inquiries:
Tom Matthews
Chief Communications Officer
tom.matthews@scotts.com
(937) 844-3864


FAQ

What financial targets did ScottsMiracle-Gro (SMG) set for fiscal 2027–2029?

ScottsMiracle-Gro targets 2–4% annual net sales growth, 50–100 basis points of adjusted gross margin improvement, 5–8% adjusted EPS growth, and free cash flow above $275 million. According to ScottsMiracle-Gro, these goals are tied to executing its SMG 2.0 strategy between fiscal 2027 and 2029.

What is ScottsMiracle-Gro’s leverage ratio goal for 2027–2029 and beyond?

ScottsMiracle-Gro set a mid-range leverage ratio target of 3–3.5x for fiscal 2027–2029, with a longer-term goal below 3x. According to ScottsMiracle-Gro, achieving its free cash flow and earnings targets is expected to support progress toward these leverage objectives.

What does ScottsMiracle-Gro’s 2026 EPS guidance mean for SMG shareholders?

ScottsMiracle-Gro raised its 2026 non-GAAP adjusted diluted EPS outlook to $4.30–$4.45 from continuing operations. According to ScottsMiracle-Gro, this updated guidance accompanies expectations for at least 32% adjusted gross margin, mid single-digit adjusted EBITDA growth, and $275 million of free cash flow in fiscal 2026.

How will ScottsMiracle-Gro (SMG) allocate capital under its 2027–2029 strategy?

ScottsMiracle-Gro plans SG&A reinvestment in technology, advertising and R&D, capex of 2.5–3.5% of net sales, ongoing quarterly dividends, anti-dilutive opportunistic share repurchases, and low-risk tuck-in acquisitions. According to ScottsMiracle-Gro, these actions must remain neutral to positive on leverage while supporting growth.

What are the key elements of ScottsMiracle-Gro’s SMG 2.0 growth strategy?

SMG 2.0 focuses on portfolio optimization and innovation, omnichannel and retail expansion, category and market growth, and technology-driven operational excellence. According to ScottsMiracle-Gro, these building blocks are intended to support dependable sales growth, margin expansion and sustained free cash flow through fiscal 2029.

What is ScottsMiracle-Gro’s free cash flow outlook for 2026 and 2027–2029?

For fiscal 2026, ScottsMiracle-Gro expects free cash flow of $275 million, helping reduce leverage to the high 3s. According to ScottsMiracle-Gro, its 2027–2029 algorithm targets average annual free cash flow greater than $275 million as SMG 2.0 progresses.

How can investors watch ScottsMiracle-Gro’s Investor Day 2026 presentation at the NYSE?

Investors can view ScottsMiracle-Gro’s Investor Day 2026 via a live Vimeo webcast starting at 9 a.m. Eastern. According to ScottsMiracle-Gro, a replay will also be available on the company’s Investor Relations website for those unable to watch the live event.