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Redfin Reports Homebuying Demand Slows As Mortgage Rates Hit Highest Level in a Year

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Key Terms

mortgage-purchase applications financial
Mortgage-purchase applications are requests submitted by consumers to lenders for home loans used to buy properties, as opposed to loans for refinancing existing mortgages. Investors watch the number and trend of these applications because they act like a real-time thermometer of housing demand and consumer confidence—rising applications suggest stronger home sales, construction activity, and related spending, while falling applications can signal cooling in the housing market and pressure on companies tied to mortgages and homebuilding.
months of supply technical
Months of supply measures how long it would take to sell all available homes at the current sales rate. It is calculated by dividing the total number of homes for sale by the number of homes sold each month. A lower number suggests a faster market with high demand, while a higher number indicates a slower market with more choices for buyers.
sale-to-list price ratio financial
The sale-to-list price ratio measures how much of a property's asking price is actually paid by buyers, expressed as a percentage. For example, if a home is listed at $300,000 and sells for $285,000, the ratio is 95%. This figure helps investors gauge the strength of the market: a higher ratio suggests buyers are willing to pay close to asking prices, indicating high demand.
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Today’s housing market rewards patience over panic: With hundreds of thousands more sellers than buyers in the U.S., buyers in most of the country have time to peruse options and negotiate

SEATTLE--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- U.S. pending home sales fell to their lowest level since early April during the four weeks ending July 26, dropping 1.7% in the last week alone. That’s according to a new report from Redfin, the real estate brokerage powered by Rocket.

Tours of home listings are up 15% since the start of the year, compared with a 31% increase at this time last year, according to data from ShowingTime.

Homebuying demand is declining partly because mortgage rates are rising: The daily average rate rose to 6.85% at the end of last week, the highest level in over a year—and there’s little relief on the horizon. Rates remain under pressure due largely to inflation concerns and volatile oil prices tied to geopolitical tensions. Although the labor market remains strong, the combination of high borrowing costs and widespread economic uncertainty is prompting many house hunters to press pause.

There are a few bright spots for the buyers who are in the market. Despite stubbornly high rates, the median U.S. housing payment fell to $2,575—its lowest level in three months—because sellers’ median asking prices dropped to their lowest level in a year. And while some would-be sellers are backing off as demand declines, with new listings dipping to their second-lowest level since the start of 2026, there are still hundreds of thousands more sellers than buyers in the market. That means buyers have negotiating power in most of the country.

“It’s important for house hunters to remember that while mortgage rates were much lower during the pandemic, every listing was ultra-competitive; buyers often had to pay tens of thousands of dollars over the asking price to win a home,” said Bonnie Phillips, a Redfin Premier agent in Cleveland. “Rates are higher now, but bidding wars are unlikely and buyers are often able to negotiate prices down and get concessions from sellers. Today’s housing market rewards patience over panic: If you can afford to buy, focus on finding a home you love and negotiating a good deal rather than trying to perfectly time mortgage rates.”

For Redfin economists’ takes on the housing market, please visit Redfin’s “From Our Economists” page.

Leading indicators

Indicators of homebuying demand and activity

 

Value (if applicable)

Recent change

Year-over-year change

Source

Daily average 30-year fixed mortgage rate

6.78% (July 29)

Near highest level in a year

Essentially unchanged

Mortgage News Daily

Weekly average 30-year fixed mortgage rate

6.58% (week ending July 23)

Highest level in 11 months

Down from 6.74%

Freddie Mac

Mortgage-purchase applications (seasonally adjusted)

 

Down 4% from a week earlier (as of week ending July 29)

Up 3%

Mortgage Bankers Association

Google searches of “homes for sale”

 

Up about 5% from a month earlier (as of July 25)

Down 7%

Google Trends

Touring activity

 

Up 15% from the start of the year (as of July 26)

At this time last year, it was up 31% from the start of 2025

ShowingTime

Key housing-market data

U.S. highlights: Four weeks ending July 26, 2026

Redfin’s national metrics include data from 900+ U.S. metro areas and are based on homes listed and/or sold during the period. Weekly housing-market data goes back through 2021. Subject to revision.

 

Four weeks ending July 26, 2026

Year-over-year change

Week-over-week change (where applicable)

Notes

Median sale price

$407,752

2.8%

 

Roughly $2,000 shy of record high

Median asking price (seasonally adjusted)

$392,760

Unchanged

 

 

Median monthly mortgage payment (seasonally adjusted)

$2,575 at a 6.58% mortgage rate

-1.3%

 

Lowest level in 3 months

Pending sales (seasonally adjusted)

322,739

1.5%

-1.7%

Lowest level in over 3 months

New listings (seasonally adjusted)

351,078

0.2%

-0.4%

Second-lowest level since first week of 2026

Active listings (seasonally adjusted)

1,490,916

0.7%

0.3%

 

Months of supply

3.6

-0.2 pts.

 

4 to 5 months of supply is considered balanced, with a lower number indicating seller’s market conditions

Share of homes off market in two weeks

31.5%

Down slightly

 

 

Median days on market

41

Unchanged

 

 

Share of home listings with price drops

20.3%

Down slightly

 

 

Share of homes sold above list price

28%

Up from about 27%

 

 

Average sale-to-list price ratio

99%

Up slightly

 

 

Metro-level highlights: Four weeks ending July 26, 2026

Redfin’s metro-level data includes the 50 most populous U.S. metros. Select metros may be excluded from time to time to ensure data accuracy.

 

Metros with biggest year-over-year increases

Metros with biggest year-over-year decreases

Notes

Median sale price

West Palm Beach, FL (12.2%)

Newark, NJ (6.8%)

Detroit (6.5%)

St. Louis (6.5%)

Virginia Beach, VA (6.4%)

San Jose, CA (-3.3%)

Seattle (-2.7%)

Austin, TX (-1.2%)

Orlando, FL (-0.3%)

Charlotte, NC (-0.3%)

Portland, OR (-0.3%)

Dallas (-0.2%)

Declined in 7 metros

Pending sales

West Palm Beach, FL (15.4%)

Boston (9.4%)

Pittsburgh (8.5%)

Cincinnati (8.2%)

Sacramento, CA (5.9%)

Houston (-15.4%)

Seattle (-13.9%)

Phoenix (-12.5%)

Denver (-7.7%)

San Diego (-7.1%)

 

 

New listings

St. Louis (13.5%)

San Jose, CA (10.3%)

Warren, MI (8.6%)

Providence, RI (7.7%)

Indianapolis (7.6%)

Fort Worth, TX (-12.3%)

Dallas (-11.4%)

Miami (-11.3%)

Atlanta (-9.9%)

San Antonio (-9.7%)

 

To view the full report, including charts, please visit:
https://www.redfin.com/news/housing-market-update-demand-slows-rates-hit-high-level

About Redfin

Redfin is a technology-driven real estate company with the country's most-visited real estate brokerage website. As part of Rocket Companies (NYSE: RKT), Redfin is creating an integrated homeownership platform from search to close to make the dream of homeownership more affordable and accessible for everyone. Redfin’s clients can see homes first with on-demand tours, easily apply for a home loan with Rocket Mortgage, and save thousands in fees while working with a top local agent.

You can find more information about Redfin and get the latest housing market data and research at https://www.redfin.com/news. For more information about Rocket Companies, visit https://www.rocketcompanies.com.

Contact Redfin Journalist Services:
Tana Kelley
press@redfin.com

Source: Redfin