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U.S. P&C Insurers Post Strong 92.4 Combined Ratio as Premium Growth Slows Sharply

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Verisk (Nasdaq: VRSK) and APCIA report that U.S. P&C insurers posted a Q1 2026 combined ratio of 92.4 and an estimated $15.8 billion underwriting gain, versus a loss in 2025.

Net income rose to $40.9 billion, while net written premium growth slowed sharply to 2.9% and $6.2 billion was returned to policyholders via dividends.

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Positive

  • Underwriting swung to a $15.8 billion gain from an $864 million loss in Q1 2025
  • Combined ratio improved to 92.4% from 99.2% year over year
  • Net income after taxes rose to $40.9 billion from $19.4 billion
  • Policyholders’ surplus increased to $1.24 trillion from $1.09 trillion
  • Realized capital gains grew to $8.8 billion from $3.7 billion
  • Incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses decreased by 9.6% after a 15.5% increase in Q1 2025

Negative

  • Net written premium growth slowed sharply to 2.9%, down from 6.8% in Q1 2025
  • Written premiums effectively declined in 2026 after inflation and $6.2 billion in dividends
  • Casualty lines and other non-auto segments continue to face pressure
  • Industry faces exposure to potential catastrophe losses in the 2026 hurricane season
  • Recovery is described as uneven across lines despite personal auto improvements

News Market Reaction – VRSK

+3.41%
3 alerts
+3.41% Session close to close
-9.2% Trough Tracked
$22.90B Market Cap
0.0x Rel. Volume

In the Jun 23 session, VRSK gained 3.41%, reflecting a moderate positive market reaction. Argus tracked a trough of -9.2% from its starting point during tracking. Our momentum scanner triggered 3 alerts that day, indicating moderate trading interest and price volatility.

Data tracked by StockTitan Argus on the day of publication.

Market Context

This announcement highlights a stronger U.S. P&C backdrop, including a $15.8 billion underwriting ga...
Analysis

This announcement highlights a stronger U.S. P&C backdrop, including a $15.8 billion underwriting gain and a 92.4% combined ratio. For Verisk, these trends support demand for analytics, though slower premium growth and catastrophe risk remain key watchpoints.

Key Figures

Underwriting gain: $15.8 billion Combined ratio: 92.4 percent Net income: $40.9 billion +5 more
8 metrics
Underwriting gain $15.8 billion Estimated net underwriting gain, Q1 2026
Combined ratio 92.4 percent Q1 2026, improved from 99.2 percent in Q1 2025
Net income $40.9 billion Net income after taxes, Q1 2026 vs. $19.4 billion in Q1 2025
Net written premium growth 2.9 percent Q1 2026, down from 6.8 percent in Q1 2025 and 9.6 percent in Q1 2024
Net earned premium growth 3.8 percent Q1 2026, compared to 7.8 percent in Q1 2025
Incurred losses and LAE 9.6 percent decrease Change in incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses, Q1 2026 vs. Q1 2025
Policyholders’ surplus $1.24 trillion Policyholders’ surplus in Q1 2026 vs. $1.09 trillion in Q1 2025
Returned to policyholders $6.2 billion Dividends returned to policyholders in Q1 2026

Historical Context

5 past events · Latest: Jun 01 (Positive)
Pattern 5 events
Date Event Sentiment 24h Move Catalyst
Jun 01 Model upgrade launch Positive +5.1% Launch of reengineered U.S. tropical cyclone model on Synergy Studio platform.
May 29 Industry risk report Positive +1.3% Release of 2026 U.S. Roof Report highlighting rising roof risk and costs.
May 26 Platform partnership Positive +0.3% KatRisk joining Verisk Model Exchange to broaden catastrophe modeling access.
May 20 Board appointment Neutral -0.2% Appointment of Pradip Patiath to board and retirement of another director.
May 11 New product launch Positive -1.9% Collaboration enabling launch of digital-first Zen Insurance in the UK.

24h Move is the share-price change in the day after each event; other market factors may also have contributed.

Pattern Detected

Recent product and partnership news has more often seen aligned positive price reactions, with occasional divergences on neutral or positive headlines.

