Redfin Reports Pending Home Sales Dip to Lowest Level in Nearly 3 Years
Redfin’s latest four-week data show pending U.S. home sales at a three-year low even as prices inch higher and inventory grows.
Rhea-AI Summary
Redfin (housing data; ticker cited as RKT) reports that U.S. pending home sales fell 3.5% week over week to 299,126 for the four weeks ending Sept. 13, 2026, the lowest level in nearly three years and down 5.4% year over year.
The median U.S. sale price rose 2% year over year to $397,633, while the median asking price was $395,841, up 0.1%. New and active listings were each up 1.5% year over year, with new listings edging down 0.5% from the prior week and active listings down 0.6%. Months of supply increased to 4.1, up from 3.9.
The typical home spent 46 days on market, unchanged from a year earlier; 29.5% went off market within two weeks. A total of 20.8% of listings saw price drops, and 25.1% of homes sold above list, with an average sale-to-list ratio of 98.6%. Daily 30‑year mortgage rates reached 7.24% on Sept. 16, up from 6.97% a week earlier.
Positive
- Median sale price $397,633, up 2% year over year
- New listings 363,298, up 1.5% year over year
- Active listings 1,497,731, up 1.5% year over year
- Share of homes sold above list 25.1%, up from 24.5%
- Average sale-to-list ratio 98.6%, up from 98.4%
Negative
- Pending sales 299,126, down 5.4% year over year and 3.5% week over week
- Daily 30-year mortgage rate 7.24% vs. 6.97% one week earlier, up from 6.25% year over year
- Mortgage-purchase applications down 1% WoW and 19% year over year
- Google searches for “homes for sale” down 12% MoM and 15% year over year
- Touring activity down 3% from start of year vs. +26% at this time last year
- Median monthly mortgage payment $2,633 at 6.76% rate, up 3.4% year over year
Key Figures
- Pending sales
- 299,126
- Four weeks ending Sep. 13, 2026; -5.4% year over year and -3.5% week over week
- Pending-sales level
- Lowest level in nearly 3 years
- U.S. pending home sales
- Daily mortgage rate
- 7.24%
- 30-year fixed mortgage rate on Sep. 16, 2026
- Weekly mortgage rate
- 6.76%
- 30-year fixed mortgage rate for the week ending Sep. 10, 2026
- Median sale price
- $397,633
- Four weeks ending Sep. 13, 2026; up 2% year over year
- Median monthly mortgage payment
- $2,633
- Seasonally adjusted at a 6.76% mortgage rate
- Active listings
- 1,497,731
- Four weeks ending Sep. 13, 2026; up 1.5% year over year
- Months of supply
- 4.1
- Up from 3.9
Historical Context
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Report described record buyer-seller imbalance, with 57.9% more sellers than buyers.
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Report cited record housing costs and falling pending sales amid elevated mortgage rates.
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Report showed multi-year-high supply, rising listings, and weaker demand.
24h Move is the share-price change in the day after each event; other market factors may also have contributed.
Key Terms
seasonally adjusted technical
30-year fixed mortgage rate financial
mortgage-purchase applications financial
sale-to-list price ratio financial
months of supply financial
AI-generated analysis. How Rhea-AI works. Not financial advice.
The homebuyers who remain in the market have more choices, less competition and more negotiating power
Here's what else is happening in the
- Declining homebuying demand gives buyers breathing room. It means less competition and more room to negotiate for the house hunters who are still shopping.
- There are plenty of homes to choose from. New listings fell slightly (-
0.5% ) from a week earlier, but they're still up1.5% year over year, and there are hundreds of thousands more home sellers than buyers in the market. More homes on the market equals less pressure on buyers to rush into a decision or pay more than they want. "House hunters who can afford it should be taking advantage of today's slow market. If and when mortgage rates trickle down below6% , I'm willing to bet inventory will be depleted in no time—then it's boom! Back to bidding wars," says Meme Loggins, a Redfin Premier agent inPortland, OR. - Home-sale prices are holding steady. The median home-sale price rose
2% year over year, similar to the increases we've seen over the last several months. That stability means prices aren't soaring, and that sellers aren't in immediate danger of home values dropping. - Sellers are coming to terms with market realities. Elevated mortgage rates are making housing costs high and pricing some would-be buyers out of the market—and it appears sellers are adjusting their expectations accordingly. The typical home that sold spent 46 days on the market, unchanged from a year ago, and
29.5% of homes went off market within two weeks, essentially flat. - Bidding wars are still on the table. A quarter of homes that sold (
25.1% ) fetched more than their asking price. That's welcome news for sellers who price realistically from the start.
For Redfin economists' takes on the housing market, please visit Redfin's "From Our Economists" page.
