Only 28 Out of Every 1,000 U.S. Homes Changed Hands This Year—The Lowest Turnover in Decades
Homes turned over the most in
Redfin’s analysis examined the period between 2012-2025, but it can confidently say this year’s
This year’s turnover rate (
There were
Homes are turning over at historically low rates because:
- Affordability challenges have kept many buyers on the sidelines. Home prices are near record highs, and borrowing costs remain elevated, causing the number of sellers to far outweigh the number of buyers.
-
Sellers are unwilling to give up their low mortgage rates. More than
70% of mortgagedU.S. homeowners have a rate below5% , well below the current rate of6.17% . While the share of mortgages above6% is at a 10-year high, many homeowners are still rate-locked and unwilling to sell. - Economic uncertainty has made buyers cautious. Concerns about job security, inflation, and broader instability caused many would-be movers to delay major purchases, further slowing the pace of transactions.
“America’s housing market is defined right now by caution,” said Chen Zhao, Redfin’s head of economics research. “Buyers are walking away from deals more often, sometimes due to affordability issues and sometimes because they’re re-evaluating whether now is the right moment to commit. Others aren’t even shopping, waiting instead for prices or mortgage rates to come down. On the other side, many sellers are staying put—either because they’re locked into low rates or unwilling to accept offers below expectations. When both sides hesitate, sales naturally fall to historic lows.”
More homes are being listed in 2025 than the past two years
The rate of homes being listed for sale in the first nine months of the year rose a little to
This year’s rate is down
Sales of condos/townhouses down more than
Around 30 out of every 1,000 single family homes sold in the first nine months of this year, a slightly faster clip than the roughly 22 out of every 1,000 condos/townhouses that sold.
Home Sales Per 1,000 Homes (Jan-Sept 2025) |
||
|
Sales Turnover Rate |
New Listings Rate |
Single Family Homes |
29.9 (+ |
41.1 ( |
Condos/Townhouses |
22.2 (- |
33.1 ( |
The sales turnover rate for condos/townhouses fell
That’s in line with Redfin data showing how hard it is to sell condos this year, with an estimated
Around 33 out of every 1,000 condos/townhouses listed for sale in the first nine months of the year, while around 41 out of every 1,000 single family homes were listed for sale.
Homes turning over the most in
Major |
|||
Rank |
Metro |
Sales per 1,000 Homes |
YoY Change |
1 |
|
35.2 |
+ |
2 |
|
32.6 |
- |
3 |
|
31.2 |
- |
4 |
|
30.3 |
+ |
5 |
|
30.1 |
- |
The next metros with the highest turnover rate this year were
Demand in the Sun Belt has softened significantly since the peak of the pandemic and the sales rate is continuing to drop fast in many of the region’s metro areas.
San Antonio’s turnover rate fell to 24 sales per 1,000 homes, down -
The only three major metros to post a faster turnover rate from a year ago were
Homes turning over the least in
Major |
|||
Rank |
Metro |
Sales per 1,000 Homes |
YoY Change |
1 |
|
10.3 |
- |
2 |
|
11.5 |
- |
3 |
|
13.2 |
+ |
4 |
|
14.8 |
- |
5 |
|
15.5 |
- |
6 |
|
15.9 |
- |
7 |
|
16.3 |
- |
Next came six
California’s low housing turnover stems in part from Proposition 13, a state law that restricts property-tax growth and creates a strong financial incentive for homeowners to remain in their homes. It’s worth noting that the increased SALT cap rate may help to unlock some of California’s housing inventory in future years.
To view the full report, including charts and additional metro-level data, please visit:
https://www.redfin.com/news/home-turnover-report-2025
About Redfin
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View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20251031834313/en/
Contact Redfin
Redfin Journalist Services:
Kenneth Applewhaite
press@redfin.com
Source: Redfin