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FiscalNote Holdings, Inc. filed an 8-K furnishing materials from a live investor discussion on its expansion into political prediction markets. Management and strategic advisors outlined why they see prediction markets as a fast-growing, durable category for outcome-based political and macro forecasting.
The materials highlight rapid industry growth, with 2025 U.S. prediction market trading described in the tens of billions of dollars and political contracts accounting for a meaningful share. They emphasize regulatory momentum from the CFTC, increasing institutional interest, and integrations of prediction market data into established financial platforms.
FiscalNote positions this move as an extension of its core policy data and analytics business, not a pivot. The company plans a phased roadmap that starts with subscription “tip sheet” and insight products, fantasy-league style experiments, and partnerships such as 365Prediction to access infrastructure, while leveraging its existing policy expertise and relationships with advocacy organizations.
Donnell Paul reported disposition transactions in a Form 4 filing for NOTE. The filing lists transactions totaling 233 shares at a weighted average price of $1.15 per share. Following the reported transactions, holdings were 34,078 shares.
Resnik Josh reported disposition transactions in a Form 4 filing for NOTE. The filing lists transactions totaling 5,672 shares at a weighted average price of $0.88 per share. Following the reported transactions, holdings were 211,854 shares.
FiscalNote Holdings, Inc. filed a current report describing an e-mail from CEO Josh Resnik outlining the company’s next phase of growth. He highlights entry into political prediction markets, noting that billions of dollars already flow through such markets monthly and positioning FiscalNote to improve transparency, governance, and market quality.
The message also emphasizes expanding delivery of FiscalNote’s proprietary policy data and analysis through APIs, integrations, and support for AI agents, aiming to be an “essential source of truth” for mission-critical decisions. Resnik reiterates the importance of the PolicyNote platform and says the company is focused on materially improving efficiency and moving beyond Adjusted EBITDA profitability toward consistent positive free cash flow.
FiscalNote Holdings, Inc. Chief Accounting Officer Paul Donnell reported a small tax-related share disposition. On 02/09/2026, 44 shares of Class A Common Stock were withheld at $1.22 per share to satisfy his tax obligation upon vesting of 108 restricted stock units. Following this automatic tax-withholding transaction, he directly beneficially owned 34,311 shares of Class A Common Stock.
FiscalNote Holdings director Gerald Yao reported a tax-withholding disposition of 42 shares of Class A Common Stock at $1.22 per share. These shares were withheld to cover his tax obligation when 105 restricted stock units vested.
After this transaction, 37,727 shares are held indirectly through the Gerald Yao Revocable Trust Dated January 10, 2019, where he serves as trustee, and he also beneficially owns 333 shares directly.
FiscalNote Holdings, Inc. insider Todd Aman, Chief Legal & Admin. Officer, reported a small tax-related share disposal. On 02/09/2026, 67 shares of Class A Common Stock were withheld at $1.22 per share to satisfy his tax obligation upon vesting of 189 restricted stock units. After this tax-withholding disposition, he beneficially owns 79,703 Class A shares directly.
FiscalNote Holdings director and 10% owner Timothy T. Hwang reported tax-related sales of Class A Common Stock on February 2, 2026. A revocable trust for which he serves as trustee sold 3,082 shares and 1,008 shares at $1.1983 per share in sell-to-cover transactions.
The sales were made to satisfy tax obligations arising from the vesting of 7,486 and 2,447 restricted stock units under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan adopted on May 16, 2025. After these transactions, the trust beneficially owned 195,399 Class A shares indirectly, and Hwang also held 4,109 shares directly.
NOTE – Planned insider sale filing under Rule 144. A Form 144 notice states that the Timothy T. Hwang Revocable Trust Dated 1/10/2019 intends to sell 4,090 Class A shares through Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC on or about 02/03/2026 on the NYSE, with an aggregate market value of 4901.05. The shares were acquired on 02/02/2026 via restricted stock vesting from the issuer as compensation.
Over the prior three months, the same trust reported Class A share sales of 7,695, 5,590, and 1,716 shares on 11/07/2025, 12/03/2025, and 01/05/2026, for gross proceeds of 19960.83, 10695.90, and 2760.70, respectively.
FiscalNote Holdings, Inc. director Gerald Yao reported a routine tax-related share withholding on Class A common stock. On 01/20/2026, 353 shares of Class A common stock held indirectly through the Gerald Yao Revocable Trust Dated January 10, 2019 were withheld at a price of $1.57 per share to satisfy his tax obligations upon the vesting of 893 restricted stock units.
Following this transaction, the trust beneficially owned 37,769 shares of FiscalNote Class A common stock, reported as indirect ownership, and Yao also reported 333 shares of Class A common stock held directly.