Key Terms

combined ratio, net written premium, policyholders’ surplus, loss adjustment expenses, +2 more
6 terms
combined ratio financial
"The combined ratio improved to 92.4 percent, down from 99.2 percent in the same period..."
The combined ratio is a way insurance companies measure how well they are doing by adding up all their costs and claims and comparing them to the money they earn from premiums. If the ratio is below 100%, it means the company is making a profit; if it's above 100%, they are losing money. It helps see if an insurance company is financially healthy or not.
net written premium financial
"Net written premium growth slowed sharply to 2.9 percent in Q1 2026..."
Net written premium is the total amount of new insurance coverage an insurer sells during a period after subtracting the portion it passes on to reinsurers. Think of it like a store’s sales minus the part it outsources to a wholesaler: it shows how much business the insurer actually keeps and is responsible for, so investors use it to gauge growth, risk exposure and the company’s potential revenue from underwriting.
policyholders’ surplus financial
"Policyholders’ surplus increased to $1.24 trillion from $1.09 trillion..."
Policyholders’ surplus is an insurance company’s financial buffer — essentially its assets minus its liabilities — that represents the money available to pay unexpected claims and absorb losses. Investors watch this number because a larger surplus means the insurer is better able to cover claim shocks, write new policies and meet regulatory tests; it’s like a rainy-day fund that shows how safely the business can operate and grow.
loss adjustment expenses financial
"Incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses decreased by 9.6 percent..."
Costs an insurance company incurs to investigate, process, defend and settle claims — for example, fees for claims adjusters, legal defense, and settlement negotiations. These expenses act like the labor and admin needed to handle a warranty repair: they don’t pay the claim itself but add to the total cost of claims, so rising loss adjustment expenses reduce insurers’ profits and signal how efficiently future claims are likely to be handled.
reinsurance financial
"All figures are net of reinsurance unless otherwise noted..."
Reinsurance is when insurance companies buy insurance for themselves to protect against very big losses. It’s like a car owner getting extra coverage from another company so that if there's a serious accident, the financial hit isn’t all on one company. This helps insurance companies stay stable and able to pay out when disasters happen.
el niño technical
"as even in otherwise calm El Niño years, a single event can materially shift outcomes."
A periodic climate pattern in which surface waters in the central and eastern tropical Pacific become unusually warm, shifting global weather patterns such as rainfall, storms and temperatures. For investors, El Niño matters because those weather shifts can change crop yields, energy demand, shipping routes and insurance losses—think of it as a large thermostat reset that can boost some industries while disrupting others, affecting revenues and market prices.

AI-generated analysis. How Rhea-AI works. Not financial advice.

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In the first quarter of 2026, carriers returned $6.2 billion to policyholders; casualty lines remained under pressure, but there was continued momentum in personal auto underwriting

JERSEY CITY, N.J., June 23, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Year-over-year, the U.S. property/casualty (P&C) insurance industry’s financial performance improved through the first three months of 2026, according to Verisk (Nasdaq: VRSK), a leading strategic data analytics and technology partner to the global insurance industry, and the American Property Casualty Insurance Association (APCIA), the primary national trade association for home, auto and business insurers.

According to key financial indicators for private U.S. P&C insurers, the industry posted an estimated net underwriting gain of approximately $15.8 billion in Q1 2026, a strong rebound from the $864 million underwriting loss in Q1 2025, which was heavily impacted by large-scale catastrophe activity, including the Palisades and Eaton wildfires. Year-over-year industry financial volatility was similar in the first quarters of 2023 and 2024, swinging from a $7.8 billion loss to a $9.5 billion gain, respectively.

First-quarter results improved largely due to continued momentum in personal auto underwriting, alongside a more stable catastrophe experience relative to the prior year. Some carriers have returned personal auto premiums through elevated policyholder dividends, marking a shift from recent periods of auto rate increases. At the same time, broader market conditions are mixed and other lines of insurance continue to face pressure.

“Industry profitability improved in 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, driven largely by moderating inflation and an unusual respite from natural catastrophes over the past 12 months,” said Robert Gordon, senior vice president, policy, research and international, APCIA. “In good news for policyholders, premium increases continued to slow. Net written premium growth slowed sharply to 2.9 percent in Q1 2026, down from 9.6 percent in Q1 2024 and 6.8 percent in Q1 2025. When factoring in inflation and $6.2 billion returned to policyholders through dividends, written premiums have effectively declined in 2026.”

“Net income bounced back in Q1 2026 following a 50 percent decline in Q1 2025. At the same time, legal system abuse and rising claims severity continue to be among the industry’s most significant headwinds. States such as Florida that have enacted meaningful legal system abuse reforms are beginning to see progress, including stabilization and reductions in auto and homeowners’ insurance rates,” Gordon concluded.