Leading indicators
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Indicators of homebuying demand and activity |
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Value (if applicable) |
Recent change |
Year-over-year change |
Source |
|
Daily average 30-year fixed mortgage rate |
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Up from |
Up from |
Mortgage News Daily |
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Weekly average 30-year fixed mortgage rate |
|
Up from |
Up from |
Freddie Mac |
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Mortgage-purchase applications (seasonally adjusted) |
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Down |
Down |
Mortgage Bankers Association |
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Google searches of "homes for sale" |
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Down |
Down |
Google Trends |
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Touring activity |
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Down |
At this time last year, it was up |
ShowingTime |
Key housing-market data
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Redfin's national metrics include data from 900+ |
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Four weeks ending Sept. 13, 2026 |
Year-over-year change |
Week-over-week change (where applicable) |
Notes |
|
Median sale price |
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2 % |
|
|
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Median asking price (seasonally adjusted) |
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0.1 % |
|
|
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Median monthly mortgage payment (seasonally adjusted) |
|
3.4 % |
|
|
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Pending sales (seasonally adjusted) |
299,126 |
-5.4 % |
-3.5 % |
Lowest level in nearly 3 years |
|
New listings (seasonally adjusted) |
363,298 |
1.5 % |
-0.5 % |
|
|
Active listings (seasonally adjusted) |
1,497,731 |
1.5 % |
-0.6 % |
|
|
Months of supply |
4.1 |
Up from 3.9 |
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4 to 5 months of supply is considered balanced, with a lower number indicating seller's market conditions |
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Share of homes off market in two weeks |
29.5 % |
Down from |
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|
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Median days on market |
46 |
Unchanged |
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|
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Share of home listings with price drops |
20.8 % |
Up from |
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|
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Share of homes sold above list price |
25.1 % |
Up from |
|
|
|
Average sale-to-list price ratio |
98.6 % |
Up from |
|
|
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Metro-level highlights: Four weeks ending Sept. 13, 2026 Redfin's metro-level rankings data includes the 50 most populous |
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Metros with biggest year-over- |
Metros with biggest year- over-year decreases |
Notes |
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Median sale price |
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Pending sales |
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New listings |
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To view the full report, including charts, please visit: https://www.redfin.com/news/housing-market-update-pending-sales-lowest-level-since-2023
About Redfin
Redfin is a technology-driven real estate company with the country's most-visited real estate brokerage website. As part of Rocket Companies (NYSE: RKT), Redfin is creating an integrated homeownership platform from search to close to make the dream of homeownership more affordable and accessible for everyone. Redfin's clients can see homes first with on-demand tours, easily apply for a home loan with Rocket Mortgage, and save thousands in fees while working with a top local agent.
You can find more information about Redfin and get the latest housing market data and research at https://www.redfin.com/news. For more information about Rocket Companies, visit https://www.rocketcompanies.com.
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SOURCE Redfin
FAQ
AI-generated questions and answers. How Rhea-AI works. Not financial advice.
What does the reported months of supply indicate about market balance?
Months of supply was 4.1, up from 3.9. The report notes that 4 to 5 months of supply is considered balanced, with a lower number indicating seller’s market conditions, so the current level suggests movement toward a more balanced market.
How quickly are homes selling in the current period?
The median home that sold during the four weeks ending Sept. 13 spent 46 days on the market, unchanged from a year earlier, and 29.5% of homes went off market within two weeks, essentially flat year over year.
How common are price reductions in today’s housing market?
In the four-week period, 20.8% of home listings had price drops, compared with 19.7% a year earlier, indicating a higher share of sellers reducing prices.
Which U.S. metros saw the largest year-over-year rise in home prices?
The biggest year-over-year median sale price increases were in San Francisco (10.2%), Milwaukee (9.3%), Kansas City, MO (7.9%), Cleveland (7.6%), and St. Louis (6.8%).
Which metros experienced the steepest home-price declines year over year?
The largest year-over-year median sale price declines were in San Jose, CA (-5%), Austin, TX (-4.6%), San Antonio (-4.3%), Seattle (-3.9%), and Fort Worth, TX (-3.1%).
Where did pending sales rise or fall the most among major metros?
Pended sales rose most year over year in Fort Lauderdale, FL (6.6%), Miami (4%), West Palm Beach, FL (3.8%), Milwaukee (3.8%), and Cincinnati (2%). The biggest declines were in Seattle (-20.3%), Denver (-15%), San Diego (-14.7%), Atlanta (-14.6%), and Houston (-13.7%).
Which metros saw the largest changes in new listings?
New listings increased most in Nashville, TN (15.6%), San Jose, CA (13.9%), Anaheim, CA (12.7%), Seattle (10.5%), and Philadelphia (9.7%), and declined most in Atlanta (-13.3%), Dallas (-9.4%), San Francisco (-9.2%), Detroit (-7.2%), and Fort Worth, TX (-6.3%).