Underwriting Industry Financial Results Through Q1 2026, Post-Policyholder Dividends

  • Written premiums: Net written premium growth slowed to 2.9 percent, compared to 6.8 percent during the same period in 2025.
  • Earned premiums: Net earned premiums rose 3.8 percent, compared to 7.8 percent during the same period in 2025.
  • Underwriting gain: The U.S. P&C insurance industry posted an estimated net underwriting gain of $15.8 billion, an improvement from the $864 million underwriting loss through the first three months of 2025.
  • Incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses: Incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses decreased by 9.6 percent, compared to a 15.5 percent increase in Q1 2025. The combined ratio improved to 92.4 percent, down from 99.2 percent in the same period last year.
  • Surplus: Policyholders’ surplus increased to $1.24 trillion from $1.09 trillion during the same period in 2025.
  • Realized capital gains: Realized capital gains increased to $8.8 billion, compared to $3.7 billion in Q1 2025.
  • Net income: Net income after taxes increased to $40.9 billion from $19.4 billion in Q1 2025.

“First-quarter results reflected meaningful improvements, most notably in personal auto, but slower premium growth and continued pressure in casualty underscore an uneven recovery across the market,” said Saurabh Khemka, president of Verisk Underwriting Solutions. “Heading into the 2026 hurricane season, a critical focus for the industry is the potential for catastrophic activity to impact full-year performance. Profitability will need to hold through historically more active second and third quarters, as even in otherwise calm El Niño years, a single event can materially shift outcomes.”

Khemka added, “In today’s market, underwriting performance is increasingly defined by the quality and consistency of individual decisions. Carriers are using more granular data and AI to improve insight into how specific risks are selected, priced and managed across their portfolios, bringing greater discipline to underwriting at scale. That level of precision is critical not only for protecting margins, but for sustaining performance in the year ahead as conditions evolve.”


Note:The results above are based on quarterly statements filed with insurance regulators by private property/casualty insurers domiciled in the United States, including reinsurers, excess and surplus insurers, and domestic insurers owned by foreign parents, and excluding state funds for workers' compensation and other residual market insurers, the National Flood Insurance Program, and foreign insurers. The figures are consolidated estimates based on reports accounting for about 98 percent of all business written by U.S. property/casualty insurers. All figures are net of reinsurance unless otherwise noted and occasionally may not balance due to rounding. Net investment results displayed are post-tax.

About Verisk
Verisk (Nasdaq: VRSK) is a leading strategic data analytics and technology partner to the global insurance industry. It empowers clients to strengthen operating efficiency, improve underwriting and claims outcomes, combat fraud and make informed decisions about global risks, including climate change, catastrophic events, sustainability and political issues. Through advanced data analytics, software, scientific research and deep industry knowledge, Verisk helps build global resilience for individuals, communities and businesses. With teams across more than 20 countries, Verisk consistently earns certification by Great Place to Work. For more, visit Verisk.com and the Verisk Newsroom.



Morgan Hurley 
Verisk 
551-655-7858
morgan.hurley@verisk.com

FAQ

How did U.S. P&C insurers perform in Q1 2026 according to Verisk (VRSK)?

U.S. P&C insurers reported stronger profitability in Q1 2026, including a significant underwriting gain and higher net income. According to Verisk, the industry posted an estimated $15.8 billion underwriting gain and $40.9 billion in net income, reversing the prior-year underwriting loss.

What was the combined ratio for U.S. P&C insurers in Q1 2026?

The combined ratio for U.S. P&C insurers improved to 92.4% in Q1 2026. According to Verisk, this compares with 99.2% in the same period of 2025 and reflects better personal auto underwriting and a more stable catastrophe environment than the prior year.

Why did net written premium growth slow to 2.9% in Q1 2026 for U.S. P&C insurers?

Net written premium growth slowed to 2.9% in Q1 2026 as rate increases eased. According to Verisk, growth fell from 6.8% in Q1 2025 and 9.6% in Q1 2024, and written premiums effectively declined after inflation and $6.2 billion in policyholder dividends.

How much money did U.S. P&C insurers return to policyholders in Q1 2026?

U.S. P&C insurers returned $6.2 billion to policyholders in Q1 2026 through dividends. According to Verisk, these elevated personal auto dividends, combined with moderating premium increases and inflation, mean written premiums have effectively declined for the industry in 2026.

What drove the improvement in personal auto underwriting in Q1 2026?

Personal auto underwriting showed continued momentum in Q1 2026, supporting overall industry results. According to Verisk, improved performance in this line, along with a more stable catastrophe experience, helped drive the $15.8 billion underwriting gain and the stronger 92.4% combined ratio.

What risks do U.S. P&C insurers face heading into the 2026 hurricane season, according to Verisk (VRSK)?

U.S. P&C insurers face potential catastrophe losses as they enter the 2026 hurricane season. According to Verisk, full-year profitability depends on maintaining results through historically more active second and third quarters, since even a single event can materially change industry financial outcomes.